• Title/Summary/Keyword: FTA 분석

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Emergency Evacuation Scenario Study of Urban Metro Vehicle Running on Elevated Guideway (도시철도차량의 고가선로 비상대피 시나리오 분석)

  • Kim, Young-Sang;Maeng, Hee-Young;Wang, Jong-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 2012
  • There have been recently introduced new types of urban metro vehicles called LRT (Light Rail Transit) running on elevated guideway such as Uijeongbu VAL(which stands for V$\acute{e}$hicule Automatique L$\acute{e}$ger: Automatic Light Rail Vehicle) system, Yong-In LIM(Linear Induction Motor) system, Incheon international airport MAGLEV(Magnetic Levitated Vehicle) system and Daegu monorail system. Most of accidents by the vehicles are bound to happen on elevated guideway. Therefore, it is of vital importance to analyze hazards related to vehicles running on elevated guideway and study emergency evacuation scenarios applicable in case of accidents on elevated guideway so as to secure the safety of the new types of urban metro vehicles. In this study, FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) model was developed to identify all possible hazards, and all possible evacuation scenarios were studied. It was also confirmed that each hazard can be corresponded to one or more evacuation scenarios. This result shows that passengers can be evacuated according to one of the scenarios identified in this study in case of an accident of "Train Stranded on Elevated Guideway".

A study of development to the ratio of successful applicants forecasting model using AHP (계층구조분석기법을 이용한 합격률 예측모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jae-Hyun;Jung, Il-Sung;Yang, Yoon-Jung;Jeong, Yong-Duk;Lee, Joo-Il
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.209-216
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    • 2010
  • We need a study of the ratio of successful applicants control methodology about the national technical qualification under the global-green industrial society and rapid change of international circumstances, infinite competition rider society under FTA aspects. It is necessary to develop of HRD Korea selfishness and increase brand value of national technical qualification. So, this study is analysed to the ratio of successful applicants of national technical qualification toward change of the 'bank of problems' control rule, various characters of candidates and the trend of demand and supply of labours instead of the absolute evaluation method. Accordingly, this study suggests to a methodology for the forecasting model of the ratio of successful applicants using the level of problems difficulty and pattern and the candidates academical carriers.

The Comparison of Demand Forecasting and Development Schemes for Saemangeum New Port (새만금 신항만의 수요추정 비교분석 및 개발방안)

  • Jo, Jin-Haeng;Kim, Jae-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.219-235
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    • 2011
  • Today FTAs(Free Trade Agreements) are revving up among countries in the course of glocalization. Dubai, Pudong of Shanghai, Binhai shinku of Tianjin are actively pursuing Free Zones, and Saemangeum District in Korea is under development as growth base in North East Asia. This study aims to present the proper development scale and other development schemes for Samangeum Newport. In conclusion, following several schemes are required; firstly more sophisticated forecasting of demand and supplementation for Saemangeum Newport, secondly development of dedicated container terminals and dedicated food terminals, and finally cruise terminal for the tourist activation.

Analysis of Factors Influencing Korea's Air Trade with China

  • Lim, Jae-Hwan;Kim, Young-Rok;Choi, Yun-Chul;Choi, Yu-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to identify the representative factors affecting the air trade between the two countries over the past 20 years, targeting China, Korea's largest trading partner for air transport. In the analysis, the two countries' GDP, GDP per capita, and tariff rates, as well as exchange rates, international oil prices, and FTAs were used as variables. For the analysis method, OLS multiple regression analysis was performed, and each was analyzed by dividing the export amount, import amount, and trade amount. As a result of the analysis, China's GDP and Korea's GDP per capita showed a positive (+) direction, an increase in the exchange rate resulted in an increase in the amount of trade, and an increase in the tariff rate resulted in a decrease in the amount of trade. Whether the FTA was concluded or not acted as a factor in increasing the amount of trade between the two countries.

The Effects of Technical Barriers to Trade on Korean Exports to ASEAN Countries (한국의 대아세안 수출에 대한 TBT의 영향 실증분석)

  • Park, Hyun-ju;Wang, Jingbu;Oh, Keun-Yeob
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.289-305
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    • 2019
  • Recently, each country has been using non-tariff barriers (Non-Tariff Barriers, NTB) as a new protection trade policy. In particular, TBT lies at the center of NTB. In this context, we examine the impact of Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) on Korea's exports to ASEAN. Using 10-year statistics from 2007 to 2016 that came into effect with the ASEAN FTA, we analyze the impact of TBT on the Korean exports in the electrical machinery industry (HS85), which accounts for more than 30 percent of Korea's total exports to ASEAN. The results of the empirical analysis using a gravity model showed significant and positive effects in the variables of GDP and real effective exchange rate in each ASEAN country on Korea's exports to ASEAN. As expected, the tariff rate has a negative effect. As for TBT, the key variable of this study, the results are as follows. Although many previous studies reported that TBT has negative impacts on exports, this study could not find any significant impact of TBT and found that Korea's exports of electrical machinery to ASEAN countries are not affected by TBT. Various implications of these results are suggested.

An Analysis of Factors Influencing on Chinese Agricultural Exports to Korea (중국 농수산품의 대(對)한국 수출 영향요인 분석)

  • Ji-Eun Pyeon;Eun-Young Nam
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.39-57
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to analyze the factors influencing exports of agricultural products(HS01~HS24) from China to Korea by estimating the gravity model with panel data from 31 provinces in China. The results of the empirical analysis from the panel Tobit model are as follows: The effects of GDP and GDP per capita on agricultural exports are reversed, but their impacts are different on exports of each product, notably HS03, HS07 and HS20. As expected, distance decreases Chinese agricultural exports, and the impact of the relative exchange rate variable is also statistically significant, although it differs from product to product. However, differences in latitude, which considers the heterogeneity of climate and agricultural production conditions between Korea and each Chinese region, does not seem to affect agricultural exports to Korea. The road length, which affects the logistical conditions of each province in China, is not statistically significant either. On the other hand, increases in the number of Chinese visitors to Korea raises the amount of Chinese agricultural exports, including exports of HS03 and HS20. The results also shows that after the Korea-China FTA agreements, agricultural exports have actually decreased, especially exports of non-processed agricultural products, such as HS07.

A Study on the Research Trends in Int'l Trade Using Topic modeling (토픽모델링을 활용한 무역분야 연구동향 분석)

  • Jee-Hoon Lee;Jung-Suk Kim
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.55-69
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    • 2020
  • This study examines the research trends and knowledge structure of international trade studies using topic modeling method, which is one of the main methodologies of text mining. We collected and analyzed English abstracts of 1,868 papers of three Korean major journals in the area of international trade from 2003 to 2019. We used the Latent Dirichlet Allocation(LDA), an unsupervised machine learning algorithm to extract the latent topics from the large quantity of research abstracts. 20 topics are identified without any prior human judgement. The topics reveal topographical maps of research in international trade and are representative and meaningful in the sense that most of them correspond to previously established sub-topics in trade studies. Then we conducted a regression analysis on the document-topic distributions generated by LDA to identify hot and cold topics. We discovered 2 hot topics(internationalization capacity and performance of export companies, economic effect of trade) and 2 cold topics(exchange rate and current account, trade finance). Trade studies are characterized as a interdisciplinary study of three agendas(i.e. international economy, International Business, trade practice), and 20 topics identified can be grouped into these 3 agendas. From the estimated results of the study, we find that the Korean government's active pursuit of FTA and consequent necessity of capacity building in Korean export firms lie behind the popularity of topic selection by the Korean researchers in the area of int'l trade.

Analysis of Chinese Consumer Preference of Country of Origin for Apples based on National Organic Certification (사과의 국가별 유기인증 결합에 대한 중국 소비자 선호분석)

  • Kwon, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Jeong-Nyeon;Hong, Na-Kyoung;Kim, Tae-Kyun
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.225-230
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    • 2014
  • This study investigates the effect of organic certification of apples on consumer preference in China as a way to support the expanded export of Korean apples to China. A choice experiment was designed to analyze the apple consumption in China. A total of 298 Chinese consumers answered the survey, and multinomial logit models were used to analyze the results. Organic certification was identified as an important determinant of consumer preference for apples in China, affecting both the evaluation and choice of country of origin. The results also indicated that Korean organic certification significantly increased the probability of Chinese consumers choosing Korean apples. Thus, organic certification by the Korean government should be strengthened to promote apple exports to China, plus the results of this study may provide useful information to promote agricultural product exports and improve the organic certification system.

Risk Assessment and Application in Chemical Plants Using Fault Tree Analysis (FTA를 이용한 화학공장의 위험성 평가 및 응용)

  • Kim Yun-Hwa;Kim Ky-Soo;Yoon Sung-Ryul;Um Sung-In;Ko Jae-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.81-86
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    • 1997
  • This study is to estimate the possibility of accident in chemical plants from the analysis of system component which affects the occurrence of top event. Among the various risk assessment techniques, the Fault Tree Analysis which approaches deductively on the route of accident development was used in this study. By gate-by-gate method and minimal cut set, the qualitative and quantitative risk assessment for hazards in plants was performed. The probability of occurrence and frequency of top event was calculated from failure or reliability data of system components at stage of the quantitative risk assessment. In conclusion, the probability of accident was estimated according to logic pattern based on the Fault Tree Analysis. And the failure path which mostly influences on the occurrence of top event was found from Importance Analysis.

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A Study on the Approach Method for the Excavation of the Outstanding Projects in the Agricultural Sector (농업분야 국제개발협력 우량사업 발굴을 위한 접근법 연구)

  • Ji, Seong Tae
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.181-213
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    • 2014
  • This study analyzes the approach method for the excavation of the outstanding projects in order to improve the ODA quality in the agricultural sector in a situation of the recent quantitative expansion of the Korea's ODA. This analysis is based on the ODA development paradigm of the international society, Korea's ODA development trends, the problems of system, procedure and contents. The analysis drew five approaches, such as an approach based on the strategies, an approach based on the comparative advantage, an approach based on the partnership, an approach based on the networking, an approach of modeling. If each approach method is applied to the excavation of project closely linked to other approach methods, it would be easier to excavate outstanding project. And it could lead to enhancement of project effectiveness. This study introduced the KAPEX program which excavate the customized ODA projects through the application of these approach methods.