• 제목/요약/키워드: Floods

검색결과 674건 처리시간 0.027초

L-모멘트 및 LH-모멘트 기법에 의한 적정 설계홍수량의 유도(II)-LH-모멘트법을 중심으로 (Derivatio of Optimal Design Flood by L-Moments and LH-Moments(II) - On the method of LH-Moments -)

  • 이순혁
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제41권3호
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 1999
  • Derivatio of reasonable design floods was attempted by comparative analysis of design floods derived by Generalized Extreme Value(GEV) distribution using methods of L-moments and LH-moments for the annual maximum series at ten watersheds along Han, Nagdong. Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems, LH-coefficient of variation, LH-skewness and Lh-kurtosis were calcualted by KH-moment ration respectively. Paramenters were estimated by the Method of LH-Moments, Design floods obtained by Method of LH-Moments using different methods for plotting positionsi n GEV distribution and design floods were compared with those obtained using the Method of L-Moments by the Relative Mean Errors(RME) and Relative Absolute Errors(RAE). The results was found that design floods derived by the method of L-Moments and LH-Moments using Cunnane plotting position formula in the GEV distribution are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by methods of L-moments and LH-moments using the other formula for plotting positions from the viewpoint of Relative Mean Errors and Relative Absolute Errors. In viewpoint of the fact that hydrqulic structures including dams and levees are genrally using design floods with the return period of two hundred years or so, design floods derived by LH-Moments are seemed to be more reasonable than those of L-Moments in the GEV distribution.

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Determine the return period of flash floods by combining flash flood guidance and best fit distribution

  • Duong, Ngoc Tien;Kim, Jeong-Bae;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.362-362
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    • 2020
  • Flash flood is a dangerous weather phenomenon, affecting humans and the economy. The identification, forecast of the changing trend and its characteristics are increasingly concerned. In the world, there have many methods for determining the characteristics of flash floods, in which flash flood guidance (FFG) is a fast, effective and widely used method. The main source of flash floods is short-term rainfall. In this study, we used the data of cross-sectional measurement at the tributaries and the hourly rain data from the automatic rainfall measurement stations in the Geum river basin. Besides, we use a combination of the flash flood guidance and the best fit distribution function to estimate the repeatability of flash floods for head-water catchments in Geum river basin. In which, FFG determines the threshold of rainfall for flash floods. The study has determined the best hourly rainfall distribution function for the Geum river basin and estimated the maximum rainfall of 1hr according to the return periods.

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Why More Flood Disasters are Occurring (New Zealand Examples & Solutions)

  • Smart, G.M.;Mckerchar, A.I.
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2008년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2008
  • Most New Zealanders reside in coastal regions and four of the larger cities are situated on active floodplains. There have been many recent storm events with rainfall AEPs of 1/150 or rarer and there have been recent flood-related disasters. Insurance claim statistics indicate that the frequency of floods is increasing. Such statistics are alarming local government authorities, insurance companies and populations in low-lying areas. The underlying physical and hydrologic causes of the flood disasters are investigated. It is found that the present numbers of rare rainfall events are not unexpected and there does not appear to be any significant trend evident in the occurrence of river floods. What is revealed is that the river floods appear clustered in certain decades. The clusters do not occur at the same times in different parts of the county. Recently there have been more floods in the north of New Zealand which is where more of the population lives. Also, the increase in population has seen more houses built in locations prone to flooding. Thus the increase in flood-related insurance claims is attributed to more people getting in the way of floods, rather than an increase in the number of floods that have occurred.

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유리섬유복합소재를 이용한 지중매설형 승하강식 홍수방지 벽체구조물 (Eco-Moving Wall for a Preventing Floods using Glass Fiber Reinforced Composite)

  • Yun, Youngman
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.462-468
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    • 2013
  • 제방 월류방지 대체공법으로 전도식, 부력식 홍수방지벽을 국내 외에서 개발하는 실정이다. 그러나, 사전점검 불가 및 유지관리 문제점이 있어 본 연구에서는 국내 외 최초로 경량 재질이면서 강도가 우수한 유리섬유복합소재를 이용한 승하강식 홍수방지 벽체구조물을 연구 개발하였다. 개발된 홍수방지 벽체구조물은 수치해석을 통해 구조적 안정성과 함께 현장 적용성을 제시하여 공사비를 약 87%~95%로 감소시키고 벽체구조물 내부에 고무 지수부재를 설치하여 차수성이 확보되는 것을 확인하였다.

유역인자의 특성이 경계경보발령 기준에 미치는 영향분석 (Effect of watershed characteristics on the criteria of Flash Flood warning)

  • 양인태;김재철;김태환
    • 한국측량학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국측량학회 2004년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.389-392
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    • 2004
  • A recent unusual change in the weather is formed as a localized heavy rain in a short time. This phenomenon has caused a flash flood, and flash floods extensively have damaged human lives many times. In large river's case, the extent of loss of lives and properties has been decreased through the flood warning system by flood control stations of each stream. However, the extent of damage in other small rivers has increased reversely. Therefore, it is necessary to establish a new flood warning system against flash floods instead of the existing flood warning system. It is a specific character that the damage from flash floods in mountain streams brings much more loss of lives than large river's flood. The purpose of this study is calculating the characteristic of flash floods in streams, analyzing topographical characteristics of water basin through applying GIS techniques with the calculation as mentioned above and researching what topographical conditions have influence on hydrological flash floods in water basin. The flash flood prediction model we used is made by GIUH (geomorphoclimatic instantaneous unit hydrograph) with hydrologic-topographical technology. As applying the flash flood prediction model, this is a procedure for calculating topographical information in basin: we made a topological data up out of database with utilizing GIS, and we also produced a DEM (digital elevation model) and used it as a topographical data for determining amount of flash floods.

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Gamma 및 Generalized Gamma 분포 모형에 의한 적정 설계홍수량의 유도(II) -Generalized Gamma 분포모형을 중심으로- (Derivation of Optimal Design Flood by Gamma and Generalized Gamma Distribution Models(II) -On the Generalized Gamma Distribution Model-)

  • 이순혁;박명근;맹승진;정연수;류경선
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제40권2호
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 1998
  • This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by generalized gamma distribution model of the annual maximum series at eight watersheds along Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. Design floods obtained by different methods for evaluation of parameters and for plotting positions in the generalized gamma distribution model were compared by the relative mean errors and graphical fit along with 95% confidence limits plotted on gamma probability paper. The results were analyzed and summarized as follows. 1. Basic statistics and parameters were calculated by the generalized gamma distribution model using different methods for parameters. 2. Design floods according to the return periods were obtained by different methods for evaluation of parameters and for plotting positions in the generalized gamma distribution model. 3. It was found that design floods derived by sundry averages method for parameters and Cunnane method for plotting position in the generalized gamma distribution are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by the other methods for parameters and for plotting positions from the viewpoint of relative mean errors. 4. Reliability of design floods derived by sundry averages method in the generalized gamma distribution was acknowledged within 95% confidence interval.

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Wakeby 및 Kappa 분포의 L-모멘트법에 의한 홍수빈도분석 (Flood Frequency Analysis by Wakeby and Kappa Distributions Using L-Moments)

  • 맹승진;이순혁;이현규;류경식;송기현
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제48권5호
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2006
  • The objective of this study is to induce the design floods by the methodology of L-moment including test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of the data of annual maximum flood flows for 12 water level gaging stations of South Korea. To select appropriate distribution of the data for annual maximum flood flows, the distributions of Wakeby and Kappa are applied and the appropriateness is judged by Kolmogorov-smirnov (K-S) test. The parameters of selected Wakeby and Kappa distributions are calculated by the method of L-moment and the design floods are induced. Through the comparative analysis using the relative root mean square errors (RRMSE) and relative absolute errors (RAE) of design floods, the result shows that the design floods by Wakeby distribution are closer to the observed data than those obtained by the Kappa distribution.

3변수 및 4변수 Kappa 분포에 의한 설계홍수량 추정 (Estimation of Design Floods Using 3 and 4 Parameter Kappa Distributions)

  • 맹승진;김병준;김형산
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제51권4호
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2009
  • This paper is to induce design floods through L-moment with 3 and 4 parameter Kappa distributions including test of independence by Wald-Wolfowitz, homogeneity by Mann-Whitney and outlier by Grubbs-Beck on annual maximum flood flows at 9 water level gaging stations in Han, Nakdong and Geum Rivers of South Korea. After analyzing appropriateness of the data of annual maximum flood flows by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, 3 and 4 Kappa distributions were applied and the appropriateness was judged. The parameters of 3 and 4 Kappa distributions were estimated by L-moment method and the design floods by water level gaging station was calculated. Through the comparative analysis using the relative root mean square errors (RRMSE) and relative absolute errors (RAE) calculated by 3 and 4 parameter Kappa distributions with 4 plotting position formulas, the result showed that the design floods by 4 parameter Kappa distribution with Weibull and Cunnane plotting position formulas are closer to the observed data than those obtained by 3 parameter Kappa distribution with 4 plotting position formulas and 4 parameter Kappa distribution with Hazen and Gringorten plotting position formulas.

L-모멘트 및 LH-모멘트에 의한 GEV 분포모형의 실계홍수량의 유도 (Derivation of Design Flood by L-Moments and LH-Moments in GEV distributiion)

  • 이순혁;박명근;맹승진;정연수;김동주;류경식
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 1999년도 Proceedings of the 1999 Annual Conference The Korean Society of Agricutural Engineers
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    • pp.479-485
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    • 1999
  • This study was conducted to derived design floods by Generalized Extreme Value(GEV) distributiion for the annual maximum series at ten watersheds along Han, Nagdong, Geum , Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. Adequency for the analysis of flood data used in this study was established by the test of Independence, Homogeneity , detection of Outliers. Coefficient of variation , skewness and kurtosis were calculated by the L-Moment, and LH-Moment ratio respectively. Parameters were estimated by the Method of L-Method of LH-Moment. Design floods obtained by Method of L-Moments and LH-Moments using different methods for plotting positions in GEV distributions and were compared with those obatined using the Method of L-Moments and LH-Moments by the Relative Mean Errors and Realtive Absoulte Errors. It was found that desgin floods derived by the method of L-Moments and LH-Moments using Cunnane plotting position foumula in the GEV distribution are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by methods of L-moments and LH-moments using the other formula for poltting postions from the viewpoint of Relative Mean Errors and Relative Absoulte Errors. In view of the fact that hydraulic structures indcluding dams and levees are generally usiong design floods with the return period of two hundred years or so, design floods derived by LH-Moments are seemed to be more reasonable than those of L-Moments in the GEV distribution.

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홍수피해예상조사방법에 관한 연구 <항공사진판독에 의한 지형 지질분석 및 그 응용을 중심으로> (Studies on A New Geomorphological Approach for Survey of Potential Floods Damages -An aplicatlon of geomorphology and geology through aerial photo-interpration-)

  • 김태희
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.34-46
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    • 1974
  • This paper provides a new geomorphological approach for survey of potential flood damages and for preparation of cartographically accurate flood maps. floods are possibly the worst disasters we have recorded in he past and may expect in the future. Interpretation of aerial photographs of river basin enables us to determine the nature of floods by investigating the maximum extent of inundated areas in the past. Most of the typical dangerous spots, highly susceptible for flood disasters can be systematically identified by analyzin lithologic, structural, and geomorphic cycle.

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