• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.41-60
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• 2022

Purpose - The policy implications of free trade agreements have traditionally been a matter of debate among economists. The official signing of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement provides economists with a quasi-natural experiment to analyze the FTA's policy effects. This article aims to more accurately understand the impact of Korea's FTA accession on the macro economy. Design/methodology - This study adopts the counterfactual method based on panel data to find common factors in the generation process of macro data to fit the counterfactual path, to accurately evaluate the effect of the macro policy. Findings - Our research results show that the signing of the Korea-China FTA has a relatively significant short-term positive effect on Korea's economic growth. On average, Korea's real GDP growth rate has increased by 2.1%. This study finds evidence in support of FTA signing not having a significant impact on Korea's GDP growth in the long run. Additionally, we evaluated the impact of the FTA on Korea's imports and exports and found that it had a significant positive impact in the short term, but the trade effect of the FTA is significantly affected by the external macro-environment. Originality/value - First, this study uses macro panel data at the national level to examine the impact of the Korea-China FTA on Korea, and more accurately describes the policy effect of the FTA. Second, our empirical results show that the Korea-China FTA policy impact is subject to occasional changes in the external environment, such as the geopolitical conflict (crisis) between Korea and China, and the US-China trade war. Finally, the analysis shows that the short-term effect of FTA is significant but the long-term is uncertain, which provides empirical evidence for the debate on whether joining FTA can promote national economic growth.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.65-83
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• 2022

Purpose - The purpose of this study is to evaluate the economic effects of FTAs using the concept of value-added exports. So far, the economic effects of FTAs have been dependent on decrease in import prices due to tariff cuts in importing countries, but the actual tariff reduction need to consider the value added of the exporting countries. Design/methodology - Value-added export refers to the added value created in the exporting country out of total exports. Among value-added exports, direct value-added export is interpreted as the Regional Value Contents (RVC), from which the economic effect of the FTA can be analyzed. A modified GTAP-VA model takes into account RVC in order to estimate accurate effects of FTAs. Findings - By the re-evaluation of the FTA based on the RVC, this paper makes it clear that the economic effects of the existing FTA methodology have the possibility of overestimation. In addition, as a new FTA with a strengthened Rules of Origin (ROO) is being initiated, a negative impact on international trade and GVC utilization may occur. Originality/value - This study introduces the concept of value-added export in analyzing the effects of FTAs. The new analysis methodology of this paper emphasizes the importance of value-added exports. Re-organization of GVCs would change regional trade agreements and empower ROO by weakening existing GVCs and transforming the value chain from global into regional scope.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.235-253
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• 2010

The export is an important economic growth strategy in South Korea. South Korea is strongly dependant on external trades. Bilateral trade between China and South Korea has been grown rapidly in recent years. The China is now Korea's first-largest trading partner. Thus, the Korea-China Free Trade Agrement (FTA) in South Korea's trade operations is very important. A discussion of Korea-China bilateral FTA commenced in 2004 November. This paper is to recognize the phenomenon of major issued fields in the Korea-China FTA such as a manufacturing, agriculture, customs and seek a negotiation strategy that are summarized as follows. In terms of trade based on manufacturing, it is necessary to divide into a private, general reduction and priority reduction item to recognize whether it is complementary or competitive on the specific industry in the FTA negotiation by using an index regarding supplement and competition of these two countries. In particularly sensitive agricultural field, FTA should be progressed gradually after giving a certain period of time of grace period on the basis of various flexible tariff systems in order to minimize agriculture damage as a result of the rapid growth from import of Chinese agricultural goods.

• 오리마을
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• 통권55호
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• pp.45-45
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• 2008

• 해운물류연구
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.245-264
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• 2019

우리나라는 2004년 자유무역협정(FTA, Free Trade Agreement) 발효를 시작으로 세계에서 가장 활발하게 FTA에 참여하고 있는 국가이다. FTA 제도를 활용하기 위해서는 협정별 원산지 결정기준의 충족, 직접운송 원칙 등 여러 요건을 반드시 충족하여야 한다. 우리나라 관세청의 수입검증 관련 해외 수출자는 제공한 원산지 증명의 검증 의무가 있다. 그러나 만약 검증 실패시, 수입국에서 과세가 이루어짐에 따라 특혜관세 혜택을 받았던 우리나라 수입자에게 관세채무가 발생하게 된다. 따라서 위험부담을 덜기위해 원산지 검증 이전에 원산지 증명 신뢰성에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 변수를 확인하는 것이 중요하다. 본 연구의 실증분석 결과에 의하면 수출기업의 특성 중 무역경험과 담당자 전문성이 발급된 원산지 증명 신뢰성과 밀접한 관련성이 있다. 수출국가 특성 중 FTA 참여수준이 원산지 증명 신뢰성에 긍정적으로 영향을 미치고 있는 것이 확인되었다.

• 한국관광식음료학회지:관광식음료경영연구
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.41-67
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• 2006

The study is aimed to analyze the influence of FTA(Free Trade Agreement) between Korea and Japan on tourism and to suggest ways to increase tourists exchange between them by considering countermeasures of Korea's tourism based on the analysis and deriving political significance. The results of the study showed that the expected effects of FTA between Korea and Japan on tourism would overall be positive. There would be increases in employment and a higher rate of foreign-exchange earning, which plays a critical role in the cash flow. Therefore the government is required to prepare for several political measures as follows. First, ways to promote investment in tourism have to be established in a systematic way for FTA. Second, restructuring of tourism has to be considered seriously for tourism to be a high value-added industry after FTA. Third, the tourism information industry needs to be included in the tourism promotion act to promote e-tourism using information technology. In addition to this, an expansive cluster strategy needs to be developed, which relates tourism to other industries like culture and movies and to find ways to re-locate and re-educate manpower currently engaged in the tourism industry. Though the study investigated the influence of FTA on tourism through a practical analysis, it was restricted only to Korea. So the influence of FTA between Korea and Japan on the tourism of Japan should be included in further study. Furthermore, in subsequent studies the CGE(Computable General Equilibrium) model will be applied for objective analysis of the effects. Or measuring the ripple effect with multinational inter-industry relation table will be made for the study to make practical contributions to the development of government policy.

• 항공우주정책ㆍ법학회지
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.247-280
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• 2020

항공기 부품 교역의 무관세화 및 자유화를 위하여 WTO 민간항공기 교역 협정이 1995년 WTO 출범 시 WTO 설립협정 부속서 4 복수국 간 무역협정으로 별도 체결되었으며, 현재 미국, EU 등 33개국이 가입되어 있으나 우리나라는 가입하지 않고 있다. 민간항공기 교역 협정의 주요 내용은 적용 대상 물품, 관세 및 기타 과징금의 철폐, 무역에 대한 기술장벽에 관한 협정의 적용, 정부에 의한 민간항공기 조달지시의 금지, 수입 또는 수출 수량 제한이나 허가조건의 적용 배제, 보조금 및 상계조치에 관한 협정의 적용, 민간항공기 교역위원회, 본 협정 관련 문제의 협의 및 분쟁해결 등에 관하여 규정하고 있다. 현행 관세법은 2018년 12월 31일 제89조 제6항이 신설되어 항공기 부품 수입 시 관세감면율이 2019년 5월부터 단계적으로 축소되어 2026년에 관세감면제도가 폐지될 예정이다. 이에 따라서, 민간항공기 교역 협정이 항공산업에 미치는 영향을 살펴보면, 첫째 항공운송산업에 미치는 영향으로서, 항공기 부품 관세감면제도가 폐지되는 2026년부터 국내 항공운송업계의 관세 부담액은 연간 약 1,600억 원에 이를 것으로 전망되는데, 민간항공기 교역 협정에 가입 시 국내 항공운송업계는 항공기 부품을 무관세로 수입할 수 있게 됨으로 3-8%의 수입관세를 부담하지 않아도 될 것이다. 둘째 항공정비(MRO)산업에 미치는 영향으로서, 항공기 부품 관세감면제도가 단계적으로 축소 내지 폐지될 경우 국내 엔진정비와 부품정비 분야에서 해외 외주비가 2018년 기준 12,903억 원에서 더욱 증가할 것으로 예상되는데, 민간항공기 교역 협정에 가입 시 항공정비업계가 항공기 부품을 무관세로 수입할 수 있게 되어 해외 외주비를 절감할 수 있을 것이다. 항공산업의 경쟁력을 확보하기 위한 항공기 부품 교역 자유화 정책 방향을 제시하면, 첫째 FTA를 활용한 관세감면으로서, 항공기 부품 수입 시 FTA를 활용하여 관세감면 혜택을 받기 위하여는 원산지 증명 발급을 거부하고 있는 미국, EU 등의 해외 거래업체로부터 이를 확보하여야 하며, 또한 항공기 부품의 해외 임가공 수입에 대한 관세 감면 규정이 미비한 한-싱가포르 및 한-EU FTA 협정문의 규정을 개정 보완할 필요가 있다고 할 것이다. 둘째 민간항공기 교역 협정의 가입 추진으로서, 전술한 FTA를 활용한 관세감면 방식은 모든 항공기 부품의 원산지 증명 발급이 곤란하며, 또한 해외임가공 물품의 수입 관세 감면 규정이 미비한 한-싱가포르 및 한-EU FTA규정의 개정보완 작업에 진전이 없다는 한계가 있으므로, 항공기 부품 교역의 무관세화를 위하여는 민간항공기 교역 협정의 가입을 추진하는 것이 타당하다고 할 것이다. 셋째 관세법 상 항공기 부품 관세감면제도의 개선으로서, 항공기 부품 교역의 자유화를 위한 민간항공기 교역 협정 가입 시까지는 상당기간의 소요가 예상되므로 관세법 제89조 제6항에 의한 항공기 부품의 관세감면제도가 계속되도록 별도 개선조치가 필요하다고 할 것이다. 결론적으로 우리나라가 WTO 민간항공기 교역 협정에 가입하여 항공기 부품교역에 대한 무관세화와 자유화를 달성함으로써 우리 항공산업이 외국 항공산업과 공정하게 경쟁할 수 있는 환경을 조성하고 경쟁력을 확보할 수 있도록 하여야 할 것이다.

• 한국중재학회지:중재연구
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.3-32
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• 2007

This age is called the age of global trade, and the World Trade Organization is a forerunner in promoting the global free trade through multilateral negotiations as the global level. On the other hand, regional economic cooperation such as North American Free Trade Agreement(NAFTA) is appearing, saying that promotion by WTO takes too much time. As is known to everybody, Europe is on the way of integrating member states through EU not to mention economic cooperation. Even in Asia such tendency is shown through ASEAN, Korea, China and Japan in Northeast Asia share geographical proximity, many common historical experiences, and similar cultural norms and values although they have disparities in stages of development, trade and economic policies, and financial and legal frameworks. Under the situation, efforts have been made between three countries of Korea, China and Japan for the conclusion of investment agreements including FTA. If the conclusion of the FTA between the three countries would be realized, it would promote regional trade and investment, contributing to economic growth in the Northeast Asian region. The writer in this paper reviewed the settlement of private commercial dispute including investment dispute arising from the FTA and investment agreements. The investment dispute is quite different from an ordinary commercial dispute arising from commercial transactions in view of disputing parties, applicable laws and rules, etc. Therefore it is a problem of vital importance that the parties interested in investment under the FTA as well as the relevant investment agreement should understand and cope with the settlement mechanism of investment disputes arising therefrom. The ICSID Convention provides facilities for the conciliation and arbitration of disputes between member countries and investors who qualify as nationals of other member countries. All contracting states of the ICSID Convention are required by the Convention to recognize and enforce the ICSID arbitral awards. The New York Convention(formally called "United Nations Convention on the Recognition and Enforcement of Foreign Arbitral Awards") is also applicable for the enforcement of arbitral awards to be rendered under the FTA. As to applicable rules, the UNCITRAL Arbitration Rules may be required for the settlement of investment disputes under the FTA. This Rules has adopted by the internationally recognized arbitral organizations although it was developed primarily for use in ad hoc arbitration. The promotion of arbitral cooperation may be realized through agreements between arbitral institutions. Especially under the NAPTA system, a central common system was established to resolve jointly private commercial disputes arising from such free trades by the initiative of arbitral organizations among the member countries. It is called Commercial Arbitration and Mediation Center for the Americas(CAMCA), which may be a good example for the settlement promotion of the private commercial disputes between Korea and other relevant countries.

• 가정과삶의질연구
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• 제27권6호
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• pp.83-94
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• 2009

This study examined the expectations and attitudes of urban Korean consumers with respect to the Korea-USA Free Trade Agreement (FTA), which was drafted on April, 2007. The data were collected through online surveys in which 527 adults answered structured questionnaires. The results showed that the number of consumers who favored the Korea-U.S.A. FTA was almost twice the number of those who objected to it. Most of the consumers surveyed expected not only positive effects but also negative ones from the FTA, and the more consumers expected positive effects from the FTA, the more they tended to have positive attitudes toward the trade agreement. The effects of consumers' individual characteristics on their expectations and attitudes were also analyzed in this experiment.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.117-142
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• 2015

This paper uses a 53-country 15-industry computable general equilibrium model of trade to analyze the effects of the Korea-China free trade agreement on the Korean economy, the manufacturing sector in particular. The model is based on Yaylaci and Shikher (2014) which uses the Eaton-Kortum methodology to explain intra-industry trade. The model predicts that the Korea-China FTA will increase Korea-China manufacturing trade by 56%, manufacturing employment in Korea by 5.7% and China by 0.55%. The model also predicts significant reallocation of employment across industries with the Food industry in Korea losing jobs and other industries there gaining jobs, with the Medical equipment industry gaining the most. There will be some trade diversion from the ASEAN countries, as well as Japan and the United States.