• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood analysis model

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CAUTION OF REGIONAL FLOOD FREQUENCY ANALYSIS BASED ON WEIBULL MODEL

  • Heo, Jun-Haeng;Lee, Dong-Jin;Kim, Kyung-Duk
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2000
  • Regional flood frequency analysis has been developed by employing the nearby site's information to improve a precision in estimating flood quantiles at the site of interest. In this paper, single site and regional flood frequency analyses were compared based of the 2-parameter Weibull model. For regional analysis, two approaches were employed. The First one is to use the asymptotic variances of the quantile estimators derived based of the assumption that all sites including the site of interest are independent each other. This approach may give the maximum regional gain due to the spatial independence assumption among sites. The second one in Hosking's regional L-moment algorithm. These methods were applied to annual flood data. As the results, both methods generally showed the regional gain at the site of interest depending on grouping the sites as homogeneous. And asymptotic formula generally shows smaller variance than those from Hosking's algorithm. If the shape parameter of the site of interest from single site analysis is quite different from that from regional analysis then Hosking's results might be better than the asymptotic ones because the formula was derived based on the assumption that all sites have the same regional shape parameter. Furthermore, in such a case, regional analysis might be worse than single site analysis in the sense of precision of flood quantile estimation. Even though the selected sites may satisfy Hosking's criteria, regional analysis may not give a regional gain for specific and nonexceedance probabilities.

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Flood analysis for agriculture area using SWMM model: case study on Sindae drainage basin

  • Inhyeok Song;Hyunuk An;Mikyoung Choi;Heesung Lim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.799-808
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    • 2023
  • Globally, abnormal climate phenomena have led to an increase in rainfall intensity, consequently causing a rise in flooding-related damages. Agricultural areas, in particular, experience significant annual losses every year due to a lack of research on flooding in these regions. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of the flood event that occurred on July 16, 2017, in the agricultural area situated in Sindaedong, Heungdeok-gu, Cheongju-si. To achieve this, the EPA (United States Environmental Protection Agency) Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) was employed to generate runoff data by rainfall information. The produced runoff data facilitated the identification of flood occurrence points, and the analysis results exhibited a strong correlation with inundation trace maps provided by the Ministry of the Interior and Safety (MOIS). The detailed output of the SWMM model enabled the extraction of time-specific runoff information at each inundation point, allowing for a detailed understanding of the inundation status in the agricultural area over different time frames. This research underscores the significance of utilizing the SWMM model to simulate inundation in agricultural areas, thereby validating the efficacy of flood alerts and risk management plans. In particular, the integration of rainfall data and the SWMM model in flood prediction methodologies is expected to enhance the formulation of preventative measures and response strategies against flood damages in agricultural areas.

Improved Parameter Computation Method Applications of Storage Function Model for the Han River Basin (저류함수모형 매개변수 산정 개선방법의 한강유역 적용)

  • Jeong, Dong-Kug;Jeon, Yong-Woon;Lee, Beum-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.149-158
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    • 2008
  • The parameters of each basin, required for the accurate analysis of flood runoff using Storage Function Model, are estimated. Prior to the estimation, sensitivity analysis and extraction of new regional topographic factors for Han River basin are conducted. Based on the result, the outflow constant of basin model is calculated through regression analysis in relation with pre-flood runoff depth. The storage constant of basin model is derived by the optimum storage constant equation, according to the flood event of each basin. The model using the mentioned parameters was compared with K-Water model of Korea Water Resources Corporation and the model of Han River Flood Control Office, and proved to correspond to the observed hydrograph more.

Development of a Flood Runoff and Inundation Analysis System Associated With 2-D Rainfall Data Generated Using Radar III. 2-D Flood Inundation Simulation (레이더 정량강우와 연계한 홍수유출 및 범람해석 시스템 확립 III. 2차원 홍수범람 모의)

  • Choi, Kyu-Hyun;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Sang-Ho;Lee, Chang-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.4 s.165
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    • pp.347-362
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    • 2006
  • In this study, a 2-D flood inundation model was developed to evaluate the impact of levee failure in a natural basin for flood analysis. The model was applied to analyze the inundation flow from the levee break of Gamcheon river during the typhoon Rusa on October 31 through September 1, 2002. To verify the simulated results, wide range field surveys have been performed including the collection of NGIS database, land use condition, flooded area, and flow depths. Velocity distributions and inundation depths were presented to demonstrate the robustness of the model. Model results have good agreements with the observed data in terms of flood level and flooded area. The model is able to compute maximum stage and peak discharge efficiently in channel and protected lowland. Methodology considering radar-rainfall estimation using cokriging scheme, flood-runoff and inundation analysis in this study will contribute to the establishment of the national integrated flood disaster prevention system and the river or protect lowland management system.

Development of integrated disaster mapping method (I) : expansion and verification of grid-based model (통합 재해지도 작성 기법 개발(I) : 그리드 기반 모형의 확장 및 검증)

  • Park, Jun Hyung;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Byunghyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 2022
  • The objective of this study is to develop a two-dimensional (2D) flood model that can perform accurate flood analysis with simple input data. The 2D flood inundation models currently used to create flood forecast maps require complex input data and grid generation tools. This sometimes requires a lot of time and effort for flood modeling, and there may be difficulties in constructing input data depending on the situation. In order to compensate for these shortcomings, in this study, a grid-based model that can derive accurate and rapid flood analysis by reflecting correct topography as simple input data was developed. The calculation efficiency was improved by extending the existing 2×2 sub-grid model to a 5×5. In order to examine the accuracy and applicability of the model, it was applied to the Gamcheon Basin where both urban and river flooding occurred due to Typhoon Rusa. For efficient flood analysis according to user's selection, flood wave propagation patterns, accuracy and execution time according to grid size and number of sub-grids were investigated. The developed model is expected to be highly useful for flood disaster mapping as it can present the results of flooding analysis for various situations, from the flood inundation map showing accurate flooding to the flood risk map showing only approximate flooding.

돌발홍수 모니터링 및 예측 모형을 이용한 예측(F2MAP)태풍 루사에 의한 양양남대천 유역의 돌발홍수 모니터링

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Hong, Jun-Bum;Choi, Kyu-Hyun;Yoon, Seok-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1145-1149
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    • 2006
  • The typhoon Rusa passed through the Korean peninsula from the west-southern part to the east-northern part in the summer season of 2002. The flash flood due to the Rusa was occurred over the Korean peninsula and especially the damage was concentrated in Kangnung, Yangyang, Kosung, and Jeongsun areas of Kangwon-Do. Since the latter half of the 1990s the flash flood has became one of the frequently occurred natural disasters in Korea. Flash floods are a significant threat to lives and properties. The government has prepared against the flood disaster with the structural and nonstructural measures such as dams, levees, and flood forecasting systems. However, since the flood forecasting system requires the rainfall observations as the input data of a rainfall-runoff model, it is not a realistic system for the flash flood which is occurred in the small basins with the short travel time of flood flow. Therefore, the flash flood forecasting system should be constructed for providing the realistic alternative plan for the flash flood. To do so, firstly, Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction (FFMP) Model must be developed suitable to Korea terrain. In this paper, We develop the FFMP model which is based on GIS, Radar techniques and hydro-geomorphologic approaches. We call it the F2MAP model. F2MAP model has three main components (1) radar rainfall estimation module for the Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF), (2) GIS Module for the Digital terrain analysis, called TOPAZ(Topographic PArametiZation), (3) hydrological module for the estimation of threshold runoff and Flash Flood Guidance(FFG). For the performance test of the model developed in this paper, F2MAP model applied to the Kangwon-Do, Korea, where had a severe damage by the Typhoon Rusa in August, 2002. The result shown that F2MAP model is suitable for the monitoring and the prediction of flash flood.

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Numerical Model for Flood Inundation Analysis in a River(II) : Uncertainty Analysis (하천 홍수범람해석을 위한 수치모형의 개발(II): 불확실도 해석)

  • Lee, Hong-Rae;Han, Geon-Yeon;Kim, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.429-437
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    • 1998
  • The numerical model named "DWOPER-LEV" for the uncertainty analysis of flood inundation is developed. DWOPER model is expanded to compute overtopping risks of levee and to predict the range of the possible flood extent. Monte-Carlo simulation is applied to examine the uncertainties in cross section geometry and Manning's roughness coefficient. The model is applied to an actual levee break of the South Han River. The risks of overtopping are computed and the possible range of inundated area and inundated depth are estimated.

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A Study on Scenario-based Urban Flood Prediction using G2D Flood Analysis Model (G2D 침수해석 모형을 이용한 시나리오 기반 도시 침수예측 연구)

  • Hui-Seong Noh;Ki-Hong Park
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.488-494
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, scenario-based urban flood prediction for the entire Jinju city was performed, and a simulation domain was constructed using G2D as a 2-dimensional urban flood analysis model. The domain configuration is DEM, and the land cover map is used to set the roughness coefficient for each grid. The input data of the model are water level, water depth and flow rate. In the simulation of the built G2D model, virtual rainfall (3 mm/10 min rainfall given to all grids for 5 hours) and virtual flow were applied. And, a GPU acceleration technique was applied to determine whether to run the flood analysis model in the target area. As a result of the simulation, it was confirmed that the high-resolution flood analysis time was significantly shortened and the flood depth for visual flood judgment could be created for each simulation time.

Comparison of Flood Inundation Models using Topographic Feature (지형요소를 이용한 홍수범람해석 모형의 비교)

  • Moon, Changgeon;Lee, Jungsik;Cho, Sunggeun;Shin, Shachul
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2014
  • The objective of this study is to compare flood inundation models for small stream basin. HEC-RAS model was used for the analysis of one dimensional hydraulics and HEC-GeoRAS, Ras Mapper and RiverCAD models were applied for the flood inundation analysis in Gum Chung stream. Flood inundations are to simulate by flood inundation models using observed data and rainfall on each frequency and to compare with inundation area based on the flood plain maps. The results of this study are as follows; Area of flood inundations by HEC-GeoRAS model is similar to that of flood plain map and appears in order of RAS Mapper and RiverCAD model. Flood inundation area by RiverCAD model is to estimate lager than that of RAS Mapper and HEC-GeoRAS model in flood area on each frequency and the results show that they have a little difference in models of flood inundation analysis at small stream. Comparing the area of flood inundations by flood depth, the results of three models are relatively similar in flood depth as 2.0 m below, and RiverCAD model shows a significant difference in flood depth as 2.0 m or more.

UNCERTAINTY IN DAM BREACH FLOOD ROUTING RESULTS FOR DAM SAFETY RISK ASSESSMENT

  • Lee, Jong-Seok
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.215-234
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    • 2002
  • Uncertainty in dam breach flood routing results was analyzed in order to provide the basis fer the investigation of their effects on the flood damage assessments and dam safety risk assessments. The Monte Carlo simulation based on Latin Hypercube Sampling technique was used to generate random values for two uncertain input parameters (i.e., dam breach parameters and Manning's n roughness coefficients) of a dam breach flood routing analysis model. The flood routing results without considering the uncertainty in two input parameters were compared with those with considering the uncertainty. This paper showed that dam breach flood routing results heavily depend on the two uncertain input parameters. This study indicated that the flood damage assessments in the downstream areas can be critical if uncertainty in dam breach flood routing results are considered in a reasonable manner.

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