• 품질경영학회지
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• 제45권4호
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• pp.649-664
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• 2017

Purpose: This paper introduces the technology of prognostics for Industry 4.0 and presents its application procedure for fitness-for-service assessment of natural gas pipelines according to ISO 13374 framework. Methods: Combining data-driven approach with pipe failure models, we present a hybrid scheme for the gas pipeline prognostics. The probability of pipe failure is obtained by using the PCORRC burst pressure model and First Order Second Moment (FOSM) method. A fuzzy inference system is also employed to accommodate uncertainty due to corrosion growth and defect occurrence. Results: With a modified field dataset, the probability of failure on the pipeline is calculated. Then, its residual useful life (RUL) is predicted according to ISO 16708 standard. As a result, the fitness-for-service of the test pipeline is well-confirmed. Conclusion: The framework described in ISO 13374 is applicable to the RUL prediction and the fitness-for-service assessment for gas pipelines. Therefore, the technology of prognostics is helpful for safe and efficient management of gas pipelines in Industry 4.0.

• 드라이브 ㆍ 컨트롤
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.33-41
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• 2019

This study presents the development of a lifetime test bench for the strain wave reducer which is a precision gear reducer of the robot to realize fault diagnosis and failure prognostics. To this end, the lifetime test bench was designed to detect the vertical forward/reverse direction rotation load. Through the lifetime test bench, it is possible to apply the same load spectrum from robot working scenarios. We developed a data integration gateway for fault data collection. Through the development of dedicated software for fault diagnosis and failure prognostics, these data from vibration, noise and temperature sensors were collected and analyzed along with the operation of the lifetime evaluation.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제35권7호
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• pp.799-804
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• 2011

본 논문에서는 칩저항을 실장하는 솔더에 대한 온도사이클 시험을 수행하고, 그 결과로부터 고장 예지 실현을 위한 열하중에서의 솔더실장의 고장메커니즘을 연구하였다. 시험 중 솔더의 고장을 모니터링하기 위하여 실장된 칩저항 양단간의 저항 변화를 데이터 측정기로 실시간 관찰하였다. 관찰 데이터로부터 솔더의 크랙 진전 중과 크랙 진전 완료 시점의 고장 메커니즘을 제시하였다. 제시된 고장 메커니즘을 유한요소법으로 검증하여 솔더의 크랙이 진전 중에는 저온조건에서 크랙이 열리고 저항이 증가하며, 크랙의 진전이 완료된 후에는 고온조건에서 크랙이 열리고 저항이 증가하는 조건으로 바뀜을 보였다. 이런 결과에 기반하여 온도 사이클에서 저항측정을 통해 칩저항 실장 솔더의 고장예지가 가능함을 제시하였다.

• 한국기계가공학회지
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• 제19권12호
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• pp.21-27
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• 2020

Lithium-ion batteries are the heart of energy-storing devices and electric vehicles. Owing to their superior qualities, such as high capacity and energy efficiency, they have become quite popular, resulting in an increased demand for failure/damage prevention and useable life maximization. To prevent failure in Lithium-ion batteries, improve their reliability, and ensure productivity, prognosticative measures such as condition monitoring through sensors, condition assessment for failure detection, and remaining useful life prediction through data-driven prognostics and health management approaches have become important topics for research. In this study, the residual useful life of Lithium-ion batteries was predicted using two efficient artificial recurrent neural networks-ong short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU). The proposed approaches were compared for prognostics accuracy and cost-efficiency. It was determined that LSTM showed slightly higher accuracy, whereas GRUs have a computational advantage.

• 항공우주시스템공학회지
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.7-17
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• 2014

Objective of this paper is to introduce a new technology known as prognostics and health management (PHM) which enables a real-time life prediction for safety critical systems under extreme loading conditions. In the PHM, Bayesian framework is employed to account for uncertainties and probabilities arising in the overall process including condition monitoring, fault severity estimation and failure predictions. Three applications - aircraft fuselage crack, gearbox spall and battery capacity degradation are taken to illustrate the approach, in which the life is predicted and validated by end-of-life results. The PHM technology may allow new maintenance strategy that achieves higher degree of safety while reducing the cost in effective manner.

• 한국기계가공학회지
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• 제19권11호
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• pp.94-101
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• 2020

In the age of industry 4.0, artificial intelligence is being widely used to realize machinery condition monitoring. Due to their excellent performance and the ability to handle large volumes of data, machine learning techniques have been applied to realize the fault diagnosis of different equipment. In this study, we performed the failure mode effect analysis (FMEA) of an aluminum electrolytic capacitor by using deep learning and big data. Several tests were performed to identify the main failure mode of the aluminum electrolytic capacitor, and it was noted that the capacitance reduced significantly over time due to overheating. To reflect the capacitance degradation behavior over time, we employed the Vanilla long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network architecture. The LSTM neural network has been demonstrated to achieve excellent long-term predictions. The prediction results and metrics of the LSTM and Vanilla LSTM models were examined and compared. The Vanilla LSTM outperformed the conventional LSTM in terms of the computational resources and time required to predict the capacitance degradation.

• 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국소음진동공학회 2014년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.533-538
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• 2014

Power generator is one of the most important component of electricity generation system to convert mechanical energy to electrical energy. I t designed robustly to maintain high system reliability during operation time. But unexpected failure of the power generator could happen and it cause huge amount of economic and social loss. To keep it from unexpected failure, health prognostics should be carried out In this research, We developed a health prognostic method of stator windings in power generator with statistical data analysis and degradation modeling against water absorption. We divided whole 42 windings into two groups, absorption suspected group and normal group. We built a degradation model of absorption suspected winding using Fick's second law to predict upcoming absorption data. Through the analysis of data of normal group, we could figure out the distribution of data of normal windings. After that, we can properly predict absorption data of normal windings. With data prediction of two groups, we derived upcoming Directional Mahalanobis Distance (DMD) of absorption suspected winding and time vs DMD curve. Finally we drew the probability distribution of Remaining Useful Life of absorption suspected windings.

• 한국기계가공학회지
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• 제20권12호
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• pp.85-91
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• 2021

In our daily life, artificial intelligence performs simple and complicated tasks like us, including operating mobile phones and working at homes and workplaces. Artificial intelligence is used in industrial technology for diagnosing various types of equipment using the machine learning technology. This study presents a fault mode effect analysis (FMEA) of start motors using machine learning and big data. Through multiple data collection, we observed that the primary failure of the start motor was caused by the melting of the magnetic switch inside the start motor causing it to fail. Long-short-term memory (LSTM) was used to diagnose the condition of the magnetic locations, and synthetic data were generated using the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE). This technique has the advantage of increasing the data accuracy. LSTM can also predict a start motor failure.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제49권5호
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• pp.914-919
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• 2017

While industry understands the importance of keeping equipment operational and well maintained, the importance of tracking maintenance information in reliability models is often overlooked. Prognostic models can be used to predict the failure times of critical equipment, but more often than not, these models assume that all maintenance actions are the same or do not consider maintenance at all. This study investigates the influence of integrating maintenance information on prognostic model prediction accuracy. By incorporating maintenance information to develop maintenance-dependent prognostic models, prediction accuracy was improved by more than 40% compared with traditional maintenance-independent models. This study acts as a proof of concept, showing the importance of utilizing maintenance information in modern prognostics for industrial equipment.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제50권8호
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• pp.1314-1323
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• 2018

For nuclear power plants (NPPs) to have long lifetimes, ageing is a major issue. Currently, ageing management for NPP systems is based on correlations built from generic experimental data. However, each system has its own characteristics, operational history, and environment. To account for this, it is possible to resort to prognostics that predicts the future state and time to failure (TTF) of the target system by updating the generic correlation with specific information of the target system. In this paper, we present an application of particle filtering for the prediction of degradation in steam generator tubes. With a case study, we also show how the prediction results vary depending on the uncertainty of the measurement data.