• Title/Summary/Keyword: Forcing Strength

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Forcing a Closer Fit in the Lower Tails of a Distribution for Better Estimating Extremely Small Percentiles of Strengths

  • Guess, Frank-M.;Leon, Ramon-V.;Chen, Weiwei;Young, Timothy-M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.129-145
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    • 2004
  • We use a novel, forced censoring technique that closer fits the lower tails of strenth distributions to better estimate extremly smaller percentiles for measuring progress in continuous improvement initiatives. These percentiles are of greater interest for companies, government oversight organizations, and consumers concerned with safely and preventing accidents for many products in general, but specifically for medium density fiberboard (MDF). The international industrial standard for MDF for measuring highest quality is internal bond (IB, also called tensile strengh) and its smaller percentiles are crucial, especially the first percentile and lower ones. We induce censoring at a value just above the median to weight lower observations more. Using this approach, we have better fits in the lower tails of the distribution, where these samller percentiles are impacted most. Finally, bootstrap estimates of the small percentiles are used to demonstrate improved intervals by our forced censoring approach and the fitted model. There was evidence from the study to suggest that MDF has potentially different failure modes for early failures. Overall, our approach is parsimonious and is suitable for real time manufacturing settings. The approach works for either strengths distributions or lifetime distributions.

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External mechanisms driving ecosystem changes in a coastal wetland, the Mississippi Delta, USA

  • Ryu, Junghyung;Liu, Kam-biu;McCloskey, Terrence A.;Yun, Sang-Leen
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.85-85
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    • 2022
  • The world's most extensive and active deltas, Louisiana's wetlands, are deteriorating rapidly due to multiple stressors such as the discharge of the Mississippi River, sea-level rise, and coastal retreat, the substantial but spatially and temporally variable impacts. However, the ecological and anthropogenic histories, the mode of environmental changes on a multi-millennial timescale have not been thoroughly documented. This study, a palynology-based multiproxy analysis, investigates hydrological, geological, geochemical, and anthropogenic impacts on southern Louisiana wetlands and a variety of external forcing agents influencing ecological succession. Sediment cores extracted from a small pond on a mangrove-dominate island near Port Fourchon, Louisiana, USA yielded a 4,000-year record. The site has been transformed from freshwater to saline water environments, to a mangrove dominant island over the late Holocene. The multivariate principal component analysis identified the relative strength of external drivers responsible for each ecological shift. The Mississippi River delta cycle (lobe switching) was the dominant driver of ecosystem changes during the late Holocene, while relative sea-level rise, tropical cyclones, climate, and anthropogenic effects have been the main drivers late in the site's history.

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Characteristics of the Human Strength Acting on the Lightweight Wall of Buildings (인간이 경량벽체에 가하는 수평하중의 크기에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Soo-Kyung;Roh, Yong-Woon;Kim, Sang-Heon;Lee, Young-Do
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.473-481
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this research is to comprehend experimentally the characteristics of human strength for using as the basic data of impact resistance test method of lightweight wall. Human motions exerting static load are classified to 4 types. Pushes with two hands or shoulder are defined as the instantaneously forcing motions with hands or shoulder put on the force plate. Leanings back or one-hand against the wall are defined as motions of taking a rest in their respective comfortable posture. Human motions exerting dynamic load are classified to 3 types. Selecting 3 levels of motion strength (weak, middle, strong), 3 levels of force plate stiffness (A: 20kN/cm, B: 4.7kN/cm, C: 2.2kN/cm), and 30 male subjects, load was measured when they applied strength to the force plate. Results of this research are as follows: (1) The maximum load ratio (Pmax/W) of static load for each motion was 1.17-1.25 in two hands pushing, 0.95-0.99 in shoulder pushing, 0.16-0.18 in back leaning, and 0.12-0.15 in one hand leaning. (2) Human dynamic load and object collision were different in the load characteristics. (3) The maximum load ratio of dynamic load for each motion was 10.07 in heel kick, 4.46 in shoulder hitting, and 5.58 in fist blow.

Numerical Studies on the Variation of Flow Structure Due to Sea Surface Temperature at the Lee Side of Jeju Island in the Korean Peninsula (해수면 온도변화에 따른 제주도 후면 흐름구조 변화에 관한 수치연구)

  • Lee, Soon-Hwan;Park, Gwang-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2006
  • Numerical studies on the influence of interaction between atmosphere and ocean on the variation of Karman vortex at the lee side of Jeju Island were carried out. Karman vortex tends to be occurred at limited height associated with Hanla mountain. And we can find clear Karman vortex at 900 hPa height in this study. One big vortex cell occurred at lee side of Jeju Island in the begging stage of its development and the cell was divided into three small cells as time goes by. And the strength and lifetime of small vortexes depend on the distribution of SST (Sea Surface Temperature). Weak gradient of SST makes long-lasting Karman vortex but produces weak potential vorticity at lee side of Jeju-do in comparison with the vortex under strong SST gradient. Strong SST gradient also increases not only the mixing depth but also the mixing ratio at lower level of troposphere. And the increased atmospheric mixing decreases the mechanical forcing due to isolated topography. Then the strength of Karman vortex at the lee side of Jeju Island becomes weak under strong gradient of SST. Thus the evolution of Karman vortex is closely related to distribution of SST around the isolated island.

Applying a Forced Censoring Technique with Accelerated Modeling for Improving Estimation of Extremely Small Percentiles of Strengths

  • Chen Weiwei;Leon Ramon V.;Young Timothy M.;Guess Frank M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2006
  • Many real world cases in material failure analysis do not follow perfectly the normal distribution. Forcing of the normality assumption may lead to inaccurate predictions and poor product quality. We examine the failure process of the internal bond (IB or tensile strength) of medium density fiberboard (MDF). We propose a forced censoring technique that closer fits the lower tails of strength distributions and better estimates extremely smaller percentiles, which may be valuable to continuous quality improvement initiatives. Further analyses are performed to build an accelerated common-shaped Weibull model for different product types using the $JMP^{(R)}$ Survival and Reliability platform. In this paper, a forced censoring technique is implemented for the first time as a software module, using $JMP^{(R)}$ Scripting Language (JSL) to expedite data processing, which is crucial for real-time manufacturing settings. Also, we use JSL to automate the task of fitting an accelerated Weibull model and testing model homogeneity in the shape parameter. Finally, a package script is written to readily provide field engineers customized reporting for model visualization, parameter estimation, and percentile forecasting. Our approach may be more accurate for product conformance evaluation, plus help reduce the cost of destructive testing and data management due to reduced frequency of testing. It may also be valuable for preventing field failure and improved product safety even when destructive testing is not reduced by yielding higher precision intervals at the same confidence level.

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On the Importance of Consolidation and Fluidization in Numerical Modelling of Muds and Pollutants Transports (니토 및 오염물질 이동의 수치모의에 미치는 퇴적층의 압밀과 유동화의 중요성에 관하여)

  • Jae Youll Jin;Ki Dai Yum;Jin Soon Park
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.43-55
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    • 1997
  • Existing theories and experimental results on mud bed consolidation, fluidization and erosion are briefly reviewed. The importance of the history of bed shear strength profile which experiences periodic and random consolidation and fluidization is qualitatively discussed by reanalyzing a field data set in Youngkwang area of Korea. According to the results of existing laboratory experiments and the reanalyzing, the numerical modelling of mud or pollutant transport without considering consolidation and fluidization may cause the time lag between the hydrodynamic forcing and the increment of sediment and bed-originated pollutant concentrations in water column. The time lag can derive serious error in the transport direction, consequently in the budget of a heavy-concentrated bottom-originated substance, especially in macrotidal environments with relatively high wave energy.

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Geopotentinl Field in Nonlinear Balance with the Sectoral Mode of Rossby-Haurwitz Wave on the Inclined Rotation Axis (섹터모드의 로스비하우어비츠 파동과 균형을 이루는 고도장)

  • Cheong, Hyeong-Bin;Park, Ja-Rin
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.28 no.7
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    • pp.936-946
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    • 2007
  • Analytical geopotential field in balance with the sectoral mode (the first symmetric mode with respect to the equator) of the Rossby-Haurwitz wave on the inclined rotation axis was derived in presence of superrotation background flow. The balanced field was obtained by inverting the divergence equation with the time derivative being zero. The inversion consists of two steps, i.e., the evaluation of nonlinear forcing terms and the finding of analytical solutions based on the Poisson's equation. In the second step, the forcing terms in the from of Legendre function were readily inverted due to the fact that Legendre function is the eigenfunction of the spherical Laplacian operator, while other terms were solved either by introducing a trial function or by integrating the Legendre equation. The balanced field was found to be expressed with six zonal wavenumber components, and shown to be of asymmetric structure about the equator. In association with asymmetricity, the advantageous point of the balanced field as a validation method for the numerical model was addressed. In special cases where the strength of the background flow is a half of or exactly the same as the rotation rate of the Earth it was revealed that one of the zonal wavenumber components vanishes. The analytical balanced field was compared with the geopotential field which was obtained using a spherical harmonics spectral model. It was found that the normalized difference lied in the order of machine rounding, indicating the reliability of the analytical results. The stability of the sectoral mode of Rossby-Haurwitz wave and the associated balanced field was discussed, comparing with the flrst antisymmetric mode.

Self-excited Variability of the East Korea Warm Current: A Quasi-Geostyophic Model Study

  • Lee, Sang-Ki
    • Journal of the korean society of oceanography
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 1999
  • A two-layer quasi-geostrophic numerical model is used to investigate the temporal variability of the East Korea Warm Current (EKWC), especially the separation from the Korean coast and the generation of warm eddies. An attention is given on the active role of the nonlinear boundary layer process. For this, an idealized flat bottom model of the East Sea is forced with the annual mean wind curl and with the inflow-outflow specified at the Korea (Tsushima) and Tsugaru Straits. Two types of separation mechanisms are identified. The first one is influenced by the westward movement of the recirculating leg of the EKWC (externally driven separation),the second one is solely driven by the boundary layer dynamics (internally driven separation). However, these two processes are not independent, and usually coexist. It is hypothesized that 'internally driven separation' arises as the result of relative vorticity production at the wall, its subsequent advection via the EKWC, and its accumulation up to a critical level characterized by the separation of the boundary flow from the coast. It is found that the sharp southeastern corner of the Korean peninsula provides a favorable condition for the accumulation of relative vorticity. The separation of the EKWC usually accompanies the generation of a warm eddy with a diameter of about 120 km. The warm eddy has a typical layer-averaged velocity of 0.3 m/s and its lifespan is up to a year. In general, the characteristics of the simulated warm eddy are compatible with observations. A conclusion is therefore drawn that the variability of the EKWC is at least partially self-excited, not being influenced by any sources of perturbation in the forcing field, and that the likely source of the variability is the barotropic instability although the extent of contribution from the baroclinic instability remains unknown. The effects of the seasonal wind curl and inflow-outflow strength are also investigated.

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Study on planetary boundary layer schemes suitable for simulation of sea surface wind in the southeastern coastal area, Korea (한반도 남동해안 해상풍 모의에 적합한 경계층 물리방안 연구)

  • Kim Yoo-Keun;Jeong Ju-Hee;Bae Joo-Hyun;Song Sang-Keun;Seo Jang-Won
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.1015-1026
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    • 2005
  • The southeastern coastal area of the Korean peninsula has a complex terrain including an irregular coastline and moderately high mountains. This implies that mesoscale circulations such as mountain-valley breeze and land-sea breeze can play an important role in wind field and ocean forcing. In this study, to improve the accuracy of complex coastal rind field(surface wind and sea surface wind), we carried out the sensitivity experiments based on PBL schemes in PSU/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5), which is being used in the operational system at Korea Meteorological Administration. Four widely used PBL parameterization schemes in sensitivity experiments were chosen: Medium-Range Forecast (MRF), High-resolution Blackadar, Eta, and Gayno-Seaman scheme. Thereafter, case(2004. 8. 26 - 8. 27) of weak-gradient flows was simulated, and the time series and the vertical profiles of the simulated wind speed and wind direction were compared with those of hourly surface observations (AWS, BUOY) and QuikSCAT data. In the simulated results, the strength of rind speed of all schemes was overestimated in complex coastal regions, while that of about four different schemes was underestimated in islands and over the sea. Sea surface wind using the Eta scheme showed the highest wind speed over the sea and its distribution was similar to the observational data. Horizontal distribution of the simulated wind direction was very similar to that of real observational data in case of all schemes. Simulated and observed vertical distribution of wind field was also similar under boundary layer(about 1 km), however the simulated wind speed was underestimated in upper layer.

Dynamic Load Factor for Floor Vibration due to Lively Concerts (공연하중에 의한 바닥진동 설계용 동하중계수)

  • Hong, Kap Pyo;Yoon, Kwang Sup
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.721-728
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    • 2002
  • Modern structrues are being built using high-strength and light-weight construction materials resulting in decreased structural mass and damping properties. Rhythmic activities such as jumping, dancing and clapping during lively concerts can produce excessive vibration of steel structures. In this study, dynamic load factors that occur during lively concerts were presented through vibration test and real-time monitoring of an existing concert hall. The vibration test included modal analysis and jumping test according to the forcing frequencies and the number of participants. Dynamic load foactors were acquired directly from peak acceleration responses of each harmonics. Comparing NBCC 1995, the 3rd harmonic must be included in the design of concert halls. Dynamic load factors must be increased as a result of the vibration test.