• Title/Summary/Keyword: Forest disaster

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Meteorological Determinants of Forest Fire Occurrence in the Fall, South Korea

  • Won, Myoung-Soo;Miah, Danesh;Koo, Kyo-Sang;Lee, Myung-Bo;Shin, Man-Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.99 no.2
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    • pp.163-171
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    • 2010
  • Forest fires have potentials to change the structure and function of forest ecosystems and significantly influence on atmosphere and biogeochemical cycles. Forest fire also affects the quality of public benefits such as carbon sequestration, soil fertility, grazing value, biodiversity, or tourism. The prediction of fire occurrence and its spread is critical to the forest managers for allocating resources and developing the forest fire danger rating system. Most of fires were human-caused fires in Korea, but meteorological factors are also big contributors to fire behaviors and its spread. Thus, meteorological factors as well as social factors were considered in the fire danger rating systems. A total of 298 forest fires occurred during the fall season from 2002 to 2006 in South Korea were considered for developing a logistic model of forest fire occurrence. The results of statistical analysis show that only effective humidity and temperature significantly affected the logistic models (p<0.05). The results of ROC curve analysis showed that the probability of randomly selected fires ranges from 0.739 to 0.876, which represent a relatively high accuracy of the developed model. These findings would be necessary for the policy makers in South Korea for the prevention of forest fires.

Vulnerability Assessment and Analysis of Gangwon Provincial Forest Sector in Response to Climate Change (기후변화 대비 강원 지역 산림부문 현황 분석 및 취약성 평가)

  • Chae, Hee-Mun;Lee, Hyun-Ju;Um, Gi-Jeung
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.106-117
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    • 2012
  • In an effort to analyze the impact of climate change, Gangwon provincial forest was divided into three sectors; forest ecology, forest disaster, and forest productivity and analysis of their current status from 2000 to 2009 and vulnerability assessment by climate change has been carried in this study. In case of vulnerability assessment, except for the forest ecology, forest disaster (forest fires and forest pests) and forest productivity sectors were analyzed in current status, the year of 2020, and 2050. It turned out that vulnerability of forest fires in the field of disaster would become worse and forest pests also would make more impact even though there is some variation in different areas. In case of the vulnerability of forest productivity there would be not a big difference in the future compared with current vulnerability. Systematic research on the sensitivity index used for vulnerability assessment is necessary since vulnerability assessment result greatly depends on the use of climate exposure index and adaptive capacity index.

Development of Forest Fire Occurrence Probability Model Using Logistic Regression (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 산불발생확률모형 개발)

  • Lee, Byungdoo;Ryu, Gyesun;Kim, Seonyoung;Kim, Kyongha
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2012
  • To achieve the forest fire management goals such as early detection and quick suppression, fire resources should be allocated at high probability area where forest fires occur. The objective of this study was to develop and validate models to estimate spatially distributed probabilities of occurrence of forest fire. The models were builded by exploring relationships between fire ignition location and forest, terrain and anthropogenic factors using logistic regression. Distance to forest, cemetery, fire history, forest type, elevation, slope were chosen as the significant factors to the model. The model constructed had a good fit and classification accuracy of the model was 63%. This model and map can support the allocation optimization of forest fire resources and increase effectiveness in fire prevention and planning.

Estimation of Biomass Loss and Greenhouse Gases Emissions from Surface Layer Burned by Forest Fire (산불로 인한 지표층 연소량 및 온실가스 배출량 추정)

  • Lee, Byungdoo;Youn, Ho Jung;Koo, Kyosang;Kim, Kyongha
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.2
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    • pp.286-290
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    • 2012
  • Globally, the forest fires are a significant contributor of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. In this study, fuel load consumed by forest fire and emission of green house gases were analysed in the surface layer. For this, remaining fuel was collected and weighed with the species (Japanese red pine, deciduous) and the forest fire types (surface fire, crown fire) in the 51 forest fires. 8,361 kg/ha fuel load was consumed in deciduous forest damaged by surface fire, and 8,055 kg/ha, 12,333 kg/ha in Japanese red pine burned by surface fire and crown fire. The combustion ratios were 78, 59, and 90%, respectively. 15,856 kg/ha the green house gases such as $CO_2$, $CH_4$, $CH_4$ in deciduous forest burned by surface fire was emitted and 14,834 kg/ha, 22,709 kg/ha in Japanese red pine burned by surface fire and crown fire.

Evaluating Stability and Functionality of Hybrid Erosion Control Dam for Reducing Debris Flow Damage in Forested Catchment Nearby Urban Area (도시생활권의 토석류 피해 저감을 위한 복합형 사방댐의 안정성 및 기능성 평가)

  • Kim, Kidae;Kim, Dongyeob;Seo, Junpyo;Lee, Changwoo;Woo, Choongshik;Kang, Minjeng;Jeong, Sangseom;Lee, Dongkyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.107 no.1
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this study was to develop erosion control dam for preventing disaster in consideration of characteristics of forested catchment near urban area, and to assess its stability and functionality to see its practicability in the field. Two types of hybrid erosion control dams were developed including debris flow prevention dam by using pillar and float board screen type and debris flow control dam by using groyne. Also, review about their static (sliding, overturning, bearing capacity) and dynamic (member force) stability was carried out. According to the result, most of the assessed items met standard safety level although there were some cases where assessed items were short of stability criteria against impact. Also, after miniature flume experiments based on the developed erosion control dam to prove structure function (material catch, deposit), it turned out the dam decreased flow sediment amount and velocity while increasing sediment-capturing capacity by 3.5 times on average compared to the one controlled without erosion control dam. When function of erosion control dam for forested catchment near urban area is quantified based on future flume experiments in a variety of conditions, the dams can be practically used in the urban area, contribution to effectively reducing debris flow damage.

Characteristics Analysis of Site Condition and Disturbance Resistance of Tree Species for Damaged Forested Land in South Korea (산림재해지 복구를 위한 주요 수종의 입지 및 재해 저항 특성 분석)

  • Kang, Young-Ho;Lee, Chun-Yong;Bae, Yeong-Tae;Kim, Chan-Beom
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2011
  • We recently witnessed increasingly more natural disturbances on forested land. On the other hand, only limited number of nursery grown tree species are available for restoration projects. At the same time, so little on the disturbance resistance of species has been studied that a selection of right species for right site condition becomes very difficult. This study is a compilation of the site specificities and disturbance resistance of each species native to South Korea. Each species was surveyed for 11 items related to site specificities, and 12 items related to disturbance resistance including the resistance to snow damage. This study was conducted for 161 tree species from 44 families : 21 evergreen conifer species, 2 deciduous conifer species, 18 evergreen broad-leaved species, 118 deciduous broad-leaved species, and 2 monocotyledon species. This study suggests that native species in South Korea show resistance to all types of natural disturbances except drought.

A Study on the Improvement of Safety Management by Analyzing the Current Status and Response System of Forest Fire Accidents (산불사고 현황과 대응체계 분석을 통한 안전관리 개선방안 연구)

  • Jeong, Kyung-ok;Kim, Dae-jin
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.457-469
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to present the direction of improvement of safety management by reviewing the current status of forest fire accidents that are becoming larger throughout the year and the problems of the response system. Method: Domestic and foreign literature survey and statistics of recent forest fire accidents by Statistics Korea investigated and analyzed the cause, number of damage, and suggested ways to improve forest fire safety management through domestic and foreign forest fire response systems. Result: Through the analysis of the causes of recent wildfires and overseas response cases, measures to improve the safety management of wildfires in terms of hardware, software, and humanware were derived. Conclusion: The plan to improve forest fire safety management was classified into three main categories and presented, and it should be embodied through further related research.

Estimating Willingness to Pay of Korean Forest Owners for Forest Products Disaster Insurance Premiums (임산물재해보험에서 산림경영인의 보험료 지불의사액 추정)

  • Kim, Myeong-Eun;Min, Kyung-Taek;Koo, Ja-Choon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.104 no.1
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 2015
  • The purposes of this study are estimating willingness to pay (WTP) of forest owners for the disaster insurance premium for forest products in Korea and investigating factors affecting their WTP. The result with contingent valuation method shows that forest owners' median WTP is $9,440\;KRW/ha{\cdot}yr$. Advanced forest managers including devoted forest managers and forestry successors are willing to pay more for insurance premium compared to non-advanced ones, and those who have experienced disaster in their own forest land have higher WTP than others. WTP of advanced forest managers appears to be 50% higher than that of non-advanced. These results imply that policy makers should consider advanced forest managers as a priority to introduce the insurance system.

Development of Crown Fire Propagation Probability Equation Using Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 수관화확산확률식의 개발)

  • Ryu, Gye-Sun;Lee, Byung-Doo;Won, Myoung-Soo;Kim, Kyong-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2014
  • Crown fire, the main propagation type of large forest fire, has caused extreme damage with the fast spread rate and the high flame intensity. In this paper, we developed the probability equation to predict the crown fires using the spatial features of topography, fuel and weather in damaged area by crown fire. Eighteen variables were collected and then classified by burn severity utilizing geographic information system and remote sensing. Crown fire ratio and logistic regression model were used to select related variables and to estimate the weights for the classes of each variables. As a results, elevation, forest type, elevation relief ratio, folded aspect, plan curvature and solar insolation were related to the crown fire propagation. The crown fire propagation probability equation may can be applied to the priority setting of fuel treatment and suppression resources allocation for forest fire.

A Study on Classification of Disaster Risk Rating for Forest Road Using AHP Methodology (AHP기법을 활용한 임도의 재해위험 등급 구분에 관한 연구)

  • Bang, Hong-Seok;Kweon, Hyeong-Keun;Lee, Joon-Woo;Kim, Myeong-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.103 no.2
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    • pp.258-263
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to provide basic data for forest roads management by using AHP methodology to group the grade of disaster risk. In addition to this, a field study was performed at 114 targeted points on forest roads where there are high risks of disaster occurrence. The results of the field survey and the analysis of AHP were compared to provide the degree of disaster risks. It shows that the drainage facilities occupied the highest weighted value. Meanwhile, based on AHP analysis data, evaluation chart was created by providing evaluation criteria and evaluation score to each evaluation items. As a result of applying the evaluation chart to the field survey data, the highest score was 78.8 and the lowest score was 42.7 with the mean score of 61.8. Finally, through the experts' consultation based on calculated scores, this study proposed four different groups of disaster risk on forest roads.