• Title/Summary/Keyword: Generation Prediction

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Low Cycle Fatigue Behavior of Cobalt-Base Superalloy ECY768 at Elevated Temperature (코발트기 초내열합금 ECY768의 고온 저주기피로 거동)

  • Yang, Ho-Young;Kim, Jae-Hoon;Ha, Jae-Suk;Yoo, Keun-Bong;Lee, Gi-Chun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.18-22
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    • 2013
  • The Co-base super heat resisting alloy ECY768 is employed in gas turbine because of its high temperature strength and oxidation resistance. The prediction of fatigue life for superalloy is important for improving the efficiency. In this paper, low cycle fatigue tests are performed as variables of total strain range and temperature. The relations between strain energy density and number of cycle to failure are examined in order to predict the low cycle fatigue life of ECY768 super alloy. The lives predicted by strain energy methods are found to coincide with experimental data and results obtained from the Coffin-Manson method. The fatigue lives is evaluated using predicted by Coffin-Manson method and strain energy methods is compared with the measured fatigue lives at different temperatures. The microstructure observing was performed for how affect able to low-cycle fatigue life by increasing the temperature.

Study on Springback Control in Reconfigurable Die Forming (가변금형 성형에서 탄성회복 제어 연구)

  • Ha, S.M.;Park, J.W.;Kim, T.W.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.393-400
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    • 2008
  • Springback is one of the most difficult phenomena to analyze and control in sheet forming. Most of traditional springback control methods rely on experiences of skilled workers in industrial fields. This study focuses on prediction and generation of optimum reconfigurable die surfaces to control shape errors originated by springback. For this purpose, a deformation transfer function(DTF) was combined with finite element analysis of the springback in the 2D sheet forming model of elastic-perfectly plastic materials under the condition without blank holder. The results showed shape errors within 1% of the objective shape, which were comparable with analytically predicted errors. In addition to this theoretical analysis, DTF method was also applied to 2D and 3D sheet forming experiments. The experimental results showed ${\pm}0.5$ mm and ${\pm}1.0$ mm shape error distribution respectively, demonstrating that reconfigurable die surfaces were predicted well by the DTF method. Irrespective of material properties and sheet thickness, the DTF method was applicable not only to FEM simulation but also to 2D and 3D elasto-reconfigurable die forming. Consequently, this study shows that springback can be controlled effectively in the elasto-RDF system by using the DTF method.

Accelerated Thermo-Mechanical Fatigue Life of Pb-Free Solder Joints for PZT Ceramic Resonator (PZT 세라믹 레조네이터 무연솔더 접합부의 열-기계적 피로 가속수명)

  • Hong, Won-Sik;Park, No-Chang;Oh, Chul-Min
    • Korean Journal of Materials Research
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.337-343
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we optimized Pb-free Sn/Ni plating thickness and conditions were optimized to counteract the environmental regulations, such as RoHS and ELV(End-of Life Vehicles). The $B_{10}$ life verification method was also suggested to have been successful when used with the accelerated life test(ALT) for assessing Pb-free solder joint life of piezoelectric (PZT) ceramic resonator. In order to evaluate the solder joint life, a modified Norris-Landzberg equation and a Coffin-Manson equation were utilized. Test vehicles that were composed of 2520 PZT ceramic resonator on FR-4 PCB with Sn-3.0Ag-0.5Cu for ALT were manufactured as well. Thermal shock test was conducted with 1,500 cycles from $(-40{\pm}2)^{\circ}C$ to $(120{\pm}2)^{\circ}C$, and 30 minutes dwell time at each temperature, respectively. It was discovered that the thermal shock test is a very useful method in introducing the CTE mismatch caused by thermo-mechanical stress at the solder joints. The resonance frequency of test components was measured and observed the microsection views were also observed to confirm the crack generation of the solder joints.

Thermally-induced Mechanical Behavior of the Press-fitted Cylindrical Structure (죄임새 결합된 원통구조물의 열전도에 의한 기계적 특성변화)

  • 김선민;이선규
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.15 no.7
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    • pp.139-148
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    • 1998
  • Internal and external heat sources will cause to deform to machine elements in the contact joint of structure, which results in the change of contact pressure distribution different from initial assembly. Heat induced variations of contact pressure will change the static and dynamic properties such as contact stiffness, damping as well as contact heat conduction in the structure In order to design and control the intelligent machine tool operating in variant conditions more sophisticatedly, the good prediction for the changes of prescribed properties are strongly required especially in the contact elements adjacent to the rotational or linear bearing. This paper presents some computational and experimental results in regard to static and dynamic characteristics of the press-fitted bush and shaft assembly which is a model of the bearing innerrace and shaft assembly. In the condition of heat generation on the outer surface of the bush, the effects of changes in the negative clearance and the heat flux on pressure distribution and dynamic properties are investigated. Results of this study show that the edge effect of the bush and the initial clearance have effects on the transient dynamic characteristics significantly.

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Solar Energy Prediction using Environmental Data via Recurrent Neural Network (RNN을 이용한 태양광 에너지 생산 예측)

  • Liaq, Mudassar;Byun, Yungcheol;Lee, Sang-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2019.10a
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    • pp.1023-1025
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    • 2019
  • Coal and Natural gas are two biggest contributors to a generation of energy throughout the world. Most of these resources create environmental pollution while making energy affecting the natural habitat. Many approaches have been proposed as alternatives to these sources. One of the leading alternatives is Solar Energy which is usually harnessed using solar farms. In artificial intelligence, the most researched area in recent times is machine learning. With machine learning, many tasks which were previously thought to be only humanly doable are done by machine. Neural networks have two major subtypes i.e. Convolutional neural networks (CNN) which are used primarily for classification and Recurrent neural networks which are utilized for time-series predictions. In this paper, we predict energy generated by solar fields and optimal angles for solar panels in these farms for the upcoming seven days using environmental and historical data. We experiment with multiple configurations of RNN using Vanilla and LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) RNN. We are able to achieve RSME of 0.20739 using LSTMs.

Developments and applications of a modified wall function for boundary layer flow simulations

  • Zhang, Jian;Yang, Qingshan;Li, Q.S.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.361-377
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    • 2013
  • Wall functions have been widely used in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations and can save significant computational costs compared to other near-wall flow treatment strategies. However, most of the existing wall functions were based on the asymptotic characteristics of near-wall flow quantities, which are inapplicable in complex and non-equilibrium flows. A modified wall function is thus derived in this study based on flow over a plate at zero-pressure gradient, instead of on the basis of asymptotic formulations. Turbulent kinetic energy generation ($G_P$), dissipation rate (${\varepsilon}$) and shear stress (${\tau}_{\omega}$) are composed together as the near-wall expressions. Performances of the modified wall function combined with the nonlinear realizable k-${\varepsilon}$ turbulence model are investigated in homogeneous equilibrium atmosphere boundary layer (ABL) and flow around a 6 m cube. The computational results and associated comparisons to available full-scale measurements show a clear improvement over the standard wall function, especially in reproducing the boundary layer flow. It is demonstrated through the two case studies that the modified wall function is indeed adaptive and can yield accurate prediction results, in spite of its simplicity.

A Prediction of the Indoor Contaminant diffusion using Network Simulation (시뮬레이션을 통한 실내 오염물질 확산의 예측 방법)

  • Kang, Ki-Nam;Song, Doo-Sam
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.311-318
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    • 2006
  • CFD simulation is a tool very useful to predict the generation and absorption of the contaminant from the construction materials for the single room condition. However, there is a limit in multi-room simulation for analyzing air movement and contaminant concentration at the condition that the door of each room was closed. A lot of network simulation tool were developed which can used to analyze the mass transfer and contaminant concentration as results in the multi-room condition. However, existing network simulation method was not able to analyze the change of the heating and cooling load with the ventilation as though the change of the indoor air-pollution density was predictable. In this study, new approach to predict heating/cooling load and indoor contaminant concentration will be reviewed. New indoor contaminant concentration module reviewed in this study wad coupled with existing ESP-r network simulation method. The validity of new approach will be analysed for comparison the results of simulation and field measurement results.

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Will You Buy It Now?: Predicting Passengers that Purchase Premium Promotions Using the PAX Model

  • Al Emadi, Noora;Thirumuruganathan, Saravanan;Robillos, Dianne Ramirez;Jansen, Bernard Jim
    • Journal of Smart Tourism
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 2021
  • Upselling is often a critical factor in revenue generation for businesses in the tourism and travel industry. Utilizing passenger data from a major international airline company, we develop the PAX (Passenger, Airline, eXternal) model to predict passengers that are most likely to accept an upgrade offer from economy to premium. Formulating the problem as an extremely unbalanced, cost-sensitive, supervised binary classification, we predict if a customer will take an upgrade offer. We use a feature vector created from the historical data of 3 million passenger records from 2017 to 2019, in which passengers received approximately 635,000 upgrade offers worth more than $422,000,000 U.S. dollars. The model has an F1-score of 0.75, outperforming the airline's current rule-based approach. Findings have several practical applications, including identifying promising customers for upselling and minimizing the number of indiscriminate emails sent to customers. Accurately identifying the few customers who will react positively to upgrade offers is of paramount importance given the airline 'industry's razor-thin margins. Research results have significant real-world impacts because there is the potential to improve targeted upselling to customers in the airline and related industries.

Projection of Future Changes in Drought Characteristics in Korea Peninsula Using Effective Drought Index (유효가뭄지수(EDI)를 이용한 한반도 미래 가뭄 특성 전망)

  • Gwak, Yongseok;Cho, Jaepil;Jung, Imgook;Kim, Dowoo;Jang, Sangmin
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.31-45
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    • 2018
  • This study implemented the prediction of drought properties (number of drought events, intensity, duration) using the user-oriented systematical procedures of downscaling climate change scenarios based the multiple global climate models (GCMs), AIMS (APCC Integrated Modeling Solution) program. The drought properties were defined and estimated with Effective Drought Index (EDI). The optimal 10 models among 29 GCMs were selected, by the estimation of the spatial and temporal reproducibility about the five climate change indices related with precipitation. In addition, Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM) as the downscaling technique is much better in describing the observed precipitation events than Spatial Disaggregation Quantile Delta Mapping (SDQDM). Even though the procedure was systematically applied, there are still limitations in describing the observed spatial precipitation properties well due to the offset of spatial variability in multi-model ensemble (MME) analysis. As a result, the farther into the future, the duration and the number of drought generation will be decreased, while the intensity of drought will be increased. Regionally, the drought at the central regions of the Korean Peninsula is expected to be mitigated, while that at the southern regions are expected to be severe.

Inner Temperature Distribution by Two Appearances of Series-Cell Configured Battery Pack using Cylindrical Cells (원통형셀 기반 직렬배터리팩의 외형(정사/직사면체) 차이에 의한 내부 열분포 기초해석)

  • Han, Dong-Ho;Lee, Pyeng-Yeon;Park, Jin-Hyeng;Kim, Jonghoon;Yoo, Kisoo;Cho, In-Ho
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.408-414
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    • 2018
  • Given that lithium-ion batteries are expected to be used as power sources for electric and hybrid vehicles, thermodynamics experimentation and prediction based on experimental data were performed. Thermal, electrochemical, and electrochemical/electrical-thermal models were used for accurate battery modeling. Various applications of different battery packs were demonstrated, and thermal analysis was performed using the same experimental conditions for square and rectangular battery packs. Accurate thermal analysis for a single cell should be prioritized to determine the thermal behavior of the battery pack. The energy balance equation, which contains heat generation and heat transfer factors, defines the thermal behavior of the battery pack. By comparing battery packs of different shapes tested under the same condition, this study revealed that the rectangular battery pack is superior to the square battery pack in terms of the maximum temperature of inner cells and temperature variation between cells.