• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimate time

검색결과 5,359건 처리시간 0.032초

데이터 마이닝을 이용한 양방향 전력거래상의 단기수요예측기법 (Short-term demand forecasting method at both direction power exchange which uses a data mining)

  • 김형중;이종수;신명철;최상열
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.722-724
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    • 2004
  • Demand estimates in electric power systems have traditionally consisted of time-series analyses over long time periods. The resulting database consisted of huge amounts of data that were then analyzed to create the various coefficients used to forecast power demand. In this research, we take advantage of universally used analysis techniques analysis, but we also use easily available data-mining techniques to analyze patterns of days and special days(holidays, etc.). We then present a new method for estimating and forecasting power flow using decision tree analysis. And because analyzing the relationship between the estimate and power system ceiling Trices currently set by the Korea Power Exchange. We included power system ceiling prices in our estimate coefficients and estimate method.

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슬라이딩 모드 축차 관측기를 이용한 유도 전동기 속도추정 (A Rotor Speed Estimation of Induction Motors Using Sliding Mode Cascade Observer)

  • 김응석
    • 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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    • 제53권3호
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2004
  • A nonlinear adaptive speed observer is designed for the sensorless control of induction motors. In order to design the speed observer, the measurements of the stator currents and the estimates of the rotor fluxes are used. The sliding mode cascade observer is designed to estimate the time derivatives of the stator currents. The open-loop observer is designed to estimate the rotor fluxes and its time derivatives using the stator current derivatives. The adaptive observer is also designed to estimate the rotor resistance. Sequentially, the rotor speed is calculated using these estimated values. It is shown that the estimation errors of the corresponding states and the parameters converge to the specified residual set. It is also shown that the speed controller using these estimates is performed well. The simulation examples are represented to investigate the validity of the proposed observers for the sensorless control of induction motors.

유도 전동기의 센서없는 속도제어를 위한 슬라이딩 모드 축차 관측기 (Sliding Mode Cascade Observer for Sensorless Control of Induction Motor)

  • 김응석;송중호;오상록
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2001년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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    • pp.2057-2059
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    • 2001
  • A nonlinear adaptive speed controller is designed for induction motors. Only the measurement of the stator current is used to design the controller and the observers. The sliding mode cascade observer is introduced to estimate the stator current and its time derivatives. The open-loop observer are designed to estimate the rotor flux and its time derivatives. The adaptive observer is also designed to estimate the rotor resistance. Sequentially, the rotor speed can be calculated using these estimated values. It is shown that the estimation errors of the corresponding states and the parameter converge to the specified residual set. It is also shown that the speed controller using these estimates is performed well. The experimental results are represented to investigate the validity of the proposed observer and controller.

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THE OPEN-CIRCUIT VOLTAGE STATE ESTIMATION OF THE BATTERY

  • LEE, SHINWON
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제39권5_6호
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    • pp.805-811
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    • 2021
  • Currently, batteries use commonly as energy sources for mobile electric devices. Due to the high density of energy, the energy storage state of a battery is very important information. To know the battery's energy storage state, it is necessary to find out the open state voltage of the battery. The open state voltage calculates with a mathematical model, but the computation of the real time state is complicated and requires many calculations. Therefore, the state observer designs to estimate in real time the battery open-circuit voltage as disturbance including model error. Using the estimated open voltage and applying it to the state estimation algorithm, we can estimate the charge. In this study, we first estimate the open-circuit voltage and design an estimation algorithm for estimating the state of battery charge. This includes errors in the system model and has a robust characteristic to noise. It is possible to increase the precision of the charge state estimation.

일교통량을 이용한 통행시간 신뢰도 평가 (Evaluation of Travel Time Reliability using Daily Traffic Volumes)

  • 오흥운
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제43권5호
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    • pp.631-638
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    • 2023
  • 본 논문은 일교통량을 이용한 통행시간 신뢰도 평가방법을 제시하고 있다. 희망속도의 도입, 일평균 통행속도와 일교통량간의 관계 설정, 구간 별 통행시간편차를 대표값으로 결합하는 방법을 포함하고 있다. 지정체가 며칠 동안 지속되는 특성을 가진 고속도로 교통정보를 수집하였고, 이를 이용하여 일평균 통행속도와 일교통량과의 관계를 정립하였다. 구간별 통행시간 편차를 대표값으로 결합하는 방법인 PEM (Point estimate method) 기법을 활용하여 통계적 대표 특성을 추정하였다. 일평균 통행속도와 일교통량의 관계가 설정되었고, 일교통량이 LOS D나 F 이전인 LOSC 부근임 에도 통행시간 신뢰도가 감소하기 시작하는 것이 나타났다. 일교통량만으로도 통행시간 신뢰도를 산출할 수 있게 되었고 통행시간 편차의 결합 방법이 표준화 되었으므로 향후의 도로계획과 운영 과정에서 통행시간 신뢰도가 용이하게 구해질 수 있을것으로 기대된다.

Observed Data Oriented Bispectral Estimation of Stationary Non-Gaussian Random Signals - Automatic Determination of Smoothing Bandwidth of Bispectral Windows

  • Sasaki, K.;Shirakata, T.
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.502-507
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    • 2003
  • Toward the development of practical methods for observed data oriented bispectral estimation, an automatic means for determining the smoothing bandwidth of bispectral windows is proposed, that can also provide an associated optimum bispectral estimate of stationary non-Gaussian signals, systematically only from an observed time series datum of finite length. For the conventional non-parametric bispectral estimation, the MSE (mean squared error) of the normalized estimate is reviewed under a certain mixing condition and sufficient data length, mainly from the viewpoint of the inverse relation between its bias and variance with respect to the smoothing bandwidth. Based on the fundamental relation, a systematic method not only for determining the bandwidth, but also for obtaining the optimum bispectral estimate is presented by newly introducing a MSE evaluation index of the estimate only from an observed time series datum of finite length. The effectiveness and fundamental features of the proposed method are illustrated by the basic results of numerical experiments.

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호스피스의 수가 산정 방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Method to Estimate the Cost of Hospice Care)

  • 조현
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.216-225
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    • 1994
  • The cost of hospice care should be covered by the insurance system if it is to be promoted in our country and this, in turn, requires a proper method to the estimate of this cost. The purpose of this study was to set up the method to estimate the cost of hospice care. First the cost effectiveness of hospice care were studied. By tracing the activities of hospice nurses for a given period, all the relevant data such as the scope and load of activities as well as the cost were collected. Then these were analysed and compared with the data obtained from hospice and home care. The results showed that the cost of hospice care was the most economic, and indicate its qualification as .1n in-dependent system. The main part of the cost of hospice care was found to be the labor cost which was up to 83% of the total. Therefore a method to estimate the cost should reflect the real labor cost. Several methods have been proposed in the study in terms of unit labor cost, service time, material cost, and the weight of the labor cost. All variables, including the service time surveyed in this study, can easily be translated into numerical values and it would not difficult to estmate the cost of hospice care. Hence by letting the hospice care be insured, hospice care can be expected to function as a good alternative to the present medical system.

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One Point In situ Incubation Estimation of Undegraded Protein in Forages

  • Gupta, Neeraj;Tyagi, A.K.;Singhal, K.K.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제19권11호
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    • pp.1603-1609
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    • 2006
  • To estimate undegraded intake protein (UIP) fraction in feeds and fodders, on the basis of their neutral detergent insoluble N content was studied. Samples of six feeds and forages were incubated in situ for a time equivalent to their mean retention time, estimated on the basis of their digestibility plus 10 h (to account for a lag in passage of particles from the rumen). The samples were incubated for 0, 25, 50, 75 and 100% of the estimated total mean retention time. UIP value of leguminous forages, obtained from the fractional rates of degradation and passage, were highly correlated with those estimated from samples incubated for 75% of total mean retention time, while incubating the non-leguminous forages and groundnut cake for this point over estimate the UIP fraction.

Estimation Model of the Change in Dairy Leaf Surface Temperature Using Scaling Technique

  • Eom, Ki-Cheol;Eom, Ho-Yong
    • 한국토양비료학회지
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    • 제46권5호
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    • pp.359-364
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    • 2013
  • This study was conducted to develop a model to estimate crop leaf surface temperature. The results were as following; A definition for the daily time based on elapsed time from the midnight (00:00) as "E&E time" with the unit of Kmin. was suggested. The model to estimate the scaled temperature ($T^*e$) of crop leaf surface temperature by scale factor ($T^*$) according to the "E&E time : Kmin."(X) was developed as eq. (1) $T^*e=0.5{\cdot}sin(X+780)+0.5$ (2) $T^*=(Tx-Tn)/(Tm-Tn)$, Tx : Daily leaf temperature, Tm : Daily maximum leaf temperature, Tn : Daily minimum leaf temperature. Relative sensitivity of the measured temperature compared to the estimated temperature of red pepper, soybean and persimmon was 1.078, 1.033 and 0.973, respectively.

A Direct Integration Approach for the Estimation of Time-Dependent Boundary Heat Flux

  • Kim, Sin;Kim, Min-Chan;Kim, Kyung-Youn
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제16권10호
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    • pp.1320-1326
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    • 2002
  • In a one-dimensional heat conduction domain with heated and insulated walls, an integral approach is proposed to estimate time-dependent boundary heat flux without internal measurements. It is assumed that the expression of the heat flux is not known a priori. Hence, the present inverse heat conduction problem is classified as a function estimation problem. The spatial temperature distribution is approximated as a third-order polynomial of position, whose four coefficients are determined from the heat fluxes and the temperatures at both ends at each measurement. After integrating the heat conduction equation over spatial and time domain, respectively, a simple and non-iterative recursive equation to estimate the time-dependent boundary heat flux is derived. Several examples are introduced to show the effectiveness of the present approach.