• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation Performance

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A Study on the Effect of Technology Readiness Level and Commercialization Activities on the Success of Technology Commercialization: Focusing on Public Technology (기술사업화 성공에 대한 기술성숙도 및 사업화 활동의 영향에 관한 연구: 공공기술을 중심으로)

  • Shin, Yoonmi;Bong, Kang Ho;Park, Jaemin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.197-206
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    • 2021
  • There is growing interest in the function and role of public research institutes as "entrepreneurial actors" that can contribute to industrial development by commercializing excellent research outputs. On the other hand, their performance in the commercialization phase is insufficient because of the insufficient technological technology readiness level or repeatability. This study conducted probit model analysis to examine the effect of the technology readiness level and commercialization activities on the success of technology commercialization. The results showed that the possibility of success in technology commercialization increased with increasing TRL at the time of acquisition. In addition, the difference between the TRL at the time of acquisition and the current TRL (TRL Gap) does not affect technology commercialization on its own. It generates additional effects in conjunction with the TRL at the time of acquisition. Finally, the results show that technology commercialization is most likely to succeed if technology with a TRL 4-6 level is improved to TRL 9 level through a marginal effect estimation.

Statistical Analysis of Extreme Values of Financial Ratios (재무비율의 극단치에 대한 통계적 분석)

  • Joo, Jihwan
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.247-268
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    • 2021
  • Investors mainly use PER and PBR among financial ratios for valuation and investment decision-making. I conduct an analysis of two basic financial ratios from a statistical perspective. Financial ratios contain key accounting numbers which reflect firm fundamentals and are useful for valuation or risk analysis such as enterprise credit evaluation and default prediction. The distribution of financial data tends to be extremely heavy-tailed, and PER and PBR show exceedingly high level of kurtosis and their extreme cases often contain significant information on financial risk. In this respect, Extreme Value Theory is required to fit its right tail more precisely. I introduce not only GPD but exGPD. GPD is conventionally preferred model in Extreme Value Theory and exGPD is log-transformed distribution of GPD. exGPD has recently proposed as an alternative of GPD(Lee and Kim, 2019). First, I conduct a simulation for comparing performances of the two distributions using the goodness of fit measures and the estimation of 90-99% percentiles. I also conduct an empirical analysis of Information Technology firms in Korea. Finally, exGPD shows better performance especially for PBR, suggesting that exGPD could be an alternative for GPD for the analysis of financial ratios.

Detection of Drought Stress in Soybean Plants using RGB-based Vegetation Indices (RGB 작물 생육지수를 활용한 콩 한발 스트레스 판별기술 평가)

  • Sang, Wan-Gyu;Kim, Jun-Hwan;Baek, Jae-Kyeong;Kwon, Dongwon;Ban, Ho-Young;Cho, Jung-Il;Seo, Myung-Chul
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.340-348
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    • 2021
  • Continuous monitoring of RGB (Red, Green, Blue) vegetation indices is important to apply remote sensing technology for the estimation of crop growth. In this study, we evaluated the performance of eight vegetation indices derived from soybean RGB images with various agronomic parameters under drought stress condition. Drought stress influenced the behavior of various RGB vegetation indices related soybean canopy architecture and leaf color. In particular, reported vegetation indices such as ExGR (Excessive green index minus excess red index), Ipca (Principal Component Analysis Index), NGRDI (Normalized Green Red Difference Index), VARI (Visible Atmospherically Resistance Index), SAVI (Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index) were effective tools in obtaining canopy coverage and leaf chlorophyll content in soybean field. In addition, the RGB vegetation indices related to leaf color responded more sensitively to drought stress than those related to canopy coverage. The PLS-DA (Partial Squares-Discriminant Analysis) results showed that the separation of RGB vegetation indices was distinct by drought stress. The results, yet preliminary, display the potential of applying vegetation indices based on RGB images as a tool for monitoring crop environmental stress.

Linear programming models using a Dantzig type risk for portfolio optimization (Dantzig 위험을 사용한 포트폴리오 최적화 선형계획법 모형)

  • Ahn, Dayoung;Park, Seyoung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.229-250
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    • 2022
  • Since the publication of Markowitz's (1952) mean-variance portfolio model, research on portfolio optimization has been conducted in many fields. The existing mean-variance portfolio model forms a nonlinear convex problem. Applying Dantzig's linear programming method, it was converted to a linear form, which can effectively reduce the algorithm computation time. In this paper, we proposed a Dantzig perturbation portfolio model that can reduce management costs and transaction costs by constructing a portfolio with stable and small (sparse) assets. The average return and risk were adjusted according to the purpose by applying a perturbation method in which a certain part is invested in the existing benchmark and the rest is invested in the assets proposed as a portfolio optimization model. For a covariance estimation, we proposed a Gaussian kernel weight covariance that considers time-dependent weights by reflecting time-series data characteristics. The performance of the proposed model was evaluated by comparing it with the benchmark portfolio with 5 real data sets. Empirical results show that the proposed portfolios provide higher expected returns or lower risks than the benchmark. Further, sparse and stable asset selection was obtained in the proposed portfolios.

A Study on the Development of Sharing Taxi Service Platform and Economic Value Estimation (공유택시 서비스 플랫폼 개발과 경제적 가치추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Min Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is two things. First, it is to develop and demonstrate a sharong taxi platform. To this end, the implications for platform development were derived by analyzing consumers' perceptions of existing taxi services using IPA. As a result, abnormal business activities and safe services in the maintenance area were found to be safe rides and easy rides in the key improvement area. Safety such as usage fee level and driver information provision were derived in the areas subject to improvement, and friendly response and internal and external cleanliness were derived in the areas of excessive investment. The second purpose of this study is to estimate the value given to users for sharing taxi service platforms using the CVM. As a result of estimating the value of the demonstration service of the shared taxi platform developed through this study, the WTP was 3,621 won/per household/per year when expanding throughout Gimhae-si, and 2,515 won/per household/per year. Compared to the willingness to pay for empirical services, only 69.5% of the willingness to pay for the spread project in Gimhae-si. This is the result of a combination of service spread to an unspecified number of people and concerns about service quality due to spatial expansion. This suggests that it is necessary to build data through continuous demonstration and to carefully build a roadmap for spread by upgrading services based on this.

Comparison of Artificial Intelligence Multitask Performance using Object Detection and Foreground Image (물체탐색과 전경영상을 이용한 인공지능 멀티태스크 성능 비교)

  • Jeong, Min Hyuk;Kim, Sang-Kyun;Lee, Jin Young;Choo, Hyon-Gon;Lee, HeeKyung;Cheong, Won-Sik
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.308-317
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    • 2022
  • Researches are underway to efficiently reduce the size of video data transmitted and stored in the image analysis process using deep learning-based machine vision technology. MPEG (Moving Picture Expert Group) has newly established a standardization project called VCM (Video Coding for Machine) and is conducting research on video encoding for machines rather than video encoding for humans. We are researching a multitask that performs various tasks with one image input. The proposed pipeline does not perform all object detection of each task that should precede object detection, but precedes it only once and uses the result as an input for each task. In this paper, we propose a pipeline for efficient multitasking and perform comparative experiments on compression efficiency, execution time, and result accuracy of the input image to check the efficiency. As a result of the experiment, the capacity of the input image decreased by more than 97.5%, while the accuracy of the result decreased slightly, confirming the possibility of efficient multitasking.

Learning Method for Regression Model by Analysis of Relationship Between Input and Output Data with Periodicity (주기성을 갖는 입출력 데이터의 연관성 분석을 통한 회귀 모델 학습 방법)

  • Kim, Hye-Jin;Park, Ye-Seul;Lee, Jung-Won
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.299-306
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    • 2022
  • In recent, sensors embedded in robots, equipment, and circuits have become common, and research for diagnosing device failures by learning measured sensor data is being actively conducted. This failure diagnosis study is divided into a classification model for predicting failure situations or types and a regression model for numerically predicting failure conditions. In the case of a classification model, it simply checks the presence or absence of a failure or defect (Class), whereas a regression model has a higher learning difficulty because it has to predict one value among countless numbers. So, the reason that regression modeling is more difficult is that there are many irregular situations in which it is difficult to determine one output from a similar input when predicting by matching input and output. Therefore, in this paper, we focus on input and output data with periodicity, analyze the input/output relationship, and secure regularity between input and output data by performing sliding window-based input data patterning. In order to apply the proposed method, in this study, current and temperature data with periodicity were collected from MMC(Modular Multilevel Converter) circuit system and learning was carried out using ANN. As a result of the experiment, it was confirmed that when a window of 2% or more of one cycle was applied, performance of 97% or more of fit could be secured.

Estimation of Onion Leaf Appearance by Beta Distribution (Beta 함수 기반 기온에 따른 양파의 잎 수 증가 예측)

  • Lee, Seong Eun;Moon, Kyung Hwan;Shin, Min Ji;Kim, Byeong Hyeok
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.78-82
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    • 2022
  • Phenology determines the timing of crop development, and the timing of phenological events is strongly influenced by the temperature during the growing season. In process-based model, leaf area is simulated dynamically by coupling of morphology and phenology module. Therefore, the prediction of leaf appearance rate and final leaf number affects the performance of whole crop model. The dataset for the model equation was collected from SPA R chambers with five different temperature treatments. Beta distribution function (proposed by Yan and Hunt (1999)) was used for describing the leaf appearance rate as a function of temperature. The optimum temperature and the critical value were estimated to be 26.0℃ and 35.3℃, respectively. For evaluation of the model, the accumulated number of onion leaves observed in a temperature gradient chamber was compared with model estimates. The model estimate is the result of accumulating the daily increase in the number of onion leaves obtained by inputting the daily mean temperature during the growing season into the temperature model. In this study, the coefficient of determination (R2) and RMSE value of the model were 0.95 and 0.89, respectively.

Development of TDR-based Water Leak Detection Sensor for Seawater Pipeline of Ship (시간영역반사계를 이용한 해수배관시스템의 누수 탐지용 센서 개발 연구)

  • Hwang, Hyun-Kyu;Shin, Dong-Ho;Kim, Heon-Hui;Lee, Jung-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1044-1053
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    • 2022
  • Time domain reflectometry (TDR) is a diagnostic technique to evaluate the physical integrity of cable and finds application in leak detection and localization of piping system. In this study, a cable-shaped leak detection sensor was proposed using the TDR technique for monitoring leakage detection of ship's engine room seawater piping system. The cable sensor was developed using a twisted pair arrangement and wound by an absorbent material. The availability and performance of the sensor for leak detection and localization were evaluated on a lab-scale pipeline set up. The developed sensor was installed onto the pipes and flanges of the lab-scale set up and various TDR waveforms were acquired and analyzed according to the dif erent variables including the number of twists and sheath thickness. The result indicated that the twisted cable sensor was able to produce clear and smooth signal as compared to the TDR sensor with a parallel arrangement. The optimal number of twist was determined to be above 10 per the unit length. The optimal diameter of sheath thickness that results in the desired sensitivity was determined to be ranging from 80% up to 120% of the diameter of the conductor. The linear regression analysis for estimation of leak localization was carried out to estimate the location of the leakage, and the result was a determination coefficient of 0.9998, indicating a positive relationship with the actual leakage point. The proposed TDR based leak detection method appears to be an effective method for monitoring leakage of ship's seawater piping system.

Cloud Detection from Sentinel-2 Images Using DeepLabV3+ and Swin Transformer Models (DeepLabV3+와 Swin Transformer 모델을 이용한 Sentinel-2 영상의 구름탐지)

  • Kang, Jonggu;Park, Ganghyun;Kim, Geunah;Youn, Youjeong;Choi, Soyeon;Lee, Yangwon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.6_2
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    • pp.1743-1747
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    • 2022
  • Sentinel-2 can be used as proxy data for the Korean Compact Advanced Satellite 500-4 (CAS500-4), also known as Agriculture and Forestry Satellite, in terms of spectral wavelengths and spatial resolution. This letter examined cloud detection for later use in the CAS500-4 based on deep learning technologies. DeepLabV3+, a traditional Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model, and Shifted Windows (Swin) Transformer, a state-of-the-art (SOTA) Transformer model, were compared using 22,728 images provided by Radiant Earth Foundation (REF). Swin Transformer showed a better performance with a precision of 0.886 and a recall of 0.875, which is a balanced result, unbiased between over- and under-estimation. Deep learning-based cloud detection is expected to be a future operational module for CAS500-4 through optimization for the Korean Peninsula.