• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.79-95
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• 2003

Manufacturers collect and analyze field reliability data to enhance the quality and reliability of their products and to improve customer satisfaction. To reduce the data collecting and maintenance costs, the amount of data maintained for evaluating product quality and reliability should be minimized. With this in mind, some industrial companies assemble warranty databases by gathering data from different sources for a particular time period. This “marginal count failure data” does not provide (i) the number of failures by when the product entered service, (ii) the number of failures by product age, or (iii) information about the effects of the operating season or environment. This article describes a method for estimating age-based claim rates from marginal count failure data. It uses covariates to identify variations in claims relative to variables such as manufacturing characteristics, time of manufacture, operating season or environment. A Poisson model is presented, and the method is illustrated using warranty claims data for two electrical products.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.305-318
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• 2011

In the statement of logistics reliability prediction methodology, all components should be managed as the analysis objectives. However, in some reliability prediction of weapon systems, fastening parts, e.g., screws, bolts and nuts, have been frequently ignored because some organizations related to weapon systems have emphasized that those parts are not significant in their failures rate and functions. In this paper, failure rates, modes, and distributions were presented to prove that fastening parts should be included in reliability prediction objectives. Also, failure rate prediction methods of fastening parts are presented and compared.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 2004년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.210-217
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• 2004

Developed is the new program that the reliability analysis can be performed more effectively considering the correlation of structural members about the cable stayed bridge. This program is formulated the stochastic finite element method suitable for the reliability analysis and the new safety evaluation method is proposed which is different from the existing one by the deterministic method or MCS response analysis. After conducting the initial equilibrium analysis of cable stayed bridges, the stochastic finite element is formulated through the perturbation method and the reliability analysis considering the correlation of stochastic variables is conducted. The results in various types of cable stayed bridge show that the probability of failure considering the correlation is larger than the non-correlation. The fan system is more stable than other systems at the structural response and the probability failure.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.93-100
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• 2012

In this paper, the deterministic optimal design for the tail plane made of composite materials is conducted under the deterministic loading condition and compared with that of the metallic materials. Next, the reliability analysis with five random variables such as loading and material properties of unidirectional prepreg is conducted to examine the probability of failure for the deterministic optimal design results. The MATLAB programing is used for reliability analysis combined with FEA S/W(COMSOL) for structural analysis. The laminated composite is assumed to the equivalent orthotropic material using classical laminated plate theory. The response surface methodology and importance sampling technique are adopted to reduce computational cost with satisfying the accuracy in reliability analysis. As a result, structural weight of composite materials is lighter than that of metals in deterministic optimal design. However, the probability of failure for the deterministic optimal design of the tail plane structures is too high to be neglected. The sensitivity of each variable is also estimated using probabilistic sensitivity analysis to figure out which variables are sensitive to failure. The computational cost is considerably reduced when response surface methodology and importance sampling technique are used. The study of the computationally inexpensive method for reliability-based design optimization will be necessary in further work.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.289-296
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• 2005

In this study aims is water supply criteria relations for evaluating the possible performance of water resources systems. These measures describe how likely a systems is to fail(reliability), how quickly it recovers from failure(resiliency), and how severe the consequences of failure may be(vulnerability). The performance of a criteria evaluating with a variety of operating policies illustrates their use. As a result study frequency reliability and quantitative reliability is linear relations and quantitative reliability is high reliability for equality water supply policy. As reliability and vulnerability are in inverse proportion to each other. Therefore these criteria relation analysis can be for Imha dam to variety water supply policy.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.1-11
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• 2007

This paper presents a derating design approach for reliability improvement of a regulator IC. The IC is usually used in SMPS. The main failure mechanism of interest is voltage drop due to the package delamination mainly caused by two stresses, i.e. temperature and current. The lifetime under stresses is modeled as a function of stresses and time using accelerating life testings. Quantitative and qualitative variation in lifetime according to stress variations are investigated using the modeled lifetime. Stress levels would be determined to achieve required reliability levels in the aspect of derating design for reliability.

• International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.11-21
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• 2019

In product design, the initial design stage is being increasingly emphasized because it significantly influences the successive product development and production stages. However, for larger and more complex products, it is very difficult to accurately predict product reliability in the initial design stage. Various design methodologies have been proposed to resolve this issue, but maintaining reliability while exploring design alternatives is yet to be achieved. Therefore, this paper proposes a methodology for conceptual design considering reliability issues that may arise in the successive detailed design stages. The methodology integrates the independency of axiomatic design and the hierarchical structure of failure mode, effects, and criticality analysis (FMECA), which is a technique widely used to analyze product reliability. We applied the proposed methodology to a liquefied natural gas fuel gas supply system to verify its effectiveness in the reliability improvement of the design process.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제20권12호
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• pp.535-545
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• 2019

함정 무기체계에 탑재되는 회로카드조립체(Printed Board Assembly, 이하 PBA)는 해양 함상이라는 가혹한 환경 조건에서 운용되기 때문에 임무 수행의 중요성과 정비의 어려움 등을 고려하여 높은 신뢰성 확보가 요구된다. 운용 중 PBA 고장 발생 시 신속한 수리부속 보급이 어렵고 임무수행에 영향을 미친다. 개발단계에서 신뢰성 시험이 시제품 제작 이후에 수행되며, 시험 수행을 위해 시간, 장소, 시료, 비용의 확보와 고장부위 식별 등에 많은 노력과 어려움이 따른다. 그리고 MIL-HDBK-217F 규격 등을 토대로 한 신뢰도 예측은 부품단위 고장률에 근거하고 있어 설계(PCB층/재질, 전자부품 배치/상호관계), 사용 환경과 방법, 접합부 구조와 특성(패드 크기/솔더 재질) 등 부품 외적인 고장요인을 고려하고 있지 않다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 고장물리(Physics of Failure, 이하 PoF) 기반 도구를 활용, 신뢰성 물리학 분석(Reliability Physics Analysis, 이하 RPA)을 수행하여 시제품 제작 전 열-기계적 측면의 신뢰성을 향상시키는 방안을 제시한다. RPA 수행과 적용을 통해 PBA의 특화된 다양한 고장메커니즘을 고려한 신뢰성 점검, 신뢰성 취약부위식별, 설계대안 도출, 설계반영 및 시험계획 수립 등 사전 검증을 수행하여 높은 신뢰성을 확보할 수 있다.

• Wind and Structures
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.175-186
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• 2018

With the continuous increase of span lengths, modern bridges are becoming much more flexible and more prone to flutter under wind excitations. A reasonable probabilistic flutter analysis of long-span bridges involving random and uncertain variables may have to be taken into consideration. This paper presents a method for estimating the reliability index and failure probability due to flutter, which considers the very important variables including the extreme wind velocity at bridge site, damping ratio, mathematical modeling, and flutter derivatives. The Aizhai Bridge in China is selected as an example to demonstrate the numerical procedure for the flutter reliability analysis. In the presented method, the joint probability density function of wind speed and wind direction at the deck level of the bridge is first established. Then, based on the fundamental theories of structural reliability, the reliability index and failure probability due to flutter of the Aizhai Bridge is investigated by applying the Monte Carlo method and the first order reliability method (FORM). The probabilistic flutter analysis can provide a guideline in the design of long-span bridges and the results show that the structural damping and flutter derivatives have significant effects on the flutter reliability, more accurate and reliable data of which is needed.

• 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신뢰성학회 2004년도 정기학술대회
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• pp.183-190
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• 2004

Found important components in terms of frequency in the assembly (but not in terms of money). Component 39*** was most important. The failure mode was N69(no light on warning signal the cause of the failure was C15(bad connection). Formed a population for each component. Performed reliability and warranty cost analyses At the component level. At the subsystem level. At the system level. **They don'l trust the warranty cost analysis.** Reliability improvement. Among all the subsystems front \ulcorner subsystem is most vulnerable (among other things due to the large number of components in it), especially components 39*** and 28***.