• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation of solar radiation

Search Result 138, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Solar Radiation Estimation Technique Using Cloud Cover in Korea (운량에 의한 일사예측 기법)

  • Jo, Dok-Ki;Yun, Chang-Yeol;Kim, Kwang-Deuk;Kang, Young-Heack
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2011.11a
    • /
    • pp.232-235
    • /
    • 2011
  • Radiation data are the best source of information for estimating average incident radiation. Lacking this or data from nearby locations of similar climate, it is possible to use empirical relationships to estimate radiation from days of cloudiness. It is necessary to estimate the regression coefficients in order to predict the daily global radiation on a horizontal surface. There fore many different equations have proposed to evaluate them for certain areas. In this work a new correlation has been made to predict the solar radiation for 16 different areas over Korea by estimating the regression coefficients taking into account cloud cover. Particularly, the straight line regression model proposed shows reliable results for estimating the global radiation on a horizontal surface with monthly average deviation of-0.26 to +0.53% and each station annual average deviation of -1.61 to +1.7% from measured values.

  • PDF

Computation of daily solar radiation using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system in Illinois

  • Kim, Sungwon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2015.05a
    • /
    • pp.479-482
    • /
    • 2015
  • The objective of this study is to develop adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model for estimating daily solar radiation using limited weather variables at Champaign and Springfield stations in Illinois. The best input combinations (one, two, and three inputs) can be identified using ANFIS model. From the performance evaluation and scatter diagrams of ANFIS model, ANFIS 3 (three input) model produces the best results for both stations. Results obtained indicate that ANFIS model can successfully be used for the estimation of daily global solar radiation at Champaign and Springfield stations in Illinois. These results testify the generation capability of ANFIS model and its ability to produce accurate estimates in Illinois.

  • PDF

adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system;daily solar radiation;Illinois;limited weather variables;

  • Kim, Sungwon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2015.05a
    • /
    • pp.483-486
    • /
    • 2015
  • The objective of this study is to develop generalized regression neural networks (GRNN) model for estimating daily solar radiation using limited weather variables at Champaign and Springfield stations in Illinois. The best input combinations (one, two, and three inputs) can be identified using GRNN model. From the performance evaluation and scatter diagrams of GRNN model, GRNN 3 (three input) model produces the best results for both stations. Results obtained indicate that GRNN model can successfully be used for the estimation of daily global solar radiation at Champaign and Springfield stations in Illinois. These results testify the generation capability of GRNN model and its ability to produce accurate estimates in Illinois.

  • PDF

Proposal of Modified Correlation to Calculate the Horizontal Global Solar Irradiance for non-Measuring Cloud-cover Regions (운량 비측정 지역을 위한 수평면전일사량 예측 상관식의 수정모델 제안)

  • Cho, Min-Cheol;Kim, Jeongbae
    • Journal of Institute of Convergence Technology
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.29-33
    • /
    • 2016
  • Recently, the authors of this paper proposed newly the correlation model to calculate the horizontal global solar radiation in Korea based the Zhang-Huang (ZH) model proposed in 2002 for China. Previous study was pronounced the correlation with a new term of the duration of sunshine proved as being closely related with the hourly solar radiation in Korea into ZH model. And then another modified correlation for the regions without measuring cloud cover was proposed and evaluated the accuracy and validity for those regions. So, this study was performed to propose modified correlation to calculate the horizontal global solar irradiance of non-measuring cloud-cover regions. Finally, this study proposed the new correlation that could well predict hourly and daily total solar radiation for all regions, various seasons, and various weather conditions including overcast and clear, with higher accuracy and lower error than other models proposed ever before in Korea for non-measuring cloud-cover regions.

A novel SARMA-ANN hybrid model for global solar radiation forecasting

  • Srivastava, Rachit;Tiwaria, A.N.;Giri, V.K.
    • Advances in Energy Research
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.131-143
    • /
    • 2019
  • Global Solar Radiation (GSR) is the key element for performance estimation of any Solar Power Plant (SPP). Its forecasting may help in estimation of power production from a SPP well in advance, and may also render help in optimal use of this power. Seasonal Auto-Regressive Moving Average (SARMA) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models are combined in order to develop a hybrid model (SARMA-ANN) conceiving the characteristics of both linear and non-linear prediction models. This developed model has been used for prediction of GSR at Gorakhpur, situated in the northern region of India. The proposed model is beneficial for the univariate forecasting. Along with this model, we have also used Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA), SARMA, ANN based models for 1 - 6 day-ahead forecasting of GSR on hourly basis. It has been found that the proposed model presents least RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and produces best forecasting results among all the models considered in the present study. As an application, the comparison between the forecasted one and the energy produced by the grid connected PV plant installed on the parking stands of the University shows the superiority of the proposed model.

Solar Radiation Estimation Using Cloud Cover and Percentage of Possible Sunshine (운량과 일조율에 의한 일사예측)

  • Jo, Dok-Ki;Yun, Chang-Yeol;Kim, Kwang-Deuk;Kang, Young-Heak
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2011.05a
    • /
    • pp.67.2-67.2
    • /
    • 2011
  • It is necessary to estimate empirical constants in order to predict the monthly mean daily global radiation on a horizontal surface in the developing areas for alternative energy. Therefore many different equations have proposed to evaluate them for certain areas. In this work a new correlation has been made to predict the solar radiation for any areas over Korea by calculating the regression models taking into account latitude, percentage of possible sunshine, and cloud cover. From the results, the single linear equation proposed by using percentage of possible sunshine method shows reliable results for estimating the global radiation with average annual deviation of -3.1 to +0.6 % from measured values.

  • PDF

A Study on Accuracy Evaluation of Horizontal Global Radiation Data in Korea (국내 수평면 전일사량 데이터의 정확도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, D.K.;Chun, I.S.;Lee, T.K.
    • Solar Energy
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.31-43
    • /
    • 2000
  • The Korea Institute of Energy Research(KIER) has been collecting horizontal global radiation data since May, 1982 for 16 different locations. KIER's new data is expected to be extensively used by designer and researchers of solar systems in lieu of unreliable old ones. Unfortunately, the quality of the data has not always been properly mentioned. Some of them were taken at temporary field stations where the primary goal of the measurement was quick estimation of local solar radiation. The purpose of this study is to systematically identify errors in such data set using clear-day analysis in an effort to rehabilitate error-ridden old data. Clear-day analysis successfully uncovered solar radiation data that had questionable quality. Even through the rehabilitation process not necessarily improves the quality of data for daily or monthly mean, it can be used to improve the quality of data for monthly means of several years and the processed data can be used in various applications of solar energy with more confidence. A average ETR value of 0.63 obtained in this study is in good agreement with previous results obtained by other researchers.

  • PDF

Comparison between Solar Radiation Estimates Based on GK-2A and Himawari 8 Satellite and Observed Solar Radiation at Synoptic Weather Stations (천리안 2A호와 히마와리 8호 기반 일사량 추정값과 종관기상관측망 일사량 관측값 간의 비교)

  • Dae Gyoon Kang;Young Sang Joh;Shinwoo Hyun;Kwang Soo Kim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.28-36
    • /
    • 2023
  • Solar radiation that is measured at relatively small number of weather stations is one of key inputs to crop models for estimation of crop productivity. Solar radiation products derived from GK-2A and Himawari 8 satellite data have become available, which would allow for preparation of input data to crop models, especially for assessment of crop productivity under an agrivoltaic system where crop and power can be produced at the same time. The objective of this study was to compare the degree of agreement between the solar radiation products obtained from those satellite data. The sub hourly products for solar radiation were collected to prepare their daily summary for the period from May to October in 2020 during which both satellite products for solar radiation were available. Root mean square error (RMSE) and its normalized error (NRMSE) were determined for daily sum of solar radiation. The cumulative values of solar radiation for the study period were also compared to represent the impact of the errors for those products on crop growth simulations. It was found that the data product from the Himawari 8 satellite tended to have smaller values of RMSE and NRMSE than that from the GK-2A satellite. The Himawari 8 satellite product had smaller errors at a large number of weather stations when the cumulative solar radiation was compared with the measurements. This suggests that the use of Himawari 8 satellite products would cause less uncertainty than that of GK2-A products for estimation of crop yield. This merits further studies to apply the Himawari 8 satellites to estimation of solar power generation as well as crop yield under an agrivoltaic system.

Solar Radiation Estimation Using Cloud Cover and Hours of Bright Sunshine (운량과 일조시간에 의한 태양자원 예측)

  • Jo, Dok-Ki;Yun, Chang-Yeol;Kim, Kwang-Deuk;Kang, Young-Heack
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2012.03a
    • /
    • pp.126-129
    • /
    • 2012
  • In this work a new correlation has been made to predict the solar radiation for 16 different areas over Korea by estimating the regression coefficients taking into account cloud hours of bright sunshine. Particularly, the multiple linear regression model proposed shows reliable results for estimating the global radiation on a horizontal surface with monthly average deviation of -0.26 to +0.53% and each station annual average deviation of -1.61 to +1.7% from measured values.

  • PDF

Estimation of Solar Energy Resources for Arbitrary Areas in Korea (국내 임의의 지역에 대한 태양자원 예측)

  • Jo, Dok-ki;Yun, Chang-Yeol;Kim, Kwang-Deuk;Kang, Young-Heak
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2009.06a
    • /
    • pp.235-238
    • /
    • 2009
  • It is necessary to estimate empirical constants in order to predict the monthly mean daily global radiation on a horizontal surface in the developing areas for alternative energy. Therefore many different equations have proposed to evaluate them for certain areas. In this work a new correlation has been made to predict the solar radiation for any areas over Korea by calculating the regression models taking into account latitude, percentage of possible sunshine, and cloud cover. From the results, the single linear equation proposed by using percentage of possible sunshine method shows reliable results for estimating the global radiation with average annual deviation of -3.1 to +0.6 % from measured values

  • PDF