• Title/Summary/Keyword: Generation Prediction

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A New Dynamic Prediction Algorithm for Highway Traffic Rate (고속도로 통행량 예측을 위한 새로운 동적 알고리즘)

  • Lee, Gwangyeon;Park, Kisoeb
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, a dynamic prediction algorithm using the cumulative distribution function for traffic volume is presented as a new method for predicting highway traffic rate more accurately, where an approximation function of the cumulative distribution function is obtained through numerical methods such as natural cubic spline interpolation and Levenberg-Marquardt method. This algorithm is a new structure of random number generation algorithm using the cumulative distribution function used in financial mathematics to be suitable for predicting traffic flow. It can be confirmed that if the highway traffic rate is simulated with this algorithm, the result is very similar to the actual traffic volume. Therefore, this algorithm is a new one that can be used in a variety of areas that require traffic forecasting as well as highways.

Efficient Grid-Independent ESS Control System by Prediction of Energy Production Consumption (에너지 생산량 소비량 예측을 통한 효율적인 계통 독립형 ESS 제어 시스템)

  • Joo, Jong-Yul;Oh, Jae-Chul
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.155-160
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose an efficient grid-independent ESS control system through the control of renewable energy and agricultural ICT by utilizing the prediction of energy production and consumption. The proposed system is an integrated management system that can perform maintenance and monitoring by visualizing the accurate phase and data of power system. It can automatically cope, collect, process, and control the data. Also, it can analyze the power generation of solar power generation, consumption pattern of installed facilities, and operation trend of facilities. Further, it can predict the consumption of energy production and present the optimal energy management method by using the OpenAPI of the Korea Meteorological Administration, thereby reducing unnecessary energy consumption and operating cost.

A Deep Learning based Inter-Layer Reference Picture Generation Method for Improving SHVC Coding Performance (SHVC 부호화 성능 개선을 위한 딥러닝 기반 계층간 참조 픽처 생성 방법)

  • Lee, Wooju;Lee, Jongseok;Sim, Dong-Gyu;Oh, Seoung-Jun
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.401-410
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a reference picture generation method for Inter-layer prediction based deep learning to improve the SHVC coding performance. A description will be given of a structure for performing filtering using a VDSR network on a DCT-IF based upsampled picture to generate a new reference picture and a training method for generating a reference picture between SHVC Inter-layer. The proposed method is implemented based on SHM 12.0. In order to evaluate the performance, we compare the method of generating Inter-layer predictor by applying dictionary learning. As a result, the coding performance of the enhancement layer showed a bitrate reduction of up to 13.14% compared to the method using dictionary learning, a bitrate reduction of up to 15.39% compared to SHM, and a bitrate reduction of 6.46% on average.

Reliability Prediction of Long-term Creep Strength of Gr. 91 Steel for Next Generation Reactor Structure Materials (미래형 원자로 구조 재료용 Gr. 91 강의 장시간 크리프 강도의 신뢰성 예측)

  • Kim, Woo-Gon;Park, Jae-Young;Yin, Song-Nan;Kim, Dae-Whan;Park, Ji-Yeon;Kim, Seon-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Metals and Materials
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.275-280
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    • 2011
  • This paper focuses on reliability prediction of long-term creep strength for Modified 9Cr-1Mo steel (Gr. 91) which is considered as one of the structural materials of next generation reactor systems. A "Z-parameter" method was introduced to describe the magnitude of standard deviation of creep rupture data to the master curve which can be plotted by log stress vs. The larson-Miller parameter (LMP). Statistical analysis showed that the scattering of the Z-parameter for the Gr. 91 steel well followed normal distribution. Using this normal distribution of the Z-parameter, the various reliability curves for creep strength design, such as stress-time temperature parameter reliability curves (${\sigma}$-TTP-R curves), stress-rupture time-reliability curves (${\sigma}-t_{r}-R$ curves), and allowable stress-temperature- reliability curves ([${\sigma}$]-T-R curves) were reasonably drawn, and their results are discussed.

A novel method for generation and prediction of crack propagation in gravity dams

  • Zhang, Kefan;Lu, Fangyun;Peng, Yong;Li, Xiangyu
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.81 no.6
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    • pp.665-675
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    • 2022
  • The safety problems of giant hydraulic structures such as dams caused by terrorist attacks, earthquakes, and wars often have an important impact on a country's economy and people's livelihood. For the national defense department, timely and effective assessment of damage to or impending damage to dams and other structures is an important issue related to the safety of people's lives and property. In the field of damage assessment and vulnerability analysis, it is usually necessary to give the damage assessment results within a few minutes to determine the physical damage (crack length, crater size, etc.) and functional damage (decreased power generation capacity, dam stability descent, etc.), so that other defense and security departments can take corresponding measures to control potential other hazards. Although traditional numerical calculation methods can accurately calculate the crack length and crater size under certain combat conditions, it usually takes a long time and is not suitable for rapid damage assessment. In order to solve similar problems, this article combines simulation calculation methods with machine learning technology interdisciplinary. First, the common concrete gravity dam shape was selected as the simulation calculation object, and XFEM (Extended Finite Element Method) was used to simulate and calculate 19 cracks with different initial positions. Then, an LSTM (Long-Short Term Memory) machine learning model was established. 15 crack paths were selected as the training set and others were set for test. At last, the LSTM model was trained by the training set, and the prediction results on the crack path were compared with the test set. The results show that this method can be used to predict the crack propagation path rapidly and accurately. In general, this article explores the application of machine learning related technologies in the field of mechanics. It has broad application prospects in the fields of damage assessment and vulnerability analysis.

IoT based Garbage Collection Management System Through Volume Prediction (부피 예측을 통한 IoT기반 쓰레기 수거 관리 시스템)

  • Moon, Mikyeong
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Next Generation Computing
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 2017
  • The Internet of Things (IoT) technology allows devices connected to the Internet to exchange information without human intervention, and to provide useful services to people. Currently, garbage trucks are regularly dispatched to collect garbage. In such a case, garbage may be less than half of the garbage collection capacity in some area, and garbage may be exceeded in another area so that garbage trucks can not collect all at once. In this paper, we have studied the method of estimating the amount of garbage to be collected and describe the development contents of the product and management system. The prediction of garbage volume was made possible by using IoT technology to measure the volume of garbage in real time. In addition, the measurement values are visibly displayed through the dashboard, so that the amount of garbage generated can be predicted and managed. This will allow IoT technology to help keep street hygiene.

An Efficient Weight Signaling Method for BCW in VVC (VVC의 화면간 가중 양예측(BCW)을 위한 효율적인 가중치 시그널링 기법)

  • Park, Dohyeon;Yoon, Yong-Uk;Lee, Jinho;Kang, Jungwon;Kim, Jae-Gon
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.346-352
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    • 2020
  • Versatile Video Coding (VVC), a next-generation video coding standard that is in the final stage of standardization, has adopted various techniques to achieve more than twice the compression performance of HEVC (High-Efficiency Video Coding). VVC adopted Bi-prediction with CU-level Weight (BCW), which generates the final prediction signal with the weighted combination of bi-predictions with various weights, to enhance the performance of the bi-predictive inter prediction. The syntax element of the BCW index is adaptively coded according to the value of NoBackwardPredFlag which indicates if there is no future picture in the display order among the reference pictures. Such syntax structure for signaling the BCW index could violate the flexibility of video codec and cause the dependency issue at the stage of bitstream parsing. To address these issues, this paper proposes an efficient BCW weight signaling method which enables all weights and parsing without any condition check. The performance of the proposed method was evaluated with various weight searching methods in the encoder. The experimental results show that the proposed method gives negligible BD-rate losses and minor gains for 3 weights searching and 5 weights searching, respectively, while resolving the issues.

Soil Erosion Assessment Tool - Water Erosion Prediction Project (WEPP) (토양 침식 예측 모델 - Water Erosion Prediction Project (WEPP))

  • Kim, Min-Kyeong;Park, Seong-Jin;Choi, Chul-Man;Ko, Byong-Gu;Lee, Jong-Sik;Flanagan, D.C.
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.235-238
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    • 2008
  • The Water Erosion Prediction Project (WEPP) was initiated in August 1985 to develop new generation water erosion prediction technology for federal agencies involved in soil and water conservation and environmental planning and assessment. Developed by USDA-ARS as a replacement for empirical erosion prediction technologies, the WEPP model simulates many of the physical processes important in soil erosion, including infiltration, runoff, raindrop detachment, flow detachment, sediment transport, deposition, plant growth and residue decomposition. The WEPP included an extensive field experimental program conducted on cropland, rangeland, and disturbed forest sites to obtain data required to parameterize and test the model. A large team effort at numerous research locations, ARS laboratories, and cooperating land-grant universities was needed to develop this state-of-the-art simulation model. The WEPP model is used for hillslope applications or on small watersheds. Because it is physically based, the model has been successfully used in the evaluation of important natural resources issues throughout the United State and in several other countries. Recent model enhancements include a graphical Windows interface and integration of WEPP with GIS software. A combined wind and water erosion prediction system with easily accessible databases and a common interface is planned for the future.

Experimental Study on Prediction and Diagnosis of Leakage and Water Absorption in Water-Cooled Generator Stator Windings by Drying Process Analysis (수냉각 발전기 고정자 권선의 건조 과정 분석을 통한 누설 및 흡습 예측 진단에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Soo;Bae, Yong-Chae;Lee, Wook-Ryun;Lee, Doo-Young
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.34 no.9
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    • pp.867-873
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    • 2010
  • The failure of water-cooled generator stator windings as a result of insulation breakdown due to coolant water leaks and water absorption often occurs worldwide. Such failure can cause severe grid-related accidents as well as huge economic losses. More than 50% of domestic generators have been operated for over 15 years, and therefore, they exhibit signs of aging. Leaking and water-absorbing windings are often found during an overhaul. In an existing method for evaluating the integrity of generator stator windings, the drying process of the interior of the windings is ignored and only final leak tests are performed. In this study, it is shown that water leaks and water absorption in stator windings can be detected indirectly through vacuum pattern analysis in the vacuum drying mode, which is the used in the preparation stage of the leak test.

Development of a Fission Product Transport Module Predicting the Behavior of Radiological Materials during Severe Accidents in a Nuclear Power Plant

  • Kang, Hyung Seok;Rhee, Bo Wook;Kim, Dong Ha
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.237-244
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    • 2016
  • Background: Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute is developing a fission product transport module for predicting the behavior of radioactive materials in the primary cooling system of a nuclear power plant as a separate module, which will be connected to a severe accident analysis code, Core Meltdown Progression Accident Simulation Software (COMPASS). Materials and Methods: This fission product transport (COMPASS-FP) module consists of a fission product release model, an aerosol generation model, and an aerosol transport model. In the fission product release model there are three submodels based on empirical correlations, and they are used to simulate the fission product gases release from the reactor core. In the aerosol generation model, the mass conservation law and Raoult's law are applied to the mixture of vapors and droplets of the fission products in a specified control volume to find the generation of the aerosol droplet. In the aerosol transport model, empirical correlations available from the open literature are used to simulate the aerosol removal processes owing to the gravitational settling, inertia impaction, diffusiophoresis, and thermophoresis. Results and Discussion: The COMPASS-FP module was validated against Aerosol Behavior Code Validation and Evaluation (ABCOVE-5) test performed by Hanford Engineering Development Laboratory for comparing the prediction and test data. The comparison results assuming a non-spherical aerosol shape for the suspended aerosol mass concentration showed a good agreement with an error range of about ${\pm}6%$. Conclusion: It was found that the COMPASS-FP module produced the reasonable results of the fission product gases release, the aerosol generation, and the gravitational settling in the aerosol removal processes for ABCOVE-5. However, more validation for other aerosol removal models needs to be performed.