• 한국전자파학회논문지
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• 제28권8호
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• pp.589-602
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• 2017

본 논문에서는 미래 지능정보사회에 대비하여 전파 생태계를 진흥하기 위한 전파와 전파 산업에 대한 시각과 중요도의 인식의 변화를 분석하였다. 이를 위해 미래 사회의 변화에서 나타난 전파에 대한 인지도와 중요도에 대한 분석 방법을 정립하였다. 또한 전파 및 전파 산업의 중요도에 대한 인식 변화를 도출하기 위해 설문조사를 통해 분석하였다. 이 결과 및 함의로부터 미래사회에 대비한 전파 이용의 활성화를 위하여 필요한 대응방향을 제시하였으며, 전파의 산업적 중요성 면에서 전파가 다양하게 이용되어 경제사회적으로 가치와 파급 효과를 갖고 시장을 창출해 가기 위한 5대 방안을 제안하였다.

• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.39-67
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• 2021

This study investigated the policy instruments pertinent to the establishment of a regional innovation system in the Mekong Delta that facilitates the development of a countermeasure towards various issues of industrial and technological nature. First, we conducted the research with regard to the status and environment of the region. Second, a field visiting survey was implemented to analyze the results of international efforts and regional capacity to solve the problems attendant upon introducing technologies related to the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Third, we derived the key policy issues and challenges from the results of the field visiting survey and experts' conference with a deep focus on technological transfer and international cooperation to enhance the capability in the science and technology field. Fourth, we conducted the opinion survey of the experts from Korea and Vietnam to converge local opinions from both countries and analyzed the results. The range of research subjects is responding to climate change, managing water resources, coordinating energy and industrial structure, making a resilient Mekong regional ecosystem, smartification of local cities, and improving the life quality of citizens, and so on. The results of this study are expected to be the beginning of fundamental research in the mid to long-term view of the Mekong Delta region innovation system of Korea and Vietnam and to evaluate the master plan.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.125-135
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• 2004

Environmental Impact Assessment(EIA) in Korea has been used to improve environmental conservation and decision-making. Since environmental impact statement(EIS) was introduced in 1981 with the promulgation of the Environmental Preservation Act in 1977, which replaced the Pollution Control Act legislated in 1963. With a rapid growth of environmental perception as well as the diversification of development activities, however, it has recently bring about a strong demand for a new assessment process related to the strategic level of policies, plan, programs. Method of this study includes analyses of the situation of local EIA and its problematic issues through survey and analysis of information and data, analysis of the level of environmental awareness of professionals and case studies including analysis of foreign strategic environmental assessment. Accordingly, I have elicited a concept of SEA. In addition, I have studied on costs of environmental assessment, and efficiency of internalization of HIA. The survey was carried between September and November 2003, and 177 professionals were asks to complete a questionnaire. As a result of questionnaire survey of environmental pundits, it revealed that 83.8% of participants were in favor of introduction of strategic assessment. This result demonstrated more or less higher approval rate than those of awareness survey done by the Ministry of Environment, i.e. 86.0% ayes, and 14.0% nays. 22.8% of participants agreed to the opinion; "For introduction of this system, earlier is better," 50% reported having an opinion such as, "Will introduce this system in an earliest possible time after correcting problems," 26.3% reported having an opinion such as, "Let's decide the time for introduction of this system after correcting problems first,' and 0.9% reported having an opinion, "it's too early to introduce this system." Specifically, the ratio of ayes on introduction of the system marked 72.8%, and it revealed that a majority of respondents have an opinion such as, "Will introduce this system in an earliest possible time after correcting problems." As means of solutions for the problem regarding the limits of applications that existed in SEA System, factors, such as collecting a wide variety of opinions, securing experts, and faithful implementation, etc. were reported important, and in addition to these factors, respondents revealed having opinions such as, consistent research and development, reflection of public interest, establishment of professional organization, enforcement of after-management service, expanding investments in large, systemizing reference materials, and encouraging public participation, etc. To improve problems involving with present EIA system, it has been identified through this study that SEA is efficient and useful. In order to have SEA introduced successfully, it has been cleared that internalization of effectiveness of environmental cost together with HIA must be accomplished.

• 지식경영연구
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.115-134
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• 2024

인터넷의 지속적인 발전과 다양한 모바일 기기의 확산으로 인해 소비자 구매결정에 대한 인터넷 구전의 영향력은 끊임없이 증가하고 있는 상황이다. 그러나 다양한 정보원으로부터 상반된 내용의 많은 정보를 접하는 소비자들은 끊임없이 정보의 신뢰성에 대해 고민하게 되고 이에 따라 제품 종류 별 구전 영향력이 큰 정보원의 유형에 대한 연구가 지속되고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 정보원 유형간 구전방향이 불일치할 경우, 소비자들이 어떠한 정보원의 구전에 더욱 영향을 받는지 온라인 구전을 전문가와 일반소비자 구전으로 나눈 후, 계층적 베이지언 분석방법론을 통해 분석하였다. 연구 결과, 전문가 구전과 일반소비자의 구전 방향성이 일치할 경우에는 기존 연구와 같이 구매의도에 정의 영향을 미치는 것을 확인하였다. 나아가 전문과 구전과 일반소비자의 구전 방향성이 불일치할 경우에는 소비자의 구매의도가 전문가 보다는 일반소비자의 구전 방향성에 더욱 영향을 받는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 본 연구에서는 표본집단의 크기가 작더라도 데이터 시뮬레이션을 통해 분석이 가능한 베이지언 방법론을 적용해 분석을 시도하였다. 이를 통해 한정된 데이터로 여러 소집단에 대한 분석 가능성을 확인한 것은 향후 더욱 세분화된 제품군과 다양한 정보원 유형의 온라인 구전 효과 연구에 기여하고 온라인 마케팅 관리자에게 유용한 실무적 시사점을 제공할 것으로 기대한다.

• Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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• 제86권3호
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• pp.196-202
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• 2023

Background: The Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) update 2023 proposed new definitions of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and COPD exacerbation. However, an agreement on the definitions has not been made, either internationally or domestically. This study aimed to reach an agreement between experts on the new definitions of COPD and COPD exacerbation in South Korea. Methods: A modified Delphi method was used to make an agreement on the definitions of COPD and COPD exacerbation proposed by the GOLD update 2023. We performed two rounds of the survey including 15 Korean experts on COPD, asthma, and tuberculosis. Results: More than two-thirds of the experts agreed on 12 of the 13 statements related to the definitions of COPD and COPD exacerbation in the two rounds of the survey. The experts agreed on the definitions of COPD and COPD exacerbation that should be revised in line with the definitions proposed by the GOLD update 2023. However, the experts showed an uncertain opinion on the statement that the definition of COPD includes patients with persistent airflow obstruction due to bronchiectasis. Conclusion: Based on this Delphi survey, experts' agreement was made on the definitions of COPD and COPD exacerbation proposed by the GOLD update 2023.

• 한국병원경영학회지
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.15-25
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• 2018

Purposes: The objectives of this study present the direction of the criteria for the separately reimbursement of therapeutic medical device. Methodology: We summarized experts' opinion using Delphi survey and Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP). 48 experts were gathered from Medical Insurance Review Nurses Association, medical device industry, academy and association, Medical Device Expert Evaluation Committee. Descriptive statistics, consistency index, content validity ratio were analyzed. Findings: Clinical utility, patient safety, infection control, cost-homogeneity, cost-effectiveness showed high feasibility and importance, but market contribution and functional utility showed low feasibility and importance in a relative sense. The results of functional utility differed between clinical and non-clinical experts. Measurability was low across the whole area. Among the criteria for the separately reimbursement of therapeutic medical device. Patient safety/infection control and clinical utility showed the highest relative importance values, analyzed using AHP. Practical Implications: Patient safety and infection control are needed to be considered as one of Value Assessment Criteria. It is important to find out how to improve the measurability of therapeutic medical device.

• 벤처창업연구
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.115-133
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• 2021

본 연구는 그 동안 혼재되어 왔던 4차 산업 혁명의 개념과 관련 기술 들을 살펴보고 이로 인한 사회 경제적 변화와 영향 및 주요 국가의 4차 산업혁명에 대응하는 사례를 검토 하였다. 이를 기반으로 한국벤처기업이 4차 산업혁명에 대비하기 위한 SWOT 요인 도출 및 요인별 중요도 산출을 통해 정부 및 정책 입안자들에게 관련 정책 수립을 위한 방향 제시에 도움을 주고자 한다. 나아가 한국벤처기업 들에게는 글로벌 경쟁력 확보를 위한 추진 방향을 제시하고 이후에 진행할 학문적 심층 연구를 위해서도 기초적이고 체계적인 분석에 도움을 주는 것을 목적으로 한다. 연구를 위해 4차 산업 관련 분야에서 한국 벤처기업의 내부 역량과 외부 환경 변화 요인이 무엇인지를 파악하기 위해 기존 문헌 탐구와 자료 조사를 통해 총 21개의 SWOT 요인을 도출하여 이를 업계, 학계, 정책전문가 그룹으로 구분하여 델파이 조사를 통해 확정하였다. 또한 이를 체계적 의사결정 기법인 AHP 기법으로 항목별 중요도를 분석하였다. 분석 결과에 따르면 강점(48%)→기회(25%)→위협(16%)→약점(11%) 순으로 중요하게 여기고 있음을 보여 주었으며 세부 항목별 중요도 분석 결과에서는 총 21개 세부항목 중 상위 3개 항목으로는 '신속하고 유연한 사업화 능력, '플랫폼·빅데이터·비대면 서비스 활성화, 'ICT 인프라 구축 및 활용' 순으로 중요도가 높게 나타났다. 반면 하위 3개 항목으로는 '안정적인 거시 경제 및 SOC 기반', '세계적 보호무역 기조에 따른 해외시장 진출 어려움, '외국인 투자규모 절대 열세' 항목은 우선순위가 낮게 나타났다. 전문가 그룹별 견해 차이를 보기 위한 중요도 순위 검증 결과, 업계와 학계전문가는 상관관계가 높고 업계와 정책전문가는 중간 정도의 상관관계를 보여 큰 견해 차이가 없었으나 학계전문가와 정책전문가의 상관관계는 통계적으로 유의하지 않아(p<0.01) 중요도에 대한 견해 차이가 있는 것으로 분석 되었다. 이는 정책전문가는 강점 항목인 '신속하고 유연한 사업화'와 기회 항목인 '우수한 교육시스템 및 고급인력 보유', '신시장 창출'을 매우 중요하게 생각한 반면, 학계전문가는 강점 항목인 '정부 정책의 지원 부분'을 훨씬 중요하게 생각하는 차이에서 기인된 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구의 시사점은 한국벤처기업이 4차 산업혁명 분야에서 경쟁력을 확보하기 위해서는 강점과 기회요인의 해당 항목 들을 우선적으로 지원하는 정책이 필요함을 있음을 시사하고 있으며 또한 학계와 정책전문가 사이에 다른 견해를 보이고 있는 강점 요인과 기회 요인의 세부 항목 차이는 적극적으로 검토하여 정책에 반영할 필요가 있음을 의미한다고 볼 수 있다.

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.95-120
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• 2001

One of the systematic attempts for technological forecasting is Delphi Method that externalizes and manipulates unformalized experts opinion in a particular problem or subject. It has, however, a critical shortcoming that it can not reflect the degree of interaction that exists among forecast events or subject. Gordon and Hayward(1969) criticize that when the forecast events are strongly interrelated, a totally unrealistic consensus may result. They proposed a new forecasting method that considers the interaction of events, that is, Cross Impact Analysis (CIA). A number of related models have been developed after them. In this study, we examine a variety of research results related to CIA obtained by literature survey and propose the limitation and future research direction. This analysis would be expected to help us to create a strategic scenario on future technology development at the government and firm level.

• 한국IT서비스학회지
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.169-188
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• 2014

Recently the complexity and difficulty of the IT projects are increasing due to technological and environmental risks, resulting in the adoption of PMO(Project Management Office) onto IT project management practices, including public area projects. For example, the Korean government regulated the application of PMO onto large scale public IT projects. However, since there has been no reliable method to estimate the cost to execute PMOs, a PMO cost evaluation model to support the budget and cost planning of PMO projects is required. Thus, the purpose of this research is to develop a systematic cost evaluation model for PMO projects. We identified the dimensions that determine the PMO execution cost to be the scale of the subject project, the technical difficulty level of the subject project, and the tasks to be executed in the PMO project. Based on the determinants, the PMO execution cost model were developed from historical data and experts opinion. Upon verification, the validity of the developed model has high level of consistency compared with their experiences of real PMO project costs.

• 경영과학
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.237-253
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• 1994

Technology measurement is related with how to construct indicators of technological change and relative ranking of technological sophistication. Many attempts have been made to understand the measurement of technology. However, technology measurement still remains little understood problem in spite of its importance. This article is concerned with improving the measurement of technology by introducing market factors into the model. It illustrate a simple approach to the measurement of technology. This approach is based on the characteristic-space paradigm of technology. A relative ranking of technological sophistication for a product is measurable as a set of characteristics. The main feature of the proposed approach is the combination of technical factors and market factors. Technical factors are reflected in the definition of technological sophistication. Market factors are embraced in the determination of the relative importance assigned to each technology defining characteristics. Thus, the weight is determined by technical factors and market factors, which differentiates the study from the past based on judgmental technique such as experts' opinion.