• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation Models

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Study on the Stability Estimation Method of Small Fishing Vessels at the Initial Design Step (초기설계 단계에서 소형 어선의 복원성 추정 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Hwe-Woo Kim;Sanghyun Kim;Sun-Woo Lee;Hyogeun Lee;In-Tae Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.863-870
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    • 2023
  • Ship capsize accidents are common in coastal waters, particularly involving small fishing boats. To prevent there overturing accidents in small fishing boats, their stabilities must be assessed at the initial design step. However, the available information during the initial design step is limited, posing challenges in performing a reliable stability evaluation. Therefore, this study presents a plan to estimate the transverse metacenter (GM) of small fishing boats using parameters such as KM, KG, and TRIM that can be determined at the initial design step. Stability was evaluated by comparing GM with the minimum transverse metacenter (GMmin) specified in the standard safety evaluation criteria for fishing boats. To calculate the required trim value for hydrostatic characteristics using K-SHIP, a stability assessment program provided by the Korea Maritime Safety and Transportation Corporation, the initial trim state is estimated based on the ship lines using the commercial CFD program STAR-CCM+. GM is then calculated by assessing the hydrostatic characteristics in relation to the boat lines using K-SHIP. Furthermore, the stability of the fully loaded state is compared by subtrcating GM from GMmin. One constructed ship is designated as the standard ship, and the stability assessment method proposed in this study is applied to evaluate stability and validate its effectiveness. Consequently, the representative line of a 4.99-ton fishing boat and nine modular lines models derived from it were evaluated, ultimately identifying a relatively superior stability.

Estimation of the Amount of Mining and Waste Rocks at Musan Mine in North Korea Using a Historical Map and SRTM and Copernicus Global Digital Elevation Models (조선지형도와 SRTM 및 Copernicus 글로벌 수치지형모델을 이용한 북한 무산광산의 채광량 및 폐석 적치량 추정)

  • Yongjae Chu;Hoonyol Lee
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.5_1
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    • pp.495-505
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    • 2023
  • The Musan mine, situated in Musan County, Hamgyong Province, North Korea, stands as a prominent open-pit iron mine on the Korean Peninsula. This study focuses on estimating the mining and dumping activities within the Musan mine area by analyzing digital elevation model (DEM) changes. To calculate the long-term volume changes in the Musan mine, we digitized and converted the 1:200,000-scale third topographic map of the Joseon published in 1918 and compared with interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) DEMs, including Shuttle Radar Topography Mission DEM (2000) and Copernicus DEM (2011-2015). The findings reveal that over a century, Musan mine yielded around 1.37 billion tons of iron ore, while approximately 1.06 billion tons of waste rock were dumped. This study is particularly significant as it utilizes a historical topographic map predating the full-scale development of Musan mine to estimate a century's mining production and waste rock deposition. It is expected that this research provides valuable insights for future investigation of surface change of North Korea where the acquisition of in situ data remains challenging.

Estimation of Bridge Vehicle Loading using CCTV images and Deep Learning (CCTV 영상과 딥러닝을 이용한 교량통행 차량하중 추정)

  • Suk-Kyoung Bae;Wooyoung Jeong;Soohyun Choi;Byunghyun Kim;Soojin Cho
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.10-18
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    • 2024
  • Vehicle loading is one of the main causes of bridge deterioration. Although WiM (Weigh in Motion) can be used to measure vehicle loading on a bridge, it has disadvantage of high installation and maintenance cost due to its contactness. In this study, a non-contact method is proposed to estimate the vehicle loading history of bridges using deep learning and CCTV images. The proposed method recognizes the vehicle type using an object detection deep learning model and estimates the vehicle loading based on the load-based vehicle type classification table developed using the weights of empty vehicles of major domestic vehicle models. Faster R-CNN, an object detection deep learning model, was trained using vehicle images classified by the classification table. The performance of the model is verified using images of CCTVs on actual bridges. Finally, the vehicle loading history of an actual bridge was obtained for a specific time by continuously estimating the vehicle loadings on the bridge using the proposed method.

Estimation of Structural Properties from the Measurements of Phase Velocity and Attenuation Coefficient in Trabecular Bone (해면질골에서 위상속도 및 감쇠계수 측정에 의한 구조적 특성 평가)

  • Lee, Kang-Il
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.28 no.7
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    • pp.661-667
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    • 2009
  • Trabecular-bone-mimicking phantoms consisting of parallel-nylon-wire arrays were used to investigate correlations of phase velocity and attenuation coefficient with structural properties in trabecular bone. Trabecular separation (Tb.Sp) of the 7 trabecular-bone-mimicking phantoms ranged from 300 to $900\;{\mu}m$ and volume fraction (VF) from 1.6% to 8.7%. Phase velocity and attenuation coefficient of the phantoms were measured by using a through-transmission method in water, with a matched pair of broadband unfocused transducers with a diameter of 12.7 mm and a center frequency of 1 MHz. Phase velocity and attenuation coefficient at 1 MHz decreased almost linearly with increasing Tb. Sp and increased almost linearly with increasing VF. The simple and multiple linear regression models with phase velocity and attenuation coefficient as independent vanables and Tb.Sp and VF as dependent variables demonstrated that the coefficients of determination for the prediction of VF were higher than those for the prediction of Tb.Sp. The results obtained in the trabecular-bone-mimicking phantoms consisting of parallel-nylon-wire arrays were consistent with those in human trabecular bone suggesting that the structural properties can be estimated from the measurements of phase velocity and attenuation coefficient in trabecular bone.

Estimation of Frost Occurrence using Multi-Input Deep Learning (다중 입력 딥러닝을 이용한 서리 발생 추정)

  • Yongseok Kim;Jina Hur;Eung-Sup Kim;Kyo-Moon Shim;Sera Jo;Min-Gu Kang
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2024
  • In this study, we built a model to estimate frost occurrence in South Korea using single-input deep learning and multi-input deep learning. Meteorological factors used as learning data included minimum temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, cloud cover, and precipitation. As a result of statistical analysis for each factor on days when frost occurred and days when frost did not occur, significant differences were found. When evaluating the frost occurrence models based on single-input deep learning and multi-input deep learning model, the model using both GRU and MLP was highest accuracy at 0.8774 on average. As a result, it was found that frost occurrence model adopting multi-input deep learning improved performance more than using MLP, LSTM, GRU respectively.

Prognostic Value of Tumor Regression Grade on MR in Rectal Cancer: A Large-Scale, Single-Center Experience

  • Heera Yoen;Hye Eun Park;Se Hyung Kim;Jeong Hee Yoon;Bo Yun Hur;Jae Seok Bae;Jung Ho Kim;Hyeon Jeong Oh;Joon Koo Han
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.21 no.9
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    • pp.1065-1076
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    • 2020
  • Objective: To determine the prognostic value of MRI-based tumor regression grading (mrTRG) in rectal cancer compared with pathological tumor regression grading (pTRG), and to assess the effect of diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) on interobserver agreement for evaluating mrTRG. Materials and Methods: Between 2007 and 2016, we retrospectively enrolled 321 patients (male:female = 208:113; mean age, 60.2 years) with rectal cancer who underwent both pre-chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and post-CRT MRI. Two radiologists independently determined mrTRG using a 5-point grading system with and without DWI in a one-month interval. Two pathologists graded pTRG using a 5-point grading system in consensus. Kaplan-Meier estimation and Cox-proportional hazard models were used for survival analysis. Cohen's kappa analysis was used to determine interobserver agreement. Results: According to mrTRG on MRI with DWI, there were 6 mrTRG 1, 48 mrTRG 2, 109 mrTRG 3, 152 mrTRG 4, and 6 mrTRG 5. By pTRG, there were 7 pTRG 1, 59 pTRG 2, 180 pTRG 3, 73 pTRG 4, and 2 pTRG 5. A 5-year overall survival (OS) was significantly different according to the 5-point grading mrTRG (p = 0.024) and pTRG (p = 0.038). The 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) was significantly different among the five mrTRG groups (p = 0.039), but not among the five pTRG groups (p = 0.072). OS and DFS were significantly different according to post-CRT MR variables: extramural venous invasion after CRT (hazard ratio = 2.259 for OS, hazard ratio = 5.011 for DFS) and extramesorectal lymph node (hazard ratio = 2.610 for DFS). For mrTRG, k value between the two radiologists was 0.309 (fair agreement) without DWI and slightly improved to 0.376 with DWI. Conclusion: mrTRG may predict OS and DFS comparably or even better compared to pTRG. The addition of DWI on T2-weighted MRI may improve interobserver agreement on mrTRG.

A Study on the Intercity Mode Choice Behavior of Daegu Citizens According to the Introduction of Gyeongbu High-Speed Railway (경부 고속철도 개통에 따른 대구시민의 지역 간 통행수단 선택행태 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Dae-Sik;Yuk, Tae-Suk;Kim, Sang-Hwang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.1 s.87
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2006
  • After the first opening of the KTX in April 2004, travel time between major cities has been dramatically reduced. The reduction rates range from 32% to 47%. Considering travel time reduction between major cities, this study concerned about the intercity travel impact of the KTX operation. This study aimed to analyze intercity mode choice behavior of Daegu Citizens according to the first opening of the KTX. This study takes place in two sections. These are (i) the section of KTX between Daegu and Seoul, and (ii) the section of KTX between Daegu and Daejeon. This study estimated empirical models for analyzing intercity mode choice behavior according to the first opening of the KTX. This study makes use of the data from travel survey from Daegu metropolitan area. The main part of the survey was carried out in the KTX Dong-Daegu station. The survey data includes the information on travel from Daegu to Daejeon and from Daegu to Seoul. In order to analyze intercity choice behavior according to the frist opening of the KTX, multinomial model structure is used. For the model specification, a variety of behavioral assumptions about the factors which affect the mode choice, were considered. From the empirical model estimation, it is found that OVTT(Out-of-Vehicle Travel Time), OVTC(Out-of-Vehicle Travel Cost), IVTT(In-Vehicle Travel Time), IVTC(In-Vehicle Travel Cost), travel frequency, travel purpose, sex, age, occupation. household income, individual income are significant in choosing intercity travel mode. However, it is found that the intercity nde choice behavior is different between (i) the section of KTX between Daegu and Seoul, and (ii) the section of KTX between Daegu and Daejeon. Furthermore, some policy implications are discussed in conclusion.

The Comparison of Existing Synthetic Unit Hydrograph Method in Korea (국내 기존 합성단위도 방법의 비교)

  • Jeong, Seong-Won;Mun, Jang-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.659-672
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    • 2001
  • Generally, design flood for a hydraulic structure is estimated using statistical analysis of runoff data. However, due to the lack of runoff data, it is difficult that the statistical method is applied for estimation of design flood. In this case, the synthetic unit hydrograph method is used generally and the models such as NYMO method, Snyder method, SCS method, and HYMO method have been widely used in Korea. In this study, these methods and KICT method, which is developed in year 2000, are compared and analyzed in 10 study areas. Firstly, peak flow and peak time of representative unit hydrograph and synthetic unit hydrograph in study area are compared, and secondly, the shape of unit hydrograph is compared using a root mean square error(RMSE). In Nakayasu method developed in Japan, synthetic unit hydrograph is very different from peak flow, peak time, and the shape of representative unit hydrograph, and KICT method(2000) is superior to others. Also, KICT method(2000) is superior to others in the aspects of using hydrologic and topographical data. Therefore, Nakayasu method is not a proper in hydrological practice. Moreover, it is considered that KICT model is a better method for the estimation of design flood. However, if other model, i.e. SCS method, Nakayasu method, and HYMO method, is used, parameters or regression equations must be adjusted by analysis of real data in Korea.

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Relationship between the Aboveground Vegetation Structure and Fine Roots of the Topsoil in the Burnt Forest Areas, Korea (산화적지에서 지상부 식생구조와 표토에 분포하는 세근의 관계)

  • Lee, Kyu-Song;Park, Sang-Deog
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2005
  • This study was conducted to elucidate the relationship between the aboveground vegetation structure and fine roots of the topsoil (<15m), and thereafter to obtain the regression models for the estimation of the fine roots of the topsoil using the aboveground vegetation values in the burned forest areas, Korea. The FRT (fine roots of the top soil) as well as the aboveground vegetation structure showed spatial variation in the earlier successional stages after forest fire. The fine roots (<2 mm) of the topsoil in the earlier successional stages than the first 3 year after forest fire showed the range from 3 to 166 g $DM/m^2$. The FRT in the naturally regenerated sites and planted sites after forest fire was closely correlated with the vegetation indices, especially lvc, representing the development status of the aboveground vegetation. The FRT in the terrace seeding work sites after forest fire was closely correlated with year elapsed after terrace seeding work. The FRT in the terrace seeding work sites showed the much higher values because of the vigorous growth of grass species than the other sites. In the naturally regenerated sites, the FRT showed the parabola form according to the increment of aboveground vegetation value (Ivc). Although the aboveground vegetation value (Ivc) showed a tendency to increase logarithmically during the secondary succession after forest fire, the estimated fine roots of the topsoil was depicted the parabola form showing the gradual increment until the first 15 years and slight decrease thereafter. Decrease of FRT in the later successional stage showing the high vegetation value may be caused by increment of the woody species contribution to the vegetation value (Ivc). Our results represented that the aboveground vegetation value (Ivc) can be used to the estimation of the fine roots of the topsoil in burned forest areas.

Biomass, Net Production and Biomass Estimation Equations in Some Natural Quercus Forests (주요 참나무류 천연림(天然林)의 물질생산(物質生産) 및 현존량추정식(現存量推定式)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Park, In Hyeop;Moon, Gwang Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.83 no.2
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    • pp.246-253
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    • 1994
  • Four Quercus forests in Mt. Mohu were studied to investigate biomass, net production and effective biomass estimation method. Five $10m{\times}10m$ quadrats were set up, ten sample trees were cut and roots of three sample trees were excavated for dimension analysis in each forest. There was little difference in accuracy among three allometric biomass regression models of logWt=A+BlogD, $logWt=A+BlogD^2H$ and logWt=A+BlogD+ClogH, where Wt, D and H were dry weight, DBH and height, respectively. Analysis of covariance showed that there were no significant differences among slopes and intercepts of allometric biomass regressions, logWt=A+BlogD, of four Quercus species. Biomass of Q. acutissima, Q. nariabilis, Q. serrata and Q. mongolica forests were 164.0, 158.9, 115.3 and 118.9t/ha, respectively. Net production of Q. acutissima, Q. variabilis. Q. serrata and Q. mongolica forests were 25.0, 23.2, 14.5 and 12.6t/ha/yr., respectively. The proportion of roots to total biomass and total net production of Q. mongolica forest was higher than that of three other species forests. Net assimilation ratio of Q. acutissima, Q. variabilis, Q. serrata and Q. mongolica forests were 2.87, 2.80, 3.20 and 2.95, respectively. Relatively less leaf biomass of Q. serrata and Q. mongolica forests were the reason why total biomass and total net production of Q. serrata and Q. mongolica forests were less than those of Q. acutissima and Q. variabilis.

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