• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.111-139
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• 2003

In this paper, the unbiasedness hypothesis cannot be rejected for JPY. It means that Japanese forward exchange market is efficient. This implies that there would not be an unusual profit from speculation. However, the unbiasedness hypothesis can be rejected for THB, HKD, IDR. It means that Asian forward exchange market is inefficient. This implies that there would be an unusual profit from all available information. This suggests that forward exchange rates cannot be an unbiased estimator of future spot exchange rate. This result explains that the actual pricing for forward rate is not based on the international financial market's pricing mechanism of interest rate parity theory, but rather depends upon that simple market expectations and aspirations.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.655-660
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• 2009

As the global economic crisis, the Korean foreign exchange market appears unstable with large fluctuations in exchange rate. Inevitably, there is growing attention on price variables such as exchange rate and interest rates and also on corelation between the factors. This is an empirical study on the causality of fluctuation between exchange rate and interest rate in the Korean market under global economic crisis. The fluctuations in won/dollar exchange rate and call rate are described and followed by analysis of lead-lag relationship between the two variables using Cross-correlation function and Granger causality test.

• The Southeast Asian review
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• v.23 no.1
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• pp.313-362
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• 2013

중국의 위안화 국제화(지역화)는 중국경제의 성장 및 중국정부의 전략적, 정책적 지원에 따라 가속화되고 있다. 특히 최근 ASEAN과 중국 간 경제통합이 빠르게 진행됨에 따라 동남아시아 지역에서 중국 위안화의 유통이 확대되고 있다. 본 논문은 이러한 위안화 유통의 확대와 관련하여 위안화 국제화(지역화)가 동남아시아 국가들의 환율정책에 미치는 영향을 분석하고자 한다. 동 지역에서 위안화의 유통의 확대(위안화 국제화)가 유의미하다면 달러화 대비 위안화 환율과 달러화 대비 동남아시아 개별국가통화 환율 간에 인과적 관계를 보일 것이다. 왜냐하면 환율정책의 중요한 목적 중 하나는 환율의 안정적 운영인데 환율결정에 있어 위안화의 비중이 크다면 그 만큼 달러화 대비 개별국가통화 간 환율의 영향도 커지기 때문이다. 본 논문은 이러한 가설을 바탕으로 두 환율변수 간 공적분 분석 등 계량분석을 통해 가설검정을 실시하였다. 분석 결과 2008년 글로벌 금융위기 이전(2005.8~2008.6)에는 두 환율변수 간 동조화 현상이 나타나는데 비해 그 이후(2010.7~2012.6)는 비동조화 현상이 나타나는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 2010년 이후 유럽의 재정 위기 등 글로벌 경기침체로 인해 동남아시아 국가들의 환율 정책 우선순위가 환율의 안정적 운영에서 경기회복을 위한 수출증가 및 이를 위한 개별국가 통화의 환율절하로 전환하였음을 의미한다고 할 수 있다. 또한 중국과의 국경무역 등 경제적 영향이 상대적으로 큰 GMS(라오스, 미얀마, 베트남)국가들의 경우 그 외 아세안 7개국들에 비해 두 환율변수 간 동조화 현상이 강하게 나타나는 것으로 분석되었다. 이는 이들 국가들이 상대적으로 기타 국가들에 비해 위안화 국제화에 대한 민감도가 높다는 것을 의미한다. 향후 동남아시아 국가들의 경기가 회복되고 위안화의 국제화가 가속되면 두 환율 간 동조화 기조는 강화될 것으로 예상된다.

• Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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• v.36 no.3
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• pp.345-350
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• 1992

Proton lineshapes and chemical shifts of paramagnetic solutions of Ln$(NO_3)_3$ in DMF have been measured over the temperature range 240K to 3807K. Solvation sphere exchange rates and the thermodynamic exchange parameters for CHO group of the DMF molecules have been extracted from these data. The results were established through a detailed analysis and discussion of the temperature depending data of the 1/$T_2$ and ${\Dellta}{\omega}$ data were analyzed in detail, and it has been found that delocalization of the unpaired electron spin from some $Ln^{3+}$ ion to DMF molecules beyond the first solvation shell would occur, giving rise to a scalar relaxation contribution in the bulk solvent.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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• v.29 no.3
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• pp.111-116
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• 2021

This study aims to identify the representative factors affecting the air trade between the two countries over the past 20 years, targeting China, Korea's largest trading partner for air transport. In the analysis, the two countries' GDP, GDP per capita, and tariff rates, as well as exchange rates, international oil prices, and FTAs were used as variables. For the analysis method, OLS multiple regression analysis was performed, and each was analyzed by dividing the export amount, import amount, and trade amount. As a result of the analysis, China's GDP and Korea's GDP per capita showed a positive (+) direction, an increase in the exchange rate resulted in an increase in the amount of trade, and an increase in the tariff rate resulted in a decrease in the amount of trade. Whether the FTA was concluded or not acted as a factor in increasing the amount of trade between the two countries.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.171-179
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• 2021

In the international markets, financial variables can be volatile and may affect each other, especially in the crisis times. COVID-19, which began in China in 2019 and spread to many countries of the world, created a crisis not only in the global health system but also in the international financial markets and economy. The purpose of this study is to analyze the contagious effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the volatility of selected financial variables such as Bitcoin, gold, oil price, and exchange rates and the connections between the volatilities of these variables during the pandemic. For this aim, we use the ARMA-EGARCH model to measure the impact of volatility and shocks. In other words, it is aimed to measure whether the impact of the shock on the financial variables of the contagiousness of the epidemic is also transmitted to the markets. The data was collected from secondary and daily data from September 2th 2019 to December 20th, 2020. It can be said that the findings obtained have statistically significant effects on the conditional variability of the variables. Therefore, there are findings that the shocks in the market are contaminated with each other.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.287-298
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• 2022

Indonesia is an agrarian country with the significant development of Shariah banking. This study aimed to estimate the effect of Third Party Funds (TPF), Non-Performing Financing (NPF), Exchange Rates (ER), and Bank Indonesia Shariah Certificates (SBIS) on the Sharia Agriculture Sector Financing in Indonesia during 2014-2020. This study used the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) technique to analyze the data. The coefficient of determination test showed that 99.19% of Sharia financing in the agricultural sector was influenced by TPF, NPF, Exchange Rate, and SBIS variables. The estimation results showed that the variables of TPF and ER significantly affected Sharia Financing for Agricultural Sector (PP). Meanwhile, the NPF and SBIS variables had no significant effect on PP. This research showed the resilience and accuracy of Islamic banking in selecting financing and can support the development of other Islamic financial instruments such as SBIS. Simultaneous test results demonstrated the existence of the estimating model. Because of the character of the Indonesian nation as an agricultural country, this study advised Sharia banking to prioritize the usage of third-party funds from the public for the agricultural industry. Sharia banking also needed to produce Islamic finance products that fit the agriculture business sector's needs.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.101-110
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• 2012

In order to understand temperature and salinity variations, and the characteristics of the seawater exchange through two channels of Gamak Bay, we conducted measurements of water temperature, salinity and current for fifteen days in the summer and winter. Based on the observational data, the current seemed to have a close relation with wind. In addition, a correlation analysis result proved that water temperature is likely to be more influenced by air temperature rather than tide. Moreover, water temperatures at the south channel varied more sensitively with the season rather than at the east channel because of its shallow depth. Seawater exchange rates were estimated to be 0.5~29.9% (mean: 11.6%) at the east channel but 1.3~62.6% (mean: 18.6%) at the south channel in summer. On the contrary, they were estimated to be 0.3~28.5% (mean: 8.9%) at the east channel but 0.1~97.9% (mean: 31.2%) at the south channel in winter. Thus, the rates of seawater exchange in Gamak Bay turned out that the south mouth is approximately three times higher than the east mouth, and it also suggested that seasonal winds affect the rates of seawater exchange in Gamak Bay.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.931-954
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• 2003

It is widely recognized that economic time series involved not only the linearities but also the non-linearities. In this paper, when the economic time series data have the nonlinear characteristics we propose the forecasts method using combinations of both forecasts from linear and nonlinear models. In empirical study, we compare the forecasting performance of 4 exchange rates models(AR, GARCH, AR+GARCH, Bilinear model) and combination of these forecasts for dairly Won/Dollar exchange rates returns. The combination method is selected by the estimated individual forecast errors using Monte Carlo simulations. And this study shows that the combined forecasts using unrestricted least squares method is performed substantially better than any other combined forecasts or individual forecasts.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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• v.28 no.12
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• pp.1494-1500
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• 2004

A zero-dimensional direct simulation Monte Carlo(DSMC) model is developed for simulating diatomic gas including vibrational kinetics. The method is applied to the simulation of two systems: vibrational relaxation of a simple harmonic oscillator and translational-rotational-vibrational energy exchange process under heating and cooling. In the present DSMC method, the variable hard sphere molecular model and no time counter technique are used to simulate the molecular collision kinetics. For simulation of diatomic gas flows, the Borgnakke-Larsen phenomenological model is adopted to redistribute the translational and internal energies.