• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimation Errors

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지수형과 로그형 위험함수 학습효과에 근거한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장모형에 관한 비교연구 (The Comparative Study of NHPP Software Reliability Model Exponential and Log Shaped Type Hazard Function from the Perspective of Learning Effects)

  • 김희철
    • 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2012
  • In this study, software products developed in the course of testing, software managers in the process of testing software test and test tools for effective learning effects perspective has been studied using the NHPP software. The finite failure nonhomogeneous Poisson process models presented and the life distribution applied exponential and log shaped type hazard function. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is greater than autonomous errors-detected factor that is generally efficient model could be confirmed. This paper, a failure data analysis of applying using time between failures and parameter estimation using maximum likelihood estimation method, after the efficiency of the data through trend analysis model selection were efficient using the mean square error and coefficient of determination.

신뢰성 확률지의 전산화에 관한 연구 (Ⅵ) (Studies on the Computerization of Reliability Paper (Ⅵ))

  • 정수일
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제22권50호
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    • pp.373-380
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    • 1999
  • This paper summerizes the former 5 papers that studied computer programming for the estimation of the Weibull, Extreme value, Hazard, Normal and Log-normal parameters which have a close relation with the reliability of the various kinds of industrial products. Probability paper is very commonly used in estimating the parameters, however, it is very hard to neglect the errors in plotting the data, and especially in drawing the regression line. The main purpose of this paper is to reduce these errors and to help the engineers to use the parameters in improving the reliability of their prod- ucts. The following parts are included in the computer programming with the em- phases on significant digits and rounding of numerical values : $\bullet$ data input part for various cases $\bullet$ parameter estimation part $\bullet$ printing part for input data $\bullet$ printing part for the results $\bullet$ printing part for the graphic(probability paper). And the running results(monitor displays) of the program for a fictitious example of Weibull distribution is given for the interested ones.

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EKF/UPF필터 변환을 통한 Multi-GPS/INS 융합 시스템의 실외 위치추정 (Outdoor Positioning Estimation of Multi-GPS / INS Integrated System by EKF / UPF Filter Conversion)

  • 최승환;김기정;김윤기;이장명
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제20권12호
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    • pp.1284-1289
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    • 2014
  • In this Paper, outdoor position estimation system was implemented using GPS (Global Positioning System) and INS (Inertial Navigation System). GPS position information has lots of errors by interference from obstacles and weather, the surrounding environment. To reduce these errors, multiple GPS system is used. Also, the Discrete Wavelet Transforms was applied to INS data for compensation of its error. In this paper, position estimation of the mobile robot in the straight line is conducted by EKF (Extended Kalman Filter). However, curve running position estimation is less accurate than straight line due to phase change in rotation. The curve is recognized through the rate of change in heading angle and the position estimation precision of the initial curve was improved by UPF (Unscented Particle Filter). In the case of UPF, if the number of particle is so many that big memory gets size is needed and processing speed becomes late. So, it only used the position estimation in the initial curve. Thereafter, the position of mobile robot in curve is estimated through switching from UPF to EKF again. Through the experiments, we verify the superiority of the system and make a conclusion.

Assessing the Impacts of Errors in Coarse Scale Data on the Performance of Spatial Downscaling: An Experiment with Synthetic Satellite Precipitation Products

  • Kim, Yeseul;Park, No-Wook
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.445-454
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    • 2017
  • The performance of spatial downscaling models depends on the quality of input coarse scale products. Thus, the impact of intrinsic errors contained in coarse scale satellite products on predictive performance should be properly assessed in parallel with the development of advanced downscaling models. Such an assessment is the main objective of this paper. Based on a synthetic satellite precipitation product at a coarse scale generated from rain gauge data, two synthetic precipitation products with different amounts of error were generated and used as inputs for spatial downscaling. Geographically weighted regression, which typically has very high explanatory power, was selected as the trend component estimation model, and area-to-point kriging was applied for residual correction in the spatial downscaling experiment. When errors in the coarse scale product were greater, the trend component estimates were much more susceptible to errors. But residual correction could reduce the impact of the erroneous trend component estimates, which improved the predictive performance. However, residual correction could not improve predictive performance significantly when substantial errors were contained in the input coarse scale data. Therefore, the development of advanced spatial downscaling models should be focused on correction of intrinsic errors in the coarse scale satellite product if a priori error information could be available, rather than on the application of advanced regression models with high explanatory power.

방향성을 고려한 공작기계 입체오차의 평가 (Estimation of a Volumetric Error of a Machine Tool Considering the Moving Direction of a Machine Tool)

  • 안경기;조동우
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.676-680
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, an extended volumetric error model considering backlash in a three-axis machine tool was proposed and utilized for calculating the volumetric error of the machine tool at any position in three-dimensional workspace. Backlashes are interrelated; i.e. the angular backlash affects the straightness errors which then affect the calculated squareness errors. Therefore, a new concept was introduced to define the backlash of squareness errors to incorporate the backlash of squareness error into the volumetric error, and the characteristics of the backlash of squareness error were investigated. The effects of backlash errors were assessed, by experiments, fur 21 geometric errors of a machine tool. The backlash error was shown to be one of the systematic errors of a machine tool. Based on this volumetric error model, a computer-aided volumetric error analysis system was developed for a three-axis machine tool in this paper. Then the volumetric error at an arbitrary position can be obtained, and displayed in a three-dimensional graphic form.

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A Comparative Analysis of the Accuracy of Areal Precipitation According to the Rainfall Analysis Method of Mountainous Streams

  • Kang, Bo-Seong;Yang, Sung-Kee;Kang, Myung-Soo
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제28권10호
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    • pp.841-849
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate the method of estimating the areal precipitation reflecting the altitude of the mountainous terrain on Jeju Island by comparing and analyzing the areal precipitation using the Thiessen polygon method and the isohyetal method in mountainous streams. In terms of constructing the Thiessen polygon network, rainfall errors occurred in 94.5% and 45.8% of the Thiessen area ratio of the Jeju and Ara stations, respectively. This resulted in large areal precipitation and errors using the isohyetal method at altitudes below 600 m in the target watershed. In contrast, there were small errors in the highlands. Rainfall errors occurred in 18.91% of the Thiessen area ratio of Eorimok, 2.41% of Witseoreum, and 2.84% of Azalea Field because of the altitudinal influence of stations located in the highlands at altitudes above 600 m. Based on the areal precipitation estimation using the Thiessen polygon method, it was considered to be partially applicable to streams on Jeju Island depending on the altitude. However, the method is not suitable for mountainous streams such as the streams on Jeju Island because errors occur with altitude. Therefore, the isohyetal method is considered to be more suitable as it considers the locations of the rainfall stations and the orographic effect and because there are no errors with altitude.

비선형 측정에 대한 반복 계수측정 기법 (Iterative parameter estimation for nonlinear measurements)

  • 정태호;제창해;유준
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1993년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); Seoul National University, Seoul; 20-22 Oct. 1993
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    • pp.314-317
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    • 1993
  • In this paper, the IPE(Iterative Parameter Estimation) methods for the nonlinear measurements are proposed. The IPE methods convert the problems of the parameter estimation for the nonlinear measurements to that of the solution of the nonlinear equations approximately and use several iterative numerical solutions, such as fixed points theory, Newton's methods, quasi-Newton's methods and steepest descent techniques. the IPE methods for the nonlinear measurements-in the case of the error estimation for the inertial navigation systems are simulated, and it is found that the estimation errors for the nonlinear measurements decrease rapidly and converge to almost that of the linear LSE(Least Squares Estimation) when the IPE methods are applied.

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스튜어트 플랫폼 순기구학 해의 실시간 추정기법 (Real-Time Estimation of Stewart Platform Forward Kinematic Solution)

  • 정규홍;이교일
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제18권7호
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    • pp.1632-1642
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    • 1994
  • The Stewart Platform is a six-degree-of-freedom in-parallel-actuated manipiulator mechanism. The kinematic behavior of parallel mechanisms shows inverse characteristics as compared that of serial mechanisms; i.e, the inverse kinematic problem of Stewart Platform is straightforward, but no closed form solution of the forward kinematic problem has been previously presented. Thus it is difficult to calculate the 6 DOF displacement of the platform from the measured lengths of the six actuators in real time. Here, a real-time estimation algorithm which solves the Stewart Platform kinematic problem is proposed and tested through computer simulations and experiments. The proposed algorithm shows stable convergence characteristics, no estimation errors in steady state and good estimation performance with higher sampling rate. In experiments it is shown that the estimation result is the same as that of simulation even in the presence of measurement noise.

Crafting an Automated Algorithm for Estimating the Quantity of Beam Rebar

  • Widjaja, Daniel Darma;Kim, Do-Yeong;Kim, Sunkuk
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.485-496
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    • 2023
  • Precise construction cost estimation is paramount to determining the total construction expense of a project prior to the initiation of the construction phase. Despite this, manual quantification and cost estimation methods, which continue to be widely used, may result in imprecise estimation and subsequent financial loss. Given the fast-paced and efficiency-demanding nature of the construction industry, trustworthy quantity and cost estimation is essential. To mitigate these obstacles, this research is focused on establishing an automated quantity estimation algorithm, particularly designed for the main rebar of beams which are recognized for their complicated reinforcement configurations. The exact quantity derived from the proposed algorithm is compared to the manually approximated quantity, reflecting a variance of 10.27%. As a result, significant errors and impending financial loss can be averted. The implementation of the findings from this research holds the potential to significantly assist construction firms in quickly and accurately estimating rebar quantities while adhering strictly to applicable specifications and regulatory requirements.