• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimating

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Tunnel Cost Estimating Model Based on Standard Section and Cost Variance Index (I) - Analysis Of Critical Cost Factors - (표준단면을 이용한 터널 공사비 예측모델 개발 (I) - 공사비 영향요인 분석 -)

  • Cho, Jeongyeon;Kim, Kyong Ju;Kim, Kyoungmin;Kim, Sang Kwi
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.5D
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    • pp.665-675
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this paper is to provide an approximate cost estimating model for tunnel that can be utilized both in quick construction cost estimating for design alternatives, and in evaluating efficiently the cost effects according to the environmental changes during design and construction stage. To meet this requirement, this study analyzes critical cost factors influencing tunnel construction costs. The cost factors include 7 elements such as rock drilling method, advancing method, type of detonator, loader capacity, unit weight and soil volume change factor, length of tunnel. This paper investigates the cost variance according to the change of the cost factors. The result is expected to be used in formulating approximate tunnel cost estimating model.

A Standard Section-Based Approximate Cost Estimating Model on Tunnel (II) - Cost Variance Index Table and Test - (표준단면을 이용한 터널 공사비 예측모델 개발 (II) - 공사비 변동 모델 및 검증 -)

  • Cho, Jeongyeon;Kim, Sang-Kwi;Kim, Kyoungmin;Kim, Kyong Ju
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.5D
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    • pp.677-684
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    • 2008
  • The paper provides an approximate cost estimating model that can be used for tunnel. Based on the previous study analyzed critical factors that have impact on tunnel construction cost, this paper establishes a cost variance index table that reflects the cost impacts due to the change of the critical cost factors. An estimating procedure is described utilizing the index table. For the verification of the suggested model, the comparison of the estimated construction cost with real project cost is performed. The estimated results range from 95%~111% of the real project costs. As an approximate tunnel cost estimating model, the model can be utilized to quickly estimate tunnel construction costs based on the conceptual information at the planning stage and to efficiently make a decision on design alternatives.

A Stochastic Simulation Model for Estimating Activity Duration of Super-tall Building Project

  • Minhyuk Jung;Hyun-soo Lea;Moonseo Park;Bogyeong Lee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.397-402
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    • 2013
  • In super-tall building construction projects, schedule risk factors which vertically change and are not found in the low and middle-rise building construction influence duration of a project by vertical attribute; and it makes hard to estimate activity or overall duration of a construction project. However, the existing duration estimating methods, that are based on quantity and productivity assuming activities of the same work item have the same risk and duration regardless of operation space, are not able to consider the schedule risk factors which change by the altitude of operation space. Therefore, in order to advance accuracy of duration estimation of super-tall building projects, the degree of changes of these risk factors according to altitude should be analyzed and incorporated into a duration estimating method. This research proposes a simulation model using Monte Carlo method for estimating activity duration incorporating schedule risk factors by weather conditions in a super-tall building. The research process is as follows. Firstly, the schedule risk factors in super-tall building are identified through literature and expert reviews, and occurrence of non-working days at high altitude by weather condition is identified as one of the critical schedule risk factors. Secondly, a calculating method of the vertical distributions of the weather factors such as temperature and wind speed is analyzed through literature reviews. Then, a probability distribution of the weather factors is developed using the weather database of the past decade. Thirdly, a simulation model and algorithms for estimating non-working days and duration of each activity is developed using Monte-Carlo method. Finally, sensitivity analysis and a case study are carried out for the validation of the proposed model.

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Estimating Parameters of Field Lifetime Data Distribution Using the Failure Reporting Probability (고장 보고율을 이용한 현장 수명자료 분포의 모수추정)

  • Kim, Young Bok;Lie, Chang Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.52-60
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    • 2007
  • Estimating parameters of the lifetime distribution is investigated when field failure data are not completelyreported. To take into account the reality and the accuracy of the estimates in such a case, the failure reportingprobability is incorporated in estimating parameters, Firstly, method of maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) isused to estimate parameters of the lifetime distribution when failure reporting probability is known, Secondly,Expectation and Maximization (EM) algorithm is used to estimate the failure reporting probability and parame-ters of the lifetime distribution simultaneously when failure reporting probability is unknown. For both cases,procedures of estimation are illustrated for single Weibull distribution and mixed Weibull distribution. Simula-tion results show that MLE obtained by the proposed method is more accurate than the conventional MLE.

A New Approach to Estimating Product Lifetimes: A Case Study of an LED Based LCD TV

  • Kim, Keun-Hwan;Kim, Chi-Hwan;Park, Hyun-Woo
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.200-218
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    • 2012
  • Estimating the economic life of a technology is the first important prerequisite step in the feasibility analysis of technology-based business. Many empirical studies have concentrated on patents data to estimate the time period for a technology. However, it is recommended to estimate it along with qualitative considerations of future technological and market conditions. In this regard, little is known about how approaches are applied. This paper aims to establish a structural framework of estimating the lifetime of a technology by integrating the outputs of an analysis of the determinants in each transition of a product life cycle. We describe an illustrative case about a light emitting diode (LED) backlight unit (BLU) technology for the liquid crystal display (LCD) TV. The framework allows valuators and experts to estimate a technology lifetime by using multidimensional factors.

A Study of Selective Indoor Positioning between Enhanced Time Difference of Arrival and Pattern Matching using Received Signal Strength Indicator (RSSI를 이용한 향상된 TDOA와 Pattern Matching 간의 선택적 실내 측위에 관한 연구)

  • Hur, Soo-Jung;Kim, Jea-Hyun;Park, Yongwan
    • IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2013
  • This paper researches location estimating method in CDMA system. Previously proposed positioning algorithms are difficult to estimate accurate position in indoor environments, and possible to limited position. This paper proposes enhanced algorithm using received PN pilot signals from base stations to enhance previous algorithms. For estimating position, we set the threshold value and use over the threshold value in received signals. After selecting signals, we estimate position using TDOA algorithm. And the cases which TDOA algorithm cannot use to estimate position, we use Pattern Matching algorithm. The proposed method system showed the improved performance in estimating parameters and locating positions by computer simulations.

Estimating Unsteady Soil Loss due to Rainfall Impact according to Rim Fire at California

  • Choi, Hyun;Kim, Gihong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.269-280
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    • 2017
  • Recently, in the United States, there has been short-term intensive rainfall due to El Ni?o and Rania. The Rim Fire was a wildland fire that was started in a remote canyon in Stanislaus National Forest in California. This portion of the central Sierra Nevada spans Tuolumne and Mariposa counties. This study is about estimating unsteady soil loss due to rainfall impact according to Rim Fire at California. It implies that caution needs to be taken in selecting the grid size for estimating soil loss using numerical modeling approach. Soil loss increased in all duration times before Rim fire. But it increased until 7 days and reduced or kept stable after that. Based on the 2014 average rainfall 1388 mm/yr, soil loss was estimated to be 247,518 ton/ha/yr before Rim Fire, and 9,389,937 ton/ha/yr after that.

Development of a Framework for Estimating the Benefits of IT Projects : Focusing on Preliminary Feasibility Study (정보화 사업의 편익 추정 프레임워크 개발 : 정보화부문 예비타당성조사를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Chunghun
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.101-115
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    • 2018
  • In order to promote the IT business efficiently, the Preliminary Feasibility Study has been conducted since 2004. It is to verify the feasibility of a large-scale IT project in advance and to determine whether to reflect the budget. It is more difficult to analyze the benefits of the IT project than other projects, because the IT project is carried out by combining tangible and intangible assets and human resources. For this reason, the Standard Guideline for Preliminary Feasibility Study in the IT field suggests a framework to support in estimating the benefits of the IT project. However, it includes the following problems : 1) level discrepancy among the benefit categories, 2) lack of types of benefit items, 3) no consideration of benefit inducing factors. So the framework is facing a low utilization. This study develops a new framework through a three-step research process. The new framework can be used not only for preliminary feasibility studies but also for estimating the benefits of general IT projects.

An ENG analysis for estimating the individual capabilities of the rectus femoris muscle (EMG 분석을 이용한 대퇴직근의 근력추정)

  • Lee, Myeon-U;Lee, Gu-Hyeong
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.3-17
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    • 1981
  • Isometric muscle strength has become important as it is realized that a large variation in the human exists and is affected by many personal and environmental factors. Experiments have been performed for estimating the individual capabilities of the quadriceps femoris muscle in man. The surface EMG has been recorded on the belly of the rectus femoris muscle during voluntary isometric continuous exertion at 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100% MVC. As a muscle force (% MVC) increases, the rectified mean EMG amplitude increases in a non-linear form. The rectified mean EMG amplitude also increases in a non-linear with respect to fatigue progression. As the muscle force (% MVC) increases, an endurance time of isometric exertion decreases linearly. Analysis shows that rectified mean EMG amplitude is a consistent and sensitive measure of motor unit recruitments and can be useful in estimating an individual capability of a local muscle. Further, the result satisfies the sufficient condition that type S motor units are recruited first, while large motor units are recruited progressively as the fatigue develops.

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Comparison of Algorithms Estimating Linear Regression Line from Surface EMG Signals (표면 근전도 신호로부터 선형회귀 직선 추정 알고리즘들의 비교)

  • Lee, Jin;Kwon, Hyok-Mok
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.3
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    • pp.527-535
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    • 2008
  • Many signal processing techniques have been described in the literature for estimating amplitude, frequency and duration variables of the surface EMG signal detected during constant voluntary contractions. They have been used in different application areas for the non-invasive assessment of muscle function. The main purpose of our research is to compare the most frequently used algorithms for information extraction from surface EMG signals under varying conditions in terms of the different window lengths, muscle contraction levels, muscles and subjects. In particular we focus on the issue of estimating the slope and intercept to resolve an linear regression line with utilizing real SEMG signals which represents voluntary contractions during thirty seconds.