• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1997년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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• pp.903-906
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• 1997

When large capacity generation stations that consist of several large units tend to pull out of step from main power system, stabilizing control scheme as emergency control for preventing loss of synchronism of the whole stations with the remaining system is devided into two steps that the first step is to perform on-line prediction for out-of-step and the next step is on-line calculation of the amount of generation shedding for the rest of generators to be in step when out of step is expected. This paper presents on-line prediction scheme for out-of-step based on P-$\delta$ curve estimation using real-time measurement and on-line calculation of generation shedding. The proposed stabilizing scheme was applied to case study of real power system and the results obtained by the method compare well with the results by simulation.

• 전력전자학회논문지
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• 제21권6호
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• pp.481-485
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• 2016

When analyzing economic feasibility for installing a PV generation plant at a certain location, the prediction of possible annual power production at the site using the target PV panels should be conducted on the basis of the local weather data provided by a local weather forecasting office. In addition, the prediction of PV generating power under certain weather conditions is useful for fault diagnosis and performance evaluation of PV generation plants during actual operation. This study analyzes PV cell characteristics according to a variety of weather conditions, including ambient temperature and irradiance level. From the analysis and simulation results, this work establishes a proper model that can predict the output characteristics of PV cells under changes in weather conditions.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
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• 제54권4호
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• pp.611-622
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• 2018

Observed climate data are processed under the assumption that their time series are stationary, as in multi-step temperature and precipitation prediction, which usually leads to low prediction accuracy. If a climate system model is based on a single prediction model, the prediction results contain significant uncertainty. In order to overcome this drawback, this study uses a method that integrates ensemble prediction and a stepwise regression model based on a mean-valued generation function. In addition, it utilizes empirical mode decomposition (EMD), which is a new method of handling time series. First, a non-stationary time series is decomposed into a series of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs), which are stationary and multi-scale. Then, a different prediction model is constructed for each component of the IMF using numerical ensemble prediction combined with stepwise regression analysis. Finally, the results are fit to a linear regression model, and a short-term climate prediction system is established using the Visual Studio development platform. The model is validated using temperature data from February 1957 to 2005 from 88 weather stations in Guangxi, China. The results show that compared to single-model prediction methods, the EMD and ensemble prediction model is more effective for forecasting climate change and abrupt climate shifts when using historical data for multi-step prediction.

• KIEAE Journal
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• 제14권6호
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• pp.87-92
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• 2014

The objectives of this study are to investigate input variables of photovoltaic generation programs and to compare their prediction to actual generation of photovoltaic system in the C city hall and the C city sewage treatment plant. We investigated the actual amount of generation, the forecast amount of generation, the amount of solar radiation data, and calculated the relative errors. We simulated the photovoltaic system of C city hall and the C city sewage treatment plant located in Chungju using existing programs, such as SAM, RETSCREEN, HOMER, PV SYST, Solar Pro. The result of this study are as follows : Through examining the relative errors of monthly predicted and actual generation data, monthly generation data showed big errors in winter season?. Except winter season, actual amount of generation and the predicted amount of generation showed no large errors.

• 한국항행학회논문지
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• 제21권6호
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• pp.643-650
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• 2017

무한한 에너지원을 가진 태양광 발전은 기상 에 의존하기 때문에 발전량이 매우 간헐적이다. 따라서 태양광 발전량의 불확실성을 줄이고 경제성을 향상시키기 위하여 정확한 발전량 예측기술이 필요하다. 기상청은 3일간 기상정보를 예보하지만 태양광 발전 예측에 높은 상관관계가 있는 일조량과 일사량은 예보하지 않는다. 본 연구에서는 기상청에서 3일간 예보하는 기상요소인 기온, 강수량, 풍향, 풍속, 습도, 운량 등을 이용하여, 일조 및 일사량을 예측하였으며, 예측된 일사 및 일조량을 이용하여, 실시간 태양광 발전량을 예측하는 딥러닝 모델을 제안하였다. 결과로서 예측된 기상요소로 발전량을 예측하는 모델보다 제안 모델이 MAE, RMSE, MAPE 등의 오차율 지표에서 더 좋은 결과를 보여주었다. 또한, 기계 학습의 한 종류인 서포트 벡터 머신을 사용하는 것보다 DNN을 사용하는 것이 더 낮은 오차율 지표를 보여주었다.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제47권4호
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• pp.65-74
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• 2005

AnnAGNPS model was applied to a catchment mainly occupied with bushland for modeling non-point source pollution. Since the single event model cannot handle events longer than 24 hours duration, the event-based calibration was carried out using the continuous mode. As event flows affect sediment and nutrient generation and transport, the calibration of the model was performed in three steps: Hydrologic, Sediment and Nutrient calibrations. The results from hydrologic calibration for the catchment indicate a good prediction of the model with average ARE(Absolute Relative Error) of $24.6\%$ fur the runoff volume and $12\%$ for the peak flow. For the sediment calibration, the average ARE was $198.8\%$ indicating acceptable model performance for the sediment prediction. The predicted TN(Total Nitrogen) and TP(Total Phosphorus) were also found to be acceptable as the average ARE for TN and TP were $175.5\%\;and\;126.5\%$, respectively. The AnnAGNPS model was therefore approved to be appropriate to model non-point source pollution in bushland catchments. In general, the model was likely to result in underestimation for the larger events and overestimation fur the smaller events for the water quality predictions. It was also observed that the large errors in the hydrologic prediction also produced high errors in sediment and nutrient prediction. This was probably due to error propagation in which the error in the hydrologic prediction influenced the generation of error in the water quality prediction. Accurate hydrologic calibration should be hence obtained for a reliable water quality prediction.

• 전자통신동향분석
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• 제34권3호
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• pp.34-42
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• 2019

This study introduces artificial intelligence (AI) techniques for video generation. For an effective illustration, techniques for video generation are classified as either semi-automatic or automatic. First, we discuss some recent achievements in semi-automatic video generation, and explain which types of AI techniques can be applied to produce films and improve film quality. Additionally, we provide an example of video content that has been generated by using AI techniques. Then, two automatic video-generation techniques are introduced with technical details. As there is currently no feasible automatic video-generation technique that can generate commercial videos, in this study, we explain their technical details, and suggest the future direction for researchers. Finally, we discuss several considerations for more practical automatic video-generation techniques.

• KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.115-123
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• 2021

Through machine learning-based load prediction, it is possible to prevent excessive power generation or unnecessary economic investment by estimating the appropriate amount of facility investment in consideration of the load that will increase in the future or providing basic data for policy establishment to distribute the maximum load. However, in order to secure the reliability of the developed load prediction model in the field, the performance comparison verification between the distribution line load prediction models must be preceded, but a comparative performance verification system between the distribution line load prediction models has not yet been established. As a result, it is not possible to accurately determine the performance excellence of the load prediction model because it is not possible to easily determine the likelihood between the load prediction models. In this paper, we developed a reliability verification system for load prediction models including a method of comparing and verifying the performance reliability between machine learning-based load prediction models that were not previously considered, verification process, and verification result visualization methods. Through the developed load prediction model reliability verification system, the objectivity of the load prediction model performance verification can be improved, and the field application utilization of an excellent load prediction model can be increased.

• 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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• 제39권2호
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• pp.11-22
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• 2019

The first case of the Central Environmental Dispute Mediation Committee, which recently decided to repay the builder for damaging the solar power plant due to the obstruction of the sunshine of new buildings, came out. Even if the Respondent complies with the provisions of the Building Act, the decision of the Complainant can be considered to have been made in light of the fact that the applicant's power plant has suffered from sunlight damage. However, since the extent of the damage may differ depending on the weather, the decision is reserved, and there is room for additional disputes on a regular basis because the loss of power generation to be continuously generated is not reflected in the future. Therefore, in this study, we try to find the direction of dispute adjustment by summarizing the issues related to the generation of power generation due to the influence of shading through the analysis of the case of dispute related to sunlight related to the PV system.

• 한국전자통신학회논문지
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.39-44
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• 2023

태양광, 풍력 등의 신재생 에너지는 기상조건 및 환경변화에 민감한 자원이다. 설치위치 및 구조에 따른 설비의 발전량이 달라질 수 있기 때문에 정확한 발전량 예측은 중요하다. 기상 빅데이터를 활용하여 주성분 분석을 기반으로 데이터 전처리 과정을 진행하여 신재생 에너지 발전량 예측 시 영향을 미치는 피처간의 관계를 모니터링하였다. 또한, 본 연구에서는 영향을 미치는 민감도에 따라 데이터셋을 재구성하여 머신러닝 모델에 적용하여 예측도를 테스트하였다. 제안한 모형을 사용하여 신재생 에너지를 대상으로 기상환경에 따라 에너지 발전량을 예측하고 해당 시점의 실제 생산 값과 비교함으로써 랜덤 포레스트 회귀 분석을 적용한 에너지 발전량 예측에 대한 성능을 확인하였다.