• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation accuracy

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Estimation of Flight Fuel Consumption Based on Flight Track Data and Its Accuracy Analysis (항적자료를 활용한 항공기 연료 소모량 추정 및 정확도 분석)

  • Park, Jang-Hoon;Ku, Sung-Kwan;Baik, Ho-Jong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2014
  • As global warming becoming an environmentally serious issue, more attention is drawn to fuel consumption which is the direct source of green house gas emission. The fuel consumption by aircraft operation is not an exception. Motivated by the societal and environmental context, this paper explains a method for estimation of aircraft fuel consumed during their flights as well as the computational process using real flight track data. Applying so-called 'Total Energy Model' along with aircraft specific parameters provided in EUROCONTROL's Base of Aircraft Data (BADA) to aircraft radar track data, we estimate fuel consumption of individual aircraft flown between Gimpo and Jeju airports. We then assess the estimation accuracy by comparing the estimated fuel consumption with the actual one collected from an airline. The computational results are quite encouraging in that the method is able to estimate the actual fuel consumption within ${\pm}6{\sim}11%$ of error margin. The limitations and possible enhancements of the method are also discussed.

Parameter Impact Applied Case-based Reasoning Cost Estimation

  • Joseph Ahn;Hyun-Soo Lee;Moonseo Park;Sae-Hyun Ji;Sooyoung Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.475-478
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    • 2013
  • To carry out a one-off construction project successfully, effective and accurate early cost estimation is crucial, especially during the conceptual stage where very limited minimum information of construction project is given. As the level of accuracy of the early cost estimation has huge impacts on precise budgeting and cost management of a project, in other words, reducing the risk of a project, cost must be managed with special awareness. In an effort to improve the estimate accuracy of cost during the conceptual stage, this research introduces a Parameter Impact (PI) which can quantify weights of parameters and rank them; and PI development derived from the principle of impulse in physics is explicated. For a case study, 76 public apartment building cases in Korea are analyzed. To examine the validity of the proposed PI, a validation in terms of CBR applicability test and estimate accuracy comparisons using 10-nearest neighbor cases are carried out. The validation results support that the suggested PI can be applied in quantifying the weights of the parameters and CBR method for early cost estimation.

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Target Length Estimation of Target by Scattering Center Number Estimation Methods (산란점 수 추정방법에 따른 표적의 길이 추정)

  • Lee, Jae-In;Yoo, Jong-Won;Kim, Nammoon;Jung, Kwangyong;Seo, Dong-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.543-551
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we introduce a method to improve the accuracy of the length estimation of targets using a radar. The HRRP (High Resolution Range Profile) obtained from a received radar signal represents the one-dimensional scattering characteristics of a target, and peaks of the HRRP means the scattering centers that strongly scatter electromagnetic waves. By using the extracted scattering centers, the downrange length of the target, which is the length in the RLOS (Radar Line of Sight), can be estimated, and the real length of the target should be estimated considering the angle between the target and the RLOS. In order to improve the accuracy of the length estimation, parametric estimation methods, which extract scattering centers more exactly than the method using the HRRP, can be used. The parametric estimation method is applied after the number of scattering centers is determined, and is thus greatly affected by the accuracy of the number of scattering centers. In this paper, in order to improve the accuracy of target length estimation, the number of scattering centers is estimated by using AIC (Akaike Information Criteria), MDL (Minimum Descriptive Length), and GLE (Gerschgorin Likelihood Estimators), which are the source number estimation methods based on information theoretic criteria. Using the ESPRIT algorithm as a parameter estimation method, a length estimation simulation was performed for simple target CAD models, and the GLE method represented excellent performance in estimating the number of scattering centers and estimating the target length.

An Average-Weighted Angle of Arrival Parameter Estimation Technique for Wireless Positioning based on IEEE 802.15.3a (IEEE 802.15.3a 기반의 무선 위치인식을 위한 평균가중 신호 도착방향 매개변수 추정 기법)

  • Baang, Sung-Keun;Lee, Yong-Up
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.35 no.5C
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    • pp.472-478
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    • 2010
  • In the environment of wireless communication system of IEEE 802.15.3a UWB standard, the angle of arrival(AOA) estimation technique for the indoor wireless positioning algorithms, based on the AOA parameter estimation which fits well for the wireless communication channel and shows high estimation accuracy, is proposed. After the UWB signal model, based on the IEEE 802.1.3a standard, is constructed, the average weighted MUSIC technique is proposed, which shows better estimation accuracy than those of conventional estimation technique. Through the simulation studies, the environment of the indoor wireless positioning system including the IEEE 802.15.3a channel is configured and we demonstrate better estimation results by the proposed AOA estimation technique than those from the conventional method.

AdaMM-DepthNet: Unsupervised Adaptive Depth Estimation Guided by Min and Max Depth Priors for Monocular Images

  • Bello, Juan Luis Gonzalez;Kim, Munchurl
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 2020.11a
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    • pp.252-255
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    • 2020
  • Unsupervised deep learning methods have shown impressive results for the challenging monocular depth estimation task, a field of study that has gained attention in recent years. A common approach for this task is to train a deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) via an image synthesis sub-task, where additional views are utilized during training to minimize a photometric reconstruction error. Previous unsupervised depth estimation networks are trained within a fixed depth estimation range, irrespective of its possible range for a given image, leading to suboptimal estimates. To overcome this suboptimal limitation, we first propose an unsupervised adaptive depth estimation method guided by minimum and maximum (min-max) depth priors for a given input image. The incorporation of min-max depth priors can drastically reduce the depth estimation complexity and produce depth estimates with higher accuracy. Moreover, we propose a novel network architecture for adaptive depth estimation, called the AdaMM-DepthNet, which adopts the min-max depth estimation in its front side. Intensive experimental results demonstrate that the adaptive depth estimation can significantly boost up the accuracy with a fewer number of parameters over the conventional approaches with a fixed minimum and maximum depth range.

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Influences of Energy Production Estimation Errors on Project Feasibility Indicators of a Wind Project and Critical Factor Analysis by AHP (풍력발전사업 에너지생산량 산정 오차가 사업성지표에 미치는 영향 및 AHP를 이용한 중요인자 분석)

  • Kim, Youngkyung;Chang, Byungman
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • Case studies are made to investigate the relationship between the accuracy of energy production estimation and project feasibility indicators such as rate of return on equity (ROE) and debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) for three wind farm projects. It is found out that 1% improvement in the accuracy of energy production estimation may enhance the ROE by more than 0.5% in the case of P95, thanks to improved financing terms. AHP survey shows that MCP correlation of measured in situ wind data with long term wind speed distribution and hands-on experiences of flow analysis are more important than other factors for more precise annual energy production estimation.

Improved Yaw-angle Estimation Filter as a Function of the Actual Maneuvers for a Cleaning Robot (주행조건 식별을 이용한 로봇청소기의 진행각 추정을 위한 향상된 필터설계)

  • Cho, Yoon Hee;Lee, Sang Cheol;Hong, Sung Kyung
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.470-476
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposes a practical algorithm for the reduction of measurement errors due to drift in a micro-electromechanical system (MEMS) gyros that are used for a mobile robot. Any drift in a MEMS gyro will cause an unbounded growth of errors in the estimation of heading, which makes it nearly useless in applications that require high accuracy over a long operating time. In proposed method, maneuvers of a cleaning robot are observed through encoders' measurement process and a decision to correct bias drift will be made if necessary. The method used in this paper is called the "heading estimation filter". To evaluate the accuracy of the proposed method, a comparison was made between the estimation of the heading of the cleaning robot and one from a motion capture system.

A Study on the EHP Estimation and Design Procedure of Small Fishing Boat's Hull Form (소형어선(小型漁船)의 유효마력추정(有效馬力推定) 및 선형설계법(船型設計法))

  • Young-Gill,Lee
    • Bulletin of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1984
  • The computer programs of effective horsepower estimation of small fishing boat were developed, which was based on the statistical analysis of model test results. From the EHP estimation by these program and experimental model tests of practical fishing boats, the estimation accuracy was verified with maximum deviation of about 10 percent. Also, the EHP estimation accuracy was practically applied to initial design of four small fishing boats, and after the tank tests, the EHP reduction of the order of 15 to 25 percent was confirmed, as compared with existing ships. Moreover, a computer aided design procedure of fishing boat's hull form has been proposed in this study. The practical use of this procedure of fishing boat's hull form has been proposed in this study. The practical use of this procedure was demonstrated with the hull form design results of several fishing boats.

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Improved Attenuation Estimation of Ultrasonic Signals Using Frequency Compounding Method

  • Kim, Hyungsuk;Shim, Jaeyoon;Heo, Seo Weon
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.430-437
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    • 2018
  • Ultrasonic attenuation is an important parameter in Quantitative Ultrasound and many algorithms have been proposed to improve estimation accuracy and repeatability for multiple independent estimates. In this work, we propose an improved algorithm for estimating ultrasonic attenuation utilizing the optimal frequency compounding technique based on stochastic noise model. We formulate mathematical compounding equations in the AWGN channel model and solve optimization problems to maximize the signal-to-noise ratio for multiple frequency components. Individual estimates are calculated by the reference phantom method which provides very stable results in uniformly attenuating regions. We also propose the guideline to select frequency ranges of reflected RF signals. Simulation results using numerical phantoms show that the proposed optimal frequency compounding method provides improved accuracy while minimizing estimation bias. The estimation variance is reduced by only 16% for the un-compounding case, whereas it is reduced by 68% for the uniformly compounding case. The frequency range corresponding to the half-power for reflected signals also provides robust and efficient estimation performance.

A New Estimation Model for Wireless Sensor Networks Based on the Spatial-Temporal Correlation Analysis

  • Ren, Xiaojun;Sug, HyonTai;Lee, HoonJae
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2015
  • The estimation of missing sensor values is an important problem in sensor network applications, but the existing approaches have some limitations, such as the limitations of application scope and estimation accuracy. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a new estimation model based on a spatial-temporal correlation analysis (STCAM). STCAM can make full use of spatial and temporal correlations and can recognize whether the sensor parameters have a spatial correlation or a temporal correlation, and whether the missing sensor data are continuous. According to the recognition results, STCAM can choose one of the most suitable algorithms from among linear interpolation algorithm of temporal correlation analysis (TCA-LI), multiple regression algorithm of temporal correlation analysis (TCA-MR), spatial correlation analysis (SCA), spatial-temporal correlation analysis (STCA) to estimate the missing sensor data. STCAM was evaluated over Intel lab dataset and a traffic dataset, and the simulation experiment results show that STCAM has good estimation accuracy.