• 제목/요약/키워드: Generation Mix

검색결과 134건 처리시간 0.022초

탐색곡선법과 WASP-IV 모형을 이용한 국내 적정 전원구성 분석 (Generation Mix Analysis based on the Screening Curve and WASP-IV Techniques)

  • 장세환;박종배;노재형
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제61권4호
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    • pp.534-541
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    • 2012
  • This paper tries to elicit an optimal generation mix of Korea. Two approaches, using the screening curve method and taking advantage of a generation expansion planning tool, WASP-IV, are applied in getting the mix. The data used in this study is based on the 5th basic plan for long-term electricity supply and demand. The Load Duration Curve, that is needed for applying Screening Curve Method(SCM), is made based on the load profile in 2010. In our using SCM, the nuclear plant's operation characteristic, carbon emission cost and spinning reserve are considered. In using WASP-IV to get the adequate generation mix, the base and target demand forecasts in the 5th basic plan are used and the carbon emission cost is also considered. In this paper, It introduces the domestic adequacy generation mix in 2024 though SCM and WASP-IV.

최적전원차성을 위한 절감 시뮬레이션 방법의 개발 (The Development of the Simplified Simulation Technique for the Best Generation Mix)

  • 송길영;최재석
    • 대한전기학회논문지
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.339-349
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    • 1988
  • The simplified simulation technique for the best generation mix is developed and the studied results are described. The best generation mix over study time from the economic point of view can be easily constructed by this technique. Generator maintenance, the operation of pumpgenerator and LNG thermal generator with limited energy are simulated variously, so a role of each generator is also easily evaluated. Through parametric analysis, useful planning guide points are obtained for the best generation mix transition, nuclear power plant construction cost, ruanium cost , oil cost, coal cost and midnight factor in the study case corresponding to real power system size model.

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$CO_2$ 배출량제약을 고려한 최적전원구성 (The Best Generation Mix considering CO2 Air Pollution Constraint)

  • 이상식;트란트룽틴;권중지;최재석
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.149-151
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    • 2005
  • A new approach considering CO2 air pollution constraints in the long-term generation mix is proposed under uncertain circumstances. A characteristic feature of the presented approach in this paper is what effects give the air pollution constraints in long term best generation mix. Best generation mix problem is formulated by linear programming with fuel and construction cost minimization with load growth, reliability (reserve margin rate) and air pollutionconstraints. The proposed method accommodates the operation of pumped-storage generator. It was assumed in this study that the construction planning of the hydro power plants is given separately from the other generation plans. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated by applying to the best generation mix problem of KEPCO-system, which contains nuclear, coal, LNG, oil and pumped-storage hydro plant multi-years.

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최적전원 구성을 위한 간략시뮬레이션 기법의 개발 (The Development of the Simplified Simulation Technique for the Best Generation Mix)

  • 송길영;최재석
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1988년도 전기.전자공학 학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.848-851
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    • 1988
  • The simplified simulation technique for the best generation mix is developed and the studied results are described. The best generation mix over study time from the economic point of view can easily constructed by this technique.

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델파이 활용 신재생 에너지 수요예측과 장기전원 구성의 경제성 평가 (Forecasting Renewable Energy Using Delphi Survey and the Economic Evaluation of Long-Term Generation Mix)

  • 구훈영;민대기
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.183-191
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    • 2013
  • We address the power generation mix problem that considers not only nuclear and fossil fuels such as oil, coal and LNG but also renewable energy technologies. Unlike nuclear or other generation technologies, the expansion plan of renewable energy is highly uncertain because of its dependency on the government policy and uncertainty associated with technology improvements. To address this issue, we conduct a delphi survey and forecast the capacity of renewable energy. We further propose a stochastic mixed integer programming model that determines an optimal capacity expansion and the amount of power generation using each generation technology. Using the proposed model, we test eight generation mix scenarios and particularly evaluate how much the expansion of renewable energy contributes to the total costs for power generation in Korea. The evaluation results show that the use of renewable energy incurs additional costs.

전력산업 구조개편 이후 전원구성비율 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Forecating of Electric Power Generation Mix in the Competitive Electricity Market)

  • 홍정석;곽상만;권병훈;나기룡;최기련
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 2003년도 하계학술대회발표논문집
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    • pp.49-81
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    • 2003
  • It is one of the important problems how to maintain the optimal electric power generation mix. The Objective of this study is development of a computer model which can be used to forecast the investment of power generation unit by the plant owners after restructuring the electricity industry. The impacts of the various government policies can be analyzed using the computer model, thus the government can formulate effective policies for achieving the desired electric power generation mix.

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전원구성비율 예측을 위한 System Dynamics모형 개발 (Development of a System Dynamics Model for the Electric Power Generation Mix Forecasting in the Competitive Electricity Market)

  • 홍정석;곽상만;나기룡;박문희;최기련
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.33-53
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    • 2003
  • How to maintain the optimal electric power generation mix is one of the important problems in electric power industry. The objective of this study is to develop a computer model which can be used to forecast the investment in power generation unit by the plant owners after restructuring of electric power industry. Restructuring of electric power industry will make difference in decision making process of investment in power generation unit. After Privatiazation of Power Industry, Gencos will think that profit is the most important factor among all others attracting the investment in the industry. Coal power generation is better than LNG CCGT in terms of profit. However, many studies show that LNG CCGT will be main electric power generation source because the rest of factors other than profit in LNG CCGT are superior than Coal power generation. Because the nst of factors other than profit in LNG CCGT are superior than Coal power generation. The impacts of the various government policies can be analyzed using the computer model, thus the government can formulate effective policies for achieving the desired electric power generation mix.

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온실가스 감축정책에 따른 발전사업자의 대응 방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on the GENCO Adaptive Strategy for the Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Policy)

  • 최동찬;한석만;김발호
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제61권4호
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    • pp.522-533
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents an adaptive strategy of GENCOs for reducing the greenhouse gas by fuel mix change. Fuel mix stands for generation capacity portfolio composed of different fuel resources. Currently, the generation sector of power industry in Korea is heavily dependent on fossil fuels, therefore it is required to change the fuel mix gradually into more eco-friendly way based on renewable energies. The generation costs of renewable energies are still expensive compared to fossil fueled resources. This is why the adaptive change is more preferred at current stage and this paper proposes an optimal strategy for capacity planning based on multiple environmental scenarios on the time horizon. This study used the computer program tool named GATE-PRO (Generation And Transmission Expansion PROgram), which is a mixed-integer non-linear program developed by Hongik university and Korea Energy Economics Institute. The simulations have been carried out with the priority allocation method in the program to determine the optimal mix of NRE(New Renewable Energy). Through this process, the result proposes an economic fuel mix under emission constraints compatible with the greenhouse gas mitigation policy of the United Nations.

전력산업 구조개편 이후 전원구성비율 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Forecast of Electric Power Generation Mix in the Competitive Electricity Market)

  • 홍정석;곽상만;박문희;최기련
    • 산업공학
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.269-281
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    • 2004
  • How to maintain the optimal electric power generation mix is one of the important problems in electric power industry. The objective of this study is to develop a computer model which can be used to forecast the investment in power generation unit by the plant owners after restructuring of electric power industry. Restructuring of electric power industry will make difference in decision making process of investment in power generation unit. After Privatiazation of Power Industry, Gencos will think that profit is the most important factor among all others attracting the investment in the industry. Coal power generation is better than LNG CCGT in terms of profit. However, many studies show that LNG CCGT will be main electric power generation source because the rest of factors other than profit in LNG CCGT are superior than Coal power generation. The impacts of the various government policies can be analyzed using the computer model, thus the government can formulate effective policies for achieving the desired electric power generation mix.

적정 전원 구성에 관한 연구 - 비전 2030 (A Study on Best Generation Mix - Vision 2030)

  • 정상헌;박정제;사박;오량;최재석;김진우;이유수
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.176-179
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    • 2007
  • This paper proposes a fuzzy linear programming based solution approach fur the long-term generation mix with multi-stages (years) considering air pollution constraints on $CO_2$ emissions, under uncertain circumstances as like as ambiguities of budget and reliability criterion level. This paper approaches to generation mix problem for 2030 year in Korea eventually. The proposed approach may give more flexible solution rather than too robust plan. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated by applying it to solve the multi-years best generation mix problem on the Korea power system which contains nuclear, coal, LNG, oil and pumped-storage hydro plants.

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