• Title/Summary/Keyword: General Circulation Model

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Logistic Regression Model on the copyright licence diversification through interindividual Digital Contents distribution (개인간 디지털콘텐츠 유통상의 라이선스 다양화에 대한 로지스틱 회귀모형)

  • Suh, Hye-Sun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 2016
  • I would like to analyze the customers accommodation availability of the provisional 'smart board,' having specific mode and style, as a circulation platform of digital contents with using a statistic model in order to find a way and means to activate legal circulation of convergence individual products. The smart board means a circulation platform for both users' convenience and copyright protection, by being conveniently able to upload personal convergence digital contents or apply various licence to the uploaded contents according to the purpose of use. Under these premises of the smart board, this paper is going to focus on verifying to find out which factors, such as users' profile attributes, contents using behaviors, awareness of licence and etc, influence on the intention of using the smart board of general users by using a logistic regression model.

A Study on the Composition of Plan of the Diagnostic Radiology Department in General Hospital (종합병원(綜合病院) 방사선진단부(放射線診斷部)의 평면구성(平面構成)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Yu, Young-Min
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.93-123
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    • 1986
  • The aim of this study is to propose the desirable plan of the diagnostic radiology department in general hospital. The main contents and results of this study are as follows. 1. By investigating and analyzing the activities and circulation of the patients and staffs in diagnostic radiology department, the activity model of the department was extracted. 2. The types of operating system of the department were extracted and activity model by the operating systems were made. 3. The types of the plan of the department were classified into three types, such as confusing-corridor type, separated-corridor type and contract type. 4. After dividing them into eight types in detail, the merits and demerits of each type were analyzed. 5. Among those types contact types were evaluated best in comparison with the other types in terms of efficiency of staff's work, access of patients to staffs and reduction of staffs movement.

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The Uncertainty of Extreme Rainfall in the Near Future and its Frequency Analysis over the Korean Peninsula using CMIP5 GCMs (CMIP5 GCMs의 근 미래 한반도 극치강수 불확실성 전망 및 빈도분석)

  • Yoon, Sun-kwon;Cho, Jaepil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.10
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    • pp.817-830
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    • 2015
  • This study performed prediction of extreme rainfall uncertainty and its frequency analysis based on climate change scenarios by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) for the selected nine-General Circulation Models (GCMs) in the near future (2011-2040) over the Korean Peninsula (KP). We analysed uncertainty of scenarios by multiple model ensemble (MME) technique using non-parametric quantile mapping method and bias correction method in the basin scale of the KP. During the near future, the extreme rainfall shows a significant gradually increasing tendency with the annual variability and uncertainty of extreme ainfall in the RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 scenarios. In addition to the probability rainfall frequency (such as 50 and 100-year return periods) has increased by 4.2% to 10.9% during the near future in 2040. Therefore, in the longer-term water resources master plan, based on the various climate change scenarios (such as CMIP5 GCMs) and its uncertainty can be considered for utilizing of the support tool for decision-makers in water-related disasters management.

Changes in global climate zone based on SSP scenario (SSP 시나리오 기반 전 지구 규모의 기후대 변화)

  • Young Hoon Song;Jin Hyeok Kim;Sung Tack Chae;Eun Sung Chung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.89-89
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    • 2023
  • 인간 활동에 의해 발생한 전 지구적 기후변화는 다양한 분야에 영향을 미치고 있다. 특히, 군락을 기반으로 서식하는 동식물은 기후변화에 가장 취약하며, 대부분의 군락 위치가 북상하거나 멸종 위기에 처해있다. 2022년에 발표된 IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 보고서는 섭씨 5도 이상 상승하면 생물군의 60%가 멸종될 것이라고 보고하였으며, 고위도와 고도로 이동하여 봄철 식물 성장이 과거보다 더욱 가속화 될 것으로 예측하였다. 따라서, 온실가스 농도에 따른 전 지구적 기후변화 분석은 다양한 분야에서 지속가능한 완화 및 적응 정책을 결정하는데 필요하다. 본 연구는 SSP2-4.5와 SSP5-8.5를 이용하여 Koppen-Geiger의 기후대 분류에 따른 전 지구 규모(아시아, 유럽, 남아메리카, 북아메리카, 오세아니아, 아프리카)의 과거 및 미래 기후대에 대한 변화를 분석하였다. 과거 기간의 기후대를 추정하기 위해 25개 CMIP6(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6) GCM(General circulation model)의 월 단위 강수량과 표면 온도를 사용하였으며 6개의 기간으로 구분하여 기후대 변화를 비교하였다. 더 나아가, 미래 기후대를 예측하기 위해 SSP(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways)2-4.5와 SSP5-8.5의 미래 기후변수를 사용하였으며, 전망 기간을 7개로 구분하여 전망 기간의 기후대를 변화를 비교하였다. 본 연구의 결과로는 온실가스 농도가 높은 시나리오에서는 북아메리카, 아시아, 유럽의 툰드라와 영구동토층이 가파르게 감소하였으며, 온대 기후 중 습한 아열대 기후대의 면적이 급속도로 증가하였다. 더 나아가, 남아메리카의 경우 대륙성 기후대가 지속적으로 감소하는 반면에 열대 우림 기후대는 증가한다. 오세아니아의 미래 기후대는 몬순의 영향을 받는 아열대 기후대가 증가하고 열대 우림은 증가할 것으로 예측하였다.

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Modeling and Optimization of Rice Drying and Storage System in Korea(I) -Layout and Design of Model System- (한국에 있어서 미곡(米穀)의 건조(乾燥) 및 저장(貯藏)을 위한 시스템의 모델 개발 및 적정규모 선정에 관한 연구(I) -모델 시스템의 Layout 및 설계-)

  • Park, Kyung-Kyoo
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.66-75
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    • 1986
  • In order to improve the traditional post harvest system in Korea, a model for mechanized grain drying and storage facilities was developed. Also, a computer program for the model system was developed. For the study, flat type steel bin and circulation type dryer were selected for the model and Fortran language was used for the computer program. This program was tested by using various practical data. The following results were obtained from the study: 1. The general model developed can be used for designing a rough rice drying and storage facility within the range from 100 ton to 1000 ton capacity. 2. Major output of the computer program for designing a model system were as follow; a. The dimension of the plant. b. The storage bin size, dryer number and dryer size. c. The dimension of individual equipment and its required HP. d. Capital requirement and operating cost of the model system.

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Feedback Processes Modulating the Sensitivity of Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation to Freshwater Forcing Timescales

  • Hyo-Jeong Kim;Soon-Il An;Soong-Ki Kim;Jae-Heung Park
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.34 no.12
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    • pp.5081-5092
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    • 2021
  • Paleoproxy records indicate that abrupt changes in thermohaline circulation (THC) were induced by rapid meltwater discharge from retreating ice sheets. Such abrupt changes in the THC have been understood as a hysteresis behavior of a nonlinear system. Previous studies, however, primarily focused on a near-static hysteresis under fixed or slowly varying freshwater forcing (FWF), reflecting the equilibrated response of the THC. This study aims to improve the current understanding of transient THC responses under rapidly varying forcing and their dependency on forcing time scales. The results simulated by an Earth system model suggest that the bifurcation is delayed as the forcing time scale is shorter, causing the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation collapse and recovery to occur at higher and lower FWF values, respectively. The delayed shutdown/recovery occurs because bifurcation is determined not by the FWF value at the time but by the total amount of freshwater remaining over the THC convection region. The remaining freshwater amount is primarily determined by the forcing accumulation (i.e., time-integrated FWF), which is modulated by the freshwater/salt advection by ocean circulations and freshwater flux by the atmospheric hydrological cycle. In general, the latter is overwhelmed by the former. When the forced freshwater amount is the same, the modulation effect is stronger under slowly varying forcing because more time is provided for the feedback processes.

Impact Assessment of Climate Change and Land use change on Water Resources in Han River (기후변화와 토지피복변화를 고려한 한강 유역의 수자원 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Bo-Kyung;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Yoon, Seok-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.929-933
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    • 2009
  • 전 세계적으로 기후변화와 이상기후에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. IPCC(2001)는 "기후변화"라는 요소가 기온 증가, 강우강도 및 빈도 변화와 이들로 인한 증발산의 변화, 유출량의 시 공간적 변동을 초래하여 수자원의 효율적 관리 및 안정적인 공급에 어려움을 증대시킬 것으로 전망하였다. 이에 따라 세계 각국은 미래 기후에 대한 보다 정확한 정보를 얻기 위하여 IPCC 권장 시나리오인 SRES(Special Report in Emission Scenario)기반의 GCM(General Circulation Model)과 RCM(Regional Circulation Model)을 이용하고 있으며 특히, 최근에는 고해상도 자료를 생산함으로써 국부지역에 대한 지형학적 특성을 효과적으로 모의할 수 있는 RCM 모형을 이용한 연구가 국외를 중심으로 진행되고 있다(권현한 등, 2008). 본 연구에서는 미래 한강 유역의 수자원 변동성을 평가하기 위하여 CA-Markov Chain 기법으로부터 토지이용변화를, 기온과 강수자료을 독립변수로 이용한 다중 회귀식으로부터 미래 NDVI를 추정하고 기상청에서 제공하는 RegCM3-지역지후모형으로부터 축소기법을 이용하여 추정된 KMA RCM 50set 기후변화시나리오를 SLURP 모형에 입력하였다. 2001년부터 2090년까지 총 90년에 대한 한강 유역의 미래 유출모의를 실시한 후 각 댐별 과거와 미래 유출량을 월별로 비교하고 이들의 유황분석을 실시하였다.

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A Study on the Effects of Flexible Operation of Imported Grain Transportation Vehicles on Logistics Costs by Considering Empty Transfer Rates (공차율을 고려한 유연한 수입곡물 화물차운영이 물류비용에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Byeong Chan;Yang, Dae Yong
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.193-203
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzed regular transportation costs between port warehouses and processing plants and between processing plants and central distribution centers and further transportation costs relations according to empty transfer rates in each circulation by examining the distribution routes of imported grain including wheat, barley, corn, and soybean, namely port warehouses, processing plants, and central distribution centers. Based on the results, the study compared and reviewed the logistics transportation costs. The analysis results of the alternative model show that logistics operational costs could be considerably cut down by introducing a flexible vehicle transportation operational method, which is to change the vehicle loading parts for proper substitute transportation after unloading and transport them to other locations such as central distribution centers instead of returning empty, as an alternative to high operational costs deriving from empty vehicle operation in each circulation after unloading items in case of transportation of imported grain and processed items. The results allow for a more realistic approach to general problems with large-scale distribution network operation and provide a theoretical foundation to serve as a guide to establish policies for corporate operation of imported grain logistics systems.

Estimation of Future Daily Wind Speed over South Korea Using the CGCM3 Model (CGCM3 전지구모형에 의한 한반도 미래 일평균 풍속의 평가)

  • Ham, Hee-Jung
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.33 no.A
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2013
  • A statistical downscaling methodology has been developed to investigate future daily wind speeds over South Korea. This methodology includes calibration of the statistical downscaling model by using large-scale atmospheric variables encompassing NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, validation of the model for the calibration period, and estimation of the future wind speed based on the general circulation model (GCM) outputs of scenario A1B of the CGCM3. Based on the scenario A1B of the CGCM3 model, the potential impacts of climate change on the daily surface wind speed is relatively small (+/- 1m/s) in South Korea.

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