• Title/Summary/Keyword: Failure Prediction

Search Result 1,180, Processing Time 0.031 seconds

Prediction of Slope Failure Using Control Chart Method (통계관리도 기법을 적용한 사면붕괴 예측)

  • Park, Sung-Yong;Chang, Dong-Su;Jung, Jae-Hoon;Kim, Young-Ju;Kim, Yong-Seong
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.9-18
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this study, a field model experiment was performed to analyze the bahavior of slope during failure. It was analyzed through x-MR control chart method with inverse displacement and K-value. As a result, the portent was confirmed at 4 minutes before slope failure in Case 1. The change of the control limit line according to moving range was analyzed and it was effective to apply K = 3. Use of the inverse displacement and x-MR control chart method will be useful for the prediction of abnormal behavior through quick and objective judgment. Prediction of slope failure using control chart method can be used as basic data of slope measurement management standard, and it can contribute in reduction of life and property damage caused by slope disaster.

Development of Prediction Model for Fill Slope Failure of Forest Road (임도성토사면(林道盛土斜面)의 붕괴예측(崩壞豫測)모델 개발(開發))

  • Cha, Du Song;Ji, Byoung Yun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.90 no.3
    • /
    • pp.324-330
    • /
    • 2001
  • This study was carried out to develop prediction model for fill slope failure of forest road in igneous rock area using fuzzy theory which is non-linear model. The results were summarized as follows. The importance weight of factors on fill slope failure was ranked in the order of fill slope length, fill slope gradient, soil type, aspect, road position and longitudinal slope form. The degree of potential slope failure was high mainly under the such conditions as fill slope length greater than 8m, fill slope gradients steeper than $40^{\circ}$, constituent material with weathered rock, aspect of NE and road on ridge position. The optimal prediction model was developed with 0.15 of optimal coefficient(c) and 3.1165 of ${\lambda}$-value when fuzzy integral value of slope failure possibility is more than 0.5. And the discriminant accuracy was 86.8%, which shows the high availability for discrimination.

  • PDF

A Prediction of Bursting Failure in Tube Hydroforming Process Based on Plastic Instability (소성불안정성에 의한 관재 하이드로포밍 공정에서의 터짐 불량 예측)

  • Kim S. W.;Kim J.;Park H. J.;Kang B. S.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
    • /
    • 2004.05a
    • /
    • pp.210-213
    • /
    • 2004
  • Based on plastic instability, analytical prediction of bursting failure on tube hydroforming processes under combined internal pressure and independent axial feeding is carried out. Bursting is irrecoverable phenomenon due to local instability under excessive tensile stresses. In order to predict the bursting failure, three different classical necking criteria such as diffuse necking criterion for sheet and tube, local necking criterion for sheet are introduced. The incremental theory of plasticity fur anisotropic material is adopted and then the hydroforming limit and bursting failure diagram with respect to axial feeding and hydraulic pressure are presented. In addition, the influences of the material properties such as anisotropy parameter, strain hardening exponent on bursting pressure are investigated. As results of the above approach, the hydroforming limit in view of bursting failure is verified with experimental results.

  • PDF

Effect of Shape of External Corrosion in Pipeline on Failure Prediction (외부부식의 형상이 파이프라인의 파손예측에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Eok-Seop;Kim, Ho-Jung
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.23 no.11 s.170
    • /
    • pp.2096-2101
    • /
    • 1999
  • This paper presents the effect of shape of external corrosion in pipeline on failure prediction by using numerical simulation. The numerical study for the pipeline failure analysis is based on the FEM(Finite Element Method) with an elastic-plastic and large-deformation analysis. The predicted failure stress assessed for the simulated corrosion defects having different corroded shapes along the pipeline axis are compared with those by methods specified in ANSl/ASME B31G code and a modified B31G code.

ALT Design using Field Failure and Usage Profile

  • Ismail, Azianti;Jung, Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
    • /
    • 2011.06a
    • /
    • pp.21-26
    • /
    • 2011
  • Initial reliability prediction done by calculation would be more practical if support by evidence from customer usage profile and field failure data to improve the prediction. Thus, the consistency of the design and the product would be practically validated. In this paper, it will address rationale and method to decide on Acceleration Factor (AF) to be used in Accelerated Life Test (ALT) through usage profile and field failure. The case study of tractor transmission is used to demonstrate the method which data obtained from surveys done on farmers, field visits and field failure data from service center. By considering all the elements, it will determine more relevant AF which indicates the real use conditions of the component.

  • PDF

A Prediction of Bursting Failure in Tube Hydroforming Process Based on Necking Conditions (네킹발생조건에 의한 관재 액압성형 공정에서의 터짐 불량 예측)

  • 김상우;김정;박훈재;강범수
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
    • /
    • v.13 no.7
    • /
    • pp.629-634
    • /
    • 2004
  • Based on plastic instability, analytical prediction of bursting failure on tube hydroforming processes under combined infernal pressure and independent axial feeding is carried out. Bursting is irrecoverable phenomenon due to local instability under excessive tensile stresses. In order to predict the bursting failure, three different classical necking criteria such as diffuse necking criterion for sheet and tube, local necking criterion for sheet are introduced. The incremental theory of plasticity for anisotropic material is adopted and then the hydroforming limit and bursting failure diagram with respect to axial feeding and hydraulic pressure are presented. In addition, the influences of the material properties such as anisotropy Parameter, strain hardening exponent and strength coefficient on bursting Pressure are investigated. As results of the above approach, the hydroforming limit in view of bursting failure is verified with experimental results.

Low-Cycle Fatigue Failure Prediction of Steel Yield Energy Dissipating Devices Using a Simplified Method

  • Shin, Dong-Hyeon;Kim, Hyung-Joon
    • International journal of steel structures
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1384-1396
    • /
    • 2018
  • One of the failure modes observed in steel yield energy dissipating devices (SYEDs) excited by a strong earthquake would be the low-cycle fatigue failure. Fatigue cracks of a SYED are prone to initiate at the notch areas where stress concentration is usually occurred, which is demonstrated by the cyclic tests and analyses carried out for this study. Since the fatigue failure of SYEDs dramatically deteriorates their structural capacities, the thorough investigation on their fatigue life is usually required. To do this, sophisticated modeling with considering a time-consuming and complicate fracture mechanism is generally needed. This study makes an effort to investigate the low-cycle fatigue life of SYEDs predicted by a simplified method utilizing damage indices and fatigue prediction equations that are based on the plastic strain amplitudes obtained from typical finite element analyses. This study shows that the low-cycle fatigue failure of SYEDs predicted by the simplified method can be conservatively in good agreement with the test results of SYED specimens prepared for experimental validation.

Software Reliability Prediction Using Predictive Filter (예측필터를 이용한 소프트웨어 신뢰성 예측)

  • Park, Jung-Yang;Lee, Sang-Un;Park, Jae-Heung
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
    • /
    • v.7 no.7
    • /
    • pp.2076-2085
    • /
    • 2000
  • Almost all existing software reliability models are based on the assumptions of he software usage and software failure process. There, therefore, is no universally applicable software reliability model. To develop a universal software reliability model this paper suggests the predictive filter as a general software reliability prediction model for time domain failure data. Its usefulness is empirically verified by analyzing the failure datasets obtained from 14 different software projects. Based on the average relative prediction error, the suggested predictive filter is compared with other well-known neural network models and statistical software reliability growth models. Experimental results show that the predictive filter generally results in a simple model and adapts well across different software projects.

  • PDF

Neuro-Fuzzy Approach for Software Reliability Prediction (뉴로-퍼지 소프트웨어 신뢰성 예측)

  • Lee, Sang-Un
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
    • /
    • v.27 no.4
    • /
    • pp.393-401
    • /
    • 2000
  • This paper explores neuro-fuzzy system in order to improve the software reliability predictability from failure data. We perform numerical simulations for actual 10 failure count and 4 failure time data sets from different software projects with the various number of rules. Comparative results for next-step prediction problem is presented to show the prediction ability of the neuro-fuzzy system. Experimental results show that neuro-fuzzy system is adapt well across different software projects. Also, performance of neuro-fuzzy system is favorably with the other well-known neural networks and statistical SRGMs.

  • PDF

Failure Prediction Monitoring of DC Electrolytic Capacitors in Half-bridge Boost Converter (단상 하프-브리지 부스트 컨버터에서 DC 전해 커패시터의 고장예측 모니터링)

  • Seo, Jang-Soo;Shon, Jin-Geun;Jeon, Hee-Jong
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
    • /
    • v.63 no.4
    • /
    • pp.345-350
    • /
    • 2014
  • DC electrolytic capacitor is widely used in the power converter including PWM inverter, switching power supply and PFC Boost converter system because of its large capacitance, small size and low cost. In this paper, basic characteristics of DC electrolytic capacitor vs. frequency is presented and the real-time estimation scheme of ESR and capacitance based on the bandpass filtering is adopted to the single phase boost converter of uninterruptible power supply to diagnose its split dc-link capacitors. The feasibility of this real-time failure prediction monitoring system is verified by the computer simulation of the 5[kW] singe phase PFC half-bridge boost converter.