• Title/Summary/Keyword: Extreme Process

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The Impact of Climate Change on Sub-daily Extreme Rainfall of Han River Basin (기후변화가 한강 유역의 시단위 확률강우량에 미치는 영향)

  • Nam, Woosung;Ahn, Hyunjun;Kim, Sunghun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2015
  • Recent researches show that climate change has impact on the rainfall process at different temporal and spatial scales. The present paper is focused on climate change impact on sub-daily rainfall quantile of Han River basin in South Korea. Climate change simulation outputs from ECHO-G GCM under the A2 scenario were used to estimate daily extreme rainfall. Sub-daily extreme rainfall was estimated using the scale invariance concept. In order to assess sub-daily extreme rainfall from climate change simulation outputs, precipitation time series were generated based on NSRPM (Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model) and modified using the ratio of rainfall over projection periods to historical one. Sub-daily extreme rainfall was then estimated from those series. It was found that sub-daily extreme rainfall in the future displayed increasing or decreasing trends for estimation methods and different periods.

A Study on the Heat Transfer Characteristics of Single Bead Deposition of Inconel 718 Superalloy on S45C Structural Steel Using a DMT Process (DMT 공정을 이용한 S45C 구조용강 위 Inconel 718 초합금 단일 비드 적층시 열전달 특성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kwang-Kyu;Ahn, Dong-Gyu;Kim, Woo-Sung;Lee, Ho-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.56-63
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    • 2020
  • The heat transfer phenomenon in the vicinity of the irradiated region of a focused laser beam of a DMT process greatly affects both the deposition characteristics of powders on a substrate and the properties of the deposited region. The goal of this paper is to investigate the heat transfer characteristics of a single bead deposition of Inconel 718 powders on S45C structural steel using a laser-aided direct metal tooling (DMT) process. The finite element analysis (FEA) model with a Gaussian volumetric heat flux is developed to simulate a three-dimensional transient heat transfer phenomenon. The cross-section of the bead for the FEA is estimated with an equivalent area method using experimental results. Through the comparison of the results of the experiments and those of the analysis, the effective beam radius of the bottom region of the volumetric heat flux and the efficiency of the heat flux model for different powers and travel speeds of the laser are predicted. From the results of the FEA, the influence of the power and the travel speed of the laser on the creation of a steady-state heat transfer region and the formation of the heat-affected zone (HAZ) in the substrate are investigated.

Global Optimization Using Kriging Metamodel and DE algorithm (크리깅 메타모델과 미분진화 알고리듬을 이용한 전역최적설계)

  • Lee, Chang-Jin;Jung, Jae-Jun;Lee, Kwang-Ki;Lee, Tae-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.06c
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    • pp.537-542
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    • 2001
  • In recent engineering, the designer has become more and more dependent on computer simulation. But defining exact model using computer simulation is too expensive and time consuming in the complicate systems. Thus, designers often use approximation models, which express the relation between design variables and response variables. These models are called metamodel. In this paper, we introduce one of the metamodel, named Kriging. This model employs an interpolation scheme and is developed in the fields of spatial statistics and geostatistics. This class of interpolating model has flexibility to model response data with multiple local extreme. By reason of this multi modality, we can't use any gradient-based optimization algorithm to find global extreme value of this model. Thus we have to introduce global optimization algorithm. To do this, we introduce DE(Differential Evolution). DE algorithm is developed by Ken Price and Rainer Storn, and it has recently proven to be an efficient method for optimizing real-valued multi-modal objective functions. This algorithm is similar to GA(Genetic Algorithm) in populating points, crossing over, and mutating. But it introduces vector concept in populating process. So it is very simple and easy to use. Finally, we show how we determine Kriging metamodel and find global extreme value through two mathematical examples.

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The Comparative Study of the Warranty Cost Model for Software Reliability Time Based on Extreme Value Distribution (극값 분포 특성을 가진 소프트웨어 신뢰성 보증 모형에 관한 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.34 no.6B
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    • pp.623-629
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    • 2009
  • In this research, the process of developing software products to users in transfer by considering the warranty period to determine the timing of the release period is a comparative study of models. For the results of demonstration, exponential software reliability model increases the warranty period, the higher the initial period, but shows almost a similar release. In contrast, the optimal release time of imperfect debugging software reliability model, lower the initial warranty period, but the pattern is expected to rise slightly larger. The proposed model, extreme value distribution model, pattern of the optimal release time gradually increase, have a form that can be drawn. These research results through, warranty period and release the software developers understand the relationship between the optimal time for software development by using advance information could do is feed.

A Study of Diffusion Bonding Process for High Temperature and High Pressure Micro Channel Heat Exchanger Using Inconel 617 (인코넬 617을 이용한 고온고압용 미세채널 열교환기의 확산접합 공정에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Chan Ho;Yoon, Seok Ho;Choi, Joon Seok
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.87-93
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the heat exchangers are requiring higher performance and reliability since they are being used under the operating condition of high temperature and pressure. To satisfy these requirements, we need special materials and bonding technology. This study presents a manufacturing technology for high temperature and high pressure micro channel heat exchanger using Inconel 617. The bonding performance for diffusion bonded heat exchanger was examined and analyzed. The analysis were conducted by measuring thermal and mechanical properties such as thermal diffusivity and tensile strength, and parametric studies about bonding temperature and pressing force were also carried out. The results provided insight for bonding evaluation and the bonding condition of $1200^{\circ}C$, and 50 tons was found to be suitable for this heat exchanger. From the results, we were able to establish the base technology for the manufacturing of Inconel 617 heat exchanger through the application of the diffusion bonding.

Development and validation of poisson cluster stochastic rainfall generation web application across South Korea (포아송 클러스터 가상강우생성 웹 어플리케이션 개발 및 검증 - 우리나라에 대해서)

  • Han, Jaemoon;Kim, Dongkyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.335-346
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    • 2016
  • This study produced the parameter maps of the Modified Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulse (MBLRP) stochastic rainfall generation model across South Korea and developed and validated the web application that automates the process of rainfall generation based on the produced parameter maps. To achieve this purpose, three deferent sets of parameters of the MBLRP model were estimated at 62 ground gage locations in South Korea depending on the distinct purpose of the synthetic rainfall time series to be used in hydrologic modeling (i.e. flood modeling, runoff modeling, and general purpose). The estimated parameters were spatially interpolated using the Ordinary Kriging method to produce the parameter maps across South Korea. Then, a web application has been developed to automate the process of synthetic rainfall generation based on the parameter maps. For validation, the synthetic rainfall time series has been created using the web application and then various rainfall statistics including mean, variance, autocorrelation, probability of zero rainfall, extreme rainfall, extreme flood, and runoff depth were calculated, then these values were compared to the ones based on the observed rainfall time series. The mean, variance, autocorrelation, and probability of zero rainfall of the synthetic rainfall were similar to the ones of the observed rainfall while the extreme rainfall and extreme flood value were smaller than the ones derived from the observed rainfall by the degree of 16%-40%. Lastly, the web application developed in this study automates the entire process of synthetic rainfall generation, so we expect the application to be used in a variety of hydrologic analysis needing rainfall data.

Collapse Simulations of High-Rise RC Building Using ELS Software and Application of Explosive Demolition Methods to Transition Process Analysis from Local Damage to Progressive Collapse (ELS를 이용한 고층 RC 빌딩의 붕괴해석 및 발파해체해석 기법의 국부손상-연쇄붕괴 전이과정 해석에 응용)

  • Kim, Hyon-Soo;Park, Hoon;Kim, Seung-Kon;Lee, Yeon-Gyu;Cho, Sang-Ho
    • Explosives and Blasting
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2011
  • Progressive collapse analyses of high-rise buildings subjected to abnormal loading such as fires, impacts, earthquakes, typhoon, bomb blasts etc. are intended. However it is difficult to perform collapse experiments of the real scale building to determine the capacity of the structure under an extreme loading events. In this study, collapse behavior of a 15 story RC structure building loaded by external explosion pressures were simulated using Extreme Loading Structures (ELS) software. The standoff distance between the RC building and explosives of 1500 kg was 1, 2, 5, 10, and 15 meters. The explosive demolition analysis techniques based on removal of partial support structures following blast scenario was adapted to investigate the transition process of progressive collapse-local damage.

Fabrication SiCN micro structures for extreme high temperature systems (초고온 시스템용 SiCN 마이크로 구조물 제작)

  • Thach, Phan Dui;Chung, Gwiy-Sang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2009.06a
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    • pp.216-216
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    • 2009
  • This paper describes a novel processing technique for the fabrication of polymer-derived SiCN (silicone carbonitride) microstructures for extreme microelectromechanical system (MEMS) applications. A polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS) mold was formed on an SU-8 pattern using a standard UV photolithographic process. Next, the liquid precursor, polysilazane, was injected into the PDMS mold to fabricate free-standing SiCN microstructures. Finally, the solid polymer SiCN microstructure was cross-linked using hot isostatic pressure at $400^{\circ}C$ and 205 bar. The optimal pyrolysis and annealing conditions to form a ceramic microstructure capable of withstanding temperatures over $1400^{\circ}C$ were determined. Using the optimal process conditions, the fabricated SiCN ceramic microstructure possessed excellent characteristics includingshear strength (15.2 N), insulation resistance ($2.163{\times}10^{14}\;{\Omega}$, and BDV (1.2 kV, minimum). Since the fabricated ceramic SiCN microstructure has improved electrical and physical characteristics compared to bulk Si wafers, it may be applied to harsh environments and high-power MEMS applications such as heat exchangers and combustion chambers.

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A Study on the Improvement of the Separation Phenomenon of Coolant Hose in the Tracked Combat Vehicle (전투차량 냉각수 호스 분리현상 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Tae-Woo;Shin, Hun-Yong;Ryu, Jeong-Min;Park, Kyung-Chul;Kim, Jae-Kyu;Lee, Hun-kee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 2018
  • In general, tracked combat vehicles require excellent output performance of a power unit system to drive on special terrains and in extreme environmental conditions. However, high temperature and pressure are readily applied to the coolant hose in the power unit of the vehicles during high-speed driving under extreme road and weather conditions. These driving conditions can cause the separation phenomenon of the coolant hose in the power unit and consequentially engine overheating during driving. Therefore, a newly designed decompression device for the coolant hose has been proposed and manufactured to solve these problems in the present study. To validate of the newly proposed decompression device, the input and output pressures were measured under the before- and after-improvement conditions using experimental methods for different engine RPMs. In addition, the pre-heater temperature was measured under both conditions. From the experimental results, we expect that the current investigation can help to improve the driving performance of tracked combat vehicles.

A Heuristic Approach to Budget-Mix Problems (여산믹스문제를 위한 발견적접근)

  • Lee Jae-Kwan
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 1980
  • An effectively designed budget system in the poor resources environment necessarily has three design criteria : (i) to be both planning-oriented and control-oriented, (ii) to be both rationalistic and realistic, (iii) to be sensitive to the variations of resources environment. PPB system is an extreme (planning-oriented and rationalistic) and conventional OEB/OUB system is the other extreme (control-oriented and incrementalistic). Generally, the merits of rationalism are limited because of the infeasibility of applications. Hence, mixtures of the two extremes such as MBO, ZBB, and RZBB have been examined and applied during the last decade. The classical mathematical models of capital budgeting are the starting points of the development of the Budget-Mix Model introduced in this paper. They are modified by the followings: (i) technological-resource constraints, (ii) bounded-variable constraint, (iii) the exchange rules. Special emphasis is laid on the above (iii), because we need more efficient interresource exchanges in the budget-mix process. The Budget-Mix Model is not based on optimization, but a heuristic approach which assures a satisficing solution. And the application fields of this model range between the incremental Nonzero-Base Budgeting and the rational Zero-Base Budgeting. In this thesis, the author suggests 'the budget- mix concept' and a budget-mix model. Budget-mix is a decision process of making program-mix and resource-mix together. For keeping this concept in the existing organization realistic, we need the development of quantitative models describing budget-mix situations.

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