• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fault tree analysis

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The Comparative Quantitative Risk Assessment of LNG Tank Designs for the Safety Improvement of Above Ground Membrane Tank (지상식 멤브레인 LNG저장탱크 안전성 향상을 위한 설계형식별 정량적 위험성 비교 평가)

  • Lee S.R.;Kwon B.G.;Lee S.H.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.9 no.4 s.29
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    • pp.57-61
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    • 2005
  • The objective of paper is to carry out a comparative Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) of two KOGAS tank designs using a fault tree methodology, a standard 'Full Containment' tank and a 'Membrane' tank. For the membrane tank, both the initial KOGAS design and 4 modified KOGAS designs have been assessed, giving six separate cases. In this paper, the frequencies of releases are quantified using a fault tree approach. For clarity in the analysis, and to ensure consistency, all cases have been quantified using the same fault tree. Logic within the fault tree is used to select each of the cases. Full quantification of risks is often difficult, owing to a lack of relevant failure data, but the aim of this study has been to be as quantitative as possible, with full transparency of failure information. The most significant general cause of external LNG leaks is predicted to be a seismic event, which has been quantified nominally. 4modified KOGAS desiens to Prevent damage of bottom membrane panels that was shown in preparatory estimation could quantitively confirm safety improvement. According to result, the predicted frequencies of an external LNG leak for the full containment and modified membrane tanks are very similar, failures due to dropped pumps are predicted to be significantly greater for the membrane tank with thickened plate than for the full containment tank.

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Application Cases of Risk Assessment for British Railtrack System (영국철도시스템에 적용된 리스크평가 사례)

  • Lee, Dong-Ha;Jeong, Gwang-Tae
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 2003
  • The British railway safety research group has developed a risk assessment model for the railway infrastructure and major railway accidents. The major hazardous factors of the railway infrastructure were identified and classified in the model. The frequency rates of critical top events were predicted by the fault tree analysis method using failure data of the railway system components and ratings of railway maintenance experts, The consequences of critical top events were predicted by the event tree analysis method. They classified the Joss of accident due to railway system into personal. commercial and environmental damages. They also classified 110 hazardous event due to railway system into three categories. train accident. movement accident and non-movement accident. The risk assessment model of the British railway system has been designed to take full account of both the high frequency low consequence type events (events occurring routinely for which there is significant quantity of recorded data) and the low frequency high consequence events (events occurring rarely for which there is little recorded data). The results for each hazardous event were presented in terms of the frequency of occurrence (number of events/year) and the risk (number of equivalent fatalities per year).

Study on Probability Analysis of Drinking Habits Affecting Marine Accidents Using Fault-Tree Analysis Method (Fault-Tree 기법을 이용한 해기사의 음주습관과 해양사고 사이의 연관성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Yu-Gyeong;Yim, Jeong-Bin;Yang, Won-Je
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2012.10a
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    • pp.145-147
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    • 2012
  • 해양사고의 70-80%가 인적 오류(Human Factor)에 기인한 것으로 알려져 있다. 특히 인적 오류 중 선원의 피로도는 실제 해양사고로 이어질 개연성이 대단히 큰데, 이러한 피로도는 선원의 음주로부터 비롯된 경우가 존재하며 해양사고와 연관이 있을 것으로 추정된다. 그러나 이러한 선원의 음주습관과 해양사고의 연관성에 관한 연구는 아직 정립된 바가 없는 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 음주습관이 신체 및 행동에 미치는 영향을 알아보고 과거 해양사고 통계를 분석하여 해기사의 음주습관과 해양사고의 연관성에 대해 Fault-Tree 기법을 적용하여 연구하였다. 연구결과, 해기사의 음주습관은 피로도와 직접 연관성을 밝혀 낼 수 있지만 해양사고와 직접적인 연관성은 미약한 것으로 파악되었다. 그러나 선원의 피로도와 직접 연관된 음주습관은 해양사고 유발 원인이기 때문에 본 연구결과에 대한 타당성은 추후 다양한 실험을 통한 연구한 것으로 조사된다.

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The Computer Fault Prediction and Diagnosis Fuzzy Expert System (컴퓨터 고장 예측 및 진단 퍼지 전문가 시스템)

  • 최성운
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.23 no.54
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2000
  • The fault diagnosis is a systematic and unified method to find based on the observing data resulting in noises. This paper presents the fault prediction and diagnosis using fuzzy expert system technique to manipulate the uncertainties efficiently in predictive perspective. We apply a fuzzy event tree analysis to the computer system, and build up the fault prediction and diagnosis using fuzzy expert system that predicts and diagnoses the error of the system in the advance of error.

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Safety Assessment Analysis of the Rotorcraft Fuel Pumps (회전익기 연료펌프 안전성 평가 분석)

  • Lee, Junghoon;Park, Jang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.21-25
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    • 2013
  • The system and components for aircraft are required the design data on which the safety requirements are properly reflected for their certification. This paper presents the procedure and results of a safety assessments analysis for the rotorcraft fuel pumps in oder to confirm and verify them. The fuel pumps design assessment must be performed, including a detailed failure analysis to identify all failures that will prevent continued safe flight or safe landing. In order to assess the fuel pumps design safety, not only system safety hazard analysis and but FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) for proofing the safety objective of the fuel pumps are performed. The results of the safety assessment for fuel pumps validate that no single failure or malfunction could result in catastrophic failure or critical accidents of the rotorcraft.

Development of Risk Assessment Models for Railway Casualty Accidents (철도 사상사고 위험도 평가 모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Chan-Woo;Wang, Jong-Bae;Kim, Min-Su;Choi, Don-Bum;Kwak, Sang-Log
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.190-198
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    • 2009
  • This study shows the developing process of the risk assessment models for railway casualty accidents. To evaluate the risks of these accidents, the hazardous events and the hazardous factors were identified by the review of the accident history and engineering interpretation of the accident behavior. The frequency of each hazardous event was evaluated from the historical accident data and structured expert judgments by using the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) technique. In addition, to assess the severity of each hazardous event, the ETA (Event Tree Analysis) technique and other safety techniques were applied. The risk assessment models developed can be effectively utilized in defining the risk reduction measures in connection with the option analysis.

Petri-nets based Product Safety Analysis : A Way of Integrated Method of Hardware and Human Behavior (페트리 네트에 기반한 제품의 안전분석 방법 : 하드웨어와 인간행태를 통합하여 분석하는 방법에 관하여)

  • Lim, Chang-Joo;Koh, Bong-Ki
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we described the existing methodology of product safety analysis and proposed a Petri-nets based method to analyze product safety systematically. The proposed method can be used to find the defects of hardware/software and the error of human behavior. We also discussed the differences between the Fault Tree Analysis and Petri-nets based method by giving an example.

A formal approach to support the identification of unsafe control actions of STPA for nuclear protection systems

  • Jung, Sejin;Heo, Yoona;Yoo, Junbeom
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.1635-1643
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    • 2022
  • STPA (System-Theoretic Process Analysis) is a widely used safety analysis technique to identify UCAs (Unsafe Control Actions) resulting in potential losses. It is totally dependent on the experience and ability of analysts to construct an information model called Control Structures, upon which analysts try to identify unsafe controls between system components. This paper proposes a formal approach to support the manual identification of UCAs, effectively and systematically. It allows analysts to mechanically extract Process Model, an important element that makes up the Control Structures, from a formal requirements specification for a software controller. It then concisely constructs the contents of Context Tables, from which analysts can identify all relevant UCAs effectively, using a software fault tree analysis technique. The case study with a preliminary version of a Korean nuclear reactor protections system shows the proposed approach's effectiveness and applicability.

Fault diagnosis of walking beam roller bearing by FTA (FTA(Fault Tree Analysis)기법을 이용한 이송용 대부하 베어링 고장 진단)

  • Bae, Y.H.;Lee, H.K.;Lee, S.J.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.110-123
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    • 1994
  • The development of automatic production systems have required inteligent diagnostic and monitoring function to repair system failure and reduce production loss by the failure. In order to perform accurate functions of intelligent system, inferencing about total system failure and fault analysis due to each mechanical component failures are required. Also the solution about repair and maintenance can be suggested from these analysis results. As an essential component of mechanical system, a bearing system is investigated to define the failure behavior. The bearing failure is caused by lubricant system failure, metallurgical defficiency, mechanical condition(vibration, overloading, misalignment) and environmental effect. This study described roller bearing fault train due to stress variation and metallurgical defficiency from lubricant failure by using FTA.

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