• 제목/요약/키워드: FOREST MANAGEMENT

검색결과 2,815건 처리시간 0.029초

P2P 대부 우수 대출자 예측을 위한 합성 소수집단 오버샘플링 기법 성과에 관한 탐색적 연구 (Exploring the Performance of Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) to Predict Good Borrowers in P2P Lending)

  • 프란시스 조셉 코스텔로;이건창
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제17권9호
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 P2P 대부 플랫폼에서 우수 대출자를 예측시 유용한 합성 소수집단 오버샘플링 기법을 제안하고 그 성과를 실증적으로 검증하고자 한다. P2P 대부 관련 우수 대출자를 추정할 때 일어나는 문제점중의 하나는 클래스 간 불균형이 심하여 이를 해결하지 않고서는 우수 대출자 예측이 쉽지 않다는 점이다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 SMOTE, 즉 합성 소수집단 오버샘플링 기법을 제안하고 LendingClub 데이터셋에 적용하여 성과를 검증하였다. 검증결과 SMOTE 방법은 서포트 벡터머신, k-최근접이웃, 로지스틱 회귀, 랜덤 포레스트, 그리고 딥 뉴럴네트워크 분류기와 비교하여 통계적으로 우수한 성과를 보였다.

Predicting the Potential Distribution of an Invasive Species, Solenopsis invicta Buren (Hymenoptera: Formicidae), under Climate Change using Species Distribution Models

  • SUNG, Sunyong;KWON, Yong-Su;LEE, Dong Kun;CHO, Youngho
    • Entomological Research
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    • 제48권6호
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    • pp.505-513
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    • 2018
  • The red imported fire ant is considered one of the most notorious invasive species because of its adverse impact on both humans and ecosystems. Public concern regarding red imported fire ants has been increasing, as they have been found seven times in South Korea. Even if red imported fire ants are not yet colonized in South Korea, a proper quarantine plan is necessary to prevent their widespread distribution. As a basis for quarantine planning, we modeled the potential distribution of the red imported fire ant under current climate conditions using six different species distribution models (SDMs) and then selected the random forest (RF) model for modeling the potential distribution under climate change. We acquired occurrence data from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) and bioclimatic data from WorldClim. We modeled at the global scale to project the potential distribution under the current climate and then applied models at the local scale to project the potential distribution of the red imported fire ant under climate change. Modeled results successfully represent the current distribution of red imported fire ants. The potential distribution area for red imported fire ants increased to include major harbors and airports in South Korea under the climate change scenario (RCP 8.5). Thus, we are able to provide a potential distribution of red imported fire ant that is necessary to establish a proper quarantine plan for their management to minimize adverse impacts of climate change.

뉴스데이터의 LDA 토픽 분석을 통한 장수군 농촌지역 활성화 사업의 특징 - 관광·생활 키워드를 중심으로 - (Features of the Rural Revitalization Projects in Jang-su County Using LDA Topic Analysis of News Data - Focused on Keyword of Tourism and Livelihood -)

  • 김용진;손용훈
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.69-80
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we typified the project for revitalizing the rural area through text analysis using news data, and analyzed the main direction and characteristics of the project. In order to examine the factors emphasized among the issues related to the revitalization of rural areas, we used news data related to 'tourism' and 'livelihood', which are the main keyword of the project to promote rural areas. In the analysis, text mining techniques were used. Topic modeling was conducted on LDA techniques for major projects in 'tourism' and 'livelihood' keyword. Based on this, this study typified the projects that are carried out for the activation of rural areas by topic. As a result of the analysis, it was fount that the topics included in the project were distributed in 11 sub-types(Tourism Promotion, Regional Specialization, Local Festival, Development of Regional Scale, Urban and Rural Exchange, Agricultural Support, Community Forest Management, Improve the Settlement Environment, General Welfare Service, Low Class Support, Others). The characteristics of the rural revitalization projects were examined, and it was confirmed that domestic projects were carried out by tourism-oriented projects. To summarize, the government is making projects to revitalize rural areas through related ministries. Within the structure where the project is spreading to the region, a lot of projects are being carried out. It is understood that the tourism and welfare oriented projects are being carried out in the revitalization project of the domestic rural area. Therefore, in order to achieve the goal of rural revitalization, it is believed that it will be effective to carry out a balanced project to improve the settlement environment of the residents.

금남호남정맥(장안산, 팔공산)과 호남정맥(만덕산, 추월산, 천운산, 제암산)에 분포하는 관속식물상 (Vascular Plants Distributed in Honam-Jeongmeak(Mandeoksan, Chuwolsan, Cheonunsan, Jeamsan) and Geumnamhonam-Jeongmaek(Jangansan, Palgongsan))

  • 오현경;유주한
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.31-54
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to present the basic data for establishing the management plan of forest ecosystem in Honam-Jeongmeak and Geumnamhonam-Jeongmaek by surveying and analysing the vascular plants distributed in Jangansan(A-site), Palgongsan(B-site), Mandeoksan(C-site), Chuwolsan (D-site), Cheonunsan(E-site) and Jeamsan(F-site). The numbers of flora were 813 taxa including 115 families, 406 genera, 700 species, 4 subspecies, 94 varieties and 15 forms. There were 500 taxa in A-site, 427 taxa in B-site, 402 taxa in C-site, 449 taxa in D-site, 345 taxa in E-site and 524 taxa in F-site. The rare plants were 12 taxa including Paeonia japonica, Iris minutoaurea, Chloranthus fortunei and so forth. In IUCN Red List categories, there were 1 taxon of EN, 2 taxa of VU, 8 taxa of LC and 1 taxon of DD. The Korean endemic plants were 20 taxa including Salix koriyanagi, Thalictrum actaefolium var. brevistylum, Saussurea pseudogracilis and so forth. The specific plants by floristic region were 108 taxa including 58 taxa of grade I, 30 taxa of grade II, 16 taxa of grade III, 2 taxa of grade IV and grade V, respectively. The plants adaptable to climate change were 18 taxa including 11 taxa of southern plant and 7 taxa of northern plants. The naturalized plants were 49 taxa including Rumex nipponicus, Brassica juncea, Trifolium repens and so forth. The invasive alien plants were 4 taxa including Rumex acetocella, Solanum carolinense, Ambrosia artemisiifolia and Aster pilosus.

쪽방지역 주거기간과 우울증상 경험과의 관련성 (Association between period of living alone in a shabby one-room and depression experience)

  • 김진성;차선화;김창수;박희정
    • 한국학교ㆍ지역보건교육학회지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.37-51
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: This study aims to substantiate a correlation between the period of living alone in a shabby one-room and a depression experience. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study using data from the Korea Homeless Survey carried out by the Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs in 2016. In the study, the data included 485 survey participants who resided in a single room. The period of single-room occupancy being divided into three groups: less than 1 year, 1 to 4 years, and more than 5 years was considered a primary independent variable. The outcome variable which represented a depression experience was measured by CESD-11(The Center for Epidemiological Studies-Depression Scale). We carried out a Chi-square test and multiple logistic regression to evaluate the association. Results: The rate of depression experienced in this population was 77.5%. Almost 83.9% of the participants were reported as being unable to receive the mental health counselling in the last 12 months. After controlling for covariates, subjects who were living in a single room occupancy for 1-5 years(OR=3.89; 95% CI=1.43-10.56) and more than 5 years(OR=2.71; 95% CI= 1.05-6.95) were found to be more likely to experience depression. Conclusions: The results showed that living alone in a shabby one-room had a high correlation with experiencing depression. We proposed that there is a need to develop a new strategy for mental health promotion program for the poor, vulnerable and deprived population.

통일대비 국립백두대간수목원 시드볼트의 운영과 역할 (Management and role of Baekdudaegan National Arboretum Seed Vault in readiness for unification)

  • 배기화
    • 한국자원식물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국자원식물학회 2019년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.20-20
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    • 2019
  • 전 지구적으로 학명이 보고된 식물 종은 약 36만종이다. 그 중 종자를 생산하는 관속식물은 310,422종으로 전체 식물종의 85.7%에 달한다(IUCN, 2018). 그리고 2015년 Primely Forest Organization (PFO)에서는 야생식물의 80%가 산림 내에 서식한다고 밝혔다. 식물이 인류에게 주는 다양한 이로움은 인류의 생존과 복지증진에 막대한 영향을 미친다. 2016년 State Worlds Plants (SWP)에 따르면 인류가 현재까지 이용하는 식물종은 31,128종으로 알려져 있다. 이중 약용으로 17,810종, 식량으로 5,538종을 유용하게 이용하고 있다. 하지만 현재 전 지구적 생물멸종속도는 산업혁명 이전 보다 약 1,000배정도 빠르게 진행이 되고 있다(Science, 2017). 이에 전 지구적 생물다양성보전을 위해 생물다양성 협약, 지구식물보전전략 등이 지속적으로 발효 이행되고 있다. 시드볼트는 이러한 보전전략을 이행하기 위해 적합한 시설이다. 우리나라도 노르웨이와 전 세계적으로 2곳뿐이 없는 시드볼트를 가지게 되었다. 우리의 시드볼트는 전 지구적 재난과 재앙에 대비해 야생식물종자를 안전하게 영구 저장하는 시설이고, 우리나라는 봉화군에 위치한 국립백두대간수목원 내에 200만점 저장 규모로 조성이 되어 있다. 현재 국내 외 수집 수탁종자 48,327점이 안전하게 저장이 되어 있다. 국내 23개 종자관련 기관, 단체, 개인과 카자흐스탄 등 해외 3개국 6개 기관이 야생식물종자의 영구저장을 요청하였다. 앞으로 시드볼트는 통일시대에 대비하여 지구적 야생식물종자 저장의 컨트롤타워 역할과 종자연구의 중심기관으로 발돋움 할 것이다. 이에 따른 목표로 2050년까지 백두대간 글로벌시드볼트(BGSV)는 전세계 식물종의 13%, 40만점을 저장할 것이다. 특히 종자연구부분에서는 현재 종 맞춤형 활력검정시스템개발, 분류군별 장기저장 특성분석, 장기저장 종자수명예측 등을 고도화하여 한반도 야생식물 종자정보 플랫폼 구축, 고대 매장종자 보전 모델링 연구, 지구 종자연구 브릿지 구축 등으로 개발, 발전시킬 것이다.

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남북경제협력에 따른 개발이익 경매와 DMZ 보전기금 확보 (A Study on Auction Mechanism for DMZ Conservation using the South-North Korean Economic Development Projects)

  • 박호정;김준순;김현희
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.39-59
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    • 2019
  • DMZ는 반세기 이상 인위적 활동이 배제되어 우수한 생태계를 보유하고 있다. 통일 이후에도 DMZ의 생태계는 보전되어야 하며 이를 위해서는 남북한 통일 이후가 아니라 사전에 그 보전방안이 마련되어야 한다. DMZ 생태자원 보전에는 생태자원 관리 비용 뿐만 아니라 복구비용 및 연구예산까지 수반되어야 하므로 상당한 규모의 예산이 필요하다. 이에 본 논문은 실물옵션과 경매이론을 연계하여 경제적 인센티브 메커니즘을 이용한 DMZ 보전기금 확보 방안을 연구하고자 한다. 다수의 사업자들은 경매를 통해 북한지역 개발사업권을 획득하려고 하고, 매몰비용에 대한 사적 정보를 가지고 있으며, 사업수익의 일부를 보전기금으로 지불한다고 할 때, 먼저, 경매 참가자의 최적 투자시기를 결정하는 실물옵션 모형을 분석하고, 다음으로 베이즈 내쉬균형을 이용해 경매 참가자가 사적 정보에 대해 진실을 보고할 경매를 설계한다.

사회-생태계 이론을 활용한 경기도 지역 생태계서비스 공급-수요관계 분석 (Identifying Supply-demand Relationships on Ecosystem Services Using Socio-ecological Approach in Gyeong-gi Province)

  • 박윤선;김충기;이재혁;송영근;홍현정
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 2021
  • Ecosystem services play a role in promoting sustainable development by contributing to human welfare. For sustainable development, a balance between supply and demand for ecosystem services must be made. In this regard, in this study, factor analysis was performed using the results of measuring ecosystem services for the supply of ecosystem services and national statistical data representing socio-economic factors for demand for ecosystem services The results of analysis for Gyeong-gi Province are as follows. The service supply based on the result of ecosystem services was divided into the mixed service provisioning as factor1, the food provisioning as factor2, and the P retention service provisioning area as factor3. As for the demand for services based on socio-economic factors, factor1 is divided into urbanized areas, factor2 is forest development area, and factor3 is agricultural activity development area. Local governments that maintain balance were evaluated as Pocheon, Yangpyeong, Icheon, Pyeongtaek, Goyang, Suwon, Gwangmyeong, and Osan, and imbalanced local governments appeared in Gimpo, Uiwang, Anseong, and Yeoju. A management plan to maintain the balance between supply and demand of ecosystem services was suggested. The analysis method and results of this study are expected to be applicable to various local governments through regional expansion.

머신러닝 기반의 수도권 지역 고령운전자 차대사람 사고심각도 분류 연구 (Classifying Severity of Senior Driver Accidents In Capital Regions Based on Machine Learning Algorithms)

  • 김승훈;임영빈;김기정
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2021
  • 고령화 시대에 따라 고령운전자 역시 증가하고 있으며, 이들에 의한 교통사고 심각성에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. 이에 고령운전자에 의한 사고심각도 예측 모형의 필요성이 점차 요구됨에 따라, 본 연구에서는 기계학습 기법을 활용하여 고령운전자에 의한 차대사람 사고심각도 예측을 위한 모형 정립 및 분석을 수행하고자 한다. 이를 위해 4개의 기계학습 알고리즘 (Logistic Model, KNN, RF, SVM)을 활용, 예측 모형을 개발하고 각 결과를 비교하였다. 연구 결과에 따르면 Logistic과 SVM 모형이 상대적으로 높은 예측력을 보였으며, 정확도 측면에서는 RF가 높은 것으로 나타났다. 추가적으로 각 중요 변수들을 이용하여 교차분석을 수행한 후 그 결과를 제시하였다. 본 연구의 결과들은 고령화시대에 고령운전자에 의한 사고심각성을 예방하기 위한 안전정책 및 인프라 개발에 활용될 것으로 판단된다.

생물다양성을 보존하기 위한 토대로서 생태다양성 분석 및 복원 전략 (Analysis of Ecodiversity as the Foundation for Conserving Biodiversity and Its Restoration Strategy)

  • 임봉순;김동욱;김아름;설재원;이창석
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제53권4호
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    • pp.408-426
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to establish the national strategy for biodiversity conservation by analyzing the current status of ecodiversity as the foundation of biodiversity conservation. Furthermore, this study has another purpose of preparing the measures for conservation and restoration of biodiversity. Ecodiversity was discussed as the basis for conserving biodiversity. Five climate zones and 14 climatic regions, eight plant geographic regions, three massifs and major geologic series, horizontal and vertical topographic conditions, 16 ecoregions, major ecosystems including forest, river and streams, wetlands, coast and marine, agriculture, and urban esosystems, and land use types were discussed as the element of the ecodiversity. In terms of biodiversity conservation, the actual conditions of each ecological unit were reviewed and measures were proposed to reduce biodiversity loss. Destruction and fragmentation of habitat, poor ecosystem management due to socioeconomic changes, the effects of exotic species and chemicals, and climate change were discussed as the major factors causing biodiversity loss. Systematic monitoring based on scientific principles and ecological restoration based on those monitoring results were recommended as measures for biodiversity conservation.