• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation possibility

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Evaluation of Bearing Capacity of Piles in Sand Using Pile Driving Analyzer (동재하시험을 이용한 모래지반의 말뚝지지력 산정)

  • 이우진;석종수
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.145-154
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    • 1997
  • Though the static pile load tests gives the mosts accurate estimation on the load carrying capacity of tested pile, it appears time-consuming and not economical. Many test methods using equipments, such as Pile Driving Analyzer(PDA), STATNAMIC, and Osterberg cell, have been introduced in Korea, and pile best using PDA has been gaining popularity because of iris fast and simple operation. Static and dynamic tests results on the piles installed in the granular coils were analyzed to investigate the effect of geometrical damping on the estimated load carrying capacity. It was found that the CAPWAP analysis without considering geometrical damping effect underestimates the pile capacity by 30~60% under certain conditions. It was observed that the underestimation of pile capacity by CAPWAP occurs on the piles installed in the water-borne granular boils by SIP methods. When Smith skin damping value(SSkn) greater than 1.0 sec/m is obtained in CAPWAP analysis, it may reflect the large possibility of underestimation of pile capacity. The introduction of the geometircal damping option in CAPWAP analysis gives reasonable pile capacity, compared with the static pile load test results, and reduces the SSb value under 0.7 sec/m.

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Reliability-Based Design Optimization Using Akaike Information Criterion for Discrete Information (이산정보의 아카이케 정보척도를 이용한 신뢰성 기반 최적설계)

  • Lim, Woo-Chul;Lee, Tae-Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.36 no.8
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    • pp.921-927
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    • 2012
  • Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) can be used to determine the reliability of a system by means of probabilistic design criteria, i.e., the possibility of failure considering stochastic features of design variables and input parameters. To assure these criteria, various reliability analysis methods have been developed. Most of these methods assume that distribution functions are continuous. However, in real problems, because real data is often discrete in form, it is important to estimate the distributions for discrete information during reliability analysis. In this study, we employ the Akaike information criterion (AIC) method for reliability analysis to determine the best estimated distribution for discrete information and we suggest an RBDO method using AIC. Mathematical and engineering examples are illustrated to verify the proposed method.

Estimation of Rumen Gas Volume by Dilution Technique in Sheep Given Two Silages at Different Levels of Feeding

  • Sekine, J.;Kamel, Hossam E.M.;Fadel El-Seed, Abdel Nasir M.A.;Hishinuma, M.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.380-383
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    • 2003
  • The gas dilution technique was used to evaluate the possibility of estimating the volume of gaseous phase in the rumen from its composition in sheep given rice whole crop silage (RWS) or dent corn silage (DCS) at a level of maintenance (M) or 2 M, and in the course of fasting. The rumen gas composition was determined at 2 and 7.5 h after morning feeding. Nitrogen gas was injected by using an airtight syringe into the rumen immediately after collecting the rumen gas sample as a control. Then rumen gas samples were collected at 5, 10, 20, 40 and 60 min. after injection. Dry-matter intakes were $42g/kg^{0.75}$ and $57g/kg^{0.75}$ for DCS, and $36g/kg^{0.75}$ and $59g/kg^{0.75}$ for RWS, at 1 M and 2 M levels, respectively. Animals ingested both silages about 20% less than expected at 2 M level. The rumen gas composition did not differ significantly between 2 h and 7.5 h after feeding except for $N_2$. Content of $CO_2$ in gas composition was significantly higher at 2 M level than at 1 M (p<0.05) for both RWS and DCS, whereas $CH_4$ showed no significant difference between feeding levels. At both feeding levels, $CO_2$ showed a higher (p<0.05) percentage in DCS than RWS. A dilution technique by using $N_2$ injection is not appropriate for the determination of gas production in vivo, unless the rate of rumen gas turnover is considered. Changes in composition at fasting indicate that the rumen fermentation may reach the lowest level after 72 h fasting for sheep given silage as their sole diet.

Performance Evaluation System for Tow-Channel Ring-Core Flux-Gate Compass (2-체널 링-코어 프럭스-게이트 콤파스의 성능평가 시스템 개발)

  • 임정빈;김봉석
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2002
  • Design and implementation methodologies on the performance evaluation system of two-channel ring-core Flux-Gate Compass (FG-Compass) are described, with evaluation procedures and methods based on the polynomial regression models. Performance evaluation system is consists of a step motor driving unit, a bearing transmitting unit and, evaluation programs using polynomial regression formulae. Through performance evaluation tests, total residual deviation tests, total residual deviation of $\pm$4$^{\circ}$ and eigen residual deviation of $\pm$2$^{\circ}$ are obtained from the FG-Compass. The result is more accurate values than the typical FG-Compass with eigen residual deviation of $\pm$4$^{\circ}$ and is provide a possibility to develop a high performance FG-Compass. In addition, the design methodology of a smart FG-Compass with the self estimation and correction of residual deviations is also discussed.

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Net Radiation Estimation Using Flux Tower Data and Integrated Hydrological Model: For the Seolmacheon and Chungmichen Watersheds (플럭스 타워 관측 자료 및 통합수문모형을 이용한 순복사량 산정: 설마천, 청미천 유역을 대상으로)

  • Kim, Daeun;Baek, JongJin;Jung, Sung-Won;Choi, Minha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.301-314
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    • 2013
  • Spatial heterogeneous characteristics of solar radiation energy from Climate Change gives rise to energy imbalance in the general ecological system including water resources. To understand energy flow, flux towers are up and running throughout the world. In step with, in domestic major areas, there have been observed using several flux towers. In this study, downward shortwave radiation, downward long wave radiation, and net radiation that take important part in hydro-meteorology and ecology were calculated by proposed physical equations using flux data of the Seolmacheon and Choengmicheon, then, the calculated net radiation and observed net radiation were individually compared and validated. The results confirmed applicability of physical methods for insufficient hydro-meteorological data and possibility for observed data of hydro-meteorological variables.

The Study on the System to Estimate the Cost by Using Regression in the Early Stage of the Project (공사 초기단계에서의 회귀분석을 이용한 최종공사비(EAC) 추정 방법)

  • Lee, Youn-Mi;Lee, Man-Hee;Lee, Hak-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.274-277
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    • 2006
  • The EAC(Estimate at Completion) among existing methods, which estimate cost and time effectively, help managers anticipate changeable several results at the point of $15{\sim}30%$ in the project progress. However, this method may cause such some problems as not to consider the periodically changing circumstances caused by construction risks or uncertainties which can affect the cost and time in the project, and to regard collected and accumulated data only as a single value when predicting the results on the progress. Accordingly, it is very difficult to accept the even small range of variability based on the anticipation of EAC. Consequently, the study focuses on the possibility methodology to anticipate time and cost accurately on the way to utilize EVMS(Earned Value Management System), and also suggest the way to perform the right estimation of EAC as considering various risks and uncertainties in construction projects.

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A Fast Block Matching Algorithm Using Mean Absolute Error of Neighbor Search Point and Search Region Reduction (이웃 탐색점에서의 평균 절대치 오차 및 탐색영역 줄임을 이용한 고속 블록 정합 알고리듬)

  • 정원식;이법기;한찬호;권성근;장종국;이건일
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.25 no.1B
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    • pp.128-140
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we propose a fast block matching algorithm using the mean absolute error (MAE) of neighbor search point and search region reduction. The proposed algorithm is composed of two stages. At the first stage,the search region is divided into nonoverlapped 3$\times$3 areas and MAE of the center point of each area iscalculated. The minimum MAE value of all the calculated MAE's is determined as reference MAE. At thesecond stage, because the possibility that final motion vector exist near the position of reference MAE is veryhigh, we use smaller search region than first stage, And, using the MAE of center point of each area, the lowerbound of rest search point of each area is calculated and block matching process is performed only at the searchpoints that the lower bound is smaller than reference MAE. By doing so, we can significantly reduce thecomputational complexity while keep the increasement of motion estimation error small.

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Size Estimation of Microalgal System for Nitrogen Removal (미세조류를 이용한 질소제거 장치의 크기)

  • 김한욱;이우성;이철균
    • KSBB Journal
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.236-240
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    • 2004
  • Korean wastewaters have higher nitrogen concentrations than typical wastewaters of other countries. Most treatment processes such as activated sludge processes will need to supplement extra carbon sources for a complete removal of remaining nitrogen after the initial wastewater treatment, Because of these difficult matters, we have searched wastewater treatment methods that require no additional carbon sources. Wastewater treatment by microalgae in photobioreactors, using a green eukaryotic microalgae, Chlorella kessleri, showed a promising results and thus was selected to study further. This system is not intended to replace the conventional system but is to assist the existing biological treatment systems as a supplemental nitrogen removal process. Thus the secondary treated livestock wastewater was tested. Column type photobioreactors developed in our laboratory were used. When aerated with 5% CO$_2$ balanced with air at 1 vvm and illuminated at 100 ${\mu}$mol/㎡/s under 25$^{\circ}C$ and PH 7-8 by CO$_2$ buffering effect, the maximum nitrogen removal rate was 2.6 mg/L/hr. The results confirmed a possibility of microalgal wastewater treatment system as a secondary system to remove extra nitrogen sources. Based on these experimental results, the size of the optimal microalgal wastewater system was calculated. For the wastewater whose initial nitrogen concentration of 150 mg/L, the optimal batch system was found to be a 2 stage system with a combined retention time of 4.6 day. From the continuous experiments, nitrogen removal rates were examined under different dilution rates and 2 stage system was also found to be the optimal system. The combined retention time for the continuous system was 3.5 days. It is expected that conventional biological wastewater treatment systems followed by microalgal systems would reliably decrease the nitrogen concentration below the government criteria even for the livestock wastewater with low C/N ratio.

Errors in Estimated Temporal Tracer Trends Due to Changes in the Historical Observation Network: A Case Study of Oxygen Trends in the Southern Ocean

  • Min, Dong-Ha;Keller, Klaus
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2005
  • Several models predict large and potentially abrupt ocean circulation changes due to anthropogenic greenhouse-gas emissions. These circulation changes drive-in the models-considerable oceanic oxygen trend. A sound estimate of the observed oxygen trends can hence be a powerful tool to constrain predictions of future changes in oceanic deepwater formation, heat and carbon dioxide uptake. Estimating decadal scale oxygen trends is, however, a nontrivial task and previous studies have come to contradicting conclusions. One key potential problem is that changes in the historical observation network might introduce considerable errors. Here we estimate the likely magnitude of these errors for a subset of the available observations in the Southern Ocean. We test three common data analysis methods south of Australia and focus on the decadal-scale trends between the 1970's and the 1990's. Specifically, we estimate errors due to sparsely sampled observations using a known signal (the time invariant, temporally averaged, World Ocean Atlas 2001) as a negative control. The crossover analysis and the objective analysis methods are for less prone to spatial sampling location biases than the area averaging method. Subject to numerous caveats, we find that errors due to sparse sampling for the area averaging method are on the order of several micro-moles $kg^{-1}$. for the crossover and the objective analysis method, these errors are much smaller. For the analyzed example, the biases due to changes in the spatial design of the historical observation network are relatively small compared to the tends predicted by many model simulations. This raises the possibility to use historic oxygen trends to constrain model simulations, even in sparsely sampled ocean basins.

Development and Validation of Ready?Made Clothes Consumer Anxiety Scale (기성복 소비자의 구매불안척도 개발과 타당도 검증)

  • 유태준
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.216-229
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    • 1995
  • The main purpose of this study was to develop and validate a scale for measuring situation\ulcornerspecific anxiety that consumers experience while shopping for ready\ulcornerto-wear clothes. A 92 five-point items, Likert type scale, entitled the RMCCAS(The Ready\ulcornerMade Clothes Consumer Anxiety Scale) was developed and administered to 354 female college students. Data collected were subjected to a series of statistical analysis: item analysis, factor analysis, estimation of validity and reliability and descriptive statistics. A second-order factor analysis conducted to 15 factors obtained from a first-order factor analysis yieled three factors; Fitness of Fashion and Design to indiviuality and time(scale 1), Reliance on Price and Quality including Suitableness of Material and Color(scale 2), and Practicality in Dressing and Maintaining(scale 3). Obtained concurrent validity of the RMCCAS subscales with the trait anxiety were .056(subscale I), .082(subscale 2), .033(subscale 3), and .050(total scale). that with state anxiety were .421(subscale I), .217(subscale 2), .198 (subscale 3), and .407(total scale); that with the CP AS were. 721(subscale 1), .789(subscale 2), .570(subscale 3), and .841(total scale). All of the obtained coefficients of Cronbach alpha, split\ulcornerhalf reliability, and test-retested reliability over an interval of. 8 weeks were above .80. Besides, descriptive data from the RMCCAS satisfactorily supported conditions required for the normal distribution of obtained scores. In conclusion, a close exa:nination of validity, reliability, and descriptive statistics of the RMCCAS indicates that three subscales including the scale have a resonable scaling-prop\ulcornererties. Further research is suggested for obtaining norms for more representative target samples and for tapping the possibility of using subsea Ie 2 as a unidimensional measure .

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