• Title/Summary/Keyword: Future Failure Rate

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Prognostic Technique for Ball Bearing Damage (볼 베어링 손상 예측진단 방법)

  • Lee, Do Hwan;Kim, Yang Seok
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.37 no.11
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    • pp.1315-1321
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    • 2013
  • This study presents a prognostic technique for the damage state of a ball bearing. A stochastic bearing fatigue defect-propagation model is applied to estimate the damage progression rate. The damage state and the time to failure are computed by using RMS data from noisy acceleration signals. The parameters of the stochastic defect-propagation model are identified by conducting a series of run-to-failure tests for ball bearings. A regularized particle filter is applied to predict the damage progression rate and update the degradation state based on the acceleration RMS data. The future damage state is predicted based on the most recently measured data and the previously predicted damage state. The developed method was validated by comparing the prognostic results and the test data.

Heart Failure Statistics 2024 Update: A Report From the Korean Society of Heart Failure

  • Chan Joo Lee;Hokyou Lee;Minjae Yoon;Kyeong-Hyeon Chun;Min Gyu Kong;Mi-Hyang Jung;In-Cheol Kim;Jae Yeong Cho;Jeehoon Kang;Jin Joo Park;Hyeon Chang Kim;Dong-Ju Choi;Jungkuk Lee;Seok-Min Kang
    • International Journal of Heart Failure
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.56-69
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    • 2024
  • Background and Objectives: The number of people with heart failure (HF) is increasing worldwide, and the social burden is increasing as HF has high mortality and morbidity. We aimed to provide updated trends on the epidemiology of HF in Korea to shape future social measures against HF. Methods: We used the National Health Information Database of the National Health Insurance Service to determine the prevalence, incidence, hospitalization rate, mortality rate, comorbidities, in-hospital mortality, and healthcare cost of patients with HF from 2002 to 2020 in Korea. Results: The prevalence of HF in the total Korean population rose from 0.77% in 2002 to 2.58% (1,326,886 people) in 2020. Although the age-standardized incidence of HF decreased over the past 18 years, the age-standardized prevalence increased. In 2020, the hospitalization rate for any cause in patients with HF was 1,166 per 100,000 persons, with a steady increase from 2002. In 2002, the HF mortality was 3.0 per 100,000 persons, which rose to 15.6 per 100,000 persons in 2020. While hospitalization rates and in-hospital mortality for patients with HF increased, the mortality rate for patients with HF did not (5.8% in 2020), and the one-year survival rate from the first diagnosis of HF improved. The total healthcare costs for patients with HF were approximately $2.4 billion in 2020, a 16-fold increase over the $0.15 billion in 2002. Conclusions: The study's results underscore the growing socioeconomic burden of HF in Korea, driven by an aging population and increasing HF prevalence.

A 10-year retrospective study on the risk factors affecting the success rate of internal connection implants after prosthetic restoration (내부연결 임플란트의 보철 수복 후 성공률에 미치는 위험요소에 관한 10년간의 후향적 연구)

  • Seoin Lee;Min-Jeong Kim
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Prosthodontics
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    • v.61 no.2
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 2023
  • Purpose. The purpose of this study is to help increase the success rate by analyzing the types and characteristics of implant prosthesis and the survival rate. Materials and methods. Among implants placed between 2011 and 2020 at Sanbon Dental Hospital, College of Dentistry, Wonkwang University, a case restored by a prosthetic surgeon was investigated for the characteristics and correlation of failure. The causes of failure were classified as failure of osseointegration, peri-implantitis, fixture fracture, abutment fracture, screw fracture, screw loosening, prosthesis fracture, and loss of prosthesis retention. Prosthetic method, cantilever presence, placement location, etc. were analyzed for their correlation with implant failure. Results analysis was derived through Chi-square test and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis using SPSS ver 25.0 (IBM, Chicago, IL, USA). Results. A total of 2587 implants were placed, of which 1141 implants were restored with Single Crown and 1446 implants with Fixed Partial Denture, and the cumulative survival rate was 88.1%. The success rate of SC was 86.2% (984) and the success rate of FPD was 89.6% (1295), showing statistically significant differences, among which factors that had significant differences were abutment fracture, screw fracture, and screw loosening (P < .05). Conclusion. As a result of the 10-year follow-up, more failures occurred due to biomechanical factors than biological factors. Further studies on the success of implants will be needed in the future.

Economic-based approach for predicting optimal water pipe renewal period based on risk and failure rate

  • Kim, Kibum;Seo, Jeewon;Hyung, Jinseok;Kim, Taehyeon;Kim, Jaehag;Koo, Jayong
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2019
  • This study suggests a method for calculating the benefits of water pipe renewal based on an estimate of the water supply suspension risk. The proposed method based on five benefit items is more direct and specific than other benefit estimation methods. In addition, a methodology evaluating the economics of pipe renewal based on pipe failure rate is proposed for estimating the optimal renewal point from an economic perspective. By estimating the optimal renewal period based on a yearly benefit cost ratio per pipe in a case study area, it was possible to draft an optimal renewal plan for the subject region from an economic perspective. Compared with other methodologies, a reasonable optimal renewal period was derived from an economic point of view. The result of this study may be used to develop future water pipe renewal plans. Moreover, the proposed methodologies and results derived from this study can be applied to asset management plans.

A Study of Reliability Analysis and Application on Naval Combat System Using Field Critical Failure Data (야전 치명고장자료를 이용한 함정전투체계 신뢰성 분석 및 활용 방안)

  • Kim, Young-Jin;Oh, Hyun-Seung;Choi, Bong-Wan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.49-59
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    • 2016
  • Naval combat system developed in-country is progressing at an alarming rate since 2000. ROK navy will be achieved all vessels that have combat system in the near future. The importance of System Engineering and Integrated Logistics Support based on reliability analysis is increasing. However, reliability analysis that everyone trusted and recognized is not enough and applied practically for development of Defense Acquisition Program. In particular, Existing Reliability Analysis is focusing on reliability index (Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF) etc.) for policy decision of defense improvement project. Most of the weapon system acquisition process applying in the exponential distribution simply persist unreality due to memoryless property. Critical failures are more important than simple faults to ship's operator. There are no confirmed cases of reliability analysis involved with critical failure that naval ship scheduler and operator concerned sensitively. Therefore, this study is focusing on Mean Time To Critical Failure (MTTCF), reliability on specific time and Operational Readiness Float (ORF) requirements related to critical failure of Patrol Killer Guided missile (PKG) combat system that is beginning of naval combat system developed in-country. Methods of analysis is applied parametric and non-parametric statistical techniques. It is compared to the estimates and proposed applications. The result of study shows that parametric and non-parametric estimators should be applied differently depending on purpose of utilization based on test of normality. For the first time, this study is offering Reliability of ROK Naval combat system to stakeholders involved with defense improvement project. Decision makers of defense improvement project have to active support and effort in this area for improvement of System Engineering.

Empirical Bayesian Prediction Analysis on Accelerated Lifetime Data (가속수명자료를 이용한 경험적 베이즈 예측분석)

  • Cho, Geon-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 1997
  • In accelerated life tests, the failure time of an item is observed under a high stress level, and based on the time the performances of items are investigated at the normal stress level. In this paper, when the mean of the prior of a failure rate is known in the exponential lifetime distribution with censored accelerated failure time data, we utilize the empirical Bayesian method by using the moment estimators in order to estimate the parameters of the prior distribution and obtain the empirical Bayesian predictive density and predictive intervals for a future observation under the normal stress level.

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A Case Report of Chronic Renal Failure(stage4) on Stroke Patient through Integrative Medicine Therapy. (만성 신부전 환자의 중풍치료에 대한 한·양방 협진효과 증례보고)

  • Hwang, Yunkyeong;Lee, Boram;Kim, Wonill
    • Herbal Formula Science
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.233-242
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    • 2016
  • Objective : Chronic renal failure(CRF) is defined as a permanent reduction in glomerular filtration rate(GFR), resulting in Structural and functional abnormalities. The purpose of this thesis is to report the improvement of a CRF stage4 on stroke patient through integrative medicine therapy.Methods : We treated the patient with herbal medication(Sibjeondaebo-tang gagambang), acupuncture and moxibustion as well as Western medication. We measured the Creatinine, BUN, eGFR in the serum and observed clinical symptoms During 4monthsResult : After treatment, the level of BUN and Creatinine was decreased and eGFR was increased. And the symptoms of CRF(edema, anorexia, general weakness) were improved.Conclusion : This study suggests that Integrative Medicine Therapy is effective in the treatment of CRF symptoms. In the future, for the effective management of CRF, It is considered necessary to build a systematic integrative medicine therapy.

Treatment Planning Guideline of EBT Film-based Delivery Quality Assurance Using Statistical Process Control in Helical Tomotherapy (토모테라피에서 통계적공정관리를 이용한 EBT 필름 기반의 선량품질보증의 치료계획 가이드라인)

  • Chang, Kyung Hwan
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.439-448
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the results from statistical process control (SPC) to recommend upper and lower control limits for planning parameters based on delivery quality assurance (DQA) results and establish our institutional guidelines regarding planning parameters for helical tomotherapy (HT). A total of 53 brain, 41 head and neck (H & N), and 51 pelvis cases who had passing or failing DQA measurements were selected. The absolute point dose difference (DD) and the global gamma passing rate (GPR) for all patients were analyzed. Control charts were used to evaluate upper and lower control limits (UCL and LCL) for all assessed treatment planning parameters. Treatment planning parameters were analyzed to provide its range for DQA pass cases. We confirmed that the probability of DQA failure was higher when the proportion of leaf open time (LOT) below 100 ms was greater than 30%. LOT and gantry period (GP) were significant predictor for DQA failure using the SPC method. We investigated the availability of the SPC statistic method to establish the local planning guideline based on DQA results for HT system. The guideline of each planning parameter in HT may assist in the prediction of DQA failure using the SPC statistic method in the future.

Medical Management of Patients With Heart Failure and Reduced Ejection Fraction

  • Barry Greenberg
    • Korean Circulation Journal
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.173-197
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    • 2022
  • Treatment options for patients with heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) have expanded considerably over the past few decades. Whereas neurohormonal modulation remains central to the management of patients with HFrEF, other pathways have been targeted with drugs that have novel mechanisms of action. The angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors (ARNIs) which enhance levels of compensatory molecules such as the natriuretic peptides while simultaneously providing angiotensin receptor blockade have emerged as the preferred strategy for inhibiting the renin angiotensin system. Sodium glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors which were developed as hypoglycemic agents have been shown to improve outcomes in patients with HF regardless of their diabetic status. These agents along with beta blockers and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists are the core medical therapies for patients with HFrEF. Additional approaches using ivabradine to slow heart rate in patients with sinus rhythm, the hydralazine/isosorbide dinitrate combination to unload the heart, digoxin to provide inotropic support and vericiguat to augment cyclic guanosine monophosphate production have been shown in well-designed trials to have beneficial effects in the HFrEF population and are used as adjuncts to the core therapies in selected patients. This review provides an overview of the medical management of patients with HFrEF with focus on the major developments that have taken place in the field. It offers prospective of how these drugs should be employed in clinical practice and also a glimpse into some strategies that may prove to be useful in the future.

Long-term Effects on the Cervical Spine after Anterior Locking Plate Fixation (경추 전방 잠금식 금속판이 장기적으로 경추에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Keun Su
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.493-500
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    • 2001
  • Objective : Anterior cervical locking plates are the devices for achieving anterior cervical spinal fusion. This study was conducted to evaluate the locking plate system regarding its long-term advantages and disadvantages in the view of interbody fusion rate, hardware-related failures, vertebral change close to the fusion segment and postoperative complications. Method : Eight-six patients, operated from Jan., 1996 to Jun. 1998, were followed-up for more than two years. All of the cases were fused with iliac bone graft and ORION locking plate(Sofamor Danek USA, Inc., Memphis, TN) fixation. The patients were discharged or transferred to rehabilitation department 2-7 days after operation. A comprehensive evaluation of the interbody fusion state, instrument failure, vertebral change and postoperative complications were made by direct interview and cervical flexion-extension lateral plain films. Results : There were 55 male and 31 female with a mean age of 45 years(18-75 years). The mean follow-up period was 29 months(24-43 months). Various disorders that were operated were 40 cervical discs, 6 cervical stenosis including OPLL, 2 infections, and 38 traumas. Fusion level was single in 59 cases, two levels of each disc space in 15 cases, and two levels after one corpectomy in 12 cases. There was no instrument failure. Pseudoarthrosis was observed in two cases(2%) without radiological instability. The other patients(98%) showed complete cervical fusion with stable instrument. Mild settling of interbody graft with upward migration of screws was found in 12 cases(14%). Anterior bony growth at the upper segment was found in 5 cases(6%). Postoperative foreign body sensation or dysphagia was observed in 12 cases(4%), and disappeared within one month in 7 cases and within six months in 4 cases. One patient complained for more than six months and required reoperation to remove paraesophageal granulation tissue. Conclusion : The results show that Orion cervical locking plate has some disadvantages of upward migration of screws, anterior bony growth at the upper segment, or possibility of esophageal compression even though it has advantages of high interbody fusion rate or low instrument failure. Author believe that anterior cervical locking plate in the future should be thinner, and should have short end from the screw hole, and movable screw with adequate stability.

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