• Title/Summary/Keyword: Generalized Method of Moments Model(GMM)

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Generalized methods of moments in marginal models for longitudinal data with time-dependent covariates

  • Cho, Gyo-Young;Dashnyam, Oyunchimeg
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.877-883
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    • 2013
  • The quadratic inference functions (QIF) method proposed by Qu et al. (2000) and the generalized method of moments (GMM) for marginal regression analysis of longitudinal data with time-dependent covariates proposed by Lai and Small (2007) both are the methods based on generalized method of moment (GMM) introduced by Hansen (1982) and both use generalized estimating equations (GEE). Lai and Small (2007) divided time-dependent covariates into three types such as: Type I, Type II and Type III. In this paper, we compared these methods in the case of Type II and Type III in which full covariates conditional mean assumption (FCCM) is violated and interested in whether they can improve the results of GEE with independence working correlation. We show that in the marginal regression model with Type II time-dependent covariates, GMM Type II of Lai and Small (2007) provides more ecient result than QIF and for the Type III time-dependent covariates, QIF with independence working correlation and GMM Type III methods provide the same results. Our simulation study showed the same results.

GMM Estimation for Seasonal Cointegration

  • Park, Suk-Kyung;Cho, Sin-Sup;Seon, Byeong-Chan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.227-237
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    • 2011
  • This paper considers a generalized method of moments(GMM) estimation for seasonal cointegration as the extension of Kleibergen (1999). We propose two iterative methods for the estimation according to whether parameters in the model are simultaneously estimated or not. It is shown that the GMM estimator coincides in form to a maximum likelihood estimator or a feasible two-step estimator. In addition, we derive its asymptotic distribution that takes the same form as that in Ahn and Reinsel (1994).

A Study on the Macroeconomic Effects of Trade Insurance Using Dynamic Panel Models (동태적 패널모형을 통한 무역보험의 거시경제효과 연구)

  • Nam, Sang Wook
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.61
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    • pp.165-190
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to measure the trade insurance's macroeconomic effects by analyzing the causality between major economic variables(GDP per capita, market interest rate, inflation, unemployment rate, exchange rate) and trade insurance variable. I conducted empirical analyses using First-difference GMM(Generalized Method of Moments), System GMM and Panel-VAR Model, with panel data from 11 countries(Korea, United States, Japan, BRICs, Indonesia, Singapore, Hong Kong, Vietnam) between 1992 and 2011. There are several important findings. Above all, Trade insurance is positively and significantly related to GDP. This results show that trade insurance serves to increase economic growth. In other words, trade insurance leads to economic growth by helping increase GDP per capita. Especially, trade insurance negatively related to unemployment rate, it is for sure that trade insurance contribute to decrease unemployment rate. And trade insurance helps control of inflation. It is also confirmed that trade insurance contributes to price stability, which in turn serves to stabilize the overall economy. And this research finds as uncertainty in the market increases, seen it as increase of exchange rate, increasing trade insurance supply is stabilize the exchange rate.

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Financial Accessibility and Economic Growth

  • Boldbaatar, Myagmarsuren;Lee, Choong Lyol
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.143-166
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    • 2015
  • This paper investigates the empirical evidence on the relationship between financial accessibility and economic growth to test the conventional hypothesis that improved financial accessibility leads to financial development and economic growth. First, we built a dynamic panel model on the relationship between financial accessibility and economic growth with a set of controlled variables. We then used several financial access indicators from 165 countries, collected from 2004 to 2011, applying the generalized method of moments (GMM) estimators to estimate their relationship. From these estimations, we found that high financial accessibility leads to high income in general. In addition, we found that an increase in financial access indicators had a greater impact on economic growth in low-income countries than it did on economic growth in high-income countries.

IT Investment and Financial Performance Volatility: The Moderating Role of Industry Environment and IT Strategy Emphasis

  • Wahyu Agus Winarno;Slamin
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.707-727
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    • 2022
  • Industrial revolution 4.0 makes business competition more challenging and will impact the instability of the company's financial performance. Dynamic environmental conditions make it difficult for companies to make predictions in making decisions. Investing in information technology (IT) is one way for companies to maintain financial stability and competitive advantage in dynamic competition. Resource-Based Theory (RBT) explains that information technology (IT) is a resource that can create a competitive advantage for the company. This study aims to examine the moderating role of dynamic industrial environments and IT strategic emphasis on the relationship between a lag effect of IT investment and firm's financial performance volatility. Using the data of companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for five years starting from 2013-2017, the method used to estimate the research model's parameters is the generalized method of moments (GMM) approach. The results show that the industrial environment and the emphasis on IT strategy have a role in moderating and strengthening the relationship between the time lag in IT investment in reducing the firm's financial performance volatility.

Identification of the Movement of Underlying Asset in Real Option Analysis: Studies on Industrial Parametric Table (실물옵션 적용을 위한 산업별 기초자산 확률과정추정)

  • Lee, Jeong-Dong;Gang, A-Ri;Jeong, Jong-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 2004.02a
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    • pp.222-245
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    • 2004
  • This paper has an intention of proposing useful parametric tables of each industry group within Korea. These parametric tables can be insightful criteria for those who are dealing with the exact valuation of company, technology or industry through Real Option Analysis (ROA) since the identification of the movement of underlying asset is the very first step to be done. To give the exact estimations of parameters and the most preferred model in each industry group, we cover topics on ROA, stochastic process, and parametric estimation method like Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) and Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). Additionally, specific industry groups, such as, Internet service group and mobile telecommunication service group defined independently in this paper are also examined in terms of its property of movement with the suggesting of the most fitting stochastic model.

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Factors Impacting on Income Inequality in Vietnam: GMM Model Estimation

  • NGUYEN, Hiep Quang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.635-641
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    • 2021
  • This article analyzes the factors affecting income inequality in Vietnam, with data from 63 provinces and cities collected from the Vietnam Household Living Standards Survey of the General Statistics Office of Vietnam from 2010 to 2018. The article will firstly build a research model to identify factors affecting income inequality. Then, it uses the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) method to evaluate the effect of factors on income inequality in Vietnam. The empirical estimate result shows that, in the period from 2010 to 2018, the factors such as the proportion of the working employees, income per capita, and inflation have positive effects on the Gini coefficient. That is, when these factors increase, there will be negative effects on improving income inequality in Vietnam. Conversely, when the factors such as the proportion of the literate adults, the proportion of the urban population, and population density increase they will have a positive impact on improving income inequality in Vietnam during this period. The estimated coefficients satisfied the sign expectation except the proportion of the literate adults. It means that, in Vietnam, the increase and more equilibrium in educational attainment balance the distribution of income and bring an improvement in income inequality.

Diversification, Industry Concentration, and Bank Margins: Empirical Evidence from an Emerging South Asian Economy

  • SARWAR, Bilal;MUHAMMAD, Noor;ZAMAN, Nadeem Uz
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.349-360
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    • 2020
  • The study aims to empirically examine the determinants of bank margins from Pakistan, an emerging South Asian economy. To elucidate the importance of the Pakistani banking sector, secondary data has been used, which was extracted from the annual accounts of twenty-four Pakistani scheduled commercial banks (20 conventional, four full-fledged Islamic) over a sample period of 2006 to 2017. The factors identified in the dealership model and the subsequent empirical developments in the dealership model categorized as bank-specific, diversification, regulatory, and industry concentration are analyzed by applying the most-common linear dynamic panel-data estimator, the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator, developed by Arellano and Bond (1991). The findings reveal that, among the bank-specific variables, funding cost, credit risk, managerial efficiency, market share, and operating cost are significant predictors of bank margins. For diversification variables employed in the study, both variables including net non-interest income and asset diversity are as well significant predictors of bank margins. It is also found that the market concentration variable proxied by the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) is significantly predicting bank margins. Subsequently, one of the regulatory variables, the opportunity cost of holding reserves, and one bank-specific variable, the degree of risk aversion, are insignificant in the model.

The Lead-Lag Relationship between KOSPI 200 Spot and Futures Markets : Error Coreection Model (현 선물간 선.후행성에 관한 연구: 오차수정모형)

  • Byun, Jong-Cook
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.227-251
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    • 2000
  • 한국시장에서 KOSPI 200 현물과 KOSPI 200 주가지수 선물간의 선 후행성을 실증적으로 분석하기 위하여 1998년 8월부터 1999년 10월까지 KOSPI 200 지수와 유동성이 가장 높은 최근 월물 가격의 5분 간격 자료를 이용하였다. 현 선물 가격의 안정성(stationarity)을 검증한 이후 공적분(cointegration)을 통하여 유도된 오차수정모형(Error Correction Model) 인과관계 회귀식을 GMM(Generalized Method of Moments)으로 추정하여 현 선물간의 선 후행성을 분석하고, 그 원인을 빈번하지 않는 거래(infrequent trading) 문제, 공매의 제약 문제, 거래 활발성의 강도 차이 문제 등의 측면에서 분석하였다. 그 결과 한국시장에서 현 선물간에는 쌍방의 인과 관계가 존재하지만 현물이 선물을 선행하는 정도는 아주 미약하였다. 반면에 선물은 현물을 약 30분 정도 선행하였다. 본 연구의 검증기간과 이용된 자료 내에서 현물이 선물에 대하여 후행하는 주된 원인은 현물시장에 존재하는 공매의 제약과 선물에 비하여 상대적으로 저조한 거래 활발성 때문인 것으로 나타났다. 왜냐하면 현물시장에서 공매가 상대적으로 어려운 시장하락시기에 선물의 선행정도가 통계적으로 유의적이었고, 현물과 선물의 거래가 활발한 시기에는 상호간에 선 후행성이 없었지만 현물의 거래가 비 활발할 경우 선물의 선행이 유의적이었기 때문이다.

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The Influence of Corporate Governance on Dividend Decisions of Listed Firms: Evidence from Sri Lanka

  • NAZAR, Mohamed Cassim Abdul
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.289-295
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    • 2021
  • This study investigates the role of corporate governance in the dividend decision of 198 non-financial companies listed on the Colombo Stock Exchange of Sri Lanka, over the period from 2009 to 2016. Four corporate governance indicators are used in this study; managerial ownership, the board size, board independence, and CEO duality. Furthermore, this study considers three control variables such as profitability, firm size, and corporate tax. This study employed the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) model to estimate the regression models on panel data study. The major contribution of this study is exploring the insight into the effect of corporate governance factors on dividend decisions. The results of the study revealed that managerial ownership showed a significant positive impact on the dividend payout ratio. Board size showed a significant positive influence on the dividend payout ratio. Board independence negatively but significantly influenced the dividend payout ratio. CEO duality showed an insignificant negative impact on the dividend payout ratio. In the framework of these CG indicators, Sri Lankan listed firms are recommended to have dispersed ownerships, large Board size and maintain a balance of power and authority by separating the individual who is assuming the position of the CEO from the Chairperson of the Board and maintain at least two independent directors.