• Title/Summary/Keyword: Event Study Analysis

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Visual Analytics using Topic Composition for Predicting Event Flow (토픽의 조합으로 이벤트 흐름을 예측하기 위한 시각적 분석 시스템)

  • Yeon, Hanbyul;Kim, Seokyeon;Jang, Yun
    • KIISE Transactions on Computing Practices
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.768-773
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    • 2015
  • Emergence events are the cause of much economic damage. In order to minimize the damage that these events cause, it must be possible to predict what will happen in the future. Accordingly, many researchers have focused on real-time monitoring, detecting events, and investigating events. In addition, there have also been many studies on predictive analysis for forecasting of future trends. However, most studies provide future tendency per event without contextual compositive analysis. In this paper, we present a predictive visual analytics system using topic composition to provide future trends per event. We first extract abnormal topics from social media data to find interesting and unexpected events. We then search for similar emergence patterns in the past. Relevant topics in the past are provided by news media data. Finally, the user combines the relevant topics and a new context is created for contextual prediction. In a case study, we demonstrate our visual analytics system with two different cases and validate our system with possible predictive story lines.

Firm's Market Value Trends after Information Security Management System(ISMS) Certification acquisition (정보보호 관리체계 인증 취득 후 기업가치의 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Jung-Gi;Choi, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.237-247
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed quantitative effects of ISMS certification. To measure the company value change the stock data was used and the methodology of event study was also applied. Event study methodology is a method of analyzing the effects of information or public announcement about certain events on the stock market through abnormal return of stock price. First, ISMS certification was acquired followed by the measurement of abnormal excess return of company. Based on the increase or decrease of abnormal excess return, the group was classified. There are 3 types of groups("Increase", "Reduce", "Maintain"). Next, the cluster analysis was performed for each group. Cluster analysis or clustering is the task of grouping a set of objects in such a way that objects in the same group (called a cluster) are more similar (in some sense or another) to each other than to those in other groups(clusters). The purpose of this study is to have a quantitative measurement of performance of ISMS certification. So, the result of this study will be promoted a company's ISMS certification acquisition. And it would further be beneficial to your company's information security activities.

A Study on the Evacuation Performance Analysis Model Considering Clustering Types at the Fire Event in Geriatric Hospital (노인 요양병원에서 화재 시 군집유형에 따른 피난 성능 분석 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Mijung;Kweon, Jihoon
    • Journal of The Korea Institute of Healthcare Architecture
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to present an evacuation performance analysis model that can derive vulnerable evacuation spaces with considering the movement behavior as per the elderly groups in the event of a fire in a geriatric hospital. Methods: The evacuation characteristics of geriatric hospital users were investigated through the review of precedent studies. First, the occupant conditions and the evacuation scenario were set to analyze a study target hospital. Then, the evacuation simulation was carried out considering the group types and the density of each group. Finally, an evacuation performance analysis model according to the group type was presented based on the simulation results. Results: The results of this study are as follows: (1) The evacuation performance according to the group type is to be clarified through the suggested study model. (2) It is necessary to secure a ramp or an emergency elevator to distribute the evacuation personnel at the design stage because congestion occurs due to collisions between evacuees on the stairs and delays the evacuation time. (3) It is necessary to consider the evacuation stairs and openings of sufficient size by analyzing the frequency of congestion occurrence and the escape routes of occupants in advance to identify the space where the evacuation flow overlaps. Implications: It is expected that the study result is to be used as primary data for studies that consider the elderly and clustering evacuation behavior in the event of a fire in a geriatric hospital.

A Study of Cultural Event Satisfaction on Quality of Life: - Focused on the Moderating Effect of Involvement - (문화이벤트 참여태도에 따른 문화이벤트 만족도 및 충성도 - 관여도 조절효과를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Eun Jin;Lee, Hee Jung;Yoon, Yoo Shik
    • Korea Science and Art Forum
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    • v.21
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    • pp.117-129
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study was to examine attitude of cultural events that affect participation satisfaction and loyalty of cultural events. Although cultural events are increasingly important with its positive impact on event participants, the existing literature on cultural event is sparse. This study, thus, investigates moderating effects of cultural events' involvement in a relationship between attitude of cultural event and participations' satisfaction and loyalty to understand the thoughts and attitude of participants. The survey was undertaken of participants to cultural events in Seoul, resulting in 513 valid responses. Through statistical analyses of factor analysis, multiple regression and hierarchical regression, four different factors of cultural event attitude were identified and those factors affect participation satisfaction and loyalty of cultural events. The results of this study provided support that there were moderated effects of cultural event involvement in the relationships between cultural event attitude and satisfaction and loyalty. More theoretical and practical implication were discussed in the conclusion.

Assessment of Post-Earthquake Fire Behavior of a Steel MRF Building in a Low Seismic Region

  • Chicchi, Rachel;Varma, Amit
    • International journal of steel structures
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1470-1481
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    • 2018
  • Building-level response to post-earthquake fire hazards in steel buildings has been assessed using primarily two-dimensional analyses of the lateral force resisting system. This approach may not adequately consider potential vulnerabilities in the gravity framing system. For this reason, three-dimensional (3D) finite element models of a 10-story case study building with perimeter moment resisting frames were developed to analyze post-earthquake fire events and better understand building response. Earthquakes are simulated using ground motion time histories, while Eurocode parametric time-temperature curves are used to represent compartment fires. Incremental dynamic analysis and incremental fire analysis procedures capture a range of hazard intensities. Findings show that the structural response due to earthquake and fire hazards are somewhat decoupled from one another. Regardless of the level of plastic hinging present in the moment framing system due to a seismic event, gravity column failure is the initiating failure mode in a fire event.

Smart monitoring system with multi-criteria decision using a feature based computer vision technique

  • Lin, Chih-Wei;Hsu, Wen-Ko;Chiou, Dung-Jiang;Chen, Cheng-Wu;Chiang, Wei-Ling
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.1583-1600
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    • 2015
  • When natural disasters occur, including earthquakes, tsunamis, and debris flows, they are often accompanied by various types of damages such as the collapse of buildings, broken bridges and roads, and the destruction of natural scenery. Natural disaster detection and warning is an important issue which could help to reduce the incidence of serious damage to life and property as well as provide information for search and rescue afterwards. In this study, we propose a novel computer vision technique for debris flow detection which is feature-based that can be used to construct a debris flow event warning system. The landscape is composed of various elements, including trees, rocks, and buildings which are characterized by their features, shapes, positions, and colors. Unlike the traditional methods, our analysis relies on changes in the natural scenery which influence changes to the features. The "background module" and "monitoring module" procedures are designed and used to detect debris flows and construct an event warning system. The multi-criteria decision-making method used to construct an event warring system includes gradient information and the percentage of variation of the features. To prove the feasibility of the proposed method for detecting debris flows, some real cases of debris flows are analyzed. The natural environment is simulated and an event warning system is constructed to warn of debris flows. Debris flows are successfully detected using these two procedures, by analyzing the variation in the detected features and the matched feature. The feasibility of the event warning system is proven using the simulation method. Therefore, the feature based method is found to be useful for detecting debris flows and the event warning system is triggered when debris flows occur.

Comparative Analysis of Terminology and Classification Related to Risk Management of Radiotherapy

  • Oh, Yoonjin;Kim, Dong Wook;Shin, Dong Oh;Koo, Jihye;Lee, Soon Sung;Choi, Sang Hyoun;Ahn, Sohyun;Park, Dong-wook
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.131-138
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    • 2016
  • We analyzed the terminology and classification related to the risk management of radiation treatment overseas to establish the terminology and classification system for Korea. This study investigated the terminology and classification for radiotherapy risk management through overseas research materials from related organizations and associations, including the IAEA, WHO, British group, EC, and AAPM. Overseas risk management commonly uses the terms "near miss", "incident", and "adverse event", classified according to the degree of severity. However, several organizations have ambiguous terminologies. They use the term "near miss" for events such as a near event, close call, and good catch; the term "incident" for an event; and the term "adverse event" for the likes of an accident and an event. In addition, different organizations use different classifications: a "near miss" is generally classified as "incident" in most cases but not classified as such in BIR et al. Confusion might also be caused by the disunity of the terminology and classification, and by the ambiguity of definitions. Patient safety management of medical institutions in Korea uses the terms "near miss", "adverse event", and "sentinel event", which it classifies into eight levels according to the severity of risk to the patient. Therefore, the terminology and classification for radiotherapy risk management based on the patient safety management of medical institutions in Korea will help in improving the safety and quality of radiotherapy.

A Study on the Influence Diagrams for the Application to Containment Performance Analysis (격납용기 성능해석을 위한 영향도에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Joon-Won;Jae, Moon-Sung;Chun, Moon-Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 1996
  • Influence diagram method is applied to containment performance analysis of Young-Gwang 3&4 in an effort to overcome some drawbacks of current containment performance analysis method. Event tee methodology has been adopted as a containment performance analysis method. There are, however, some drawbacks on event tree methodology. This study is to overcome three major drawbacks of the current containment performance analysis method : 1) Event tree cannot express dependency between events explicitly. 2) Accident Progression Event Tree (APET) cannot represent entire containment system. 3) It is difficult to consider decision making problem. To resolve these problems, influence diagrams, is proposed. In the present ok, the applicability of the influence diagrams has been demonstrated for YGN 3&4 containment performance analysis and accident management strategy assessments of this study are in good agreement with those of YGN 3&4 IPE. Sensitivity analysis has been peformed to identify relative important variables for each early containment failure, late containment and basemat melt-though. In addition, influence diagrams are used to assess two accident management strategies : 1) RCS depressurization, 2) cavity flooding. It is shown that influence diagrams can be applied to the containment performance analysis.

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A Study on the Importance-Performance Analysis of Food Service Event Attributes in Participants and Organizers (외식 이벤트 속성의 참여자-주최자간 중요도와 만족도의 비교 연구)

  • Sung, Yeon;Lee, Yeon-Jung
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2011
  • This study aims to analyze importance and performance factors on the quality of food service event attributes in participants and organizers, so that it could provide helpful information to build up a detailed marketing strategy and present considerations for revisit increase and more efficient business results as well. Importance on food service event attributes scored a higher level than performance on the whole. Notably, in regard to the attributes of food service event, it was found that respondents put higher stress on vessel(4.10 points), natural seasoning(4.06 points), reservation service(4.04 points), parking service(3.95 points), customer level(3.85 points), organizer's service (3.84 points), polished atmosphere (3.83 points) and taste of food (3.83 points) than anything else. In terms of IPA analysis on food service event attributes, it was important to continuously maintain 'vessel', 'reservation service', customer level', 'sauce taste', 'recency', price', 'chefs fame', etc. Some items such as 'parking service', 'natural seasoning', 'polished atmosphere', 'taste of food', 'see off service', 'cleanliness' are in need of intensive care and operation.

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Risk Analysis of Container Ship Accidents and Risk Mitigation Measures

  • Kim, Dong-Jin;Kwak, Su-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.259-267
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    • 2016
  • The study performs a risk analysis on container ship accidents using accident data collected over the six years from 2006 to 2011, presents the resulting risk level, and suggests three risk mitigation measures to reduce the overall risk, for the safer operation of container ships. More specifically, starting from the initial accident of collision, we developed 13 different accident scenarios using event tree analysis based on which the overall risk level was obtained and presented as a FN curve. Since diverse human factors are the main cause of most of the ship accidents, our study focuses on the effect of reducing human causes on the resulting risk level. For the research we considered the injuries for the calculation of fatality with the help of MAIS. The results show that collision was the main type of accident, accounting for 62 % of all accidents, and the measures employed were proven to be effective in the sense that the risk level was much lowered and the average number of fatalities was also reduced. With more data accumulated, more precise risk level will be calculated with which the practical risk mitigating measures will be also developed. For future study, economic loss and environmental damage as consequences need to be considered.