• Title/Summary/Keyword: External Shocks

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Did Fiscal Stimulus Lift Developing Asia Out of the Global Crisis? An Empirical Investigation

  • Hur, Seok-Kyun;Park, Donghyun
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.55-73
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    • 2018
  • The substantial slowdown of economic growth since the global financial crisis of 2008-2009 is rekindling debate on whether developing Asia should use fiscal expansion to boost aggregate demand. A key factor in the debate is the effectiveness of countercyclical fiscal policy in the region. The global crisis, as well as the fiscal stimulus packages implemented by developing Asian countries at that time, give some clues to this important issue. The region weathered the global crisis well and experienced a robust V-shaped recovery. According to conventional wisdom, the fiscal stimulus packages put in place by Asian governments played a key role in the region's recovery. The central objective of this paper is to empirically test this wisdom by using cross-country panel data. Our main finding is that the stimulus has had a limited but positive impact on developing Asia's output during the global crisis. This lends some support to the notion that countercyclical fiscal policy can help the region cope with severe external shocks. The broader, more fundamental implication for regional policymakers is that the region's long-standing commitment to fiscal discipline can yield significant benefits beyond macroeconomic stability. An important consequence of this commitment - relatively healthy fiscal balance sheets - enabled the region's governments to quickly and decisively embark upon fiscal stimulus programs.

Study on Remedies of Convergence Design for Personalized Fire Helmets (개인 맞춤형 소방용 헬멧의 융합 디자인 방안 연구)

  • Ahn, Yong Jun;Kang, Myung Chang;Lee, Tae Gu
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.371-376
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    • 2016
  • Safety related workers, such as firefighters, have to wear a protective helmet. The Development of Helmets for safety is in progress to promote the wearable device industry. Several accidents caused by negligence in recent days have raised public attention to safety. For this reason, the amount of national budget funding for the study of fire-fighting and smart safety helmets has increased. However, most previous studies have focused on safety, rather than the application of new technologies based on physical attributes, especially the characteristics of head shape and size, even though fire helmets play the critical role of protection from flames and external shocks etc. in an emergency. This paper will present the smart technologies and newly developed designs for safety helmets that are personalized for each firefighter, based on the characteristics of their head, and will help a rescue operation to be much more safe and efficient.

The Educational Value of Self-written Epitaphs Focusing on the Motive of Writing (자찬묘지명 글쓰기의 교육적 의의 - 자찬묘지명의 창작 동기를 중심으로)

  • Joo, Jae-woo
    • Journal of Korean Classical Literature and Education
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    • no.35
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    • pp.195-219
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    • 2017
  • The distinctive character of a self-written epitaph is that it assumes one's own death. While containing the elements of an epitaph, it is distinctive in that it reveals motive of writing and scolds rather than praises one's own self. The motive for writing a self-written epitaph is two-fold. First, it seeks to tell the truth about one's own self. Second, it is a response to external shocks. The Educational Value of Self-written epitaph lies in leading the elderly to reflect on their lives today, and it bears the appearance of cooperative writing.

Experimental study on characteristic of sloshing impact load in elastic tank with low and partial filling under rolling coupled pitching

  • Wu, Wenfeng;Zhen, Changwen;Lu, Jinshu;Tu, Jiaoyang;Zhang, Jianwei;Yang, Yubin;Zhu, Kebi;Duan, Junxian
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.178-183
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    • 2020
  • A series of experiments covering lowest three natural frequencies of rolling coupled pitching were conducted to investigate liquid sloshing with low liquid depth. The test results show that the most violent liquid sloshing in rolling and pitching is located in the vicinity of the first order natural frequency (f1). When the excitation frequency of rolling and pitching is located between 0.98f1 and 1.113f1, roof-bursting phenomenon of liquid appeared, and the maximum impact pressure is at 1.09f1. When the external excitation frequency is at 1.113f1, the number of sloshing shocks decreases sharply. Furthermore, the space distribution of the impact pressure on the left bulkhead and the top bulkhead was analyzed. It is concluded that with low liquid filling, the impact load is greater near the free surface and the top of tank, and the impact position of the side bulkhead increases with the increasing of the frequency near the resonant frequency.

Design Method of Internal Structure Based on Dynamic Characteristic Analysis of 2.5ton Military Vehicle (2.5톤 군용차량 동특성 분석에 따른 내부구조물 설계 방안)

  • Yang, Ina;Choi, Wookyun;Jung, Kyongwook;Shim, Donghyouk;Son, Donghyeop
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2022
  • Electronic equipment mounted on military vehicles is exposed to external shocks and vibrations. This causes problems in tactical operation and also causes cost loss in equipment maintenance. Therefore, to optimize the test standards for military vehicles with vibration, dynamic characteristics should be analyzed and standardized through actual driving tests. In this paper, the internal structure of 2.5tons military vehicle is designed in the form of a drawer and lathe, and the dynamic characteristics are identified by experiment, and the design is proposed.

A Comparison of Determinants of International Remittance in Developed and Developing Countries (해외 송금 결정 요인: 개도국과 선진국의 비교 분석)

  • Seung-Hwan Yoon
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.89-101
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    • 2022
  • International remittances play a crucial role in the economic management of each country, especially in developing countries. Its functions are diverse, including procurement of foreign currency, serving as a cushion for the balance of payments and foreign exchange reserves by reducing the adverse external shocks, driving economic growth, easing the gap between the rich and the poor, and maintaining macroeconomic stability. However, previous studies on remittances have mainly focused on macro-and micro-economic aspects to analyze the determinants. Therefore, this study attempts to identify the determinants of remittances in 122 countries over the past 25 years from macroeconomic and educational aspects as well as institutional qualities. In addition, given the fact that almost all of the world's top 10 recipient countries in terms of GDP and total remittance size are developing countries, developed and developing countries are separated and analyzed for comparison, assuming that there may be a difference between the two groups. Results show that the coefficients of developed and developing countries are different in four areas: Control of Corruption (CC), Rule of Law (RL), Voice and Accountability (VA), and Regulatory Quality (RQ) among the six institutional variables of interest in this study. These results implicate that even the same institutions and policies should be applied and implemented differently depending on the circumstances of each country. In addition, as suggested by the World Bank, policymakers in all countries should double their policy efforts to lower the costs of remittance and improve access to the financial system for immigrants or dispatched workers to ensure a steady inflow of remittances.

A Study on the Spillover Effect of Information between Factors Related to Steel Materials and BCI (제철원료 관련 요인과 BCI 간의 정보전이 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Yo-Pyung Hwang;Ye-Eun Oh;Keun-Sik Park
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.133-154
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    • 2022
  • The Baltic Capesize Index (BCI), which is used as an indicator for marine transportation of steel raw materials, is one of the key economic indexes for managing the risk of loss due to rapid market fluctuations when steel companies establish business strategies and procuring plans for raw materials. Still, the conditions of supply and demand of steel raw materials has been extremely affected by volatility shocks from drastic events like the financial crisis such as the Lehman Brothers incident and changes in the external environment such as COVID-19. And, especially since the 2008 financial crisis, endeavors to predict the market conditions of the steel raw material is becoming more and more arduous for the deepening uncertainty and increased volatility of BCI, which has been used as a leading indicator of the real economy. This study investigates the correlation between the steel raw material market and the marine transportation market by estimating the spillover effect of information between markets. The vector error correction model (VECM) was used to analyze information transfer based on the correlation between the BCI and crude steel production, capesize fleet supply, raw material price, and cargo volume.

A Study on the Carbon Taxation Method Using the Real Business Cycle Model (실물적 경기변동모형을 이용한 탄소세 부과방식에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, In-sup;Jung, Yong-gook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.67-104
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we compare the spread effects of the carbon tax imposition method using the real business cycle model considering the productivity and energy price shocks. Scenario 1 sets the carbon tax rate that encourages the representative firm to maintain a constant $CO_2$ reduction ratio in accordance with its green house gas reduction targets for each period. Scenario 2 sets the method of imposing the steady state value of the carbon tax rate of Scenario 1 during the analysis period. The impulse response analysis shows that the responses of $CO_2$ emissions to external shocks are relatively sensitive in scenario 2. And simulation results show that the cost of $CO_2$ abatement is more volatile in scenario 1, and $CO_2$ emissions and $CO_2$ stock are more volatile in scenario 2. In particular, the percentage changes in volatility between the two scenarios of $CO_2$ emissions and $CO_2$ stock increase as the green house gas reduction target is harder. When the green house gas reduction target is 60% and over, the percentage changes(absolute value) between the two scenarios exceed the percentage change(absolute value) of the $CO_2$ reduction cost between them.

The Association Between Accounting Conservatism and Corporate Investment Expenditure in Korean Listed Firms During the Global Financial Crisis (글로벌 금융위기가 한국 기업의 투자지출에 미치는 영향에 대한 실증적 분석: 회계보수주의를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Byoung Ho
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.121-148
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    • 2018
  • This paper examines the role of accounting conservatism on investment expenditure for non-financial Korean listed firms around the 2007-2008 global financial crisis using a differences-in-differences design. Specifically, this paper examines the association between an ex ante classification of firms by their level of accounting conservatism prior to the credit crisis and the ex post magnitude of the decline in investment. Consistent with prior literature, this study found that firms experienced a decline in their investment when hit by the financial crisis (Campello et al. 2010). And also this study found that firms with more conservative financial reporting experienced a smaller decline in investment activity following the financial crisis than did firms with less conservative financial reporting. Together, the results suggest that negative shocks to the supply of external finance hampers firm-level investment and that conservative financial reporting can lessen the sensitivity of firms' investment to such negative shocks. Next, this study shows that the magnitude of our findings is greater for firms more likely to suffer from underinvestment (as opposed to overinvestment). Firms that are financially constrained or have greater demand for external finance are more likely to experience underinvestment. Consistent with the predictions, this study finds stronger benefits of conservatism for firms that face relatively greater costs in raising external capital (i.e., financially constrained firms) or that have a relatively greater need to do so (i.e., firms that lack internal financial resources). This study also finds that the role for conservatism is greater in firms with a higher level of information asymmetry, consistent with the notion that conservatism mitigates financing frictions arising from information problems.

Evolution Characteristics and Drivers of Gumi National Industrial Complex (구미국가산업단지의 진화 과정의 특성과 그 동인)

  • Jeon, Ji-Hye;Lee, Chul-Woo
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.303-320
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzes the characteristics of the evolution process of the Gumi National Industrial Complex as well as its external and internal drivers based on the cluster adaptation cycle model. The Gumi National Industrial Complex has made remarkable progress through expansion in spatial and industrial realm and has become a representative IT industry cluster in Korea. It evolved during a growth period from the 1990s, a maturity period from the mid-2000s, and a mature stagnation period from the mid-2010s. But it has now entered a period of decline. While external drivers at the international and national level greatly influenced the Gumi National Industrial Complex in its evolution from foundation-building to maturity, internal drivers such as the outflow of large firms as well as a lack of SME research capacity and institutional base have added to the management difficulties of SMEs in the mature stagnation period. Therefore, in order for the Gumi National Industrial Complex to move into a revitalization period that strengthens resilience against external shocks, it is necessary to enhance the capacity of SMEs by expanding the roles of the central government, local government, and support agencies. In addition, it is necessary to create and embed strong medium enterprises within the Gumi National Industrial Complex, so that the Complex can be reborn as a sustainable innovation ecosystem.