• 제목/요약/키워드: Fuzzy random variables

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Dynamic response uncertainty analysis of vehicle-track coupling system with fuzzy variables

  • Ye, Ling;Chen, Hua-Peng;Zhou, Hang;Wang, Sheng-Nan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제75권4호
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    • pp.519-527
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    • 2020
  • Dynamic analysis of a vehicle-track coupling system is important to structural design, damage detection and condition assessment of the structural system. Deterministic analysis of the vehicle-track coupling system has been extensively studied in the past, however, the structural parameters of the coupling system have uncertainties in engineering practices. It is essential to treat the parameters of the vehicle-track coupling system with consideration of uncertainties. In this paper, a method for predicting the bounds of the vehicle-track coupling system responses with uncertain parameters is presented. The uncertain system parameters are modeled as fuzzy variables instead of conventional random variables with known probability distributions. Then, the dynamic response functions of the coupling system are transformed into a component function based on the high dimensional representation approximation. The Lagrange interpolation method is used to approximate the component function. Finally, the bounds of the system's dynamic responses can be predicted by using Monte Carlo method for the interpolation polynomials of the Lagrange interpolation function. A numerical example is introduced to illustrate the ability of the proposed method to predict the bounds of the system's dynamic responses, and the results are compared with the direct Monte Carlo method. The results show that the proposed method is effective and efficient to predict the bounds of the system's dynamic responses with fuzzy variables.

Fuzzy methodology application for modeling uncertainties in chloride ingress models of RC building structure

  • Do, Jeongyun;Song, Hun;So, Seungyoung;Soh, Yangseob
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.325-343
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    • 2005
  • Chloride ingress is a common cause of deterioration of reinforced concrete located in coastal zone. Modeling the chloride ingress is an important basis for designing reinforced concrete structures and for assessing the reliability of an existing structure. The modeling is also needed for predicting the deterioration of a reinforced structure. The existing deterministic solution for prediction model of corrosion initiation cannot reflect uncertainties which input variables have. This paper presents an approach to the fuzzy arithmetic based modeling of the chloride-induced corrosion of reinforcement in concrete structures that takes into account the uncertainties in the physical models of chloride penetration into concrete and corrosion of steel reinforcement, as well as the uncertainties in the governing parameters, including concrete diffusivity, concrete cover depth, surface chloride concentration and critical chloride level for corrosion initiation. There are a lot of prediction model for predicting the time of reinforcement corrosion of structures exposed to chloride-induced corrosion environment. In this work, RILEM model formula and Crank's solution of Fick's second law of diffusion is used. The parameters of the models are regarded as fuzzy numbers with proper membership function adapted to statistical data of the governing parameters instead of random variables of probabilistic modeling of Monte Carlo Simulation and the fuzziness of the time to corrosion initiation is determined by the fuzzy arithmetic of interval arithmetic and extension principle. An analysis is implemented by comparing deterministic calculation with fuzzy arithmetic for above two prediction models.

퍼지-랜덤 변수를 이용한 실시간 이산 시스템의 성능 평가 (Performance Evaluation of a Real-Time System Using a DES Model with Fuzzy-Random Variables)

  • 민병조;김학배
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 G
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    • pp.3021-3023
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    • 1999
  • 엄격한 시간 제약성에 의해 특성화되는 실시간 시스템의 성능을 평가하기 위해서 퍼지-랜덤 변수가 포함된 이산 사건 모델을 제시한다. 실시간 시스템의 정확성은 출력의 논리적 결과 뿐 아니라 반응시간에도 의존하므로, 본 논문에서는 실시간 시스템의 성능을 유연하게 평가하기 위해서 퍼지-랜덤 변수에 의해 적절하게 변형된 상태 오토마타를 제시하고 그 오토마타를 적용한 수치 예제를 제시한다.

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확률적 전력조류계산과 퍼지 전력조류계산과의 비교 연구 (Comparative study of Probabilistic Load Flow and Fuzzy Load Flow)

  • 정영수;심재홍;김진오
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1997년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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    • pp.1100-1102
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents a generalized multi-parameter distribution method for the convolution of linear combination of random variables to calculate system load flow in a conventional probabilistic approach and also presents a conceptual possibilistic approach using fuzzy set theory to manage uncertainties. The probability distribution function is transformed into an appropriate possibilistic representation under the compromise between the transformation consistency and the human updating experience. The IEEE 25-bus system is used to demonstrate the capability of the proposed algorithm.

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Automated Prioritization of Construction Project Requirements using Machine Learning and Fuzzy Logic System

  • Hassan, Fahad ul;Le, Tuyen;Le, Chau;Shrestha, K. Joseph
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.304-311
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    • 2022
  • Construction inspection is a crucial stage that ensures that all contractual requirements of a construction project are verified. The construction inspection capabilities among state highway agencies have been greatly affected due to budget reduction. As a result, efficient inspection practices such as risk-based inspection are required to optimize the use of limited resources without compromising inspection quality. Automated prioritization of textual requirements according to their criticality would be extremely helpful since contractual requirements are typically presented in an unstructured natural language in voluminous text documents. The current study introduces a novel model for predicting the risk level of requirements using machine learning (ML) algorithms. The ML algorithms tested in this study included naïve Bayes, support vector machines, logistic regression, and random forest. The training data includes sequences of requirement texts which were labeled with risk levels (such as very low, low, medium, high, very high) using the fuzzy logic systems. The fuzzy model treats the three risk factors (severity, probability, detectability) as fuzzy input variables, and implements the fuzzy inference rules to determine the labels of requirements. The performance of the model was examined on labeled dataset created by fuzzy inference rules and three different membership functions. The developed requirement risk prediction model yielded a precision, recall, and f-score of 78.18%, 77.75%, and 75.82%, respectively. The proposed model is expected to provide construction inspectors with a means for the automated prioritization of voluminous requirements by their importance, thus help to maximize the effectiveness of inspection activities under resource constraints.

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퍼지신뢰도(fuzzy reliability) 해석기법을 이용한 암반사면의 파괴확률 산정 (Evaluation of the Probability of Failure in Rock Slope Using Fuzzy Reliability Analysis)

  • 박혁진
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제41권6호
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    • pp.763-771
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    • 2008
  • 불확실성은 사면의 안정성을 해석하는 과정에서 특성자료의 부족이나 지질공학적 특성의 공간적 변동성 등의 원인으로 포함되며 따라서 불확실성으로 인해 변수들의 정확한 값을 획득하기 힘들게 된다 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 확률론적 해석기법이 활용되어 왔으며 최근에는 퍼지집합이론(fuzzy set theory)을 이용한 해석기법이 활용되고 있다. 특히 확률변수들의 자료 양이 제한적인 경우 변수의 확률특성을 정확하게 파악하기 힘들어 확률론적 해석기법의 활용이 제한적일 수 있으며 이러한 경우 퍼지집합이론은 확률변수의 특성을 효과적으로 표현할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 암반사면의 안정성 해석과정에서 포함되는 불확실성을 정량화하기 위해 퍼지신뢰도척도(fuzzy reliability measure)를 활용하여 분석을 수행하였으며 특히 암반사면의 안정성에 영향을 미치는 여러 지질공학적 특성중 불연속면의 경사와 내부마찰각을 삼각형 퍼지숫자(fuzzy number)로 해석하였다 이를 위하여 연구대상사면을 선정하여 암반사면에서 발생하는 평면파괴를 대상으로 분석을 수행하였다. 퍼지신뢰도(fuzzy reliability) 해석에서는 퍼지숫자에 대한 퍼지 연산을 통해 퍼지신뢰도 지수(fuzzy reliability index)를 획득하였으며 이러한 결과를 확률론적 해석 결과와 비교하기 위하여 몬테카를로모사기법(Monte Carlo simulation)과 점추정법(point estimate method)을 이용한 확률론적 해석을 수행하였다. 해석결과 불충분한 자료 등으로 인해 불확실성의 정량화가 어려운 경우 퍼지신뢰도 해석을 통해 적절한 퍼지신뢰도 지수와 파괴확률을 획득할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

MR 댐퍼를 이용한 대형 버스 현가장치의 반능동 제어 (Semi-Active Control of a Suspension System with a MR Damper of a Large-sized Bus)

  • 윤호상;문일동;김재원;오재윤;이형원
    • 한국생산제조학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.683-690
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    • 2012
  • In this work, the semi-active control of a large-sized bus suspension system with an MR damper was studied. An MR damper model that can aptly describe the hysteretic characteristics of an MR damper was adopted. Parameter values of the MR damper model were suitably modified by considering the maximum damping force of a passive damper used in the suspension system of a real large-sized bus. In addition, a fuzzy logic controller was developed for semi-active control of a suspension system with an MR damper. The vertical acceleration at the attachment point of the MR damper and the relative velocity between sprung and unsprung masses were used as input variables, while voltage was used as the output variable. Straight-ahead driving simulations were performed on a road with a random road profile and on a flat road with a bump. In straight-ahead driving simulations, the vertical acceleration and pitch angle were measured to compare the riding performance of a suspension system with a passive damper with that of a suspension with an MR damper. In addition, a single lane change simulation was performed. In the simulation, the lateral acceleration and roll angle were measured in order to compare the handling performance of a suspension system using a passive damper with that of a suspension system using an MR damper.

Artificial Intelligence Applications as a Modern Trend to Achieve Organizational Innovation in Jordanian Commercial Banks

  • Al-HAWAMDEH, Majd Mohammed;AlSHAER, Sawsan A.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.257-263
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    • 2022
  • The objective of this study was to see how artificial intelligence applications affected organizational innovation in Jordanian commercial banks. Both independent and dependent variables were measured in three dimensions: expert systems, neural network systems, and fuzzy logic systems for artificial intelligence applications variable. Product innovation, process innovation, and management innovation for the organizational innovation variable. To achieve study objectives, a questionnaire was developed and distributed to a sample of one hundred fifty-three managers in Jordanian commercial banks, who were selected according to the simple random sampling method. Except for the neural network systems dimension, which comes in at an average level, the study indicated that there is a high level of organizational innovation and artificial intelligence applications. Furthermore, the findings revealed that artificial intelligence applications have a significant impact on organizational innovation in Jordanian commercial banks, with the most important artificial intelligence application being a fuzzy logic system. The study suggested keeping track of technological advancements in the field of artificial intelligence applications and incorporating them into banking operations by benchmarking with the best commercial bank practices and allocating a portion of the budget to technological applications and infrastructure development, as well as balancing between technology use and information security risks to ensure client privacy is protected.

퍼지-랜덤 변수를 이용한 실시간 전력 시스템의 성능 및 신뢰도 평가 (Evaluation of the Performance and Reliability of a Real-time Power System Described by a DES Model Using Fuzzy-Random Variables)

  • 민병조;김학배
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부 B
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    • pp.794-796
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    • 1999
  • 엄격한 시간 제약성에 의해 특성화되는 실시간 전력 시스템의 성능 및 신뢰도를 평가하기 위해서 퍼지-랜덤 변수가 포함된 이산 사건 모델 및 확장된 path-space 기법을 제시한다. 실시간 시스템의 정확성은 출력의 논리적 결과 뿐 아니라 반응시간에도 의존하므로, 본 논문에서는 실시간 전력 시스템의 성능 및 신뢰도를 유연하게 평가하기 위해서 퍼지-랜덤 변수에 의해 적절하게 변형된 상태 오토마타를 제시하고 몇가지 수치 예제를 제시함으로써 제안한 기법의 효용성을 검증한다.

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FCM을 적용한 결함심각도 기반 앙상블 모델 (Defect Severity-based Ensemble Model using FCM)

  • 이나영;권기태
    • 정보과학회 컴퓨팅의 실제 논문지
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    • 제22권12호
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    • pp.681-686
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    • 2016
  • 소프트웨어 결함 예측은 프로젝트의 효율적인 관리와 성공에 있어 중요한 요소이다. 이 결함은 심각도에 따라 프로젝트에 영향을 미치는 정도가 다르다. 그러나 기존 연구는 결함 유무만 관심을 두고 심각도를 고려하지 않는다. 본 논문에서는 소프트웨어 관리 효율과 품질 향상을 위해 FCM을 적용한 결함 심각도 기반 앙상블 모델을 제안한다. 제안된 모델은 FCM으로 NASA PC4의 결함심각도를 재분류한다. 그리고 RF(Random Forest)로 심각도에 영향을 주는 입력 column을 선별하여 데이터 핵심 결함 요인을 추출한다. 또한 10-fold 교차검증으로 파라미터를 변경해 모델 성능을 평가한다. 실험 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 결함심각도가 58,40,80에서 30,20,128로 재분류되었다. 둘째, 심각도에 영향을 주는 중요한 입력 column은 정확도와 노드 불순도 측면에서 BRANCH_COUNT였다. 셋째, 성능평가는 트리수가 작고 고려할 변수가 많을수록 좋은 성능을 보였다.