• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fresh Snow Depth

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Correlation Analysis between GPS Precipitable Water Vapor and Heavy Snowfall on Gangwon Province in Early 2011 (2011년 강원 폭설과 GPS 가강수량의 상관성 분석)

  • Song, Dong-Seob
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, the GPS precipitable water vapor was retrieved by estimating of GPS signal delay in the troposphere during the progress of heavy snowfall on the Gangwon Province, 2011. For this period, the time series analysis between GPS precipitable water vapor and fresh snow depth was accomplished. The time series and the comparison with the GPS precipitable water vapor and the fresh snow depth indicates that the temporal change of two variations is closely related to the progress of the heavy snowfall. Also, the periodicity of GPS precipitable water vapor using the wavelet transform method was showed a similar cycle of saturated water vapor pressure as the limitation of this study span. The result shows that the decrement of GPS precipitable water vapor was conflicted with the increment of fresh snow depth at two sites, Gangneung and Uljin. The correlation between the GPS precipitable water vapor and the saturated water vapor pressure for the event was showed a positive correlation, compare with the non-heavy snowfall periods.

An Approximate Estimation of Snow Weight Using KMA Weather Station Data and Snow Density Formulae (기상청 관측 자료와 눈 밀도 공식을 이용한 적설하중의 근사 추정)

  • Jo, Ji-yeong;Lee, Seung-Jae;Choi, Won
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.92-101
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    • 2020
  • To prevent and mitigate damage to farms due to heavy snowfall, snow weight information should be provided in addition to snow depth. This study reviews four formulae regarding snow density and weight used in extant studies and applies them in Suwon area to estimate snow weight in Korea. We investigated the observed snow depth of 94 meteorological stations and automatic weather stations (AWS) data over the past 30 years (1988-2017). Based on the spatial distribution of snow depth by area in Korea, much of the fresh snow cover, due to heavy snowfall, occurred in Jeollabuk-do and Gangwon-do. Record snowfalls occurred in Gyeongsangbuk-do and Gangwon-do. However, the most recent heavy snowfall in winter occurred in Gyeonggi-do, Gyeongsangbuk-do, and Jeollanam-do. This implies that even if the snow depth is high, there is no significant damage unless the snow weight is high. The estimation of snow weight in Suwon area yielded different results based on the calculation method of snow density. In general, high snow depth is associated with heavy snow weight. However, maximum snow weight and maximum snow depth do not necessarily occur on the same day. The result of this study can be utilized to estimate the snow weight at other locations in Korea and to carry out snow weight prediction based on a numerical model. Snow weight information is expected to aid in establishing standards for greenhouse design and to reduce the economic losses incurred by farms.

Estimation of Snow Damage and Proposal of Snow Damage Threshold based on Historical Disaster Data (재난통계를 활용한 대설피해 예측 및 대설 피해 적설심 기준 결정 방안)

  • Oh, YeoungRok;Chung, Gunhui
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.325-331
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    • 2017
  • Due to the climate change, natural disaster has been occurred more frequently and the number of snow disasters has been also increased. Therefore, many researches have been conducted to predict the amount of snow damages and to reduce snow damages. In this study, snow damages over last 21 years on the Natural Disaster Report were analyzed. As a result, Chungcheong-do, Jeolla-do, and Gangwon-do have the highest number of snow disasters. The multiple linear regression models were developed using the snow damage data of these three provinces. Daily fresh snow depth, daily maximum, minimum, and average temperatures, and relative humidity were considered as possible inputs for climate factors. Inputs for socio-economic factors were regional area, greenhouse area, farming population, and farming population over 60. Different regression models were developed based on the daily maximum snow depth. As results, the model efficiency considering all damage (including low snow depth) data was very low, however, the model only using the high snow depth (more than 25 cm) has more than 70% of fitness. It is because that, when the snow depth is high, the snow damage is mostly caused by the snow load itself. It is suggested that the 25 cm of snow depth could be used as the snow damage threshold based on this analysis.

Projection of Future Snowfall by Using Climate Change Scenarios (기후변화 시나리오를 이용한 미래의 강설량 예측)

  • Joh, Hyung-Kyung;Kim, Saet-Byul;Cheong, Hyuk;Shin, Hyung-Jin;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.188-202
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    • 2011
  • Due to emissions of greenhouse gases caused by increased use of fossil fuels, the climate change has been detected and this phenomenon would affect even larger changes in temperature and precipitation of South Korea. Especially, the increase of temperature by climate change can affect the amount and pattern of snowfall. Accordingly, we tried to predict future snowfall and the snowfall pattern changes by using the downscaled GCM (general circulation model) scenarios. Causes of snow varies greatly, but the information provided by GCM are maximum / minimum temperature, rainfall, solar radiation. In this study, the possibility of snow was focused on correlation between minimum temperatures and future precipitation. First, we collected the newest fresh snow depth offered by KMA (Korea meteorological administration), then we estimate the temperature of snow falling conditions. These estimated temperature conditions were distributed spatially and regionally by IDW (Inverse Distance Weight) interpolation. Finally, the distributed temperature conditions (or boundaries) were applied to GCM, and the future snowfall was predicted. The results showed a wide range of variation for each scenario. Our models predict that snowfall will decrease in the study region. This may be caused by global warming. Temperature rise caused by global warming highlights the effectiveness of these mechanisms that concerned with the temporal and spatial changes in snow, and would affect the spring water resources.

Estimation of Maximum Fresh Snow Depth using Regression Analysis (회귀분석을 이용한 최심신적설 추정식 개발)

  • Park, Heeseong;Chung, Gunhui
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.205-205
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    • 2016
  • 우리나라의 겨울철 자연재해 중 대설에 의한 피해가 발생하는 빈도가 증가하고 있는 가운데 그 피해를 예측하고 대비하기 위한 연구들이 다수 진행되고 있다. 강설은 일단위로 측정하며, 매일 새롭게 내린 강설의 양인 최심신적설과 기존에 녹지 않고 쌓여 있던 깊이까지를 고려한 최심적설로 구분된다. 우리나라의 경우에는 갑작스럽게 내린 폭설에 의한 피해가 대부분이므로 최심신적설량을 예측하는 것이 매우 중요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 다중회귀분석을 이용해 우리나라의 최심신적설량을 추정하기 위한 식을 개발하였다. 다중회귀분석을 위한 독립변수로는 해당 일에 예측된 강수량, 일평균기온, 일최고기온, 일최저기온을 사용하였으며, 강수량과 일평균기온의 상호작용을 고려할 수 있도록 모형을 구성하였다. 모형의 개발에는 전국 74개 기상관측소의 최심신적설 자료를 관측소 단위로 전체 자료의 2/3을 무작위로 추출하여 이용하였으며, 추출되지 않고 남은 1/3의 자료를 이용해 모형에 대한 검증을 실시하였다. 그 결과 상호작용항이 포함되지 않은 다중선형회귀모형에 비해 상호작용을 고려한 다중회귀모형의 예측력이 훨씬 우수하게 나타났다. 강수량과 기온이 정확하게 예측된다면 개발된 추정식을 이용해 간편하게 최심신적설량을 예측할 수 있어, 폭설에 대한 대비에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Remote Sensing of GPS Precipitable Water Vapor during 2014 Heavy Snowfall in Gangwon Province (2014년 강원 폭설동안 GPS 가강수량 탐측)

  • JinYong, Nam;DongSeob, Song
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.305-316
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    • 2015
  • The GPS signal delays in troposphere, which are along the signal path between a transmitting satellite and GPS permanent station, can be used to retrieve the precipitable water vapor. The GPS remote sensing technique of atmospheric water vapor is capable of monitoring typhoon and detecting long term water vapor for tracking of earth’s climate change. In this study, we analyzed GPS precipitable water vapor variations during the heavy snowstorm event occurred in the Yeongdong area, 2014. The results show that the snowfall event were occurring after the GPS precipitable water vapor were increased, the maximum fresh snow depth was recorded after the maximum GPS precipitable water vapor was generated, in Kangneug and Wuljin, respectively. Also, we analyzed that the closely correlation among the GPS precipitable water vapor, the K-index and total index which was acquired by the upper air observation system during this snowstorm event was revealed.

Comparative Analysis of GNSS Precipitable Water Vapor and Meteorological Factors (GNSS 가강수량과 기상인자의 상호 연관성 분석)

  • Jae Sup, Kim;Tae-Suk, Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.317-324
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    • 2015
  • GNSS was firstly proposed for application in weather forecasting in the mid-1980s. It has continued to demonstrate the practical uses in GNSS meteorology, and other relevant researches are currently being conducted. Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV), calculated based on the GNSS signal delays due to the troposphere of the Earth, represents the amount of the water vapor in the atmosphere, and it is therefore widely used in the analysis of various weather phenomena such as monitoring of weather conditions and climate change detection. In this study we calculated the PWV through the meteorological information from an Automatic Weather Station (AWS) as well as GNSS data processing of a Continuously Operating Reference Station (CORS) in order to analyze the heavy snowfall of the Ulsan area in early 2014. Song’s model was adopted for the weighted mean temperature model (Tm), which is the most important parameter in the calculation of PWV. The study period is a total of 56 days (February 2013 and 2014). The average PWV of February 2014 was determined to be 11.29 mm, which is 11.34% lower than that of the heavy snowfall period. The average PWV of February 2013 was determined to be 10.34 mm, which is 8.41% lower than that of not the heavy snowfall period. In addition, certain meteorological factors obtained from AWS were compared as well, resulting in a very low correlation of 0.29 with the saturated vapor pressure calculated using the empirical formula of Magnus. The behavioral pattern of PWV has a tendency to change depending on the precipitation type, specifically, snow or rain. It was identified that the PWV showed a sudden increase and a subsequent rapid drop about 6.5 hours before precipitation. It can be concluded that the pattern analysis of GNSS PWV is an effective method to analyze the precursor phenomenon of precipitation.