• 토지주택연구
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.1-9
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• 2018

As the government announced Real Estate Policies on August 02, most areas except for Seoul cities face increasing business risks. Moreover, the government control over financial sectors' loan leads to the highly possible contraction of new distribution markets. The market trend could bring about the reduction of new demand in PF (Private Financing) business that large construction companies mainly concentrate on, and even the business already obtained has a high risk of being distributed, which could result in substantially low profitability. The currently unstable financial structure of most construction companies is caused by the hike of the prime cost of foreign plants except for that of a few construction companies. If PF (Private Financing) business also faces a difficult situation in such a financial condition, even large construction companies come to have the high possibility of a deficiency in credit rating. Accordingly, the major business that large construction companies concentrate on needs the sufficient business review. It is desirable to make a bid for business guaranteeing stability rather than business solely in consideration of profitability, when participating in a competition for a new construction contract.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권5호
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• pp.515-521
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• 2021

The popularity of Islamic financial instruments among Muslims is not surprising. The Islamic capital market is where sharia-compliant financial assets are transacted. It works parallel to the conventional market and helps investors find sharia-compliant investment opportunities. At a time of collective confusion when the COVID-19 epidemic is contributing to unprecedented change, this paper is keen to understand how attractive conventional and Islamic stock markets have been to investors recently. Second, this paper takes advantage of the time-scale decomposition property of the wavelet to simultaneously capture risk exposure and distinguish the risks faced by short- and long-term investors. To this end, this research conducted a two-step investigation of the daily closing equity market price indices for three Islamic stock markets and their conventional counterparts. Given that different financial decisions occur with greater or less frequency, the paper examines the connectedness of stock markets operating at heterogeneous rates and identifies the timescales using wavelet-DCC-GARCH analysis to take account of both the time and the frequency domains of stock market connectedness. The paper findings highlight the strong evidence of contagion that can be seen in nearly all conventional stock markets in the COVID-19 pandemic; they reach a high level of dependency in such health crises. Furthermore, Islamic stock markets prove to be a rich ground for global diversification.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.81-91
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• 2021

This paper investigates the long run hedging ability of precious metals against the risks associated with adverse conditions of economic and financial variables for Pakistan, the USA, China, and India. Monthly data of gold, silver, platinum, stock returns, exchange rate, industrial production, and inflation was collected for the selected economies. Saikkonen and Lutkepohl (2002) unit root test was employed to access the unit root properties of the data series and identify the break dates. Furthermore, this study used the Johansen cointegration test with and without structural breaks to identify the long-run relationship between metals prices and different financial and economic variables. The findings suggest that the time series under study have unit root problem at level with and without structural breaks. Without considering structural breaks, the Johansen trace test indicates that in Pakistan and China, gold, silver, and platinum hold a cointegrating relationship with macroeconomic and financial variables. For the US, gold indicates cointegration which supports the hedging ability of gold against inflation, stock, and industrial production in the long run. The results of the cointegration test after incorporating the structural breaks provide even stronger evidence of the long-run relationship of precious metals and consumer prices, exchange rate, and stock prices.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제11권8호
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• pp.353-364
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• 2011

본 연구는 기존 디지털미디어에 관한 논의들이 기술 생산성과 효과성에 주목하며 낙관적 관점에 경도되어 있다는 비판에서 출발, 디지털미디어가 초래할 수 있는 위험을 구체적으로 확인하고 이러한 위험들에 대한 이용자들의 위험성평가와 위험관리에 대한 의견 등 총체적 위험인식을 확인하였다. 대표적 디지털융합매체인 스마트폰을 구체적 연구대상으로 삼은 결과, 총 4개 차원의 위험유형, '경제적 차원의 위험, 사회-문화적 차원의 위험, 개인적 차원의 위험, 병리적 차원의 위험'을 포함한 17개 위험유형이 분류되었다. 각 위험유형별로 위험성(발생가능성${\times}$위험심각성)을 분석한 결과 발생가능성 측면에 있어서 병리적 차원의 위험이 타 위험들에 비해서 상대적으로 그 발생가능성이 낮은 것으로 나타났고, 심각성 평가에서는 개인적차원의 위험을 타 위험유형들보다 상대적으로 위험성이 높다고 평가하는 경향이 있었다. 다음으로 위험예방과 대응측면에서 예상 외로 정부에 대한 신뢰가 높지 않고, 개인의 역할론에 대한 기대감과 책임성을 높게 평가하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 스마트폰의 위험에 대한 심각성과 발생가능성, 책임성에 대한 평가, 예방대책, 사후처리 방식 등의 요인들을 면밀히 분석하고 적용한다면 향후 타 분야의 디지털미디어 위험을 저감할 수 있는 중요한 정책적 대응방안으로도 확장 할 수 있을 것이다.

• International Journal of Quality Innovation
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.1-14
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• 2006

Economic value added (EVA) is introduced on two levels: as index for evaluation of corporation and as index for evaluation of business unit. In the latter case, application of one and the same cost of capital to all business units of a business corporation may be possible, but it is a fundamental policy for EVA to apply different cost of capital to business units with different risks. Estimate of cost of capital of business units is a problem to be resolved. The author, focusing on the question of the estimate of cost of capital of business units, has conducted a demonstrative study on risk structure of cost of capital estimates by using financial indices of Japanese manufacturers (37 automotive industries, 141 electrical and electronic machinery industries, 63 food processing industries, 98 chemical industries, 125 general machinery industries) for a period of 5 years from 1995 to 1999. The author presumes that $\beta$ is explained by a regression formula ${\beta}=B_0+{\Sigma}B_iY_i+{\alpha}$ ($Y_i$: financial indices) and selects 40 explanatory variables from financial statements as risk components. Using their financial indices, the author concludes through a series of statistical analyses that there is a good likelihood of estimating cost of capital for Japanese industries and is convinced that it will lead to more reliable and practical results by assigning averages and variances to 40 primary financial indices for a period of 3 to 5 years selected in this demonstrative study.

• 문화기술의 융합
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.19-26
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• 2023

환경·사회·지배구조(ESG) 성과가 투자자의 의사결정에 미치는 영향이 커지고 있다. 과거 기업의 재무적 성과에 집중하던 투자자의 시선이 기업을 둘러싼 이해관계자의 이익이라는 비재무적 성과로 확장하고 있는 것이다. 이런 배경에서 본 연구는 기업의 비재무적 성과인 ESG 성과가 기업위험에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위해 한국기업지배구조원이 평가하는 기업을 대상으로 패널회귀분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과 ESG 성과는 세 가지 기업위험(체계적위험, 비체계적위험, 총위험) 모두에 대해 음(-)의 영향을 미치고 있어 이해관계자이론과 위험관리이론을 지지하는 결과를 나타냈다. 본 연구의 시사점은 첫째, ESG는 비체계적위험 뿐만 아니라 광범위하고 무차별적인 체계적위험도 감소시키고, 둘째, 투자자는 ESG 투자를 집행함으로써 투자포트폴리오의 위험을 감소시킬 수 있고, 셋째, 기업은 ESG 경영의 보험기능을 활용함으로써 부정적인 상황에서도 안정적인 재무성과를 영위할 수 있으며, 마지막으로, 정부는 합리적인 ESG 관련 규제를 통해 기업의 재무적 건전성을 제고하면서 금융시장의 안정성을 높일 수 있다는 것이다.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.49-57
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• 2011

본 연구는 한국항공시장의 지각위험에 대한 실증적 연구이다. 김포국제공항 및 인천국제공항에서 수집한 316부의 설문지를 다중회귀분석, 분산분석, 상관분석, 및 T-test 기법을 동원하여 분석하였다. 연구결과, 대형항공사와 저비용항공사 승객간의 지각위험에는 차이가 있었으며 대형항공사 승객은 재무적 위험에 민감한 반면, 저비용항공사의 승객은 기종 및 물리적 위험에 민감하였다. 따라서 대형항공사에서는 섬세한 서비스 제공이 더욱 요구되며, 저비용항공사가 신항공기를 사용하는 것이 저비용항공사의 안전성 인식 제고에 효과적이라 사료된다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.1257-1266
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• 2021

The study examines factors that influence shopping intention of online consumers in Vietnam. Studied factors include consumers' attitude, subjective norms, perception of behavioral control, perception of usefulness, perceived risks and trust. The expansion of Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) and Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) are used as basic theories. We have surveyed people who have experiences on online shopping. There are 836 selected questionnaires that are qualified for data processing. The collected data are analyzed through a process which starts from scale reliability test to exploratory factor analysis (EFA), correlation analysis and regression analysis. The results show that shopping intention of online consumers are positively affected by their attitude, subjective norms, perception of behavioral control, perception of usefulness and trust. In contrast, online shopping intention is negatively affected by the perceived risks that online shopping could bring. Among those factors, the perception of risk is shown to have the strongest influence to online shopping intention. The findings of this study suggest that managers and retailers can apply cash-on-delivery method and design their website with user-friendly interface to enhance online shopping intention of consumers. The Government is also recommended to fulfill the law system to reduce customers' perception of financial risks.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제42권4호
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• pp.117-138
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• 2020

Few studies have specifically focused on the uncertainty of demand forecasting despite the fact that uncertainty is the one of greatest risks for governments and private partners in PPP projects. This study presents a methodology for finding robust contract conditions considering uncertainty in travel demand forecasting in a PPP project. Through a case study of an urban railway PPP project in Korea, this study uncovered the risk of excessive government payments to private partners due to the uncertainty in contracted forecast ridership levels. The results allow the suggestion that robust contract conditions could reduce the expected total level of government payments and lower user fees while maintaining profitability of the project. This study offers a framework that assists contract negotiators and gives them more information regarding financial risks and vulnerabilities and helps them to quantify the likelihood of these vulnerabilities coming into play during PPP projects.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 2th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.130-139
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• 2007

This paper presents a study on risk analysis in terms of contractor's costs in construction phase in which Crystal ball (software of Decisioneering, UK) has been utilized as a main tool. To realize it, a questionnaire survey has been carried out to identify the dominant factors that strongly influence contractor costs in Vietnam. Based on results of questionnaire investigation, the survey identified three factors which were duration of each construction task, costs of reinforcing steel, and cement. Then a spreadsheet model was created in order to analyze risks. The study also indicates that the cost of reinforcing steel and cement are the cause of risks for contractors. According to the suggested model, contractors may foresee the probability of completion within the approved budget, and the possibility of earning in accordance with owner's payment conditions.