• 제목/요약/키워드: Flood risk management

검색결과 130건 처리시간 0.035초

Assessing the Suitability of Satellite Precipitation Products for Flood Modeling in the Tonle Sap Lake Basin, Cambodia

  • Oudom Satia Huong;Xuan-Hien Le;Giha Lee
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.176-176
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    • 2023
  • The Tonle Sap is the richest and diverseness of freshwater ecosystem in Southeast Asia, receiving nurturing water flows from the Mekong and its immediate basin. In addition, the rapid development in the Tonle Sap Lake (TSL) Basin, and flood inundation may threaten the natural diversities and characteristics. The impacts of flood inundation in 11 sub-basins contributing to the Tonle Sap Lake were assessed using the Rainfall-Runoff-Inundation (RRI) model to quantify the potential magnitude and extent of the flooding. The RRI model is set up by using gauged rainfall data to simulate the information of river discharge and flood inundation of huge possible flood events. Moreover, two satellite precipitation products (SPPs), CHIRPS and GSMaP, within respectively spatial resolutions of 0.05° and 0.1°, are utilized as an input for the RRI model to simulate river discharge, flood depth, and flood extent for the great TSL Basin of Cambodia. This study used statistical indicators such as NSE, PBIAS, RSR, and R2 as crucial indices to evaluate the performance of the RRI model. Therefore, the findings of this study could provide promising guidance in hydrological modeling and the significant implications for flood risk management and disaster preparedness in the region.

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Scenario Analysis Technology for Flood Risk Management in the Taihu Basin

  • Changwei, Hu
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.140-148
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    • 2010
  • The Taihu Basin is located in the east coast of China, where the threats of frequent floods have induced construction of massive, complex, hierarchical flood defense systems over the interconnected river networks. Digital modeling of flooding processes and quantitative damage assessment still remain challenging due to such complexity. The current research uses an integrated approach to meet this challenge by combining multiple types of models within a GIS platform. A new algorithm is introduced to simulate the impacts of the flood defense systems, especially the large number of polders, on floods distributions and damages.

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미국의 새로운 홍수빈도해석 가이드라인(Bulletin 17C)의 적용 (Application of New Version of Flood Frequency Analysis (Bulletin 17C))

  • 이태삼;;손찬영
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.247-253
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    • 2017
  • 정확한 홍수빈도와 강도의 추정은 홍수위험관리 및 피해감소에 중요한 역할을 담당하고 있다. 미국에서는 설계수문량 산정을 위한 Log Pearson Type-III (LP-III)와 매개변수 추정을 위한 모멘트법을 일괄적으로 적용해오고 있다. 1965년 홍수빈도해석 가이드라인인 Bulletin 15가 처음으로 만들어진 이후 이를 개량해 나아가 현재에는 Bulletin 17B가 가이드라인으로 사용되고 있다. 최근에 Bulletin 17C가 기존 가이드라인의 부족한 부분을 보완하고 새로운 방법들을 흡수하여 거의 완료상태에 있고 곧 출시될 예정이다. 본 연구에서는 새로이 보완된 Bulletin 17C에 대한 중요사항들을 분석하고 이를 적용하여 보았다. 분석결과들로부터 우리나라 설계홍수량 산정방법 및 절차의 개선방안에 대하여 고찰하였다.

Flood Risk Management for Weirs: Integrated Application of Artificial Intelligence and RESCON Modelling for Maintaining Reservoir Safety

  • Idrees, Muhammad Bilal;Kim, Dongwook;Lee, Jin-Young;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.167-167
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    • 2020
  • Annual sediment deposition in reservoirs behind weirs poses flood risk, while its accurate prediction remains a challenge. Sediment management by hydraulic flushing is an effective method to maintain reservoir storage. In this study, an integrated approach to predict sediment inflow and sediment flushing simulation in reservoirs is presented. The annual sediment inflow prediction was carried out with Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) modelling. RESCON model was applied for quantification of sediment flushing feasibility criteria. The integrated approach was applied on Sangju Weir and also on estuary of Nakdong River (NREB). The mean annual sediment inflow predicted at Sangju Weir and NREB was 400,000 ㎥ and 170,000 ㎥, respectively. The sediment characteristics gathered were used to setup RESCON model and sediment balance ratio (SBR) and long term capacity ratio (LTCR) were used as flushing efficiency indicators. For Sangju Weir, the flushing discharge, Qf = 140 ㎥/s with a drawdown of 5 m, and flushing duration, Tf = 10 days was necessary for efficient flushing. At NREB site, the parameters for efficient flushing were Qf = 80 ㎥/s, Tf = 5 days, N = 1, Elf = 2.24 m. The hydraulic flushing was concluded feasible for sediment management at both Sangju Weir and NREB.

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GIS 기반 의사결정 분석에 AHP의 적용 - 홍수재해관리 중심으로 (Application of AHP in GIS-based Decision Analysis - with emphasis in Flood Hazard management)

  • 김수정;염재홍;이동천
    • 한국측량학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국측량학회 2004년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.423-428
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    • 2004
  • Flooding is one of the main causes of loss of lives and properties among various natural disasters in Korea. Flood risk maps are currently being produced in Korea but the progress is slow considering the necessity to map at nationwide scale. In this study, GIS-based multi-criteria decision making process which is normally used for resource management and site analysis was applied to locate flood vulnerable areas. Past records of flooding maps were analysed to extract topographic characteristics of flooded areas. The extracted characteristics were then set as criteria for flooding analysis using the Fuzzy and Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) methodology. Results from this study showed that an improved phased action plan was possible, because the flood vulnerable areas are shown in varying degrees of uncertainty unlike the conventional Boolean type GIS layer superimposition analysis.

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치수특성평가를 위한 홍수위험지수 개발 (Establishment of Flood Risk Index for Flood Management)

  • 이동률;임광섭;최시중
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
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    • pp.342-346
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    • 2009
  • 홍수피해를 발생시키는 외부적인 요소 측면에서 과거와는 다른 강우특성이 뚜렷이 나타나고 있고, 홍수 피해의 측면에서 홍수에 의한 피해 잠재성이 매우 커지고 있는 시점에서 치수대책은 내 외부적인 여건변화에 민감하게 대처해야 한다. 수자원장기종합계획보고서(국토해양부, 2006)에서는 과거와 같은 제방위주의 치수대책으로는 변화하고 있는 강우상황에 대처할 수 없을 뿐만 아니라 급증하는 홍수피해를 줄이기에는 한계가 있다고 강조하고 있다. 따라서 이와 같은 내 외부적인 환경변화에 대응하기 위해 새로운 패러다임의 홍수대책의 수립이 필요하고, 급변하는 기후변동에 의한 유역의 홍수취약성을 파악하기 위한 지표를 개발하여 치수 정책과 관련 사업의 의사결정을 지원할 수 있는 체계가 뒷받침 되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 P(Pressure, 압력)-S(State, 현상)-R(Response, 대책) 구성체계를 기반으로 홍수위험지수(Flood Risk Index, FRI)를 개발하여 유역 간 홍수의 취약성 비교 분석을 하고 해당 지역의 주된 취약요인을 파악하여 정부 및 지자체의 치수관련 정책 결정을 효과적으로 지원할 수 있도록 하는데 목적이 있다.

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A Framework of Managing Supply Chain Disruption Risks Using Network Reliability

  • Ohmori, Shunichi;Yoshimoto, Kazuho
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2013
  • This paper discusses how to manage supply chain disruption risks from natural disasters or other low-likelihood-high-impact risk drivers. After the catastrophic earthquake in Eastern Japan and the severe flood in Thailand, most companies have been attempting to re-establish the business continuity plan to prevent their supply chain from disruption. However, the challenges for managers and individual risks are often interrelated, and thus, actions that mitigate one risk can end up being no contribution as a whole. In this paper, we describe a framework for assessing how much impact individual mitigation strategies have on the entire supply chain protection against disruption, using network reliability. We propose three categories of risk-mitigation approaches: Stabilization, Absorption, and Duplication. We analyze the situation under which each of these strategies is the best suitable. With a clear understanding of relations between these mitigation strategies and the entire supply chain risks, managers can select effective risk-reduction approaches to their supply chain.

격자 기반 침수위험지도 작성을 위한 기계학습 모델별 성능 비교 연구 - 2016 태풍 차바 사례를 중심으로 - (Performance Comparison of Machine Learning Models for Grid-Based Flood Risk Mapping - Focusing on the Case of Typhoon Chaba in 2016 -)

  • 한지혜;곽창재;김구윤;이미란
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제39권5_2호
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    • pp.771-783
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to compare the performance of each machine learning model for preparing a grid-based disaster risk map related to flooding in Jung-gu, Ulsan, for Typhoon Chaba which occurred in 2016. Dynamic data such as rainfall and river height, and static data such as building, population, and land cover data were used to conduct a risk analysis of flooding disasters. The data were constructed as 10 m-sized grid data based on the national point number, and a sample dataset was constructed using the risk value calculated for each grid as a dependent variable and the value of five influencing factors as an independent variable. The total number of sample datasets is 15,910, and the training, verification, and test datasets are randomly extracted at a 6:2:2 ratio to build a machine-learning model. Machine learning used random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and k-nearest neighbor (KNN) techniques, and prediction accuracy by the model was found to be excellent in the order of SVM (91.05%), RF (83.08%), and KNN (76.52%). As a result of deriving the priority of influencing factors through the RF model, it was confirmed that rainfall and river water levels greatly influenced the risk.

Generalized Logistic 분포형을 이용한 수공구조물의 위험도에 대한 불확실성 해석 (Uncertainty Analysis of the Risk of Hydraulic Structures Using Generalized Logistic Distribution)

  • 신홍준;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.758-763
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    • 2006
  • Statistical concepts and methods are routinely utilized in a number of design and management problems in engineering hydrology. This is because most of hydrological processes have some degree of randomness and uncertainty. Thus, the concepts of risk and uncertainty are commonly utilized for designing and evaluating hydraulic structures such as spillways and dikes. Therefore, in this study, uncertainty analysis considering the variance of design floods is performed to evaluate the uncertainty of the hydrologic risk of flood related hydraulic structures using frequency analysis.

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