• Title/Summary/Keyword: Expert Estimation

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Price estimation based on business model pricing strategy and fuzzy logic

  • Callistus Chisom Obijiaku;Kyungbaek Kim
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.54-61
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    • 2023
  • Pricing, as one of the most important aspects of a business, should be taken seriously. Whatever affects a company's pricing system tends to affect its profits and losses as well. Currently, many manufacturing companies fix product prices manually by members of an organization's management team. However, due to the imperfect nature of humans, an extremely low or high price may be fixed, which is detrimental to the company in either case. This paper proposes the development of a fuzzy-based price expert system (Expert Fuzzy Price (EFP)) for manufacturing companies. This system will be able to recommend appropriate prices for products in manufacturing companies based on four major pricing strategic goals, namely: Product Demand, Price Skimming, Competition Price, and Target population.

A Study on the Generation and Fault diagnosis Expert System for Operator Training in Power System (조작원 훈련을 위한 전력계토의 사고모의 및 고장진단 전문가 시스템의 연구)

  • 이흥재;박영문;임찬호
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.564-569
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    • 1994
  • This paper presents an expert system for the fault section estimation and fault diagnosis in power transmission systems, which also has random event generation function for the purpose of operator training or educational experiment. The expert system is developed using an artificial intelligence language.

A Study on an Expert Estimation System for a design Original Form development. (디자인 원형모델 개발을 위한 전문평가 시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Seung-Yun;Seok, Jae-Heuck;Han, Jung-Wan;Park, Kyong-Jin
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.11b
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    • pp.475-481
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    • 2008
  • This research presents about an expert estimation method to develop a HEMU Original Form of streamline nose. It has difficult part to check to the thought of the designer. We presented the course to extract the Original Form through the form data base this part. But it is the form to be extract in logical method. It is important both intuitional part and sensual part of designer in the course which the form is developed innovative. We extract the factor of the innovation which the experts consider who a sensual brain activity is special and the experience degree is high. We do the structuring the estimation system. And than, we made the method to apply at the practical affairs.

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A study for magnitude estimation data analysis procedure (Magnitude Estimation 데이터 분석 절차에 관한 연구)

  • 송맹기;한성호;곽지영
    • Proceedings of the ESK Conference
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    • 1995.10a
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    • pp.13-17
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    • 1995
  • A Psychophysical scaling method called magnitude estimation is frequently used to evaluate human sensation to physical stimuli. This paper described the procedure of magnitude estimation data analysis which consists of four modulus; reponse space, CMM(Cross-Modality Matdhing)/merge, standardization, scale building & data analysis method. This procedure is being developed as an expert system in which the four analysis modulus are programmed so that a novice user can perform the analysis.

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Development of Arousal Level Estimation Algorithm of Expert System for Sensibility Evaluation (감성 평가를 위한 전문가 시스템의 긴장도 평가 알고리즘 개발)

  • 정순철;민병찬;민병운;김소영;김철중
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Emotion and Sensibility Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.86-89
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구는 객관적인 생리 신호로부터 인간의 감성을 추론할 수 있는 감성 평가 전문가 시스템을 개발하기 위한 첫 번째 단계로, 측정된 생리 신호를 이용하여 인간의 긴장도를 판단하는 알고리즘의 개발이 목표이다. 감성 평가에 관련된 애매함을 수리적으로 취급하기 위해 퍼지 이론을 적용하여 임의의 감성 영역에 속하는 정도를 소속 함수로 정량화 함으로써 감성 평가를 가능하게 하고자 하였다 소속 함수의 결정은 상상을 통해 유발된 긴장/이완의 생리 신호 데이터 베이스 결과를 사용하였다. 그리고 두 가지 이상의 생리 신호 측정 결과와 각 생리 신호의 소속 함수로부터 하나의 최종 결과 (긴장도)를 유추하기 위해서 Dempster-Shafer 증거합 법칙을 적용하였고, 이를 통해 최종적인 긴장도를 도출할 수 있도록 하였다.

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Compressive strength estimation of concrete containing zeolite and diatomite: An expert system implementation

  • Ozcan, Giyasettin;Kocak, Yilmaz;Gulbandilar, Eyyup
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we analyze the behavior of concrete which contains zeolite and diatomite. In order to achieve the goal, we utilize expert system methods. The utilized methods are artificial neural network and adaptive network-based fuzzy inference systems. In this respect, we exploit seven different mixes of concrete. The concrete mixes contain zeolite, diatomite, mixture of zeolite and diatomite. All seven concrete mixes are exposed to 28, 56 and 90 days' compressive strength experiments with 63 specimens. The results of the compressive strength experiments are used as input data during the training and testing of expert system methods. In terms of artificial neural network and adaptive network-based fuzzy models, data format comprises seven input parameters, which are; the age of samples (days), amount of Portland cement, zeolite, diatomite, aggregate, water and hyper plasticizer. On the other hand, the output parameter is defined as the compressive strength of concrete. In the models, training and testing results have concluded that both expert system model yield thrilling medium to predict the compressive strength of concrete containing zeolite and diatomite.

Development of Integrated Fatigue Strength Assessment System (피로강도평가를 위한 통합 전산 시스템의 개발)

  • Park, Jun-Hyeop;Song, Ji-Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.264-274
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    • 2001
  • An integrated fatigue strength assessment system was computerized. The system developed consists of 9 modules: user interface, cycle counting, load history construction, data searching, fatigue properties estimation, fatigue data analysis, true stress and strain analysis, expert system for crack initiation life prediction, fatigue crack initiation and propagation life prediction. Fatigue strength database also was included in this system. The fatigue expert system helps a beginner to predict a fatigue crack initiation life in fatigue strength assessment. The expert system module in this system is developed on the personal computer by using C language and UNiK, an expert system developing tool. To evaluate the system, the results of test under variable loading of SAE and failure data from a field were analyzed. The evaluation show that the system provided fatigue life prediction within 3-scatter band and gave reasonable predictions. To get more accurate predictions of fatigue life without fatigue properties, we recommend utilizing the system along with the fatigue strength database.

Parameter Estimation of the Diffusion Model for Demand Side Management Monitoring System (DSM 모니터링을 위한 확산 모형의 계수 추정)

  • Kim, Jin-O;Choi, Cheong-Hun;Kim, Jung-Hoon;Lee, Chang-Ho;Kim, Chang-Seob
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.10
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    • pp.1183-1189
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents the method of parameter estimation of diffusion model for monitoring Demand-Side Management program. Bass diffusion model was applied in this paper, which has different values according to the following parameters; coefficients of innovation, imitation and potential adopters. Though it is very important to estimate three parameters precisely, there has been no empirical way in practice. Thus, this paper presents the method of parameter estimation in case of few data with constraints to reduce the possibility of bad estimation. The constraints can be empirical results or expert's decision. Case studies show the diffusion curves and forecasted values of the peak for the high-efficient lighting. The feedback and nonlinear least-square parameter estimation methods used in this paper enable us to evaluate the status and to predict the effect of DSM program.

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A Estimation of Software Development Effort for Distributed Control System by ANFIS

  • Kim, Dong-Hwa
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.375-375
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    • 2000
  • Estimating software development effort remains a complex problem attracting considerable research attention. Improving the estimation techniques available to project managers would facilitate more effective control of time and budgets in software development as well as market. However, estimation is difficult because of its similarity to export judgment approaches and fur its potential as an expert assistant in support of human judgment. Especially, in software development for DCS (Distributed Control System), because of infrastructure software related to target-machines hardware and process characteristics should be considered, estimating software development effort is more complex. This paper suggests software development effort estimation technique using neural network. The methods considered are based on COCOMO and case-based projects. Estimation results applied to case-based project appeared to have value fur software development effort estimation models.

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The Development of Fuzzy-based Expert System for Analyzing Occupational Stress

  • Jung, Hwa-Shik;Kim, Woo-Youl
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.120-134
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    • 1997
  • This paper illustrates the process of developing and configuring the prototype computer-assisted analysis system named as Work-Expert for analyzing occupational stress. A Work-Expert was developed to allow the nonexperts or line manager to utilize the existing knowledge in the area of occupational stress estimation, and to provide intelligent and computer-aided problem solving. The purpose of the system development is for future prediction and problem solving. Creating preventive measures, such as early detection of stress, proper placement and promotion of employees, job enlargement, employee identification, employee involvement, communication, and training of managers will be possible by using this system effectively.

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