• Title/Summary/Keyword: First Demand

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A Study on the Second Phase Operating Patterns for Taking into Consideration the First Phase Transport Demand of Line9 (9호선 1단계 수송수요를 고려한 2단계 열차운행방안에 대한 연구)

  • Shin, Hyoung-Shik;Chung, Su-Young;Kim, Min-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.498-508
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    • 2011
  • First phase section of line 9 which had been constructed by first private capitalization business of Seoul city was opened on July 24, 2009. There are 25 stations of 25.5km operation distance between Gaehwa and Sinnonhyeon, running regular and express trains on the same track. The number of daily passenger demand has risen to above 200thousand passengers with record above 90% of anticipatied transport demand in 2010. The construction of second phase section(Sinnonhyeon~Bohoon Hospital : 14km, 13 stations) is currently under construction for opening in 2016. This study aims to suggest optimal operating patterns taking into consideration theoretical operating headways for regular and express trains, demand of rolling stocks mainly analyzed on record of first phase demand of line 9 and anticipated transport demand of second phase basic plan.

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A Study on First Demand Guarantees in International Construction Projects -Disputes arising from the DG and Recommendations for their Drafting- (해외건설공사에서 독립보증에 관한 분쟁과 그 대책)

  • Choi, Myung-Kook
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.47
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    • pp.129-156
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    • 2010
  • Since the 1970s, international construction employers have commonly requested first demand guarantees upon their contractors as a form of security for due performance of their works. Contractors prefer the greater protection offered by more traditional forms of security requiring presentation of an arbitral award or other evidence of the caller's entitlement to compensation. Many contractors nonetheless feel that they have no alternative but to provide these unconditional guarantees in order to compete. However, these unconditional first demand guarantees are controversial and have given rise to numerous disputes both in arbitration and litigation. Disputes arising from first demand guarantees can be broken down into a) applications to prevent a perceived fraudulent or otherwise unfair or improper calling of a guarantee, b) claims arising from such abusive calls and c) claims relating to the consequences of such calls even if the call itself may not be abusive as such. The contractors should carefully assess the risk of an abusive call being made bearing in mind the difficulties he may face in seeking to prevent such a call. He should also bear in mind the difficulties, delays and cost he is likely to encounter in seeking to recover any monies wrongfully called. One option would be to provide that the call can only be made once and to the extent that the employer's damages have been assessed or even incurred or even for the default to have been established by an arbitral tribunal or court. Another option would be to provide that any call be accompanied by a decision of a competent and impartial third party stating that the contractor is in breach. For example, such a requirement could be incorporated into a construction contract based on the FIDIC Conditions by submitting this decision to a Dispute Adjudication Board. Another option would be to provide for the "ICC Counter-Guarantee Scheme". In sum, there would appear to be room for compromise between the employer and the contractor in respect of first demand guarantees by conditioning the entitlement to call such guarantees to the determination of a competent and impartial third party.

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A Study on the Evaluation Method about Marketability of Product Design (제품디자인의 시장성 평가방법 연구)

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    • Archives of design research
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2001
  • This study suggested how to apply it decision-making of product development rapidly by design evaluation process to objectify and the result to quantify with viewpoint of design evaluation sets to marketability. Coverage of this method limited to the evaluation stage of design concept. The procedure of study, first of all, referred to some type of design evaluation method and their feature. And next, referred to some kinds of demand forecasting for marketing. Above an, this study focused on the method of demand forecasting by buying intentions surveys proper to the marketability evaluation of new product design. On a case study, I had investigated preference survey and buying intentions surveys about the design proposal of "language master audio". I selected the best design proposal through the conjoint analysis and also investigated demand forecasting. First, on the basis of buying intentions surveys, choose population and had produced buying demand, awareness demand, potential demand. I could estimate some profit to take out expense and cost from the buying demand. This estimated profit is marketability judgement data of product design at the design concept stage and can be utilized to measurable data for decision-making of product development. Through the case study, this method could forecast a target demand, and even if it is some difference between real sales volume, but the case study could verified that this method is effective to the evaluation of marketability in case of completely new product got on the typical category and the product category could be set up the population clearly.

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Development of a Forecasting Model for University Food Services (대학 급식소의 식수예측 모델 개발)

  • 정라나;양일선;백승희
    • Korean Journal of Community Nutrition
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.910-918
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    • 2003
  • The purposes of this study were to develop a model for university foodservices and to provide management strategies for reducing costs, and increasing productivity and customer satisfaction. The results of this study were as follows : 1) The demands in university food services varied depending on the time series. A fixed pattern was discovered for specific times of the month and semesters. The demand tended to constantly decrease from the beginning of a specific semester to the end, from March to June and from September to December. Moreover, the demand was higher during the first semester than the second semester, within school term than during vacation periods, and during the summer vacation than the winter. 2) Pearson's simple correlation was done between actual customer demand and the factors relating to forecasting the demand. There was a high level of correlation between the actual demand and the demand that had occurred in the previous weeks. 3) By applying the stepwise multiple linear regression analysis to two different university food services providing multiple menu items, a model was developed in terms of four different time series(first semester, second semester, summer vacation, and winter vacation). Customer preference for specific menu items was found to be the most important factor to be considered in forecasting the demand.

Analysis on Supply and Demand Status of Security Manpower - Focusing on Job Classification of Ministry of Employment and Labor - (경호경비 관련인력 수급실태 분석 - 고용노동부의 직업분류를 중심으로 -)

  • Joo, Il-Yeob
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.45
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    • pp.191-220
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analysis on status and trends of supply & demand and need of job level of security manpower from recognizing need for studies on supply and demand status of security manpower. The results were as follows. First, the shortage percentage of total security manpower was 1.2% ~ 1.6% from the first half of 2009 to the first half of 2015 as the result of analyzing status and trends of supply & demand of security manpower. Second, the need of job level of total security manpower was 785 ~ 2,557 people at the job level 1 from the second half of 2009 from the first half of 2013 as the result of analyzing status and trends of need of job level of security manpower. So, we should have interests such as (1) positivity of security manpower from trends and prediction of supply & demand of manpower, (2) Ensuring professionalism of security manpower considering the job level, (3) training of security manpower utilizing national competency standards(NCS), etc.

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Forecast and Demand Analysis of Oyster as Kimchi's Ingredients (김장굴의 수요 분석 및 예측)

  • Nam, Jong-Oh;Nho, Seung-Guk
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.69-83
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    • 2011
  • This paper estimates demand functions of oyster as Kimchi's ingredients of capital area, other areas excluding a capital area, and a whole area in Korea to forecast its demand quantities in 2011~2015. To estimate oyster demand function, this paper uses pooled data produced from Korean housewives over 30 years old in 2009 and 2010. Also, this paper adopts several econometrics methods such as Ordinary Least Squares and Feasible Generalized Least Squares. First of all, to choose appropriate variables of oyster demand functions by area, this paper carries out model's specification with joint significance test. Secondly, to remedy heteroscedasticity with pooled data, this paper attempts residual plotting between estimated squared residuals and estimated dependent variable and then, if it happens, undertakes White test to care the problem. Thirdly, to test multicollinearity between variables with pooled data, this paper checks correlations between variables by area. In this analysis, oyster demand functions of a capital area and a whole area need price of the oyster, price of the cabbage for Gimjang, and income as independent variables. The function on other areas excluding a capital area only needs price of the oyster and income as ones. In addition, the oyster demand function of a whole area needed White test to care a heteroscedasticity problem and demand functions of the other two regions did not have the problem. Thus, first model was estimated by FGLS and second two models were carried out by OLS. The results suggest that oyster demand quantities per a household as Kimchi's ingredients are going to slightly increase in a capital area and a whole area, but slightly decrease in other areas excluding a capital area in 2011~2015. Also, the results show that oyster demand quantities as kimchi's ingredients for total household targeting housewives over 30 years old are going to slightly increase in three areas in 2011~2015.

Travel Behavior Analysis for Short-term Railroad Passenger Demand Forecasting in KTX (KTX 단기수요 예측을 위한 통행행태 분석)

  • Kim, Han-Soo;Yun, Dong-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.1282-1289
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    • 2011
  • The rail passenger demand for the railroad operations required a short-term demand rather than a long-term demand. The rail passenger demand can be classified according to the purpose. First, the rail passenger demand will be use to the restructure of line planning on the current operating line. Second, the rail passenger demand will be use to the line planning on the new line and purchasing the train vehicles. The objective of study is to analyze the travel behavior of rail passenger for modeling of short-term demand forecasting. The scope of research is the passenger of KTX. The travel behavior was analyzed the daily trips, origin/destination trips for KTX passenger using the ANOVA and the clustering analysis. The results of analysis provide the directions of the short-term demand forecasting model.

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A Study on Problems and Improvement in Statistics on Fisheries Supply and Demand (수산물 수급통계의 문제점과 개선방향)

  • Kang, Jong-Ho
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.57-63
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to raise some questions about the supply and demand statistics of fisheries products and to find implications for food supply and demand. There are three problems in the statistics of fisheries supply and demand. First, it is a structural problem of supply and demand statistics. Supply and demand statistics are not accurate because the feed, the amount of loss, and the waste rate are not surveyed. Second, the amount of fish used as a moist pellet is missing. Third, although some of the seaweed and kelp production is used as abalone feed, it is not classified as feed. Taking these results into consideration, at least 300,000 tons should be classified as feed for fisheries supply and demand statistics. As mentioned above, the current statistics on the supply and demand of fisheries are incomplete and structural improvement is needed.

A Seat Allocation Problem for Package Tour Groups in Airlines (항공사 패키지 여행 단체수요의 좌석할당 문제)

  • Song, Yoon-Sook;Lee, Hwi-Young;Yoon, Moon-Gil
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.93-106
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    • 2008
  • This study is focused on the problem of seat allocation for group travel demand in airlines. We first explain the characteristic of group demand and its seat allocation process. The group demand in air travel markets can be classified into two types : incentive and package groups. Allocating seats for group demand depends on the types of group demand and the relationship between airlines and travel agents. In this paper we concentrate on the package group demand and develop an optimization model for seat allocation on the demand to maximize the total revenue. With some assumptions on the demand distribution and the linear approximation technique, we develop a mixed IP model for solving our problem optimally. From the computational experiments, we can find our optimization model can be applied well for real-world application.

An Effectivity Analysis of Production Control Policies Based on Demand and Production Characteristics (수요 및 생산특성에 따른 생산통제 기법간의 효율성 분석에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Jang-Han;Jeong, Han-Il;Park, Jin-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.403-420
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we examine the effect of production uncertainty to production control policies. First, we examine two famous production control policies, namely, MRP and JIT from the view point of shop floor control perspective, and analyze the differences between them due to demand fluctuations and activity time variations. Second, we conduct simulation studies on MRP and JIT to draw out the effects of demand fluctuations and activity time variations. Demand fluctuations are further classified into demand lumpiness and demand irregularity. And, activity time variations are further classified into stationary time variations and non-stationary time variations. Experimental results show that, in terms of demand fluctuations, MRP is affected by demand lumpiness, but JIT by demand irregularity. And we also see that both MRP and JIT are influenced by stationary time variation with respect to activity time variations.

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