• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.37-47
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• 2022

This study uses monthly data from January 2009 to December 2020 to examine the effectiveness of foreign currency intervention and its influence on monetary policy in Vietnam using a Hierarchical Bayesian VAR model. The findings suggest that foreign exchange intervention has little influence on the exchange rate level or exports, but it can significantly minimize exchange rate volatility. As a result, we can demonstrate that the claim that Vietnam is a currency manipulator is false. As well, the forecast error variance decomposition results reveal that interest rate differentials mainly determine the exchange rate level instead of foreign exchange intervention. Moreover, the findings suggest that foreign exchange intervention is not effectively sterilized in Vietnam. Inflation is caused by an increase in international reserves, which leads to an expansion of the money supply and a decrease in interest rates. Although the impact of foreign exchange intervention grows in tandem with the growth of international reserves, if the sterilizing capacity does not improve, rising foreign exchange intervention will instead result in inflation. Finally, we use a rolling window approach to examine the time-varying effect of foreign exchange intervention.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.15-24
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• 2015

Purpose - Foreign exchange risk control is in an important component in the international supply chain management. This study shows the importance of the reference period in forecasting future exchange rates with a specific illustration of KIKO currency option contracts, and suggests feasible preventive measures. Research design, data, and methodology - Using monthly Won-Dollar exchange rate data for January 1995~July 2007, I evaluate the statistical characteristics of the exchange rate for two sub-periods; 1) a shorter period after the East Asian financial crisis and 2) a longer period including the financial crisis. The key instrument of analysis is the basic normal distribution theory. Results - The difference in the reference period could lead to an unexpected development in contract implementation and a consequent financial loss. We may avoid foreign exchange loss by using derivatives such as forwards or currency options. Conclusions - We should consider not only level values but also the volatilities of financial variables in making a binding financial contract. Appropriate measures may differ depending on the specific supply chain pattern. We may extend the study with surveys on actual risk measures.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.845-852
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• 2003

Forecasting exchange rate movements is a challenging task since exchange rates impact world economy and determine value of international investments. In particular, Korean-U.S. exchange rate behavior is very important because of strong Korean and U.S. trading relationship. Neural networks models have been used for short-term prediction of exchange rate movements. Least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) is used widely in real-world regression tasks. This paper describes the use of LS-SVM for short-term and long-term prediction of Korean-U.S. exchange rate.

• 한국작물학회지
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.108-115
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• 2002

The effects of long-term fertilization on soil properties and nutrient availability are not well documented for cassava cultivation in Vietnam. In 1990, a field research plots were established with 12 treatments to test the effect of different rates of nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P) and potassium (K) on soil properties in Acrisols at Thai Nguyen University in Northern Vietnam. In 1999, composite soil samples (0 to 20cm depth) were collected from eight selected plots for measurements of nutrient supply rates by ion exchange membrane probes and for growing corn and canola in a growth chamber with and without added lime. Generally, long-term nitrogen (N) fertilization increased available N supply rates but decreased available potassium (K) and magnesium (Mg). Long-term phosphorus(P) applications increased canola N, calcium (Ca) and Mg uptake. Canola P uptake increased with increased P rates only when lime was added. Long-term K applications increased canola N, K, Ca, Mg uptake but only significantly increased corn N uptake. Liming significantly increased uptake of N, P, K, Ca, Mg and S for both corn and canola. However, N $H_{4-}$N, K and Mg soil supply rates were reduced when lime was added, due to competition between Ca from the added lime and other nutrients.

• 대한수학회논문집
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• 제32권2호
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• pp.467-477
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• 2017

This paper is about the derivations of local volatilities for European quanto call option prices according to various types of payoffs. We derive the explicit formulas of local volatilities with constant foreign and domestic interest rates by adapting the method of Derman-Kani.

• 토지주택연구
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.169-175
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• 2012

최근, 지열 냉난방 시스템의 초기 공사비를 절감하기 위해 연구되고 있는 에너지 파일의 열교환량을 산정하기 위해 2종류(부속연결형, 슬링키형)의 현장타설말뚝형(PRD, 시공심도 4.5m, 직경 1,200mm) 에너지 파일을 시험시공하고 수치 시뮬레이션에 의해 효율을 상호 비교하였다. 상호 비교결과에 의하면 지중 교환량은 운전시작과 함께 채열에 의한 지중온도의 저하에 의해 점점 감소하였고 부속연결형의 평균 열원수의 온도차는 난방운전에서 $0.37^{\circ}C$, 냉방운전에서 $0.34^{\circ}C$로 나타났다. 또, 부속연결형의 난방운전시 열교환량 231.4W/m보다 냉방운전의 방열량은 252.2W/m로서 9% 높았고 슬링키형은 난방 기간 평균 열교환량이 168.0W/m로 부속연결형에 비해 약 27% 낮은 열교환량을 얻었다.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.55-76
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• 2010

본 연구는 1995년 1월 04부터 2009년 8월 30일까지 일본의 주식시장과 외환시장의 일별자료를 이용하여 두 시장의 수익률, 변동성 및 상관관계를 분석하였다. 특히, 전체 분석대상 기간을 아시아 금융위기 이전시기, 아시아 금융위기 시기, 그 이후부터 서브프라임 사태에 의한 금융위기 발발이전 시기 그리고 서브프라임사태에 의한 금융위기시기로 각각 구분하여 비교분석하였으며, 실증모형은 이변량(Bivariate) GJR-GARCH(1,1)을 가정하여 추정하였다. 실증분석의 주요한 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 각 시기별로 수익률의 평균방정식과 분산방정식의 추정결과가 상당히 다르게 나타났으며 둘째, 금융위기 시기에 주식시장의 시장비효율성이 증가하고 과거의 예측하지 못한 변동성 충격에 시장이 훨씬 민감하게 반응하며, 특히 나쁜 뉴스에 의한 변동성 충격에 훨씬 많은 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 금융위기의 시기 중에서도 변동성 충격, 비대칭성 등의 측면에서 보면 아시아 금융위기 보다는 최근에 발생한 전 세계적 금융위기의 기간에 보다 뚜렷하게 나타났다. 넷째, 전체적으로 두시장의 상관관계는 대체로 정의 관계가 있는 것으로 나타났으며 이는 일본경제가 상대적으로 금융투자처로서의 매력보다는 일본 경제 전체에 실물부문의 중요성이 상대적으로 높기 때문에 나타난 현상으로 보인다. 특히 최근의 서브프라임 사태에 의한 전세계적 금융위기 기간 동안 두시장의 정의 상관관계는 더욱 심화되는 것으로 나타났다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권12호
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• pp.43-52
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• 2020

This paper examines how macroeconomic variables, such as interest rate differences, inflation, exchange rates, economic growth and external debt growth, affect capital flight in the ASEAN-8 countries. We apply a panel data model with fixed effect estimation for the data for eight countries from the period 1994 to 2018. We use the residual approach used by the World Bank to measure the value of capital flight. The results show that the interest rate differences, exchange rates, economic growth and foreign debt growth had a positive and significant effect on outward capital flight. A further implication of this finding is that the interest rate differences, exchange rate, economic growth and foreign debt growth are factors that trigger an increase in capital outflow in the ASEAN-8 countries. Nonetheless, inflation rate is not considered to be the main factor influencing capital flight, as average inflation in the ASEAN-8 countries remains relatively stable. This paper will be beneficial for policymakers in the ASEAN-8 countries and encourage them to constantly pay attention to these four variables, as they significantly influence capital flight, whereas they can disregard the impact of the inflation variable that is not significant in influencing capital flight.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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• pp.237-240
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• 2008

Numerical Analysis for exchanging seawater experiment is carried out in Do-Jang fish port. The change of tidal velocity and water level is derived by the two-dimensional nonlinear shallow-water numerical model. To calculate exchange rate of seawater with the change of tidal velocity and water level, a two-dimensional numerical model is employed which governing equations are Fokker-Plank equations. The calculated exchange rates of each time are described in tables and figures.

• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.372-380
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• 1997

This paper describes experimental investigations of helium-air exchange flows through parti¬tioned opening and two-opening. Such exchange flows may occur following rupture accident of stand pipe in high temperature gas cooled reactor. A test vessel with the two types of small open¬ing on top of test cylinder is used for experiments. An estimation method of mass increment is developed and applied to measure the exchange flow rate. A technique of flow visualization by Mach-Zehnder interferometer is provided to recognize the exchange flows. In the case of exchange flow through the partitioned opening, flow passages of upward flow of the helium and downward flow of the air within the opening are separated by vertical partition, and the two flows interact out of entrance and exit of the opening. Therefore, an experiment of the exchange flow through two-opening is made to investigate effect of the fluids interaction of the partitioned opening sys¬tem. As a result of comparison of the exchange flow rates between the two types of the opening system, it is found that the exchange flow rate of the two-opening system is larger than that of the partitioned opening system due to absence of the effect of fluids interaction. Finally, the fluids interaction between the upward and downward flows through the partitioned opening is found to be an important factor on the helium-air exchange flow.