• 제목/요약/키워드: Expectancy-value

검색결과 112건 처리시간 0.023초

긴 직선-곡선 연결선형에서 운전자 주행행태에 관한 현장조사 연구 (An Observational Study on the Driver Behaviours at Long Tangent Sections Followed by Sharp Horizontal Curve)

  • 김용석;조원범
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제22권7호
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    • pp.139-146
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    • 2004
  • 도로 설계는 운전자의 기대와 일치되는 방향으로 수행되는 것이 바람직하다. 긴 직선과 곡선반경이 작은 곡선의 연결을 피하는 것이 도로 설계 일관성 관점에서 본 일반화된 설계 원칙이다. 연속된 도로 선형의 일관성을 평가하기 위한 방법으로 주행속도 프로파일 모형이 활용되고 있으며, 이 모형에는 긴 직선-곡선 연결선형에서 운전자의 주행행태 변화에 대한 가설이 포함되어 있다. 본 연구는 기존 주행속도 프로파일 모형에 내재된 운전자 주행행태에 대한 가설과 실제 긴 직선-곡선 연결선형에서 조사된 운전자의 주행행태 결과를 비교하였으며, 신뢰성 있는 주행속도 프로파일 모형의 구축을 위해 요구되는 운전자의 곡선부 진입 및 진출 시 가속도의 변화를 외국의 연구에서 제시한 값과 비교하는 방식으로 분석하였다. 분석결과, 모형에 내재된 긴 직선-곡선 연결선형에서 운전자의 주행행태가 실제 조사된 운전자의 주행행태 변화를 잘 설명해주고 있었다. 곡선 진입시 감속도는 $0.39{\sim}1.06m/s^2$으로 분포하였으며, 평균은 $0.66m/s^2$으로 나타났다. 곡선 진출부 가속도는 평균 $0.22m/s^2$으로 나타났다.

Markov's Modeling for Screening Strategies for Colorectal Cancer

  • Barouni, Mohsen;Larizadeh, Mohammad Hassan;Sabermahani, Asma;Ghaderi, Hossien
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권10호
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    • pp.5125-5129
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    • 2012
  • Economic decision models are being increasingly used to assess medical interventions. Advances in this field are mainly due to enhanced processing capacity of computers, availability of specific software to perform the necessary tasks, and refined mathematical techniques. We here estimated the incremental cost-effectiveness of ten strategies for colon cancer screening, as well as no screening, incorporating quality of life, noncompliance and data on the costs and profit of chemotherapy in Iran. We used a Markov model to measure the costs and quality-adjusted life expectancy of a 50-year-old average-risk Iranian without screening and with screening by each test. In this paper, we tested the model with data from the Ministry of Health and published literature. We considered costs from the perspective of a health insurance organization, with inflation to 2011, the Iranian Rial being converted into US dollars. We focused on three tests for the 10 strategies considered currently being used for population screening in some Iranians provinces (Kerman, Golestan Mazandaran, Ardabil, and Tehran): low-sensitivity guaiac fecal occult blood test, performed annually; fecal immunochemical test, performed annually; and colonoscopy, performed every 10 years. These strategies reduced the incidence of colorectal cancer by 39%, 60% and 76%, and mortality by 50%, 69% and 78%, respectively, compared with no screening. These approaches generated ICER (incremental cost-effectiveness ratios) of $9067, $654 and $8700 per QALY (quality-adjusted life year), respectively. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the influence of various scales on the economic evaluation of screening. The results were sensitive to probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Colonoscopy every ten years yielded the greatest net health value. Screening for colon cancer is economical and cost-effective over conventional levels of WTP8.

한의학적인 생명관의 특징과 건강의 정의 (Concepts of Life and Health Definition in Traditional Korean Medicine)

  • 이선동;박해모
    • 대한예방한의학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.33-51
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    • 2006
  • With the reduction of contagious diseases throughout the world and prolonged life expectancy has lead into increase of habitual related diseases. Industrial development and better economic situation made people more concerned about their health. As primary illnesses are subdued in the past years, health care system and the public value prevention and well-being more than the treatment itself. Based on this trend, this study focused on the view of life from the perspective of Oriental medicine as it's peculiarities, regimen methods, and the definition of healthy life are evaluated. Following results were obtained: - View of life in Oriental medicine focused on two basic principles of interrelationship between the organs internally, inter-dependency with the natural environment and social surrounding externally as recognition and respect between the medium were valued. - Sustaining and maintaining good health in Oriental medicine are closely related to prenatally healthy pregnancy and fetation, as well as prenatal training. Postnatal maintenance includes accommodation to seasonal changes, adequate food intake, mind control, various regimen methods and avoidance of wrong doings. - Defining health includes body's internal condition and external influences, principles of essence, qi, spirit, and yin and yang, harmony and balance, and individuality. - To conclude, good health in Oriental medicine is defined as 'external adaptation to society and natural environment, and internal balancing of individual difference with accumulation of essence, nurturing and circulating qi, and every material around the body in harmony and balance."

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흡연으로 인한 생산성 손질 추정 (Estimation of Productivity Losses due to Smoking)

  • 김태현;문옥륜;김병익
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.169-187
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    • 2000
  • Cigarette smoking has been identified as the most important source of preventable morbidity and premature mortality (WHO, 1995), The prevalence of smoking among men is very high in Korea. This study estimated productivity losses due to smoking in Korea, 1997. The derivation of cost estimates for mortality, disability, hospitalization and use of physician services related to cigarette smoking is bas 어 on the calculation of attributable fractions suggested by MacMahon and Cole and Smoking-Attributable Mortality, Morbidity, and Economic Cost(SAMMEC) software. To estimate the number of deaths from neoplastic, cardiovascular, respiratory diseases associated with cigarette smoking, estimates for adults(aged 20 years and over) were based on 1997 mortality data, 1995 data on smoking prevalence from Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs. Smoking-attributable indirect morbidity cost data were obtained from the National Federation of Medical Insurance. As the result of cost estimation, these productivity losses were 336-430 billion won. During 1997, 8,620-10,804 deaths were attributed to smoking. Cigarette smoking resulted in 133,991-169,422 Years of Potential Life Lost (YPLL) to life expectancy. For smoking -attributable indirect mortality costs, the present value of future earnings(PVFE) for the age at death are 299-384 billion won. Smoking-attributable indirect morbidity costs, the costs of lost productivity for persons who are disabled by smoking-related chronic diseases are 37-46 billion won. In this study the productivity losses due to smoking were restricted to the health effects of smoking. It is possible that these costs were underestimated with the limitation of the data. Smoking is the leading preventable cause of illness and death. The results of this study can be used as elementary data for antismoking policy.

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Technological Achievements and Economic Development: The Significance of Technological Achievement Gap in Selected East and South Asian Countries

  • Ali, Tariq Mahmood
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.113-156
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    • 2017
  • Although technological progress is considered a key element for economic growth and development of a country, strong empirical evidence in this regard is not available yet. Therefore, to establish the empirical link between technology progress and economic development, it is advisable to carry out a time series analysis. In this regard, the Technology Achievement Index (TAI) of 100 top economies has been developed to examine the position of countries' technological progress for the 21 years spanning 1995 to 2015. Countries have been ranked on their TAI which is based on four pillars; technology creation, diffusion of older innovations, diffusion of recent innovations, and development of human skills. As well, this current study re-calculates the Humane Development Index (HDI) of 100 top economies for the 21 years from 1995 to 2015. Ranking of countries' HDI values reflects three dimensions: A long lifespan (life expectancy index), knowledge (Education Index) and a decent standard of living (Gross National Income Index, or GNI). The Standard Deviation (SD) technique has been used to investigate the technological gap between individual countries and groups of countries or regions. For a more meaningful assessment, technological gaps from the maximum achievement value (i.e., one of the countries under study) are presented as well. To investigate the impact of technological progress on economic development, this study introduces a model in which the HDI is used as the dependent variable and the TAI and Gross Capital Formation (GCF) are used as independent variables. The HDI, TAI and GCF are used in this model as proxy variables for economic development, technological progress and capital respectively. Econometric techniques have been used to show the impact of technological progress on economic development. The results show that long-term associations exist between technology progress and economic development; the impact of technology progress on economic development is 13.2% while the impact is 4.3% higher in eight selected East South Asian countries, at 13.5%, than in eight selected highly developed countries (9.2%).

모악산 도립공원 이용실태 분석에 관한 연구 (A study on the users' behavior and satisfaction in Moaksan provincial park)

  • 김세천;허준;박봉주
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.167-176
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    • 1995
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest objective basic data for park management proposal through the quantitative analysis of users' behaviors and satisfaction for the actual conditions of management in Moaksan provincial park. For this, users' behaviors and socio-ecnomic characteristics have been analyzed. Specifically, it attempts to investigate users' anticipation and degree of satisfaction applied Expectancy Theory by Likert scale. And users' satisfaction for the actual conditions of management had been analyzed by using the multiple regression. Results of this study can be summarized as follows ; From the aspect of utilization reality, the male usage was silighty higher than female usage, and the usage rate reality, the male usage was slighty higher than female usage, and the usage rate among the young and students such as university students also appeared slightly higher than the norm. Due to the fact, subject park had been provincial park, bus usage was predominant, and users' visit park 1 or 2 times a year. Generally, the value of users' post occupancy evaluation were higher than those of anticipated, and Use in night and facilities were lower. A sense of the season, dense of forest, beauty of skyline and a perspective view appeared as main explicatory variables having positive effects on the satisfaction level for the landscape. Amount of plant and shade were positive variables on the satisfaction and users' had dissatisfaction with trial damage. According to the multiple regression analysis, the major variables to the satisfaction for the actual condition of vegetation management were diversity, recovery of artificial injury.

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Determinants of Adoption and Use of Open Access Publishing by Academic Staff in Nigeria Universities

  • Bashorun, Musediq Tunji;Jain, Priti;Sebina, Peter M.;Kalusopa, Trywell
    • Journal of Information Science Theory and Practice
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.49-63
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    • 2016
  • The emergence of the World Wide Web (WWW) has changed the scholarly publishing system. Today, Open Access (OA) scholarly publishing offers free access and wide dissemination for research findings anytime and anywhere as an additional value for scholarly content. Despite the potentials of OA publishing, its adoption and use is still low.This paper determines factors influencing the adoption and use of OA publishing by academic staff in universities in Nigeria using an adapted Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use Technology (UTAUT). The study applies methodological triangulation by combining quantitative and qualitative approaches. The empirical data were collected from 317 academic staff in universities in southwest Nigeria. The questionnaire forms were analyzed using the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (IBM-SPSS) 19.0 version to generate descriptive statistics, Analysis of Variance, and Hierarchical Multiple Regression. Thematically, analysis also applies to the interviews. The results show that awareness, attitude, performance expectancy, Internet self-efficacy, and facilitating conditions significantly influenced the adoption and use of OA publishing. The study also reveals that due to lack of OA policy, most of the respondents did not know about OA. The findings further establish that all predictors and moderating variables jointly contributed 64.4% total variance towards the adoption and use of OA publishing. One of the implications of this study is that there is a need for adequate facilities to support adoption and use of OA publishing. The findings inform the proposed framework for improving and evaluating the adoption and use of OA publishing. The findings also have theoretical, societal, and methodological significance to all stakeholders.

조기사망에 따른 상실년수를 활용한 우리 나라 질병부담 추정 연구 (Burden of Disease in Korea: Years of Life Lost due to Premature Deaths)

  • 명재일;신영수;장혜정
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.354-362
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    • 2001
  • Objectives : The aim of this study was to estimate the burden of disease through an analysis of Years of Life Lost due to premature deaths, one component of the Disability-Adjusted Life years (DALY). In addition, the cause of death statistics were adjusted to improve validity, and the results were compared with those of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD). Methods : In closely fellowing the approach taken in the original GBD study, most of the explicit assumptions and the value judgments were not changed. However, the statistics for some problematic concerns such as deaths of infants or those due to senility, were adjusted. Deaths, standard expected years of life lost (SEYLL), and potential years of life lost (PYLL) were computed using vital registration data compiled by the National Statistical Office. Results : The burden for males is 1.8 and 2.3 times higher than that for females, according to SEYLL and PYLL, respectively. The proportions of deaths due to Group I, II, and III causes are 5.4%, 80.4%, and 14.3%, respectively, for PYLL, but in a major shift from Group II to III they are 6.3%, 66.2%, and 27.5%, respectively, for SEYLL. The proportion of Group III causes in Korea, 27.5%, is extremely high when compared to 10.1% for the world, 7.6% for developed countries, and 10.7% for developing countries. Conclusions : Estimation results showed that the total burden due to premature deaths is smaller than that for the entire world but larger than that for developed countries. The disease structure of Korea has changed to resemble that of developed countries. Also, an overly large portion of the total burden in Korea stems from injuries arising from car accidents.

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전이를 동반한 진행성대장암의 항암 치료에 대한 접근 (Access of Anti-cancer Treatment for Advanced Colon Cancer with Metastasis)

  • 김현건
    • Journal of Digestive Cancer Research
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.6-16
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    • 2013
  • 식생활의 서구화와 대장암 검진의 증가로 인하여 국내의 대장암 유병률은 지속적으로 증가하고 있으며, 최근 보고에 의하면 남자에서는 종양 발생률 2위, 여자에서는 종양 발생률의 3위를 차지하고 있다. 비록 대장내시경이 대장암의 진단과 선별검사에 아주 효과적인 방법이지만, 여전히 대장암의 20-25%는 이미 진단 당시에 전이를 동반하고 있는 것으로 되어 있다. 최근 10년 동안 이러한 전이성대장암의 고식적인 치료로 irinotecan과 oxaliplatin 등의 약제들의 개발과 이들의 다양한 조합에 관련된 연구들이 보고되어 왔으며, 분자생물학적인 발전에 힘입은 표적 치료제의 개발과 이에 대한 다양한 연구들은 향후에도 진행성대장암 환자들의 종양 반응률과 생존기간을 증가시킬 것으로 기대된다.

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대학생의 웨어러블 디바이스 사용의도에 영향을 미치는 요인 -UTAUT2 모델의 응용 (Influential Factors of College Students' Intention to Use Wearable Device -An Application of the UTAUT2 Model)

  • 손현정;이상원;조문희
    • 한국언론정보학보
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    • 제68권
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    • pp.7-33
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 확장된 UTAUT2 모델을 이용하여 웨어러블 디바이스의 주요 잠재적 수용자인 대학생들의 웨어러블 디바이스 사용의도에 영향을 미치는 다양한 요인들을 고찰하였다. 구체적으로 인포테인먼트 기능으로서의 웨어러블 디바이스에 대한 사용자의 사용의도에 대한 분석을 위해 기존의 UTAUT 모형에서 상정하고 있는 핵심변수 네 가지 즉, 성과기대, 노력기대, 사회적 영향, 촉진조건 외에 쾌락적 동기, 가격 효용성, 인지된 위험을 추가한 확장된 UTAUT2 모델을 설계하고, 이를 적용하여 실증적으로 검증해 보았다. 그 결과, 기존의 UTAUT 모델의 주요 변인인 성과기대, 사회적 영향 및 촉진조건이 웨어러블 디바이스 사용의도에 유의미한 영향을 주는 것을 발견하였다. 또한 UTAUT2 모델에서 추가된 변인인 쾌락적 동기와 가격 효용성이 웨어러블 디바이스의 사용의도에 영향을 미쳤음을 발견하였다. 한편, 본 연구의 주요 목적 중 하나는 UTAUT2 모델의 이론적인 검증이었는데, UTAUT1 모델의 주요 변인들뿐만 아니라 UTAUT2 모델에 새롭게 추가된 변인인 쾌락적 동기 변인과 가격 효용성 변인이 모두 웨어러블 디바이스의 사용의도를 잘 설명하는 변인임을 확인함으로써 UTAUT2 모델이 새로운 ICT 기술의 수용을 타당하게 설명할 수 있는 모델임을 밝혔다. 따라서 UTAUT2 모델에 관한 이론적인 검증은 새로운 ICT 기술 수용 및 다른 다양한 연구주제에 관한 연구를 통해서 계속 진행될 필요가 있음을 보여 준다.

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