• Title/Summary/Keyword: Financial Risks

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Mitigating Uncertainty in the Boardroom: Analysis to Financial Reporting for Financial Risk COVID-19

  • JABBAR, Ali Khazaal;ALMAYYAHI, Aymen Raheem Abdulaali;ALI, Ibrahem Mohamed;ALNOOR, Alhamzah
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.233-243
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to assess the impacts of COVID-19 on International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), because of the problems associated with changing and amending the financial reports according to the policies established based on the circumstances of the epidemic. The study sample targeted several international financial reports that were amended based on epidemic conditions. The revised financial reporting period provides standardized reporting procedures for financial transactions worldwide despite the pandemic. Therefore, IFRS has been used to reduce challenges in financial reporting by monitoring the duration of social distancing while reporting matters to eliminate confirmed uncertainty and judgment. After analyzing the data obtained through global search engines, the results conducted provided evidence that COVID-19 affects financial reporting in companies around the world. Therefore, companies face difficulty reporting finances based on the challenging environment that the pandemic represents. Besides, IFRS fair value measurements consider the prices that were predicted according to current market values. The contexts of the changing the standards by IFRS to curb the effects of the COVID19 financial reporting was attained through evaluation of the online files that were randomly selected and filtered to obtain valid data.

The Role of Financial Risk Management in Predicting Financial Performance: A Case Study of Commercial Banks in Pakistan

  • AHMED, Zeeshan;SHAKOOR, Zain;KHAN, Mubashir Ali;ULLAH, Waseem
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.639-648
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    • 2021
  • The study aims to examine the role of financial risk management in predicting the financial performance of commercial banks in Pakistan over the period of 2006-2017. For this purpose, risk management is measured through credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk, while financial performance is measured through ROA, ROE, and ROI. For this purpose, the dynamic panel model and two step GMM panel estimators are used to test the hypothesis empirically. The annual secondary data has been taken from the published financial reports of commercial banks of Pakistan. The results show that financial risk management significantly decreases the financial performance of commercial banks in Pakistan. Overall, the results are conclusive across the alternative measures of financial risk management in predicting the financial performance of the banking sector in Pakistan. The study suggested that managers should adopt risk management and risk hedging strategies to manage commercial banks' financial risks in Pakistan. They should hold extra cash while using the trade credit facilities. Previous studies mostly used a static model, but this study used a dynamic panel model. This study is among the first that focused on the various factors affecting the banks' performance in Pakistan.

Bankruptcy Prediction with Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Early-Stage Business Models

  • Tuguldur Enkhtuya;Dae-Ki Kang
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.58-65
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    • 2023
  • Bankruptcy is a significant risk for start-up companies, but with the help of cutting-edge artificial intelligence technology, we can now predict bankruptcy with detailed explanations. In this paper, we implemented the Category Boosting algorithm following data cleaning and editing using OpenRefine. We further explained our model using the Shapash library, incorporating domain knowledge. By leveraging the 5C's credit domain knowledge, financial analysts in banks or investors can utilize the detailed results provided by our model to enhance their decision-making processes, even without extensive knowledge about AI. This empowers investors to identify potential bankruptcy risks in their business models, enabling them to make necessary improvements or reconsider their ventures before proceeding. As a result, our model serves as a "glass-box" model, allowing end-users to understand which specific financial indicators contribute to the prediction of bankruptcy. This transparency enhances trust and provides valuable insights for decision-makers in mitigating bankruptcy risks.

Interval-valued Choquet Integrals and applications in pricing risks (구간치 쇼케이적분과 위험률 가격 측정에서의 응용)

  • Jang, Lee-Chae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.209-212
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    • 2007
  • Non-additive measures and their corresponding Choquet integrals are very useful tools which are used in both insurance and financial markets. In both markets, it is important to to update prices to account for additional information. The update price is represented by the Choquet integral with respect to the conditioned non-additive measure. In this paper, we consider a price functional H on interval-valued risks defined by interval-valued Choquet integral with respect to a non-additive measure. In particular, we prove that if an interval-valued pricing functional H satisfies the properties of monotonicity, comonotonic additivity, and continuity, then there exists an two non-additive measures ${\mu}_1,\;{\mu}_2$ such that it is represented by interval-valued choquet integral on interval-valued risks.

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Pesticide Risk and Benefit Assessment

  • Birtley, Robin D.N.
    • Korean Journal of Weed Science
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 1993
  • The benefits of pesticides in improving the food quantity and quality requirements for an increasing world population are significant, and they can be described in agronomic, economic and social terms. The risks are assessed from the hazards which are likely to occur in practice ; the hazards are defined by the toxicity of the pesticide to non-target organisms at various exposure levels. There are ways of reducing the risks (mainly by reducing exposure in practice) and improving the benefits of pesticides ; these are known as risk management and benefit management respectively. The overall risk-benefit assessment is facilitated if each component can be expressed in financial terms, but it must be made nationally or locally on a sound technical basis against the prevailing agronomic, socio-economic and political circumstances. Paraquat is used to illustrate the risk-benefit assessment process in general terms, and the conclusion is that the benefits greatly outweigh the risks. It is important to keep the risks of pesticides in perspective with those associated with other naturally occurring chemicals in our diet and with other everyday aspects of life. In an overall context, the pesticide risk is small.

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Interval-valued Choquet integrals and applications in pricing risks (구간치 쇼케이적분과 위험률 가격 측정에서의 응용)

  • Jang, Lee-Chae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.451-454
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    • 2007
  • Non-additive measures and their corresponding Choquet integrals are very useful tools which are used in both insurance and financial markets. In both markets, it is important to update prices to account for additional information. The update price is represented by the Choquet integral with respect to the conditioned non-additive measure. In this paper, we consider a price functional H on interval-valued risks defined by interval-valued Choquet integral with respect to a non-additive measure. In particular, we prove that if an interval-valued pricing functional H satisfies the properties of monotonicity, comonotonic additivity, and continuity, then there exists an two non-additive measures ${\mu}1,\;{\mu}2$ such that it is represented by interval-valued choquet integral on interval-valued risks.

A View from the Bottom: Project-Oriented Risk Mining Approach for Overseas Construction Projects

  • Lee, JeeHee;Son, JeongWook;Yi, June-Seong
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.97-100
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    • 2015
  • Analysis of construction tender documents in overseas projects is a very important issue from a risk management point of view. Unfortunately, majority of construction firms are biased by winning contracts without in-depth analysis of tender documents. As a result, many contractors have incurred loss in overseas projects. Although a lot of risk analysis techniques have been introduced, most of them focus project's external unexpected risks such as country conditions and owner's financial standing. However, because those external risks are difficult to control and take preemptive action, we need to concentrate on project inherent risks. Based on this premise, this paper proposes a project-oriented risk mining approach which could detect and extract project risk factors automatically before they are materialized and assess them. This study presents a methodology regarding how to extract potential risks which exist in owner's project requirements and project tender documents using state of the art data analysis method such as text mining, data mining, and information visualization. The project-oriented risk mining approach is expected to effectively reflect project characteristics to the project risk management and could provide construction firms with valuable business intelligence.

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The Effects of Perceived Risk on Trust in Products Made in China: The Moderating Effect of Familiarity (중국상품에 대한 소비자의 지각된 위험이 신뢰에 미치는 영향: 친숙도의 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Cui, Ming;Lee, Seung Sin
    • Human Ecology Research
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.601-616
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    • 2014
  • This study's aim was to explore the relationships among consumers' perceived risk, trust, and familiarity with products made in China. We invited 489 Korean adult consumers, who had purchased products made in China earlier, to take part in this investigation. Data analyses were conducted using a reliability test, confirmatory factor analysis, and structural equation modeling (SEM) with SPSS ver. 21.0 and AMOS ver. 21.0. We assumed that the perceived risk could be classified into four types: financial, performance, psychological, and social risk. The empirical verification through SEM indicated that all four types of the perceived risk represented a negative influence on the trust. Further, only the financial and psychological risks were significant when consumers were not familiar with products made in China (novice); in contrast, the experts (consumers familiar with products made in China) showed that the performance and social risks were effective. Finally, we found that there was a moderating effect of familiarity on the relationship between three types of perceived risk, namely financial, performance, and psychological risks, and trust, but the social risk was not affected. The results of this research should help us to understand the consumers' risk perception of imported goods and to formulate criteria on the basis of which the consumers evaluate these products. This research can help companies, particularly those in China, to formulate market strategies effectively when they enter a foreign market such as Korea by exploring the influence of the perceived risk on local consumers' purchasing behaviors as well.

Generation of Corporate Risk Contents of Small Firms and Large Firms Using Financial Data for Enhancing International Competitiveness (국제경쟁력 강화를 위한 중소규모기업과 대기업간 부실예측 콘텐츠)

  • Kim, Young-Sook
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this paper is to capture risk profiles of smaller-sized Korean firms $vis-{\grave{a}}-vis$ larger-sized firms during the Asian financial crisis. For this purpose, risk profiles are provided by estimating expected default risks and by tracking how these have changed during this period with respect to their magnitude, volatility, and sensitivity measures. Methodology used in this study employs the Black-Scholes-Merton model for producing estimates of default risks. And the conventional trans-log function is utilized for obtaining sensitivity measures of the estimated default risks. According to empirical evidence obtained here, it is revealed that contractions of corporate loans associated with IMF austerity policy was the main factor responsible for the drastic change in the default risk profile of Korean firms after occurrence of the Asian financial crisis.

Growth and Motivations for Chinese Mobile Payment Service: An Empirical Study Using Ali-Pay and Wechat-Pay Users in Chinese Market (중국 모바일 결제서비스의 발전과 사용동기 - 중국 모바일 결제서비스 알리페이, 위챗페이를 중심으로 -)

  • Yin, Changlong;Lee, Sae-Bom;Roh, In-Sung;Suh, Yung-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is how Chinese users' personal traits affect the intention to use mobile payment. This research selects personal innovativeness and habit of cash payment as personal traits, and considers perceived risks and relative advantage as personal beliefs. In addition, the research divided perceived risks into three multi-faceted risks, which are privacy risk, financial risk and performance risk. Methods: The method of this study used questionnaire survey to collect 241 data on users' perception on mobile payment, and also used a structural equation modeling method. Results: The result of this paper shows that all hypotheses are statistically significant except 4 hypotheses. Conclusion: The result of this study found that personal innovativeness is negatively related with all 3 kinds of perceived risks as anticipated. And Chinese users' traditional habit of cash payment negatively affects intention to use mobile payment but is not statistically significant affecting three perceived risks. Among perceived risks, privacy risk is the most negatively influencing factor to relative advantage.