• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood damage cost

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Panel Data Analysis between Flood Damage and Recovery Cost (Panel Data 분석을 통한 홍수피해와 복구비 관계분석)

  • Park, Doo-Ho;Kim, Sun-Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2011
  • This paper addresses the correlation between the flood damage cost and recovery cost. National data (15 regions) for 20 years, panel data, has been analyzed for this test. Model specification of panel data analysis depends on the characteristics of data set and "fixed" or "random" effects model can be used. The results are represented in both models. As we expected all independent variables show positive relationship with recovery cost, except for the number of death and suffers. The damage of public facilities, such as rivers and road are the major factors on the damage and recovery cost, which means that flood damage can not be decreased without decreasing damages of public facilities from floods. Especially, the recovery cost is always higher than the damage cost and investment for flood control. Unlikely, government investment for flood control is the highest and recovery cost is the always lower than da mage cost andinvestment in Japan. Which means that proper investment can reduce economic damage cost of flood and recovery cost.

Flood damage cost projection in Korea using 26 GCM outputs (26 GCM 결과를 이용한 미래 홍수피해액 예측)

  • Kim, Myojeong;Kim, Gwangseob
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.spc
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    • pp.1149-1159
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to predict the future flood damage cost of 113 middle range watersheds using 26 GCM outputs, hourly maximum rainfall, 10-min maximum rainfall, number of days of 80 mm/day, daily rainfall maximum, annual rainfall amount, DEM, urbanization ratio, population density, asset density, road improvement ratio, river improvement ratio, drainage system improvement ratio, pumping capacity, detention basin capacity and previous flood damage costs. A constrained multiple linear regression model was used to construct the relationships between the flood damage cost and other variables. Future flood damage costs were estimated for different RCP scenarios such as 4.5 and 8.5. Results demonstrated that rainfall related factors such as annual rainfall amount, rainfall extremes etc. widely increase. It causes nationwide future flood damage cost increase. Especially the flood damage cost for Eastern part watersheds of Kangwondo and Namgang dam area may mainly increase.

Correlation between Storm Characteristics and Flood Damage (우리나라 호우특성과 홍수피해와의 상관관계)

  • Park, Doo-Ho;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Choi, Yong-Joon
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.219-229
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    • 2011
  • In this study, Correlation analysis for relationship between storm characteristics and flood damage cost was carried out using histogram analysis. The spatial range of flood damage cost data was the whole country and 16 provinces in the Korea, and period range was 16 years, from 1994 to 2009. According to the results of this analysis, most of total flood damage cost was highest in small; middle scale rainfall events of high frequency. Based on the results of comparison among 16 provinces, the ability to prevent flood demage of metropolitan was better than that of provinces. And the storm characteristics of causing maximum flood damage cost was different from each provinces. Therefore, the construction size in flood defence measures has to be determined when flood defence measures considering the results of this study as an useful guideline.

A study on development of flood depth-damage functions focused on school buildings (학교건물에 대한 홍수 침수심별 손상함수 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chang Hee;Kim, Sang Ho;Hwang, Shin Bum;Kim, Gil Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.8
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    • pp.513-520
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    • 2017
  • In order to analyze flood damage mitigation effects, it is necessary not only to analyze inundation areas and depth through hydraulic and hydrological analysis but also to estimate flood damages. Flood damages of structure and contents of buildings are generally analyzed according to the flood depth. In this study, we developed and applied flood depth-damage functions for the school buildings based on actual damage data. In addition, the development and modification procedure of flood depth-damage functions for school buildings is presented in this paper, and the developed damage functions are verified by comparing them with the existing method. It is expected that the process of developing and applying flood depth-damage functions presented in this study can be used in the cost benefit analysis of flood damage mitigation measures.

Development of regression functions for human and economic flood damage assessments in the metropolises (대도시에서의 인적·물적 홍수피해 추정을 위한 회귀함수 개발)

  • Lim, Yeon Taek;Lee, Jong Seok;Choi, Hyun Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.12
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    • pp.1119-1130
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    • 2020
  • Flood disasters have been recently increasing worldwide due to climate change and extreme weather events. Since flood damage recovery has been conducted as a common coping strategy to flood disasters in the Republic of Korea, it is necessary to predict the regional flood damage costs by rainfall characteristics for a preventative measure to flood damage. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to present the regression functions for human and economic flood damage assessments for the 7 metropolises in the Republic of Korea. A comprehensive regression analysis was performed through the total 48 simple regression models on the two types of flood damage records for human and economic costs over the past two decades from 1998 to 2017 using the four kinds of nonlinear equations with each of the six rainfall variables. The damage assessment functions for each metropolis were finally selected by the evaluation of the regression results with the coefficient of determination and the statistical significance test, and then used for the human and economic flood damage assessments for 100-year rainfall in the 7 metropolises. The results of this study are expected to provide the basic information on flood damage cost assessments for flood damage mitigation measures.

Performance Comparison between Neural Network Model and Statistical Model for Prediction of Damage Cost from Storm and Flood (신경망 모델과 확률 모델의 풍수해 예측성능 비교)

  • Choi, Seon-Hwa
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.18B no.5
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    • pp.271-278
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    • 2011
  • Storm and flood such as torrential rains and major typhoons has often caused damages on a large scale in Korea and damages from storm and flood have been increasing by climate change and warming. Therefore, it is an essential work to maneuver preemptively against risks and damages from storm and flood by predicting the possibility and scale of the disaster. Generally the research on numerical model based on statistical methods, the KDF model of TCDIS developed by NIDP, for analyzing and predicting disaster risks and damages has been mainstreamed. In this paper, we introduced the model for prediction of damage cost from storm and flood by the neural network algorithm which outstandingly implements the pattern recognition. Also, we compared the performance of the neural network model with that of KDF model of TCDIS. We come to the conclusion that the robustness and accuracy of prediction of damage cost on TCDIS will increase by adapting the neural network model rather than the KDF model.

Flood Damage Assessment According to the Scenarios Coupled with GIS Data (GIS 자료와 연계한 시나리오별 홍수피해액 분석)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Park, Jin-Hyeg
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2011
  • A simple and an improved methods for the assessment of flood damage were used in previous studies, and the Multi-Dimensional Flood Damage Assessment (MD-FDA) has been applied since 2004 in Korea. This study evaluated flood damage of dam downstream using considering MD-FDA method based on GIS data. Firstly, flood water level with FLDWAV (Flood Wave routing) model was input into cross section layer based on enforcement drainage algorithm, water depth grid data were created through spatial calculation with DEM data. The value of asset of building and agricultural land according to local government was evaluated using building layer from digital map and agricultural land map from landcover map. Also, itemized flood damage was calculated by unit price to building shape, evaluated value of housewares to urban type, unit cost to crop, tangible and inventory asset of company connected with building, agricultural land, flooding depth layer. Flood damage in rainfall frequency of 200 year showed 1.19, 1.30 and 1.96 times to flood damage in rainfall frequency of 100 year, 50 year and 10 year respectively by flood damage analysis.

A study on the estimation of damage by storm and flood using satellite imagery (풍수해 피해규모 파악을 위한 위성영상의 활용방안 연구)

  • Sohn, Hong-Gyoo;Yun, Kong-Hyun;Lee, Jung-Bin;Jin, Kyung-Hyuk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.111-114
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    • 2007
  • One of future remote sensing techniques for the estimation of damage by storm and flood is the extraction of water area, which could be the basis of measuring the damage by storm and flood and estimate restoration cost. This paper introduces an approach to damage estimation using satellite Image. The project site was Ansung area and a set of Radarsat-1 SAR image at 6.25m resolution was used for the test. Authors investigated methods of SAR image processing such as shadow-effect removal, orthorectification of SAR image and calculation of damage area by flood. Consequetly, this study showed that technique improvement of image processing and the best of result for extracting water area. Also, found the new possibility of damage estimation using satellite image.

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Analysis on the Change of Regional Vulnerability to Flood (홍수피해에 따른 지역적 취약성 변화 분석)

  • Hong, Ji-Hea;Hwang, Jin-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2006
  • Recently, the damage by fresh flood increases in Gangwon-do and Gyeongsangbuk-do of the north-eastern area of Korea. Even though the recent pattern of rain fall keeps changing, there is no strategy to mitigate damage by disaster. For the appropriate measure and policy for decreasing damage, an index for vulnerability is necessary to provide evidence of local climate change. The present work analyzes the flooding damage cost during the past 20 years. During 80's, the southern area of Korea was seriously damaged by over-floods on the agricultural ground. After that time, the loss and damage has decreased in the southern area but the middle part has shown slight but distinct increases of damage. The absolute coast of damage in the northern part has kept constant. However, the relative regional damage to the total country damage has kept increasing over 20 years in the same area. The surface area of floods is strongly correlated with the regional damage cost in the southern part but the north-eastern part has weak correlation between flooded area and cost. It implies that the recent damage in the north-eastern mountain area was not caused by flood itself but the other factors such as avalanches. The present work expects that the damage cost can be a good proxy value for index for climate change impact assessment.

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Calculation of optimal design flood using cost-benefit analysis with uncertainty (불확실성이 고려된 비용-편익분석 기법을 도입한 최적설계홍수량 산정)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Choi, Kwang Bae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.6
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    • pp.405-419
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    • 2022
  • Flood frequency analysis commonly used to design the hydraulic structures to minimize flood damage includes uncertainty. Therefore, the most appropriate design flood within a uncertainty should be selected in the final stage of a hydraulic structure, but related studies were rarely carried out. The total expected cost function introduced into the flood frequency analysis is a new approach for determining the optimal design flood. This procedure has been used as UNCODE (UNcertainty COmpliant DEsign), but the application has not yet been introduced in South Korea. This study introduced the mathematical procedure of UNCODE and calculated the optimal design flood using the annual maximum inflow of hydroelectric dams located in the Bukhan River system and results were compared with that of the existing flood frequency. The parameter uncertainty was considered in the total expected cost function using the Gumbel and the GEV distribution, and the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm was used to sample the parameters. In this study, cost function and damage function were assumed to be a first-order linear function. It was found that the medians of the optimal design flood for 4 Hydroelectric dams, 2 probability distributions, and 2 return periods were calculated to be somewhat larger than the design flood by the existing flood frequency analysis. In the future, it is needed to develop the practical approximated procedure to UNCODE.