• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimate lifetime

검색결과 198건 처리시간 0.022초

Can we estimate forest gross primary production from leaf lifespan? A test in a young Fagus crenata forest

  • Koyama, Kohei;Kikuzawa, Kihachiro
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.253-260
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    • 2010
  • It has been well established that leaf longevity is linked to the carbon economy of plants. We used this relationship to predict leaf lifetime carbon gains from leaf lifespan, and estimated the gross primary production (GPP) of a young deciduous forest of Japanese beech (Fagus crenata) located in central Japan. The light-saturated photosynthetic rates of the leaves were measured repeatedly during the growing season. We used the leaf lifespan to calculate the conversion coefficient from the light-saturated photosynthetic rate into the realized leaf lifetime carbon gain under field conditions. The leaf turnover rate was estimated using litter traps. GPP was estimated as the product of lifetime carbon gain per unit of leaf mass, and the annual leaf turnover rate. The GPP of the forest in 2007 was estimated to be $1.2{\times}10^3gCm^{-2}y^{-1}$, which was within the range of previously reported GPP values of beech forests in Japan, and was close to the GPP of a European beech forest, as estimated by eddy flux measurements.

로열티 포인트 사용행동과 고객생애가치(Customer Lifetime Value) 분석 (The Redemption Behavior of Loyalty Points and Customer Lifetime Value)

  • 박대윤;유시진
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.63-82
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    • 2014
  • The main objective of this research is to investigate whether the RFM (recency-frequency-monetary value) information of a customer's redemption behavior of loyalty points can improve the prediction of future value of the customer. The conventional measurement of customer value has been primarily based on purchase transactions behavior although a customer's future behavior can be also influenced by other interactions between the customer and the firm such as redemption of rewards in a loyalty program. We theorize why a customer's redemption behavior can influence her future purchases and thereby the customer's total value based on operant learning theory, goal gradient hypothesis, and lock-in effect. Using a dataset from a major book store in Korea spanning three years between 2008 and 2010, we analyze both purchase transactions and redemption records of over 10,000 customers. The results show that the redemption-based RFM information does improve the prediction accuracy of the customer's future purchases. Based on this result, we also propose an improved estimate of customer lifetime value (CLV) by combining purchase transactions and loyalty points redemption data. Managerial implications will be also discussed for firms managing loyalty programs to maximize the total value customers.

Optimum Model for Analyzing Lifetime Profitability of Holstein Cows

  • Shadparvar, A.A.;Nikbin, S.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.769-775
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    • 2008
  • This study was on the relative net income (RNI) for 18,286 Iranian Holstein cows from 799 herds, with first freshening between 1991 and 2000. Two kinds of production system, which differed mainly in milk pricing system and feed cost, were considered. Four different models adopted from the literature were examined to find the optimum model. They differed by the cost of rearing and growth after first calving and they needed different amounts of economic data at the farm level. Results showed that four measures of RNI were highly correlated (>0.96) and could be used equally to measure lifetime profitability of cows. Therefore, in herds without a regular system for recording economic and management data, use of the simplest model is recommended. Multiple regression analysis revealed that RNI was affected by age at first freshening, milk yield and days of productive life (DPL), regardless of production system, and a similar breeding goal could be defined for the two systems. Multiple regression analysis of RNI showed that in order to obtain an unbiased estimate of economic value for DPL, the per day milk yield, not total lifetime milk yield, should be included in the regression model along with DPL. Regression analysis suggested that it is possible to predict RNI using information on age at first freshening along with the length of first lactation and per day milk yield with a coefficient of determination ranging from 0.44 to 0.47.

학령전기와 학령기 아동에서의 아토피 피부염 유병률과 위험인자 (Prevalence and Risk Factors for Atopic Dermatitis in Pre-school and School Aged Children)

  • 이윤미;황선욱
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.285-294
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    • 2008
  • Purpose: This study was done to estimate the prevalence of atopic dermatitis (AD) and its risk factors for AD in children living in the community. Method: Random samples of 10,236 were selected from 43 kindergarten (1,418) and 57 elementary (8,718) students in K city. Data from 1,079 (kindergarten children) and 7,271 (elementary) students were used in the final analysis. The Korean-translated modified version of the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISSAC) questionnaire was used in this cross-sectional survey. Parents answered the survey questionnaire. Results: The lifetime and last 12-month prevalence of AD were 40.15%; 30.86% in kindergarten children and 33.56%; 25.37% in elementary children. The lifetime and last 12-month prevalence of AD diagnosis were 40.8%; 18.68% in kindergarten children and 34.36%; 12.63% in elementary children. The lifetime prevalence of AD treatment was 25.93% in kindergarten children and 22.07% in elementary children. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that risk factors for AD were age, allergic disease, age of house, carpets, pets. Conclusion: The study suggests that prevalence of AD has increased among children in the community. These data can be used to manage possible risk factors that are predictors of childhood AD.

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22.9[kV] 지중배전용 전력케이블의 전기적 특성과 파괴수명 고찰 (The Consideration of Electrical Characteristics and Breakdown Lifetime in 22.9[kV] Underground Distribution Power Cables)

  • 김충배;홍경진;임장섭;정우성;김상준;김태성
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전기물성ㆍ응용부문C
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    • 제48권9호
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    • pp.628-633
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    • 1999
  • Degradation diagnosis of XLPE insulated URD cables was accomplished through out new method, which was to be analyzed by non-electrical experiments and synthesized by degradation points. To supplement this method, It was also carried out using several electrical analyses. Tan$\delta$ had commonly a different tendency by means oftemperature and frequency and also appeared higher at the outer part rather than innerpart of insulator. PD-q increased generally in proportion to the applied voltage andshowed regular patterns in relation to the thickness of insulator. Breakdown voltageswere measured and breakdown lifetimes were predicted appling for Weibull distribution function. As a result, breakdown lifetime in failure cables was shorter up to$\fraction one-third$ times than that in general cables. It was very available to estimate cable degradation using above method, but it needs further study on XLPE insulated URD cables in order to improve reliability.

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무은 솔더의 신뢰성 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on Reliability Assessment of Ag-free Solder)

  • 김종민;김기영;김강동;김선진;장중순
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 2013
  • The solder is any of various fusible alloys, usually tin and lead, used to join metallic parts that provide the contact between the chip package and the printed circuit board. Solder plays an important role of electrical signals to communicate between the two components. In this study, two kinds of Ag-free solder as sample is made to conduct the thermal shock test and the high humidity temperature test. Low resistance is measured to estimate crack size of solder, using daisy chain. The low speed shear test is also performed to analyze strength of solder. The appropriate degradation model is estimated using the result data. Depending on the composition of solder, lifetime estimation is conducted by adopted degradation model. The lifetime estimated two kinds of Ag-free solder is compared with expected lifetime of Sn-Ag-Cu solder. The result is that both Ag-free composition are more reliable than Sn-Ag-Cu solder.

온도.비열 가속모형을 적용한 유압호스조립체 수명특성 연구 (A Study of the Life Characteristic of Hydraulic Hose Assembly by Adopting Temperature-Nonthermal Acceleration Model)

  • 이기천;김형의;조유희;심성보;김재훈
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.235-244
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    • 2011
  • Hydraulic hose assemblies deliver a fluid power in various oil pressure equipment such as construction machinery, automobile, aircraft, industrial machinery, machine tools and machinery for ships. Also, they are widely used as pipes in oil pressure circuit. When we estimate their lifetime, it is essential to conduct an accelerated life test by choosing the factor that suits the usage condition of the test object since traditional test method for estimating lifetime under the influence of various external factors incurs hardship in terms of time and expenses. The objective of this study is to propose an acceleration model that takes both temperature and pressure without flexing condition into consideration. The lifetime is estimated by applying the proposed temperature-nonthermal acceleration model to the test data. And we compare the proposed temperature-nonthermal acceleration model and the accelerated life equation suggested by John(1994).

열화데이터의 등분산 가정에 따른 저장수명예측 비교 연구 (Study for comparison of storage lifetimes estimation between constant and time-variant variance of degradation data)

  • 백승준;손영갑;박상현;이문호;강인식
    • 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국추진공학회 2017년도 제48회 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.154-156
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    • 2017
  • 종래에는 등분산 가정을 기반으로 가속열화시험 데이터로부터 저장수명을 예측하는 방식이 일반적이었다. 그러나, 실제로는 대부분의 탄약류의 특성치 데이터는 시간의 경과에 따라 산포가 증가한다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 등분산과 이분산을 가정한 경우에 저장수명 예측 결과의 차이를 확인하고 향후 이분산 가정을 기반으로 데이터 분석을 수행함이 타당함을 제안한다.

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첨단주택 내에서 움직임 감지 센서 노드의 수명 예측 모델 분석 (Analysis of Lifetime Estmation Model of Motion Detection Sensor Nodes in Smart House)

  • 이민구;박용국;정경권;유준재;성하경
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국해양정보통신학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.860-863
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    • 2010
  • 센서 네트워크는 무선 네트워킹 기능이 있는 작고, 독립적인 장치이다. 실제 응용에서의 적응성을 향상시키기 위해서 에너지 소모를 최소화하는 것이 중요한 문제 중의 하나이다. 그러므로 무선 센서 네트워크를 평가하기 위해서는 정확한 에너지 모델이 필요하다. 센서 노드의 수명을 추정하기 위해 TinyOS로 동작하는 Telosb 플래폼 기반의 센서 노드의 에너지 특성을 측정하였다. 제안한 모델을 사용하면 배터리로 구동되는 센서 노드는 1시간 동안 10번 움직임을 감지한다면 약 6.925개월을 사용할 수 있다.

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Observational Evidence of Giant Cloud Condensation Nucleus Effects on the Precipitation Sensitivity in Marine Stratocumulus Clouds

  • Jung, Eunsil
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.498-510
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    • 2022
  • Cloud-aerosol interactions are one of the paramount but least understood forcing factors in climate systems. Generally, an increase in the concentration of aerosols increases the concentration of cloud droplet numbers, implying that clouds tend to persist for longer than usual, suppressing precipitation in the warm boundary layer. The cloud lifetime effect has been the center of discussion in the scientific community, partly because of the lack of cloud life cycle observations and partly because of cloud problems. In this study, the precipitation susceptibility (So) matrix was employed to estimate the aerosols' effect on precipitation, while the non-aerosol effect is minimized. The So was calculated for the typical coupled, well-mixed maritime stratocumulus decks and giant cloud condensation nucleus (GCCN) seeded clouds. The GCCN-artificially introduced to the marine stratocumulus cloud decks-is shown to initiate precipitation and reduces So to approximately zero, demonstrating the cloud lifetime hypothesis. The results suggest that the response of precipitation to changes in GCCN must be considered for accurate prediction of aerosol-cloud-precipitation interaction by model studies