• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood level

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Flood Risk Assessment Based on Bias-Corrected RCP Scenarios with Quantile Mapping at a Si-Gun Level (분위사상법을 적용한 RCP 시나리오 기반 시군별 홍수 위험도 평가)

  • Park, Jihoon;Kang, Moon Seong;Song, Inhong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2013
  • The main objective of this study was to evaluate Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios-based flood risk at a Si-Gun level. A bias correction using a quantile mapping method with the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution was performed to correct future precipitation data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). A series of proxy variables including CN80 (Number of days over 80 mm) and CX3h (Maximum precipitation during 3-hr) etc. were used to carry out flood risk assessment. Indicators were normalized by a Z-score method and weighted by factors estimated by principal component analysis (PCA). Flood risk evaluation was conducted for the four different time periods, i.e. 1990s, 2025s, 2055s, and 2085s, which correspond to 1976~2005, 2011~2040, 2041~2070, and 2071~2100. The average flood risk indices based on RCP4.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.16, 0.22, and 0.13 for the corresponding periods in the order of time, which increased steadily up to 2055s period and decreased. The average indices based on RCP8.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.23, 0.11, and 0.21, which decreased in the 2055s period and then increased again. Considering the average index during entire period of the future, RCP8.5 scenario resulted in greater risk than RCP4.5 scenario.

Real-time Flood Stage Forecasting of Tributary Junctions in Namhan River (남한강 지류 합류부의 실시간 홍수위 예측)

  • Kim, Sang Ho;Hyun, Jin Sub;Kim, Ji-Sung;Jun, Kyung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.561-572
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    • 2014
  • The backwater effect at a tributary junction increases the risk of flood damage such as inundation and levee overflow. In particular, the rapid increase in water level may cause injury to persons. The purpose of this research is the development of the real-time flood forecasting technique as a part of the non-structural flood damage reduction measures. To this end, the factors causing a water level rising at a junction were examined, and the empirical formula for predicting flood level at a junction was developed using the calculated discharge and water level data from the well-constructed hydraulic model. The water level predictions show that average absolute error is about 0.2~0.3m with the maximum error of 1.0m and peak time can be captured prior to 0~5 hr. From the results of this study, the real-time flood forecasting system of a tributary junction can be easily constructed, and this system is expected to be utilized for reduction of flood inundation damage.

DEVELOPMENT OF A REAL-TIME FLOOD FORECASTING SYSTEM BY HYDRAULIC FLOOD ROUTING

  • Lee, Joo-Heon;Lee, Do-Hun;Jeong, Sang-Man;Lee, Eun-Tae
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2001
  • The objective of this study is to develop a prediction mode for a flood forecasting system in the downstream of the Nakdong river basin. Ranging from the gauging station at Jindong to the Nakdong estuary barrage, the hydraulic flood routing model(DWOPER) based on the Saint Venant equation was calibrated by comparing the calculated river stage with the observed river stages using four different flood events recorded. The upstream boundary condition was specified by the measured river stage data at Jindong station and the downstream boundary condition was given according to the tide level data observed at he Nakdong estuary barrage. The lateral inflow from tributaries were estimated by the rainfall-runoff model. In the calibration process, the optimum roughness coefficients for proper functions of channel reach and discharge were determined by minimizing the sum of the differences between the observed and the computed stage. In addition, the forecasting lead time on the basis of each gauging station was determined by a numerical simulation technique. Also, we suggested a model structure for a real-time flood forecasting system and tested it on the basis of past flood events. The testing results of the developed system showed close agreement between the forecasted and observed stages. Therefore, it is expected that the flood forecasting system we developed can improve the accuracy of flood forecasting on the Nakdong river.

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Flood Effects Analysis of Reservoir Basin through the Linkage of HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS Models (HEC-HMS와 HEC-RAS모형의 연계에 의한 댐 유역의 홍수영향 분석)

  • Lee, Weon-Hee;Kim , Sun-Joo;Kim , Phil-Shik
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2004
  • For the effective operation of irrigation reservoirs, a general and systematic policy is suggested to make balance of the conflicting purposes between water conservation and flood control. In this study, the flood effective analysis system was developed through the integration of long-term water budget analysis model, GIS-based HEC-HMS model and HEC-RAS model. The system structure consists of long-term water budget model using modified TANK theory, flood runoff and flood effects analysis model using HEC-GeoHMS, HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS models. The flood effects analysis system simulated the flood runoff from the upstream, downstream flood and long-term runoff of the watershed using the observed data collected from 1998 to 2002 of Seongju dam. The simulated results were reasonably good compared with the observed data. The optimal management method of the reservoir during the whole season is suggested in this study, and the flood analysis system can be a useful tool to evaluate a reservoir operation quantitatively for the mitigation of flood damages of reservoir basin.

Effects of Operation of the Kyeongpo Retarding Basin on Flood Water Levelin Kyeongpo Lake (경포유수지 운영이 경포호의 홍수위에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Sang Doeg;Lee, Seungkyu;Shin, Seung Sook;Yoon, Byung Man
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.413-423
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    • 2016
  • Effects of the design flood share of the Kyeongpo retarding basin, which has a function for flood control of the Kyeongpo river assigned to the Kyeongpo prickly water lily wetland, on the Kyeongpo lake and the downstream of Kyeongpo river were analyzed on the bassis of the hydraulic experiments and the numerical simulations using RMA-2 model. Reproducing a complex water flow system of the area of Kyeongpo lake, the unsteady flow simulations were performed. The data obtained in hydraulic experiments were used to determine parameters of the numerical model which simulated the flows for various flood scenarios in the downstream area of Kyeongpo river. With increasing the design flood share rates in the retarding basin, the water level was increased in the lake and is decreased in the river. The characteristics of flood flow interaction between Kyeongpo river and Kyeongpo lake were understood. These results may be used to management the Kyeongpo lake during flood season.

Affecting Water Supply Capacity Followed by Allocating Flood Control Volume in Heightening Reservoir (홍수조절용량 설정에 따른 증고저수지의 용수공급능력 변화)

  • Noh, Jae-Kyoung
    • KCID journal
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.57-70
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    • 2010
  • This study was performed to analyze the affect of water supply capacity followed by allocating flood control volume in heightening reservoir, of which Baekgog reservoir was selected as a case study in here. Baekgog reservoir is located in Jincheon county, Chungbuk province, of which full water level will be heightened from EL. 100. 1m to EL. 102.1m, and total storage from 21.75M $m^3$ to 26.67M $m^3$. Flood inflow with 200year frequency was estimated to 997 $m^3$/s in peak flow and 22.54M $m^3$ in total volume. Reservoir flood routing was conducted to determine flood limited water levels, which was determined to have scenarios such as EL 97-98-99m in periods of 6.21.-7.20., 7.21.-8.20., and 8.21.-9.20., respectively, EL 97-97-97m, EL 98-98-98m in present reservoir, and EL 99-100-101m, EL 99-99-99m, and EL 100-100-100m in heightened reservoir. Reservoir inflow was simulated by DAWAST model. Annual paddy irrigation requirement was estimated to 33.19M $m^3$ to 2,975ha. Instream flow was allocated to 0.14mm/d from October to April. Operation rule curve was drawn using inflow, irrigation and instream flow requirements data. In case of withdrawal limit reservoir operation using operation rule curve, reduction rates of annual irrigation supply before and after flood control by reservoir were 2.0~4.3% in present size and 1.5~3.6% in heightened size. Reliability on water supply was decreased from 77.3% to 63.6~68.2% in present size and from 81.6% to 72.7~79.5% in heightened size. And reduction rates of water storage at the end of year before and after flood control by reservoir were 7.3~16.5% in present size and 7.7~16.9% in heightened size. But water supplies were done without any water deficiency through withdrawal limit reservoir operation in spite of low flood regulating water level.

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Optimal Flood Control System for Irrigation Reservoir (관개저수지의 최적 홍수관리방안)

  • 문종필;민진우;김영식;박승기;김태철
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.311-317
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    • 1998
  • Recently irrigation reservoir has been developed to perform multipurpose function. To get a maximum effect it requires to establish optimal management system for irrigation reservoir in drought and flood season. Especially we dealt with optimal flood control system for irrigation reservoir in this study. This system consists of real-time rainfall data via online system, real-time flood forecasted by SCS method in hourly basis, storage volume by water balance equation, optimal releasing discharge from the gate, the water level in right downstream, and calculation of innundated area, depth, and time using GIS, and amount of flood damages. If we consider the relation of these sub module reasonably, we can reach the optimal flood control to minimize flood damage

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A study on the flood control of the Mekong Delta (메콩강하구의 홍수조절)

  • 최병습
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.299-304
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    • 1998
  • Flood control of the Mekong delta should be developed over time for rural as well as urban areas. The hydraulic modelling effort is aimed an investigating flow distribution and water level. For the flood control study the flood model made with the VRSAP program is used. Concerning future improvement of the models it is recommended to improve the quality of water level and discharge, extend the number of the measuring locations needed for input for the models, systematically review and analyze future measurement campaigns in order to obtain better understanding of the complex hydraulic aspects, verify and update the topographical data used to model the rivers and cannals, carry out detailed calibration and verification of the models on water levels, discharges etc.

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Analysis on Flood Control Effect of Siphon Spillway by Reservoir Routing (저수지 추적을 통한 사이펀 여수로의 홍수조절 효과 분석)

  • Ko, Suhyeon;Kim, Jaeyoung;Lee, Giha
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2013
  • Agricultural small dam reservoirs in Korea are vulnerable to flooding because of insufficient flood control capacity and deterioration such that reservoir water level is likely to rise rapidly and a large amount of water release quickly to downstream without flood warning. In this study, we performed hydrologic analysis to estimate design flood(200 years return period ${\times}1.2$) and also evaluated the effect of siphon spillway as a structural countermeasure for flood control and mitigation by applying reservoir routing to the Jipyeong reservoir, located in Sangju, Korea. The results show that the design flood was calculated at $284.3m^3/s$, and water level and water release decreased by 40cm and $91m^3/s$, respectively.

Development and Application of Vulnerability Analysis Index for River Levee (하천 제방의 취약성 분석 지수 개발 및 적용)

  • Lee, Hoosang;Lee, Jaejoon
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.spc
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    • pp.134-140
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we propose a new method for evaluating the vulnerability to flooding river levee. The purpose of this study is to examine how to apply the factors necessary to calculate the proposed levee flood index. To do this, the safety flood level was analyzed by applying the planned flood level. The levee flood vulnerabilities index was calculated based on seven factors such as freeboard, levee crown section, levee section ratio, safety factor, raised spot length, Seepage line change degree, and critical velocity. The Levee Flood Vulnerability Index(LFVI) of the levee developed in this study was used to levee vulnerability analysis. The results of the analysis were divided into 1 to 7 grades using Levee Flood Vulnerability Index(LFVI).