• Title/Summary/Keyword: GROWTH CURVE

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기술성장곡선을 활용한 생존모형 개발 (Development of Survivor Models Using Technological Growth Models)

  • 오현승;조진형
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.167-177
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    • 2010
  • Recent competitive and technological changes during the past decade have accelerated the need for better capital recovery methods. Competition and technology have together shortened the expected lives of property which could not have been forecasted several years ago. Since the usage of technological growth models has been prevalent in various technological forecasting environments, the various forms of growth models have become numerous. Of six such models studied, some models do significantly better than others, especially at low penetration levels in predicting future levels of growth. A set of criteria for choosing an appropriate model for technological growth models was developed. Two major characteristics of an S-shaped curve were elected which differentiate the various models; they are the skewness of the curve and underlying assumptions regarding the variance of error structure of the model.

(100) ZnSe 결정에서 결함의 성장 속도에 대한 의존성 (Dependence of defects on growth rate in (100) ZnSe cryseal)

  • 박성수;이성국;김준홍;한재용;이상학
    • 한국결정성장학회지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.263-268
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    • 1998
  • 기상 결정 성장법을 이용하여 twin, grain free인 (100) ZnSe 결정을 성장하였다. (100) ZnSe 결정내의 결함은 X-ray Rocking Curve에 의해 분석하였으며, seed의 질과 성장 속도가 ZnSe 결정의 결함에 가장 큰 영향을 미쳤다. 성장된 (100) ZnSe 결정의 형태는 seed의 모양과 로내의 등온 곡선 및 면들의 성장속도에 의존하였다.

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두만강지역 경제성장과 물류업탄소배출의 관계분석 (A study on the relationship between economic growth and carbon emission of logistics industry in Tumen River region)

  • 지택항;이광수;이용진
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, the relationship between energy consumption in the logistics industry and economic growth of Tumen River region from 1995 to 2014 is empirically analyzed by using the EKC model theory. The results show that there is a turning point in the Kuznets curve of carbon emission in TumenRiverregion. And it has the characteristic sof "invertedU" curve, which conforms to the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis. Meanwhile it is stil lintherisingstage. According to the analysis results, it is proposed to set up the concept of low carbon logistics, optimize the energy structure, strengthen the information construction, and establish low-carbon development mechanism and so on.

로지스틱 테스트 노력함수를 이용한 소프트웨어의 최적인도시기 결정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Optimal Release Time Decision of a Developed Software by using Logistic Testing Effort Function)

  • 최규식;김용경
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a software-reliability growth model incoporating the amount of testing effort expended during the software testing phase after developing it. The time-dependent behavior of testing effort expenditures is described by a Logistic curve. Assuming that the error detection rate to the amount of testing effort spent during the testing phase is proportional to the current error content, a software-reliability growth model is formulated by a nonhomogeneous Poisson process. Using this model the method of data analysis for software reliability measurement is developed. After defining a software reliability, This paper discusses the relations between testing time and reliability and between duration following failure fixing and reliability are studied. SRGM in several literatures has used the exponential curve, Railleigh curve or Weibull curve as an amount of testing effort during software testing phase. However, it might not be appropriate to represent the consumption curve for testing effort by one of already proposed curves in some software development environments. Therefore, this paper shows that a logistic testing-effort function can be adequately expressed as a software development/testing effort curve and that it gives a good predictive capability based on real failure data.

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Spline 함수(函數)와 선형방정식(線型方程式)을 이용한 수간(樹幹) 및 임분간곡선(林分幹曲線)모델 (Stem and Stand Taper Model Using Spline Function and Linear Equation)

  • 이우균
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제83권1호
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 1994
  • 단목(單木) 또는 임분(林分)의 생장파악 및 예측을 위해서는 수간형태(樹幹形態)의 파악이 선행되어야 한다. 또한 임분의 생장을 동적(動的)으로 파악하기 위해서는 수간형태(樹幹形態)를 수식화(數式化)할 필요가 있다. 그러나 수간(樹幹)은 전체적으로는 원추형(圓錐型)에 가깝지만 그 가늘어지는 정도가 부분적으로 다르기 때문에 하나의 식(式)으로 표현하기엔 어려움이 있으므로, 부분적으로 상이한 계수를 갖는 구간추정식(區間推定式)으로 표현하는 것이 이상적이다. 본 논문에서는 spline함수로부터 유도된 단목간곡선의 집합으로부터, 선형관계식을 이용하여 임분간곡선(林分幹曲線)을 수식화하는 방법을 소개하였다. 이와 같이 수간형태(樹幹形態)를 수식화(數式化) 한 단목 및 임분의 간곡선식(幹曲線式)은 임분(林分)의 발달과정을 동적(動的)으로 파악할 수 있게 하여 임분생장연구의 다양성 및 합리적 산림계획모델의 기초를 제공한다.

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PHV 연령별 신장 발육의 특징에 관한 연구 -7~18세의 종단적 자료를 이용하여- (Study on the Characteristics of Height Growth by PHV Age -Using longitudinal data of age 7 to 18-)

  • 박주미;김명
    • 보건교육건강증진학회지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.74-86
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    • 1991
  • This study tried to clear the characteristics of height growth pattern depending on Peak Height Velocity age in early, average and late groups. And in it, height growth tendency of girl students in age 7 to 18 years old was compared and investigated in order to know influencing factors, menarcheal age relation. The samples were senior girl students at high school in Seoul. Longitudinal data and survey data were collected in August, 1990. The results could be summarized as follows: 1. On distance curve, the height growth line in early group tended to be the highest and in late group the lowest. On the other hand, on velocity curve late group showed the highest peak and early group showed the lowest peak. In late group, velocity curve was too steep. Of course, these early, average and late groups were classified by PHV age. 2. In these three groups, late group showed the most growth amount per year. However, on distance curve, early group showed higher line than late group. Perhaps this means that peak growth amount in late group might have an effect on mean. 3. Growth amount of adolescence spurt age in these three groups was 6.86cm at age 9(early group), 7.27cm at l1(average group) and 7.65cm at 13(late group). In early group, because. PHV age came too early, it was difficult to find exact adolescence spurt period. In early group, the adolescence spurt period is considered to come at about age 7 to 9. In average group, at 9 to 11 and at 12 to 13 in late group. Especially, spurt of late group was remarkable. 4. When the growth amount of PA, before PA and after PA was compared, growth amount of PA in all three groups was about 20%. In early group, growth amount of APV tended to be large and in late group, that of APV tended to be large and in late group, that of BPV was large. In average group, growth amount of BPV was larger than that of APV. 5. For the purpose of comparing total height growth amount of these groups at age 18, the height growth was assumed to be over. And then, the difference of three groups was studied but it's not significant. 6. Although the difference between height growth and family environment, dietary habits, exercise, disease history in these three groups was investigated, only the income was significant. The significance of all the other factors was not approved. 7. When menarcheal age was compared with PA, generally we know menarche appeared after 1∼2 years of PHV age. But in case of early group, the difference between PHV age and menarcheal age was 5.34 years. In average group, 2.45 years and 0.82 years in late group.

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한국 시민단체의 성장에 대한 양적 연구 (Growth of Civic Organizations in South Korea)

  • 신동준;김광수;김재온
    • 한국조사연구학회지:조사연구
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.75-101
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    • 2005
  • 본 논문은 1997년과 2000년 이차에 걸쳐서 출간된 $\ll$한국 민간단체 총람\gg$ 자료를 소개하고, 이 자료의 분석을 통해 한국 시민단체의 성장에 대한 양적 연구를 수행한다. 시민단체 성장에 대한 주요 지표가 될 수 있는 회원수 정보와 설립연도 정보의 질을 데이터에 나타난 결측율을 중심으로 검토한다. 회원수 정보를 통해서 1996년에서 1999년 사이의 회원수 변화를 활동 분야에 따라 알아보고 그 결과를 시민단체의 성장이라는 측면에서 논의한다. 분석 결과 우리나라 시민단체 성장의 주축이라고 여겨지고 있는 시민사회 분야에서, 특히 전국적 규모의 단체들을 중심으로 많은 회원 감소가 있었던 것으로 보인다. 설립되는 단체 수의 지속적인 증가 추세와 맞물려, 이 결과는 계속적으로 그 숫자가 증가하고 있는 시민단체들 사이에 제한된 자원을 둘러싼 경쟁이 있음을 반영한다고 본다. 이러한 경향을 생태학적 조직이론에 근거해서 논의하고, 1945년부터 1996년까지 시민단체의 수적 성장 패턴을 설립연도 정보를 이용하여 간접적으로 확인한다. 이 의사 성장 곡선(pseudo-growth curve)을 생태학적 조직 이론에 근거해서 로지스틱 성장 곡선 모형으로서 제시하고, 비선형적 회귀분석을 통해 활동 범위와 분야별로 단체들의 수적 증가 추이를 비교해 본다.

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성장장애(成長障碍)를 주소(主訴)로 내원(來院)한 환아(患兒)의 치료(治療) 효과(效果)에 대한 고찰(考察) (The Effects of oriental medical care on Growth Deficiency Children)

  • 이동현;김덕곤
    • 대한한방소아과학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.145-162
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study was to determine the effects of oriental medical care on growth deficiency children. These cases were collected to investigate the effects of oriental medical care on growth deficiency children. So the cases were divided into 5 groups. The growth velocity was compared to a normal growth curve, and the results are as follows: 1. Oriental medical care was efficient when the epiphysial plates were not closed. 2. In female middle school beyond 1st grade students and in male middle school 3rd grade students who had almost closed epiphysial plates, the oriental medical care was not efficient and did not promote growth velocity. endothelium were used for the experiment using organ bath. 3. In the cases where the parent were very short, the effects of the oriental medical care to promote growth velocity was not efficient. 4. when we treated children of normal height, their growth velocity was over the normal growth curve. 5. In preschool aged children, oriental medical care was very efficient to promote children's growth. 6. The principle oriental medical care was to make balanced their body and digestive organs by using herb medicines that have the capability to promote the growth of the bones, and build strong muscles.

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잎담배의 재배방법에 따른 생장 분석에 대하여 (The Growth-Curve Analysis of Tobacco in Various Cultivation Types)

  • 김윤동;김용암
    • 한국연초학회지
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.44-50
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    • 1980
  • 황색종 잎담배의 생장분석에서 얻어진 결과는 다음과 같다. 1. 개량말칭의 생장곡선은 대수변환하여 2차 회귀식에, 기타 작부는 Gomuertz방정식과 유사하였다. 2. 건물량에 있어서 최대생장기의 시점은 개량말칭의 경우에 이식후 50일경, 타 작부는40일경이고 최대생장기간은 모두 25일 였다. 3 건물량에 있어서 최대생장기의 생장속도는 개량, 일반, 나지작의 순서로 감소하였다. 4. 파기가 늦을수록 최대생장기 동안의 생장량은 증가했다. 5. 엽면적의 최대생장기간은 건물중에 비하여 약2일 단축되고 5일 정도 빠르게 나타났다.

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한우 거세우의 체중 및 체형에 대한 성장곡선 모수 추정 (Estimation of Growth Curve Parameters for Body Weight and Measurements in Castrated Hanwoo (Bostaurus Coreanae))

  • 최태정;서강석;김시동;조광현;최재관;황인호;최호성;박철진
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제50권5호
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    • pp.601-612
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 한우의 체형과 체중이 일령에 따라 어떻게 변화하며, 선발형질인 도체형질과의 상관 또한 체중 및 체형의 변화에 따라 어떠한 형태로 변화하는지 알아보기 위하여 실시하였다. 분석에 이용한 형질은 체중, 체형 및 도체형질을 포함하여 모두 17가지 형질이며 거세우 161두의 자료를 이용하였다. 성장곡선 추정은 logistic 모형을 이용하였고, 추정한 모수를 토대로 변곡일령 및 변곡일령에서의 특성을 다시 계산하였다. 각 형질에 대한 성장곡선 모수를 분석한 결과 좌골폭은 조숙성, 흉위는 만숙성 형질인 것으로 나타났다. 등지방두께에 대한 흉심, 흉폭 및 요각폭의 순위상관계수는 6~24개월까지 꾸준히 증가하는 반면 다른 체형형질들은 18개월령 이후에 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 표현형 자료에 대한 분석만이 이뤄졌으나, 한우 성장 단계에 따른 유전적 변화를 살펴보기 위해 유전모수 추정과 같은 추가적인 연구가 이뤄진다면 체형형질을 한우개량에 충분히 이용이 가능할 것으로 생각된다.