• Title/Summary/Keyword: First-and Second-Order Sensitivity

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Probabilistic analysis of buckling loads of structures via extended Koiter law

  • Ikeda, Kiyohiro;Ohsaki, Makoto;Sudo, Kentaro;Kitada, Toshiyuki
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.167-178
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    • 2009
  • Initial imperfections, such as initial deflection or remaining stress, cause deterioration of buckling strength of structures. The Koiter imperfection sensitivity law has been extended to describe the mechanism of reduction for structures. The extension is twofold: (1) a number of imperfections are considered, and (2) the second order (minor) imperfections are implemented, in addition to the first order (major) imperfections considered in the Koiter law. Yet, in reality, the variation of external loads is dominant over that of imperfection. In this research, probabilistic evaluation of buckling loads against external loads subjected to probabilistic variation is conducted by extending the concept of imperfection sensitivity. A truss arch subjected to dead and live loads is considered as a numerical example. The mechanism of probabilistic variation of buckling strength of this arch is described by the proposed method, and its reliability is evaluated.

The Sensitivity Analysis of Derailment in Suspension Elements of Rail Vehicle (철도차량 현수장치의 탈선에 대한 민감도 연구)

  • 심태웅;박찬경;김기환
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.566-573
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    • 1999
  • This paper is the result of sensitivity analysis of derailment with respect to the selected suspension elements for the rail vehicle. Derailment phenominon has been explained by the derailment quotient. Thus, the sensitivity of derailment is suggested by a response surface model(RSM) which is a functional relationship between derailment quotient and characteristics of suspension elements. To summarize generation of RSM, we can introduce the procedure of sensitivity analysis as follows. First, to form a RSM, a experiment is performed by a dynamic analysis code, VAMPIRE according to a kind of the design of experiments(DOE). Second, RSM is constructed to a 1$\^$st/ order polynomial and then main effect fators are screened through the stepwise regression. Finally, we can see the sensitivity level through the RSM which only consists of the main effect factors and is expressed by the liner, interaction and quadratic effect terms.

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Sensitivity Analysis of Steel Frames Subjected to Progressive Collapse (철골조의 연쇄붕괴 민감도 해석)

  • Park, Jun-Hei;Kim, Jin-Koo;Lee, Tae-Hyung
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.211-216
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    • 2008
  • Recently a lot of researches have been conducted on the progressive collapse of structures which is the total collapse of structures initiated by localized damage. Most of the previous studies on the field of progressive collapse have followed deterministic approach without considering uncertainty involved in design variables, which results in unknown reliability of the analysis results. In this study the sensitivity analyses are carried out with design variables such as yield strength, live load, damping ratio, and elastic modulus on the vertical deflection of the joint from which a column is suddenly removed. The Monte Calro simulation, tornado diagram method, and the first order second moment method(FOSM) are applied for the sensitivity study. According to the nonlinear static analysis results, the vertical deflection is most affected by the variation of yield strength of beams. The nonlinear dynamic analyses show that the behaviour of model structures is highly sensitive to variation of the yield strength of beams and the structural damping ratio.

Sensitivity Analysis of Parameters Affecting Seismic Response for RC Shear Wall with Age-Related Degradation (경년열화된 철근콘크리트 전단벽의 지진응답에 영향을 미치는 변수들의 민감도분석)

  • Park, Jun-Hee;Choun, Young-Sun;Choi, In-Kil
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.391-398
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    • 2011
  • After a concrete is poured, reinforced concrete structures were distressed by physical and chemical factor over time. It is in need to define important variables related to structural behavior for effectively conducting seismic analysis of structures with age-related degradation. In this study, a sensibility analysis using the first-order second moment method was performed to analyze an important variables for the reinforced concrete shear wall with age-related degradation. Because the seismic capacity of aging structures without a concrete hardening effect can be underestimated, the sensibility of analysis variables was analyzed according to the concrete hardening. Important variables for RC shear wall with age-related degradation was presented by using the tornado diagram.

Supply Chain Coordination in 2-Stage-Ordering-Production System with Update of Demand Information

  • Kusukawa, Etsuko
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.304-318
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    • 2014
  • It is necessary for a retailer to improve responsiveness to uncertain customer demand in product sales. In order to solve this problem, this paper discusses an optimal operation for a 2-stage-ordering-production system consisting of a retailer and a manufacturer. First, based on the demand information estimated at first order time $t_1$, the retailer determines the optimal initial order quantity $Q^*_1$, the optimal advertising cost $a^*_1$ and the optimal retail price $p^*_1$ of a single product at $t_1$, and then the manufacturer produces $Q^*_1$. Next, the retailer updates the demand information at second order time $t_2$. If the retailer finds that $Q^*_1$ dissatisfies the demand indicated by the demand information updated at $t_2$, the retailer determines the optimal second order quantity $Q^*_2$ under $Q^*_1$ and adjusts optimally the advertising cost and the retail price to $a^*_2$ and $p^*_2$ at $t_2$. Here, decision-making approaches for two situations are made-a decentralized supply chain (DSC) whose objective is to maximize the retailer's profit and an integrated supply chain (ISC) whose objective is to maximize the whole system's profit. In the numerical analysis, the results of the optimal decisions under DSC are compared with those under ISC. In addition, supply chain coordination is discussed to adjust the unit wholesale price at each order time as Nash Bargaining solutions.

Probabilistic Damage Mechanics Assessment of Wall-Thinned Nuclear Piping Using Reliability Method and Monte-Carlo Simulation (신뢰도지수 및 몬데카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 원전 감육배관의 확률론적 손상역학 평가)

  • Lee Sang-Min;Yun Kang-Ok;Chang Yoon-Suk;Choi Jae-Boong;Kim Young-Jin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.29 no.8 s.239
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    • pp.1102-1108
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    • 2005
  • The integrity of nuclear piping systems has to be maintained sufficiently all the times during operation. In order to maintain the integrity, reliable assessment procedures including fracture mechanics analysis, etc, are required. Up to now, the integrity assessment has been performed using conventional deterministic approach even though there are lots of uncertainties to hinder a rational evaluation. In this respect, probabilistic approach is considered as an appropriate method for piping system evaluation. The objectives of this paper are to develop a probabilistic assessment program using reliability index and simulation technique and to estimate the damage probability of wall-thinned pipes in secondary systems. The probabilistic assessment program consists of three evaluation modules which are first order reliability method, second order reliability method and Monte Carlo simulation method. The developed program has been applied to evaluate damage probabilities of wall-thinned pipes subjected to internal pressure, global bending moment and combined loading. The sensitivity analysis results as well as prototypal evaluation results showed a promising applicability of the probabilistic integrity assessment program.

The Effect of Nonverbal Communication Ability in One-year-olds' and Teachers' Sensitivity on the Adjustment of Infants to Child Care Centers (만 1세 영아의 비언어적 의사소통 능력과 교사의 민감성이 영아의 어린이집 적응에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Shin Hye;Sung, Mi Young
    • Korean Journal of Childcare and Education
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.87-103
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    • 2020
  • Objective: This study controlled the SES(Socio Economic Status) in order to compare the influence of infants' nonverbal communication ability and teachers' sensitivity on the infants' adjustment to child care centers. Methods: For this study, data was collected 115 mothers with one-year-olds'(58 boys, 57 girls) and from 115 teachers from fourty-eight child care centers located in Seoul and Gyeonggi Provincet data. The collected data were analyzed by correlation analysis, hierarchical multiple regression analysis using the SPSS 23.0 program. The results of this study are as follows. Results: First, infants' adjustment to child care centers showed a statistically significant relationship with infants' nonverbal communication ability and teachers' sensitivity. Second, among the variables explaining infants' adjustment to child care centers, the effect of teachers' sensitivity was higher than the effect of infants' nonverbal communication ability. Conclusion/Implications: This study confirmed that teachers' sensitivity is a strong factor explaining infants' adjustment to child care centers. We also emphasized the importance of the role of teachers, providing basic data on the development of education for child care teachers and education for improving sensitivity.

Development of Party Fashion for Artygen (아티젠을 위한 파티웨어 디자인 개발)

  • Jo, Un-Jo;Lee, In-Seong
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.809-823
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    • 2010
  • The 21st century is the age of culture and sensitivity. As the interest in the art and culture grows, Artygen who prefers artistic designs grow in number. The desire to enjoy life from the increase of leisure time and financial afford ability created a new trend of party culture. This study analyzes the characteristics of Artygen who pursues artistic sense and sensitivity and suggests party-wear designs that please Artygen and accentuate individuality and personal preferences in a party, which is a type of popular entertainment these days. Through literature review, the background of Artygen and party was examined; First, in order to analyze the feature of art designs, photos of products that were in fashion from 2007 to 2009, (during which the term, 'Artygen', was coined) were collected. Second, in order to analyze the party-wear designs, photos of party-wear in wine party and club party popular among young people in the 20~30's were collected. Through the analysis, the party-wears targeting Artygen was developed based on the characteristics of popular art designs. The results of this study were as follows. First, from the result of analyzing the art design shown in product, casual, romantic, modern, dynamic and gorgeous images were. Second, art design shown in fashion, casual, romantic, chic, dynamic and gorgeous images were. Third, in wine party, romantic, elegant, gorgeous and formal images were in order and in club party, casual, gorgeous, chic and romantic images were in order. Fourth, the study displayed design by connecting aesthetic factor of artistic design to 2 wine party-wear of romantic and gorgeous images and 3 club party dresses of casual, gorgeous and chic images.

Damping Inter-area Low Frequency Oscillations in Large Power Systems with $H_{\infty}$ Control of TCSC PARTI : TCSC Siting (TCSC의 $H_{\infty}$ 제어에 의한 대규모 전력계통의 지역간 저주파진동 억제 PartI : 설치지점 선정)

  • Kim, Yong-Gu;Sim, Gwan-Sik;Song, Seong-Geun;Kim, Yeong-Hwan;Nam, Hae-Gon
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.226-232
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents application results of the augmented matrix eigen-sensitivity theories to TCSC siting problem for damping the inter-area low frequency oscillation in the large KEPCO system. First and second-order eigen-sensitivities of the inter-area low frequency oscillation in the large KEPCO system. First and second-order eigen-sensitivities of the inter-area mode are computed fro changes in susceptance of the transmission lines. The lines having high sensitivity are chosen as the initial candidates for installing TCSC. Then for each of the chosen candidates, Bodeplot of the transfer function with line susceptance as the input and the bus voltage at one side of the line as the output is computed. Using the Bode plots, the lines having any zeros near the inter-area mode are screened out since design of TCSC controller is very difficult in such a case. The $H_{\infty}$ TCSC controller installed at any finally chosen candidate is found to be effective in damping the inter-area oscillation, and the proposed TCSC siting algorithm is proved to be valid. Design of $H_{\infty}$ controller is described in Part IIof this paper.

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Pulse Waveform Simulation of Partial Discharges for HV XLPE Cable Joints (초고압 XLPE 케이블 접속함의 부분방전 펄스파형 시뮬레이션)

  • Kim, Jeong-Tae
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.1
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the simulation of partial discharge pulse waveform have been performed for the typical joints such as EBA and PMJ in the HV underground transmission XLPE cable system in order to improve the understanding of partial discharge pulse waveform and the on-site measurement accuracy of partial discharges. FDTD simulation technique was adopted for the simulation and has been shown to be suitable for partial discharge simulation of power cables in terms of pulse propagation characteristics and waveform formation. The simulation results for the EBA showed that the second not-so-large opposite polarity peak appeared after the first negative polarity peak and the measurement sensitivity was the highest near the bottom of the EBA copper box. In the analysis results for PMJ, the magnitude of the second opposite polarity peak was large enough to compare with the first peak, and the measurement sensitivity at the end of the PMJ copper box was the highest. These simulation results show considerable similarity with the on-site measurement, and it would be very useful for the partial discharge measurement of HV XLPE cable systems.