• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood vulnerability

Search Result 125, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Analysis on flood vulnerability using PSR index (PSR 지수를 활용한 유역별 홍수취약도 분석)

  • Kim, Youngil;Seo, Seung Beom;Jee, Hee Won;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2018.05a
    • /
    • pp.419-419
    • /
    • 2018
  • 기후변화로 인한 홍수피해의 빈도와 규모가 증가함에 따라 미래 홍수취약성은 갈수록 증가할 것으로 전망된다. 이를 대비하기 위해서는 지역별 기후변화를 고려한 홍수취약성 평가를 통해 적절한 적응 정책을 수립하여야 한다. 본 연구에서는 지역별 홍수취약성을 평가하기 위해 홍수취약성지수(Flood Vulnerability Index, FVI)를 새롭게 선정하였다. FVI는 3가지 구성요소의 결합으로 산정되며, 피해의 원인이 되는 압력지수(Pressure Index), 물리적 피해 현황을 나타내는 현상지수(State Index), 대응할 수 있는 능력인 대책지수(Response Index)의 함수로 나타낸다. 압력지수는 기후, 유역, 사회특성에 따라 세부지표를 구분하였고, 현상지수는 홍수피해 비율, 대책지수는 기술 및 사회적 특성을 기준으로 하였다. 따라서, 압력지수 및 현상지수가 클수록 홍수피해에 취약함을 나타내고, 대책지수가 클수록 취약성이 저감되게 된다. 연구 대상 지역은 최근 집중호우로 인해 많은 홍수피해가 발생한 금강유역을 선정하였고, 과거 홍수 피해액 자료를 사용하여 선정된 지수의 적용성을 검토하였다. 또한, 기후변화를 고려하기 위해 27개의 GCMs (Global Climate Models) 중 홍수를 가장 잘 설명하는 5개의 대표시나리오와 2개의 배출시나리오(RCP4.5, RCP8.5)를 사용하였으며, 과거(2010년대) 및 2030년대, 2050년대, 2080년대의 홍수취약성지수를 산정하여 결과를 분석하였다. Spearmans's rank correlation coefficient를 사용하여 과거 10년간 실제 홍수 피해액의 평균값과 FVI를 비교한 결과 선정된 지수가 홍수피해를 적절히 설명하는 것으로 나타났다. 대표시나리오를 사용한 미래 홍수취약성 분석 결과, 용담댐 유역에서 홍수취약성이 증가하는 것으로 나타났으며 지역별 상대적 취약성전망 결과는 대부분 과거와 비슷하였다.

  • PDF

Applicability of frequency based flood risk map for flood risk assessment (홍수위험도 평가를 위한 빈도별 홍수위험지도의 적용성에 관한 연구)

  • Yujin Kang;Won-joon Wang;Seongcheol Shin;Daegun Han;Soojun Kim;Hung Soo Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.105-105
    • /
    • 2023
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 매년 집중호우 및 태풍으로 인한 침수피해가 증가하고 있다. 현재 국내에서는 이러한 피해를 줄이기 위해 구조적 대책뿐만 아니라 치수사업의 의사결정을 지원할 수 있는 비구조적 대책들이 대두되고 있다. 비구조적 대책으로는 재해예방사업 등에서 투자우선순위를 결정할 수 있는 다차원법, 홍수취약성지수 등과 같은 정량적, 정성적 홍수위험도 평가가 대표적이다. 하지만 기존 시군구별 홍수위험도 평가는 빈도별 홍수위험지도의 침수면적을 반영하지 않았었다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 서울특별시를 대상으로 빈도별(50, 80, 100 및 200년) 설계홍수량에 따른 홍수위험지도를 작성하고 IBA(Indicator Based Assessment) 방법을 활용한 홍수위험도 평가를 실시하였다. 홍수위험지수는 4가지 항목(Hazard, Exposure, Vulnerability 및 Capacity)과 8개의 세부지표로 구성하였다. 분석결과, 송파구와 성동구는 100년 빈도, 용산구와 강남구는 80년 빈도와 100년 빈도에서 홍수위험지수의 순위 변동이 관측되었다. 순위 변동이 발생한 주요 원인으로는 홍수위험도 평가에 반영된 Exposure 및 Vulnerability 항목에 포함된 세부지표별 지수가 시군구 내 빈도별 침수면적이 변화함에 따라 증가 혹은 감소했기 때문이었다. 본 연구를 활용하면 빈도별 침수면적 변화에 따른 시군구별 홍수위험도를 파악할 수 있으며, 그에 따른 예방책 또한 마련할 수 있을 것이다. 그리고 공간분석을 통해 도출된 통계지도를 활용하여 홍수위험에 직접적으로 노출된 건물 및 인구 밀집지역을 파악하고, 해당 지역을 대상으로 치수사업을 전개할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

Examination of Applicability of Liquefaction Potential Index to Seismic Vulnerability Evaluation of the Korean River Levees (액상화 가능 지수의 국내 하천제방 지진취약도 평가 적용성 검토)

  • Ha, Iksoo;Moon, Injong;Yun, Jungwon;Han, Jintae
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.31-40
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this study, a simple method to evaluate the seismic vulnerability of river levees was examined considering the structural characteristic of river levee, that is long, and the functional characteristic of river levee that performs temporary function against flood but is a permanent structure in the ordinary way. Considering the fact that one of the main failure modes of the levee during the earthquake are the settlement due to the strength reduction of the ground caused by the increase of the excess pore pressure in the levee body and foundation and the settlement due to liquefaction, the 2-dimensional section of the levee was regarded as the 1-dimensional section and the liquefaction potential index (LPI) for the regarded section was estimated. The estimated LPI was correlated with the seismic vulnerability of river levees. The relationship between the displacement of the levee crest caused by the earthquake and the seismic vulnerability of the levees was obtained from the results of previous researches and the correlation between the displacements of the levee crest computed by 2-dimensional dynamic coupled analyses and LPIs based on the results of 1-dimensional seismic response analyses was investigated. In connection with this correlation, as a result of examination of the correlation between LPI and the seismic vulnerability of the levee, it was concluded that the method for evaluation of the seismic vulnerability of the Korean river levee using LPI is applicable.

Analysis of future flood inundation change in the Tonle Sap basin under a climate change scenario

  • Lee, Dae Eop;Jung, Sung Ho;Yeon, Min Ho;Lee, Gi Ha
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.48 no.3
    • /
    • pp.433-446
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, the future flood inundation changes under a climate change were simulated in the Tonle Sap basin in Cambodia, one of the countries with high vulnerability to climate change. For the flood inundation simulation using the rainfall-runoff-inundation (RRI) model, globally available geological data (digital elevation model [DEM]; hydrological data and maps based on Shuttle elevation derivatives [HydroSHED]; land cover: Global land cover facility-moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer [GLCF-MODIS]), rainfall data (Asian precipitation-highly-resolved observational data integration towards evaluation [APHRODITE]), climate change scenario (HadGEM3-RA), and observational water level (Kratie, Koh Khel, Neak Luong st.) were constructed. The future runoff from the Kratie station, the upper boundary condition of the RRI model, was constructed to be predicted using the long short-term memory (LSTM) model. Based on the results predicted by the LSTM model, a total of 4 cases were selected (representative concentration pathway [RCP] 4.5: 2035, 2075; RCP 8.5: 2051, 2072) with the largest annual average runoff by period and scenario. The results of the analysis of the future flood inundation in the Tonle Sap basin were compared with the results of previous studies. Unlike in the past, when the change in the depth of inundation changed to a range of about 1 to 10 meters during the 1997 - 2005 period, it occurred in a range of about 5 to 9 meters during the future period. The results show that in the future RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, the variability of discharge is reduced compared to the past and that climate change could change the runoff patterns of the Tonle Sap basin.

A Study for Storage Reallocation of Multipurpose Reservoir(II) - Conservation Storage Analysis (다목적댐 용량 재할당에 대한 연구(II)- 이수용량 분석)

  • Yi, Jae-Eung;Kwon, Yong-Ik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.37 no.4
    • /
    • pp.283-292
    • /
    • 2004
  • In the past, it was unnecessary to consider the reallocation of reservoir storage because new reservoir construction was relatively not difficult. However, it became necessary since it is so difficult to construct new reservoirs in these days. In this study, the change of the water supply capability is evaluated through conservation storage drawdown frequency analysis, hydropower analysis, reliability, resiliency and vulnerability analyses for Geum River basin. As a result, it is confirmed that water supply capability of Daechung reservoir can be increased by reallocating flood control storage to conservation storage.

Comparative Analysis of Baseflow Separation using Conventional and Deep Learning Techniques

  • Yusuff, Kareem Kola;Shiksa, Bastola;Park, Kidoo;Jung, Younghun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.149-149
    • /
    • 2022
  • Accurate quantitative evaluation of baseflow contribution to streamflow is imperative to address seasonal drought vulnerability, flood occurrence and groundwater management concerns for efficient and sustainable water resources management in watersheds. Several baseflow separation algorithms using recursive filters, graphical method and tracer or chemical balance have been developed but resulting baseflow outputs always show wide variations, thereby making it hard to determine best separation technique. Therefore, the current global shift towards implementation of artificial intelligence (AI) in water resources is employed to compare the performance of deep learning models with conventional hydrograph separation techniques to quantify baseflow contribution to streamflow of Piney River watershed, Tennessee from 2001-2021. Streamflow values are obtained from the USGS station 03602500 and modeled to generate values of Baseflow Index (BI) using Web-based Hydrograph Analysis (WHAT) model. Annual and seasonal baseflow outputs from the traditional separation techniques are compared with results of Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and simple Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) models. The GRU model gave optimal BFI values during the four seasons with average NSE = 0.98, KGE = 0.97, r = 0.89 and future baseflow volumes are predicted. AI offers easier and more accurate approach to groundwater management and surface runoff modeling to create effective water policy frameworks for disaster management.

  • PDF

A Study on Web Vulnerability Assessment and Prioritization of Measures by Vulnerabilities (웹 취약점 점검 및 취약점별 조치 우선 순위 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Seong, JongHyuk;Lee, HooKi;Ko, InJe;Kim, Kuinam J.
    • Convergence Security Journal
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.37-44
    • /
    • 2018
  • Today we live in a flood of web sites and access numerous websites through the Internet to obtain various information. However, unless the security of the Web site is secured, Web site security can not be secured from various malicious attacks. Hacking attacks, which exploit Web site security vulnerabilities for various reasons, such as financial and political purposes, are increasing. Various attack techniques such as SQL-injection, Cross-Site Scripting(XSS), and Drive-By-Download are being used, and the technology is also evolving. In order to defend against these various hacking attacks, it is necessary to remove the vulnerabilities from the development stage of the website, but it is not possible due to various problems such as time and cost. In order to compensate for this, it is important to identify vulnerabilities in Web sites through web vulnerability checking and take action. In this paper, we investigate web vulnerabilities and diagnostic techniques and try to understand the priorities of vulnerabilities in the development stage according to the actual status of each case through cases of actual web vulnerability diagnosis.

  • PDF

A Study on Flood Susceptibility of Heritage Sites by Heritage Type Depending on Locational Characteristics (입지특성에 따른 문화재 유형별 홍수 민감성 기초연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Traditional Landscape Architecture
    • /
    • v.40 no.3
    • /
    • pp.46-56
    • /
    • 2022
  • This study aimed to analyze the locational characteristics of heritage sites in Seoul in order to identify flood susceptibility by type. As for the location factors related to flood susceptibility, elevation, slope, distance to streams, and topographic location were analyzed. Literature review was supplemented for the historical and humanistic environments of heritage sites. The results of the study are as follows. First, heritage sites in Seoul are distributed throughout the city, and are especially highly dense in the Hanyangdoseong fortress. It was also confirmed that heritage sites were concentrated around Jung-gu, Jongno-gu, Jingwan-dong, and Ui-dong in the quantitative spatial analyses. Second, types of heritage sites at the circumstance susceptible to flood damage were related to commerce and distribution, traffic, modern traffic and communication, geological monument, residence, government office, and palace. Third, heritage types with locational characteristics that showed low flood susceptibility were found to be natural scenic spots, telecommunication, ceramics, Buddhism, tombs, and tomb sculptural heritage assets. In a time when risk factors that can damage the value of heritage are gradually increasing due to anthropogenic influences along with changes in the natural environment, this study provides basic data for vulnerability analysis that reflects the unique characteristics of heritage assets. The results can contribute to more comprehensive and comprehensive insights for the management and protection of heritage by including the humanities and social science data together with natural factors in the analysis.

A Study on the Vulnerability Assessment of Solar Power Generation Facilities Considering Disaster Information (재해정보를 고려한 태양광발전시설의 취약성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Heejin Pyo
    • Land and Housing Review
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.57-71
    • /
    • 2024
  • This study aims to develop an evaluation method for solar power facilities considering disaster impacts and to analyse the vulnerabilities of existing facilities. Haenam-gun in Jeollanam-do, where the reassessment of existing facilities is urgent, was selected as the study area. To evaluate the vulnerability from a more objective perspective, principal component analysis and entropy methods were utilised. Seven vulnerability assessment indicators were selected: maximum hourly rainfall, maximum wind speed, number of typhoon occurrence days, number of rainfall days lasting more than five days, maximum daily rainfall, impermeable area ratio, and population density. Among these, maximum hourly rainfall, maximum wind speed, maximum daily rainfall, and number of rainfall days lasting more than five days were found to have the highest weights. The overlay of the derived weights showed that the southeastern regions of Haenam-eup and Bukil-myeon were classified as Grade 1 and 2, whereas the northern regions of Hwawon-myeon, Sani-myeon, and Munnae-myeon were classified as Grade 4 and 5, indicating differences in vulnerability. Of the 2,133 facilities evaluated, 91.1% were classified as Grade 3 or higher, indicating a generally favourable condition. However, there were more Grade 1 facilities than Grade 2, highlighting the need for countermeasures. This study is significant in that it evaluates solar power facilities considering urban disaster resilience and is expected to be used as a basic resource for the installation of new facilities or the management and operation of existing ones.

Development and Application of a Methodologyfor Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment-Sea Level Rise Impact ona Coastal City (기후변화 취약성 평가 방법론의 개발 및 적용 해수면 상승을 중심으로)

  • Yoo, Ga-Young;Park, Sung-Woo;Chung, Dong-Ki;Kang, Ho-Jeong;Hwang, Jin-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.185-205
    • /
    • 2010
  • Climate change vulnerability assessment based on local conditions is a prerequisite for establishment of climate change adaptation policies. While some studies have developed a methodology for vulnerability assessment at the national level using statistical data, few attempts, whether domestic or overseas, have been made to develop methods for local vulnerability assessments that are easily applicable to a single city. Accordingly, the objective of this study was to develop a conceptual framework for climate change vulnerability, and then develop a general methodology for assessment at the regional level applied to a single coastal city, Mokpo, in Jeolla province, Korea. We followed the conceptual framework of climate change vulnerability proposed by the IPCC (1996) which consists of "climate exposure," "systemic sensitivity," and "systemic adaptive capacity." "Climate exposure" was designated as sea level rises of 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 meter(s), allowing for a simple scenario for sea level rises. Should more complex forecasts of sea level rises be required later, the methodology developed herein can be easily scaled and transferred to other projects. Mokpo was chosen as a seaside city on the southwest coast of Korea, where all cities have experienced rising sea levels. Mokpo has experienced the largest sea level increases of all, and is a region where abnormal high tide events have become a significant threat; especially subsequent to the construction of an estuary dam and breakwaters. Sensitivity to sea level rises was measured by the percentage of flooded area for each administrative region within Mokpo evaluated via simulations using GIS techniques. Population density, particularly that of senior citizens, was also factored in. Adaptive capacity was considered from both the "hardware" and "software" aspects. "Hardware" adaptive capacity was incorporated by considering the presence (or lack thereof) of breakwaters and seawalls, as well as their height. "Software" adaptive capacity was measured using a survey method. The survey questionnaire included economic status, awareness of climate change impact and adaptation, governance, and policy, and was distributed to 75 governmental officials working for Mokpo. Vulnerability to sea level rises was assessed by subtracting adaptive capacity from the sensitivity index. Application of the methodology to Mokpo indicated vulnerability was high for seven out of 20 administrative districts. The results of our methodology provides significant policy implications for the development of climate change adaptation policy as follows: 1) regions with high priority for climate change adaptation measures can be selected through a correlation diagram between vulnerabilities and records of previous flood damage, and 2) after review of existing short, mid, and long-term plans or projects in high priority areas, appropriate adaptation measures can be taken as per this study. Future studies should focus on expanding analysis of climate change exposure from sea level rises to other adverse climate related events, including heat waves, torrential rain, and drought etc.

  • PDF