• Title/Summary/Keyword: Export price

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Machine Learning Model for Recommending Products and Estimating Sales Prices of Reverse Direct Purchase (역직구 상품 추천 및 판매가 추정을 위한 머신러닝 모델)

  • Kyu Ik Kim;Berdibayev Yergali;Soo Hyung Kim;Jin Suk Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.176-182
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    • 2023
  • With about 80% of the global economy expected to shift to the global market by 2030, exports of reverse direct purchase products, in which foreign consumers purchase products from online shopping malls in Korea, are growing 55% annually. As of 2021, sales of reverse direct purchases in South Korea increased 50.6% from the previous year, surpassing 40 million. In order for domestic SMEs(Small and medium sized enterprises) to enter overseas markets, it is important to come up with export strategies based on various market analysis information, but for domestic small and medium-sized sellers, entry barriers are high, such as lack of information on overseas markets and difficulty in selecting local preferred products and determining competitive sales prices. This study develops an AI-based product recommendation and sales price estimation model to collect and analyze global shopping malls and product trends to provide marketing information that presents promising and appropriate product sales prices to small and medium-sized sellers who have difficulty collecting global market information. The product recommendation model is based on the LTR (Learning To Rank) methodology. As a result of comparing performance with nDCG, the Pair-wise-based XGBoost-LambdaMART Model was measured to be excellent. The sales price estimation model uses a regression algorithm. According to the R-Squared value, the Light Gradient Boosting Machine performs best in this model.

Analysis of the Impact of US, China, and Korea Macroeconomic Variables on KOSPI and VKOSPI (미국·중국·한국 거시경제변수가 한국 주식수익률 및 변동성 지수 변화율에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Jung-Hoon Moon;Gyu-Sik Han
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.209-223
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - This article analyzes the impact of macroeconomic variables of the United States, China, and Korea on KOSPI and VKOSPI, in that United States and China have a great influence on Korea, having an export-driven economy. Design/methodology/approach - The influence of US, China, and Korea interest rates, industrial production index, consumer price index, US employment index, Chinese real estate index, and Korea's foreign exchange reserves on KOSPI and VKOSPI is analyzed on monthly basis from Jan 2012 to Aug 2023, using multifactor model. Findings - The KOSPI showed a positive relationship with the U.S. industrial production index and Korea's foreign exchange reserves, and a negative relationship with the U.S. employment index and Chinese real estate index. The VKOSPI showed a positive relationship with the Chinese consumer price index, and a negative relationship with the U.S. interest rates, and Korean foreign exchange reserves. Next, dividing the analysis into two periods with the Covid crisis and the analysis by country, the impact of US macroeconomic variables on KOSPI was greater than Chinese ones and the impact of Chinese macroeconomic variables on VKOSPI was greater than US ones. The result of the forward predictive failure test confirmed that it was appropriate to divide the period into two periods with economic event, the Covid Crisis. After the Covid crisis, the impact of macroeconomic variables on KOSPI and VKOSPI increased. This reflects the financial market co-movements due to governments' policy coordination and central bank liquidity supply to overcome the crisis in the pandemic situation. Research implications or Originality - This study is meaningful in that it analyzed the effects of macroeconomic variables on KOSPI and VKOSPI simultaneously. In addition, the leverage effect can also be confirmed through the relationship between macroeconomic variables and KOSPI and VKOSPI. This article examined the fundamental changes in the Korean and global financial markets following the shock of Corona by applying this research model before and after Covid crisis.

Investigation on the Significance and Necessity for Recycling of Wood Wastes (목재 폐기물 재활용의 의의 및 필요성에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Gwang-Chul;Park, Hee-June;Jung, In-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Furniture Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2009
  • In our country, most of the wood resources are imported. We faced a continuous rising of wood price by export country's some conditions and excess rising of transport charge, also a shortage of structural size members. In these situation, recycling or reuse of wood residues and wastes under wood processing industry, building construction and demolition is not a option but a prerequisite. In our country, there is a dearth of data on recycling or reuse of wood residues and wastes, so the investigation on the necessity of recycling or reuse of wood residues and wastes was conducted by using the foreign data and documents. First of all, fields and actual conditions for the domestic wood processing industry were surveyed. Then, kinds and signification of wood residues and wastes were organized. Later, the necessity and the signification of recycling or reuse of wood residues were investigated, and postulations for effective recycling and reuse were suggested. Above all, the necessity of grading standards for reuse or recycling and some important consideration for developing grading standards were emphasized. At last, foreign research tendencies and some applications on recycling or reuse of wood residues and wastes were supplemented.

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Global Dairy Industry and Current Situation: II. 2009 World Dairy Report (세계 낙농산업 동향: II. 2009년 현황을 중심으로)

  • Song, Soo-Yeon;Oh, Se-Jong
    • Journal of Dairy Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2010
  • In 2009, the world dairy industry had the most impressive experience throughout all the experiences it had. The milk price in major regions fell to their lowest level for decades. Including Korea, the world economy is obviously slowing. The nations' export plunged due to the global economic recession, in result reduced industrial output and domestic demand. In Korea, the intake of liquid milk slightly decreased from 45 kg per capita in 2005 to 44.3 kg per capita in 2008. However, production and consumption of milk increased fast in China and India. According to 2008 statistics, total milk volume of the world trade reached 42 million tonnes and the major exporters of dairy products were EU, New Zealand, USA and Autralia. The tropical countries has traditionally consumed buffalo milk. The production of buffalo milk is increasing faster than cow milk. IDF expected that EU milk production would recover the medium term displaying a gradual growth over the milk quotas phasing-out period, while constantly remaining below the quota level.

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A Study on the Korean company's plan for entering into MERCOSUR (국내기업의 남미공동시장(MERCOSUR) 진출방안에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Chong-Suk
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.30
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    • pp.123-144
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    • 2006
  • MERCOSUR (Southern Cone Common Market, Latin American trade organization established in 1991, full members: Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay; associate members: Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, and Venezuela) is the world's third largest economic union. It is a vital region that Korean corporations should enter to preoccupy the Latin American market. Since China and Japan are recently moving strongly to advance into MERCOSUR, Korea needs to work out measures to cope with the situation. In trading with MERCOSUR, it is very important to establish a strategic base in the market from a long-term perspective rather than to approach the market only as an exporting market. From this viewpoint, Korea should regard MERCOSUR as a market with which it should cooperate in terms of resources, beyond a market from which it imports raw materials. Helped by its advancement strategies varying according to regional markets and price competitiveness, China is bolstering its market share in these regions. In addition, China has built production bases focused on electric and electronics products. It is also increasing its investments in MERCOSUR as a stable raw material-providing base. To make inroads into MERCOSUR successfully, therefore, Korean enterprises should not regard it as a market where it disposes of stock goods, but should instead export technologically competitive goods to this region. Likewise, Korean companies should expand their investments in automotive parts and machinery in MERCOSUR. Furthermore, Korea should closely study international trading policies of MERCOSUR to clear away any possible obstacles of exports to this region and to prepare countermeasures so as to avoid possible damage from import regulations of MERCOSUR.

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A Study on Characteristics of Present Import for Live Fish (활어 수입의 현단계적 성격에 관한 고찰;-활어 수입을 둘러싼 규정요인과 동향을 중심으로-)

  • 장영수
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.55-77
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    • 1995
  • This study analyzed the structure of imported fisheries, focusing especially on the following factors of live fisheries import : First of all, it is confirmed that the import of live fisheries expands when domestic production decreases. To put it concretely, the structure of domestic live fish supply is based upon the production of aquaculture, the shift from export to domestic use, and imported live fisheries. These all coexist, expand, and grow together. Secondly, the structure of the consumer's market - the background of expanding and growing live fisheries-is currently diversifying with quality and quantity from a local area consumer system based upon regional markets, to a wider ranged system based upon the food industry and retailing market. The existence of the consumer markets is premised upon a stable supply structure, in terms of material and price. Thirdly, in terms of trade policy, control of imports instantly reduces import goods. But it is reasonable to say that there is not any logical effectiveness of denying the stable growth of low market capital under the background of strong consummer expansion. Fourthly, the attitude of the import related managener organization is directly related to the degree to which it is connected to live fish import. It is demanded that such a managing organization possess suitable facilities, specializaed knowledge, and management skill of live fisheries. So it is predicted that newly introducing the importing of live fisheries is not simple. It indirectly shows that the capital which relates to live fisheries are connected with the importing og live fish fisheries.

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Prospects for the Budget Allocation of the Social Overhead Capita] in Korea - Focusing on the Investment between Highway and Railway sectors - (도로${\cdot}$철도 부문에 대한 SOC 투자분담율 전망에 관한 연구)

  • Lee YongJae;Kim Sang-Key;Chu Jun-Yeun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.957-962
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    • 2005
  • Since the nation's currency crisis in 1997. Korea reioined the USD 10.000 per capita income group after collapse of per capita income to USD 6.000 due to the minus GDP growth and sharp hike of exchange rate. It has also been expected for Korea to achieve per capita income of USD 20.000. provided that it maintains $10\%$ export increase rate. $5\%$ nominal GDP growth rate. $3\%$ consumer price index. $2\%$ increase in KRW/USD exchange rate. and $1\%$ net population increase rate. Yet. it should be noted that the nation needs to fulfill the necessity of various SOC infrastructure investment in order to achieve this goal. This paper will address the prospects for the future direction of the national SOC policies through the historical examination of the industrialized nations. such as U.S.A.. U.K.. France. and Japan. with regard to the relationships between economic growth and SOC provision. Some efforts will be made to forecast the optimal budget allocation of the national SOC, in particular, between highway and railway sectors.

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Cloths Culture Study Based on the Trade Goods between Chosun Envoy and a Japanese Envoy in the Early Chosun Dynasty (조선의 편절과 일본사신 간의 교역품을 통하여 본 조선 전기의 직물문화)

  • 이자연
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.826-834
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    • 2003
  • This research is to reveal an aspect of costume culture and a phase of the cloths in the relationship of the Chosun dynasty, by considering the exported goods from the Chosun dynasty of the trading goods derived by the trade diplomacy between the two countries in the Chosun dynasty-Japan relationship in the 15th and 16th. The research findings, by analyzing various literatures and related documents, follow. The research results are as follow. The exchange was the form of presenting a return present in return for a tribute to the Chosun dynasty from the Japanese envoy, which has a polycentric characteristic. Pusanpo, Naipo, and Yumpo were designated as the open ports, which played a pivotal role in the Korea-Japan exchange. The imported goods were somok, peppers, drug-stuffs, gold, bronze, sulfur, etc. The exported goods were books and cloths, such as hemp cloths, cotton cloths, silk, etc. The majority of exported goods was cloths, particularly cotton cloths. Meanwhile, in the 15th and the 16th century, with expanding of active trade towards Japan, the amount of export increased rapidly. As a result of the increase of exporting cotton cloths, the raw cottons production was increased and cotton cloth manufacturing was developed. However, it also expanded a dual structure of cotton cloths between the cotton cloths for exports and the cotton cloths for domestic markets. This dual structure of cotton cloth was lead to the deterioration of cotton cloths and had an effect on the price increases of domestic markets.

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Economic Valuation of Official Management for Invasive Insects and Diseases in Fruits (과실 병해충에 대한 공적방제조치의 가치분석)

  • Kwon, Daeyoung;Son, Minsu;Kim, Brian H.S.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.67-76
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    • 2014
  • The objective of this study is to estimate the economic value of official management and control for invasive insects and diseases in fruits. The direct and indirect effect of this control measure can be the changes in price of fruits and related goods, changes in export volume of domestic fruits, changes in total volume of fruit production, and reduce the risk in food safety. The contingent valuation method with the single-bounded dichotomous choice is employed to estimate each household's willingness-to-pay (WTP) to maintain official management and control measures. The total number of sample consists 2,050 respondents between the ages of 19-60 years, and the survey is conducted using Web-based survey. The estimated results for mean WTP is 5,443won per month per household. Therefore, the total economic value of official management and control on fruit in Korea is estimated to be approximately 94.4 billion won per month.

An Analysis of Environment-friendly Foods Purchase Behavior and Possibility on Entering Chinese Market on the consumers of Shanghai, China (친환경식품의 구매행태 및 중국진출 가능성 분석 - 중국 상하이의 소비자를 중심으로 -)

  • Ro, Chae-Yeong;Cho, Kook-Il;Ahn, Pyong-Ryol
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.259-274
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    • 2008
  • This study was designed to analyze the possibility to enter the Chinese market aggressively by giving light on the factors which have effects on the continuous intention of Shanghai consumers to purchase environment-friendly foods, and the purchase of Korean environment-friendly foods. The objects of analysis were the 209 consumers living in Shanghai, China. As for the analysis method, the frequency, percentage, crossing analysis, $X^2$-test and logistic regression analysis were carried out, making use of SPSS PC+ 13.0. The study results are as follows. Firstly, it was identified that the decisive factors, such as good taste, health of family, freshness, food shop in a department store, international quality authentication, diversity of items and number of family members, had effects on the possibility that the consumers in Shanghai, China would purchase environment friendly foods continuously, showing the meaningful variables. Secondly, as for the decisive factors having effects on the possibility to buy Korean environment friendly foods continuously, it was identified that good taste, health of family, freshness and price cutting were the meaningful variables. Therefore, it is necessary that to set up a export promotion strategy to make the Shanghai consumers get interested in Korean environment-friendly foods and choose to buy the foods.

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