• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood Event

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Bias-correction of Dual Polarization Radar rainfall using Convolutional Autoencoder

  • Jung, Sungho;Le, Xuan Hien;Oh, Sungryul;Kim, Jeongyup;Lee, GiHa
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.166-166
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    • 2020
  • Recently, As the frequency of localized heavy rains increases, the use of high-resolution radar data is increasing. The produced radar rainfall has still gaps of spatial and temporal compared to gauge observation rainfall, and in many studies, various statistical techniques are performed for correct rainfall. In this study, the precipitation correction of the S-band Dual Polarization radar in use in the flood forecast was performed using the ConvAE algorithm, one of the Convolutional Neural Network. The ConvAE model was trained based on radar data sets having a 10-min temporal resolution: radar rainfall data, gauge rainfall data for 790minutes(July 2017 in Cheongju flood event). As a result of the validation of corrected radar rainfall were reduced gaps compared to gauge rainfall and the spatial correction was also performed. Therefore, it is judged that the corrected radar rainfall using ConvAE will increase the reliability of the gridded rainfall data used in various physically-based distributed hydrodynamic models.

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Analysis of Economic Effectiveness for Flood Control of Dam (댐의 홍수조절에 의한 경제적 효과분석)

  • Choi, Seung-An;Yi, Choong-Sung;Shim, Myung-Pil;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.383-396
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    • 2007
  • The studies on efficiency of flood control reservoir has been introduced into four categories including direct flood control contribution by reservoir, flow-duration change and environmental-ecological change in downstream of dam and flood damage estimation of flood plain. In spite of all the previous approaches, the quantification of the effect of reservoir on the flood control in planning stage is quite complex due to lack of a standard for quantifying feasibility of project. In this study, we develop a methodology that can clearly and accurately quantify the flood damage reduction together with the existing flood level reduction at downstream. The proposed approach uses three appraisal standards of flood control: 'potential safety', 'relative risk' and 'absolute risk' according to the risk by stage. The developed methodology was applied to the Namhan river basin with the storm event of July, 2006. The result shows the damage reduction of 4,189 billion won was estimated. The economic benefits for the flood control effect by dam will greatly contribute to the public understanding of the importance and the effect of the flood control by dam.

Numerical Simulation of the Flood Event Induced Temporally and Spatially Concentrated Rainfall - On August 17, 2017, the Flood Event of Cheonggyecheon (시공간적으로 편중된 강우에 의한 홍수사상 수치모의 - 2017년 8월 17일 청계천 홍수사상을 대상으로)

  • Ahn, Jeonghwan;Jeong, Changsam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2018
  • This study identifies the cause of the accident and presents a new concept for safe urban stream management by numerical simulating the flood event of Cheonggyecheon on August 17, 2017, using rain data measured through a dense weather observation network. In order to simulate water retention in the CSO channel listed as one of the causes of the accident, a reliable urban runoff model(XP-SWMM) was used which can simulate various channel conditions. Rainfall data measured through SK Techx using SK Telecom's cell phone station was used as rain data to simulate the event. The results of numerical simulations show that rainfall measured through AWSs of Korea Meteorological Administration did not cause an accident, but a similar accident occurred under conditions of rainfall measured in SK Techx, which could be estimated more similar to actual phenomena due to high spatial density. This means that the low spatial density rainfall data of AWSs cannot predict the actual phenomenon occurring in Cheonggyecheon and safe river management needs high spatial density weather stations. Also, the results of numerical simulation show that the residual water in the CSO channel directly contributed to the accident.

A Study on Selection of Optimal Shelters according to Dam Break Scenario Based on Continuous Rainfall Event (연속호우사상기반의 댐 붕괴 시나리오에 따른 최적대피소 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyunghun;Lim, Jonghun;Kim, Hung Soo;Shin, Soeng Cheol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.433-447
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    • 2023
  • There is a growing demand for the stability of existing dams due to abnormal climate and the aging of dams. Emergency Action Plans (EAPs) for reservoir or dam failure only consider a single rainfall event. Therefore, this study simulates dam failure caused by continuous rainfall events, and proposes the establishment of EAP by selecting the optimal shelters. We define a mega rainfall event scenario caused by continuous rainfall events with 500-year frequency in the Chungju Dam watershed and estimate the mega flood. The mega flood event scenario is divided into two cases: scenario A represents the flooding case caused by discharge release from a dam, while scenario B is the case of a dam break. As a result of flood inundation analysis, the flooded damage area by the scenario A is 50.06 km2 and the area by the scenario B is 6.1 times of scenario A (307.45 km2). We select optimal shelters for each administrative region in the city of Chungju, which has the highest inundation rate in the urban area. Seven shelter evaluation indicators from domestic and foreign shelter selection criteria are chosen, and Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method is used to evaluate the alternatives. As a result of the optimal shelter selection, the six shelters are selected and five are schools. This study considers continuous rainfall events for inundation analysis and selection of optimal shelters. Also, the results of this study could be used as a reference for establishment of the EAP.

A Modeling of the River Bed Variation due to Flood Wave (홍수파(洪水波)에 의한 하상변동(河床變動) 예측모형(豫測模型))

  • Park, Sang Deog;Lee, Won Hwan;Cho, Won Cheol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 1989
  • When the flood occurs in the alluvial rivers, the rivers adjust to the flood by means of the mechanism of the river bed variations and its morphological changes to pass that safely, the numerical model was developed to simulate the process of the alluvial river bed variation due to flood wave and carried out by the flood routing for flood wave and the sediment routing for river bed variation. The flood wave, river bed variation, and bed material size distribution may be analysed and predicted by this model. The ability of this model to predict the process of river bed response was proved by the application to the reach from Paldang dam to Indogyo site. In view of the flood analysis considering the sediment process, the effects of river bed variation for the flood routing may be negligible because the river bed variation is smaller than the unsteady flow variation during the same period. By the application of this model, it is shown that, in occurring of sequential flood events, the variation of the river bed and bed material size distribution due to flood wave is more dependent on the first flood event than the latter flood events, and that the river bed variation in this reach of the downstream Han river is dependent on the degradation and the coarsening of bed materials.

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Real-Time Forecast of Rainfall Impact on Urban Inundation (강우자료와 연계한 도시 침수지역의 사전 영향예보)

  • KEUM, Ho-Jun;KIM, Hyun-Il;HAN, Kun-Yeun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.76-92
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    • 2018
  • This study aimed to establish database of rainfall inundation area by rainfall scenarios and conduct a real time prediction for urban flood mitigation. the data leaded model was developed for the mapping of inundated area with rainfall forecast data provided by korea meteorological agency. for the construction of data leaded model, 1d-2d modeling was applied to Gangnam area, where suffered from severe flooding event including september, 2010. 1d-2d analysis result agree with observed in term of flood depth. flood area and flood occurring report which maintained by NDMS(national disaster management system). The fitness ratio of the NDMS reporting point and 2D flood analysis results was revealed to be 69.5%. Flood forecast chart was created using pre-flooding database. It was analyzed to have 70.3% of fitness in case of flood forecast chart of 70mm, and 72.0% in case of 80mm flood forecast chart. Using the constructed pre-flood area database, it is possible to present flood forecast chart information with rainfall forecast, and it can be used to secure the leading time during flood predictions and warning.

Application of Sediment Transport Model Using Observed Erosion Rates (침식률 측정결과를 사용하는 유사이동모형의 적용)

  • Jung, Tae-Sung;Craig, Jones;Lick, Wilbert
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.12
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    • pp.1033-1041
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    • 2004
  • A 2-dimensional numerical sediment transport model using erosion rates in undisturbed conditions has been developed and applied to calculating the suspended sediment concentrations and bed level changes in the Lower Fox River The model reduces inaccuracy of sediment model by using the accurate erosion rates obtained in a flume (called Sedflume). The flume has been developed to measure erosion rates as a function of sediment depth and at the situation of high shear stresses such as flood event. Both mechanisms of suspended load and bedload transport are included in the model. The model results were verified for the description of sediment transport in a straight channel and the sediment transport during flood event in the Lower Fox River The results of Lower Fox River simulation showed good agreements with the observed SS concentrations. This model can be used to simulate sediment transport under the high shear conditions such as flood.

Development of Stochastic Real-Time Forecast System by Storage Function Method (저류함수법을 이용한 추계학적 실시간 홍수예측모형 개발)

  • Bae, Deok-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.449-457
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    • 1997
  • This study attempts to develop a stochastic-dynamic real-time flow forecasting model for an event-orient watershed storage function model (SFM), which has been used as an official flood computation model in Korea, and to evaluate its performance for real-time flow forecast. The study area is the 747.5$\textrm{km}^2$ Hwecheon basin with outlet at Gaejin and the 8 single flow events during 1983-1986 are selected for comparison and verification of model parameter and model performance. The used model parameters in this study are the same values on field work. It is shown that results from the existing model highly depend on the events, but those from the developed model are stable and well predict the flows for the selected flood events. The coefficient of model efficiency between observed and predicted flows for the events was above 0.90. It is concluded that the developed model that can consider model and observation uncertainties during a flood event is feasible and produces reliable real-time flow forecasts on the area.

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Analysis of Regional-Scale Weather Model Applicabilities for the Enforcement of Flood Risk Reduction (홍수피해 감소를 위한 지역규모 기상모델의 적용성 분석)

  • Jung, Yong;Baek, JongJin;Choi, Minha
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.5B
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    • pp.267-272
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    • 2012
  • To reduce the flood risk caused by unexpected heavy rainfall, many prediction methods for flood have been developed. A major constituent of flood prediction is an accurate rainfall estimation which is an input of hydrologic models. In this study, a regional-scale weather model which can provide relatively longer lead time for flood mitigation compared to the Nowcasting based on radar system will be introduced and applied to the Chongmi river basin located in central part of South Korea. The duration of application of a regional weather model is from July 11 to July 23 in 2006. The estimated rainfall amounts were compared with observations from rain gauges (Sangkeuk, Samjook, and Sulsung). For this rainfall event at Chongmi river basin, Thomson and Kain-Frisch Schemes for microphysics and cumulus parameterization, respectively, were selected as optimal physical conditions to present rainfall fall amount in terms of Mean Absolute Relative Errors (MARE>0.45).

A Feasibility Study of TOPMODEL for a Flood Forecasting Model on a Single Watershed (TOPMODEL의 단일유역 홍수예보능에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Deok-Hyo;Kim, Jin-Hun;Gwon, Won-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2000
  • The objective of this study is to test the flood forecasting capability of TOPMODEL on a single watershed in Korea. The selected study area is the Soyang River basin with outlet at Soyang Dam site. The three daily hydrographs and the three hourly flood events during 1990~1996 are selected for model calibrations and performance tests. The model parameters are estimated on 1990 daily event by manual fitting technique and the effects of topographic index distribution to river flow simulations are investigated on the study area. The model performance on correlation coefficient between the observed and the simulated flows for the verification periods are above 0.77 on the 95-, 96-daily events, while above 0.87 for 90-, 95-, 96-hourly events. By the consideration of flood flow characteristics in Korea, the physical interpretation of the model concept, and the model performance, it can be concluded that the TOPMODEL is feasible as a flood forecasting model in Korea. Korea.

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