• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimate Cost Model

검색결과 582건 처리시간 0.031초

병원중심 가정간호관리대상 범위 확대를 위한 기초연구(II) - 자동차보험가입 입원환자를 대상으로 - (A Preliminary Study for Expending of Hospital-Based Home Health Care Coverage - Focused on Car Accident Inpatients Who has the Compensation Insurance -)

  • 박은숙;이숙자;박영주;유호신
    • 가정∙방문간호학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.58-72
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    • 2000
  • This study was an attempt to encourage the development of a rehabilitation delivery system and programs as a substitute service for hospitalization on the case of car accident patients, such as hospital based home health care nursing services. Various substitute services for hospitalization are required to curtail the length of stay for inpatients who were hospitalized with car accident compensation insurance. It focused on developing an estimation an early discharge day for car accident inpatients based on detailed statements of treatment for 111 inpatients who were hospitalized at the General Hospital in 1997. This study had four specific purposes as follows. First. to find out the utilization of medical services. Second, to estimate the time of early discharge and income increasing effect based on early discharge for those patients. Third, to identify the factors affecting total medical expenditure and the length of stay for those inpatients. Forth, to figure out the need of utilizing home health care nursing service for accident patients. In order to analyze the length of stay and medical expenditure for inpatients who were hospitalized due to car accidents, the authors conducted micro- and macro-analysis of medical and medical expenditure records. Micro-analysis was done by nominal group discussion of 4 expertise with the critical criteria, such as a decrease in the amount of treatment after surgery, treatments, tests, drugs and changes in the test consistency, drug methods, vital signs, start of ROM exercise, doctor's order, patient's outside visiting ability, and stable conditions. In addition to identifying variables affecting medical expenditure, and the length of stay and income effect due to early discharge day, the data was analyzed with a multiple regression analysis and linear regression analysis model by SPSS-PC for windows and Excell program. Results of this study were as follows. First. the mean length of stay was 50.3 days. whereas the mean length of stay due to early discharge was 34.3 days at the hospital. The estimation of time of early discharge depended on the length of stay. The longer the length of stay, the longer the length of time of early discharge : for instance a length of stay under 10 days was estimated as correlating to a mean length of stay of 6.6 days and early discharge of 6.5. The mean length of stay was 217.4 days and the time of early discharge was 110.1 respectively. The mean medical expenditure per day was found to be 169.085 Won and the mean medical expenditure per day showed negative linear trends according to the length of stay at the hospital. The estimation results of the income effect due to being discharged 16 days early was around 2,244,000 won per bed. However. this sum does not represent the real benefits resulting from early discharge, but rather the income increasing amount without considering medical prime cost in the general hospital. Therefore, further analysis is required on the cost containments and benefits as turn over rate per bed as the medical prime costs. The length of stay was most significant and was positive to the total medical expenditure, as expected. Surgery and patient's residential area was also an important variable in explaining medical expenditure. The level of complications was the most significant variable in explaining the length of stay. There was a high level for need a home health care nursing service which further supports early discharge for accident patients. In addition, when the patient was discharged. they needed follow up care for complications suffered during the car accident. $86.8\%$ of discharged patients responded that they needed home health services after early discharge. From these research findings, the following suggestions have been drawn. Strategies on a health care delivery system must be developed in order to focus on the consumer's needs and being planned for 21 century health policy in Korea. Community based intermediate facilities or home health care should be developed for rehabilitation services as a substitute for hospitalization in order to shorten the length of stay would be. A hospital based home health care nursing service. it would be available immediately to utilize by patients who want rehabilitation services as a substitute for hospitalization with the cooperation of car insurance companies.

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기업의 회사채 조달방법 선택에 관한 연구 - 사모사채와 공모사채 발행을 중심으로 - (A Funding Source Decision on Corporate Bond - Private Placements vs Public Bond -)

  • 안승철;이상휘;장승욱
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.99-123
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 국내 상장기업 중에서 2000년에서 2002년도까지 사모사채를 발행한 124건의 발행 정보와 공모사채 발행을 실시한 203건의 발행정보를 표본으로 기업의 사모사채 발행에 영향을 미치는 결정요인들을 분석하였다. 회사채 조달원천의 선택에 영향을 미치는 요인으로 정보비대칭, 재무위험, 대리인비용, 독점적 정보, 신용등급 등 5개 변수를 도입하였다. 기업에 대한 정보비대칭의 정도는 사모사채 발행의 선택에 유의적인 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 정보비대칭에 따른 역선택을 회피하기 위한 수단으로 사모를 선택하는 것으로 보인다. 또한, 기업의 재무위험의 정도가 클수록 공모사채 발행보다는 사모사채 발행이 이루어지는 경향이 높은 것으로 나타났는데, 이러한 결과는 사모계약이 가지는 재무적 재조정의 수월성과 관련이 있는 것으로 보인다. 대리인비용의 경우에는 대용변수의 선택에 따라 상이한 결과를 보이고 있다. 먼저, 주가수익률이 높은 기업일수록 사모발행을 통해 자본을 조달하는 경향이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 즉 사모발행은 부채의 대리인비용을 감소시키기 위한 수단이 될 수 있다고 추정된다. Tobin의 Q 경우는 기업의 공모사채와 사모사채 선택 의사결정에 유의적인 영향을 주지 않는 것으로 나타났는데, Tobin Q값이 높은 기업들은 강탈문제(hold-up problem)를 회피하기 위해 공모시장에 접근하는 경향이 있는 것으로 추정된다. 한편, 독점적 정보와 관련하여 기업은 내부의 정보보호를 위해서 사모사채 발행에 대한 동인을 가지는 것으로 보인다. 신용등급이 투기등급에 해당하는 기업들의 사모발행 경향이 높은 것으로 판단되었다. 본 연구의 결과들은 정보비대칭의 문제점이 있는 기업이거나 또는 대리인문제를 해결하기 위한 수단으로서 사모사채 발행은 기업의 우선적 자금조달방법이 될 수 있다는 것을 시사하고 있다고 할 수 있다.

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한국 동해 명태 어업의 적정어획노력량 추정 -동해구기선저인망어업과 동해구트롤어업의 경제성분석을 근거로- (Estimation on Optimum Fishing Effort of Walleye Pollock Fishery in the East Coast of Korea : Based on the Economic Analysis between Danish Seine Fishery and Trawl Fishery for Walleye Pollock)

  • 이장욱
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.75-99
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    • 1991
  • A quantitative analysis was carried out to monitor the commercial yield level of walleye pollock Theragra chalcogramma in the east coast of Korea, based on available data on catch and fishing effort, catch per unit of effort including fish prices from 1911 to 1988, using a traditional yield model. The results from the quantitative assessment were based to estimate maximum economic yield (MEY) and optimal fishing effort (E-opt) at MEY. On the other hand, interaction aspects between danish seine fishery and trawl fishery mainly targeting walleye pollock in the east coast of Korea were studied to predict optimal situation in fishing effort level from economic point of view which gives the most benefits to the two fisheries. Total production of walleye pollock in 1911 when its catch record was begun for the first time was about 12, 000 metric tons(M/T), and then the catch trend maintained nearly at the level of 50, 000 M/T per annum, showing a decreasing trend until 1930. The highest production from historical data base on walleye pollock fishery statistics was from the years in 1939 and 1940, about 270, 000 M/T and 26, 000 M/T, respectively. No production of the fish species was recorded during the years from 1943 to 1947, and from 1949 to 1951. From 1952 onwards annual production was only available from the southern part of 38$^{\circ}$N in the east coast. During two decades from 1952 to 1970, the production had sustained about less than 30, 000 M/T every year. Annual production showed an increasing trend from 1971, reaching a maximum level of approximately 162, 000 M/T in 1981. Afterwards, it has deceased sharply year after year and amounted to 180, 000 M/T in 1988. The catch composition of walleye pollock for different fishery segments during 1970~1988 showed that more than 70% of the total catch was from danish seine fishery until 1977 but from 1978 onwards, the catch proportion did not differ from one another, accounting for the nearly same proportion. Catch per unit of effort (CPUE) for both danish seine fishery and trawl fishery maintained a decline tendency after 1977 when the values of CPUE were at level of 800 kg/haul for the former fishery and 1, 300 kg/haul for the latter fishery, respectively. CPUEs of gillnet fishery during 1980~1983 increased to about 3.5 times as high value as in the years, 1970~1979 and during 1987~1988 it decreased again to the level of the years, 1970~1978. The bottom longline fishery's CPUE wa at a very low level (20 kg/basket) through the whole study years, with exception of the value (60 kg/basket) in 1980. Fishing grounds of walleye pollock in the east coast of Korea showed a very limited distribution range. Danish seine fishery concentrated fishing around the coastal areas of Sokcho and Jumunjin during January~February and October~December. Distributions of fishing grounds of trawl fishery were the areas along the coastal regions in the central part of the east coast. Gillnet and bottom longline fisheries fished walleye pollock mainly in the areas of around Sokcho and Jumunjin during January~February and December. Relationship between CPUEs' values from danish seine fishery and trawl fishery was used to standardize fishing effort to apply to surplus production model for estimating maximum sustainable yield (MSY) and optimum fish effort (F-opt) at MSY. The results suggested a MSY of 114, 000 M/T with an estimated F-opt of 173, 000 hauls per year. Based on the estimates of MSY and F-opt, MEY was estimated to be about 94, 000 M/T with a range of 81, 000 to 103, 000 M/T and E-opt 100, 000 hauls per year with a range of 80, 000 to 120, 000 hauls. The estimated values of MEY and E-opt corresponded to 82% of MSY and 58% of F-opt, respectively. An optimal situation in the fishing effort level, which can envisage either simultaneously maximum yield or maximum benefit for both danish seine fishery and trawl fishery, was determined from relationship between revenue and cost of running the fleet : the optimal fishing effort of danish seine fishery was about 52, 000 hauls per year, corresponding to 50 danish seiners and 27, 000 hauls per year which is equal nearly to 36 trawlers, respectively. It was anticipated that the net income from sustainable yield estimated from the respective optimal fishing effort of the two fisheries will be about 3, 800 million won for danish seine fishery and 1, 000 million won for trawl fishery.

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손익공유형 민간투자사업의 투자위험분담 가치 산정 (Real Option Analysis to Value Government Risk Share Liability in BTO-a Projects)

  • 구석모;이성훈;이승재
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.360-373
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    • 2017
  • 국내 민간투자사업의 추진 방식 중 수익형 민간투자사업은 수요 위험이 존재하는 방식이다. 수요 위험이 현실화 될 경우 민간사업자는 예상보다 낮은 수입으로 인해 재무적인 어려움을 겪으며, 정부도 안정적인 사회기반시설 운영에 차질을 빚을 수 있다. 따라서 정부는 수요 위험에 따른 위험 분담 정책을 다양하게 적용해 오고 있다. 하지만 정부의 위험 분담은 수요의 불확실성으로 인한 정부의 우발채무이며, 실시협약의 문구로 표현되어 기존의 전통적인 사업평가 방식인 NPV 방식으로는 위험을 계량화 할 수 없다. 본 연구는 수요 위험 분담 정책의 하나로 2015년에 도입된 손익공유형 방식(BTO-a)을 대상으로 수요 위험을 고려한 정부의 투자위험 분담 가치를 산정하는데 목적을 두고 있다. 투자위험 분담은 금융에서의 옵션(option) 형태를 갖게 된다. 민간사업자는 수입이 감소했을 때 정부로 부터 보조금을 청구할 권리를 가지고 있으며, 반대로 정부는 일정 조건하에서 보조금을 지급할 의무를 가지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 Black-Scholes 옵션가격결정 모형을 활용하여 투자위험 분담의 가치추정 방법론을 정립하고 사례 사업을 통해 결과의 적정성을 살펴보았다. 사례 사업은 제안된 고속도로 민간투자사업을 대상으로 하였으며, 분석결과 투자위험 분담 가치는 약 120억원으로 추정되어 민간이 투자한 투자비의 약 4%를 차지하는 것으로 나타났다. 즉, 정부가 투자위험을 분담함으로써 120억원의 재정지원을 추가로 투입하는 효과로 볼 수 있다. 교통량 위험을 확률변수로 가정할 경우 사례사업에서 도출된 옵션가치는 평균이 122억원이고 표준편차는 36.7억원으로 도출되었다. 누적분포를 도출한 결과 90% 확률 구간의 옵션가치가 69억원에서 188억원의 범위에서 결정될 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서 제시한 방법은 미래수요의 불확실성하에서 정부와 민간사업자가 더 나은 위험 분석과 투자위험 분담에 대한 경제적인 가치를 이해하는데 도움을 줄 것으로 기대한다.

모바일 기반 온실 냉난방 부하 산정 프로그램 개발 (Development of Greenhouse Cooling and Heating Load Calculation Program Based on Mobile)

  • 문종필;방지웅;황정수;장재경;윤성욱
    • 생물환경조절학회지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.419-428
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    • 2021
  • 모바일 기반 온실에너지 계산프로그램을 제작하기 위해 먼저 주요 단일 피복재 10종 및 보온재 16종에 대한 열관류율 측정하였다. 또한 피복 및 보온재를 이중 및 삼중으로 다층 설치할 때 열관류율 추정을 위하여 이중 설치시 24조합, 삼중설치 시 59조합에 대한 열관류율을 핫박스를 이용하여 측정하였다. 단일 피복재에서는 PE필름(0.08mm) 대비 PO필름(0.15mm)이 가장 열관류율이 가장 작고 열절감율이 가장 큰 것으로 나타났다. 단일 보온재에서는 열관류율에서는 외피가 있는 5겹의 다겹보온커튼이 가장 보온력이 좋은 것으로 나타났다. 또한 단일자재에 대한 열관류율 값과 열저항값을 이용한 피복 및 보온재의 다층설치시의 총 열관류율 값을 산정하였고 실측 값과의 오차를 보정하는 선형회귀식을 도출하였다. 단일재료의 열관류율값에 의한 피복 및 보온재의 다층설치시 열관류율 추정 모형을 개발한 결과 모형평가지수가 0.90(0.5 이상일 때 양호)으로 나타나 추정치가 실측치를 매우 잘 재현 하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 시험온실을 통한 실증시험결과 예측된 열절감율이 실측치보다 상대오차 2%로 작게 나타나는 것으로 평가되었다. 이러한 연구결과를 기반으로 모바일 기반의 온실 에너지계산 프로그램을 개발하였다. 이 프로그램은 HTML5 표준 웹 기반 모바일 웹 애플리케이션으로 구현하였으며 N-Screen 지원을 통해 다양한 모바일 장치 및 PC 브라우저에서 동작이 가능하게 제작되었다. 또한 온실 피복(12종) 및 보온재(16종)의 조합별 열관류율 및 난방부하계수를 제공하여 농민이 모바일로 온실 위치, 형태 및 피복·보온재 등을 반영한 최대 주야간 냉난방부하 및 기간 난방부하를 산정할 수 있다. 대상 온실의 에너지 소비량에 대한 평가가 가능하며 온실의 지역 및 형태에 따라 피복 및 보온재의 최적 선택으로 에너지 절감형 온실 설계가 가능할 것으로 판단되었다.

생활방식품패확장적품패자산건모(生活方式品牌扩张的品牌资产建模): 침대Y세대화영인조소비자적전략로경(针对Y世代和婴儿潮消费者的战略路径) (Modeling Brand Equity for Lifestyle Brand Extensions: A Strategic Approach into Generation Y vs. Baby Boomer)

  • Kim, Eun-Young;Brandon, Lynn
    • 마케팅과학연구
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.35-48
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    • 2010
  • 今天, 受到成熟零售市场挑战的时装市场需要新的 "品牌发展" 典范来提高他们的竞争优势. 时装市场的一个重要议题是为满足消费者由于生活方式的变化而产生的特别需求所进行的生活方式品牌扩张. 时装品牌扩张到生活方式产品类别, Y世代和婴儿潮可以说是新兴的 "前景"(婴儿潮的消费者正在改变他们的生活方式. Y世代正经历着他们生命阶段的变化). 他们有购买新产品的需求. 因此, 服装公司为品牌扩张注重消费群从而在新的产品类别中建立和管理他们的品牌资产是乐观的. 本文的研究目的是(a)评估母品牌和子品牌的品牌资产. (b)鉴定消费者对品牌扩张的感知营销因素. (c)评估两个选择的群体(Y世代和婴儿潮)的营销因素和扩张到生活方式的产品类别(包括家居时尚产品)品牌的品牌资产之间因果关系的结构方程模型. 关于理论框架, 本文关注传统的营销4P组合来鉴定哪个营销因素在品牌扩张资产方面更重要. 比较营销可以建立 "品牌扩张资产", 从而成功的进入新类别. 借鉴相关的文献, 通过关注选择的消费者(Y世代, 婴儿潮), 本研究发展的研究假设结合了品牌资产因子和营销因素. 在品牌扩张至生活方式产品的背景下, 品牌资产的构念包括品牌认知/联合, 品牌感知(例如感知质量, 情感价值)和从CBBE因子(Keller, 2001)中而来的品牌共鸣. 据推测, 通过品牌扩张至生活方式产品, 市场营销要素在品牌认知/联合, 品牌感知方面创建品牌扩张资产, 进而影响品牌的共鸣. 为了收集数据, 样本由韩国Y世代的女性消费者和在婴儿潮中出生的消费者. 这些在婴儿潮中出生的消费者由于生活周期的改变而对生活方式产品有较高的需求. 在韩国Y世代(n=326)和婴儿潮(n=325)的女性消费者中共有651份有用的问卷被使用. 我们用LISREL8.8测试了使用相关矩阵的结构和测量模型. 结果显示品牌扩张的感知营销因素包括三个因子: 价格/店铺形象, 产品和广告. 在Y世代的模型中, 价格/店铺形象对品牌资产因素有积极的影响(例如品牌认知/联合, 感知质量). 同时, 在品牌扩张中产品对情感价值有积极的影响. 品牌认知/联合有可能提高感知质量和情感价值, 从而对扩张至生活方式产积极的品牌产生品牌共鸣. 在婴儿潮消费者模型中, 价格/店铺形象对感知质量有积极的影响, 感知质量可以创造品牌扩张的品牌共鸣. 产品对质量感知和情感价值有正的影响, 这些都会消费者产生对扩张至生活方式产品的品牌的品牌共鸣. 但是, 在这两个群体中广告和品牌资产都是负相关. 本研究为时装营销者提供了发展成功的品牌扩张战略以及可持续的竞争优势的见解. 本研究补充和扩展了先前的有关通过营销努力的因素促使品牌扩张成功的研究. 研究结果支持为进入新的产品类别, 时装品牌扩张(Aaker and Keller, 1990; Tauber, 1998; Shine et al., 2007; Pitta and Katsanis, 1995)和营销行动的增效作用. 因此, 我们推荐营销者同时针对Y世代和婴儿潮一代通过标准化的营销推广进入新产品类别(例如家具)可以降低营销成本. 时装营销者可以(a)提供高价的产品线. (b)在韩国通过零售渠道(例如专门百货商店)强调高档特征的商店形象定位. (c)结合服装与生活方式产品包括新颖的款式和设计师的限量版. 对品牌资产,成功品牌延伸的关键是消费者的品牌认知度和品牌联合,确保新产品类别的品牌特征. 对于营销者来说, 在进入新产品类别的时候知道什么有助于更具体的联合是必要的. 对时装品牌而言, 品牌扩张的第二个关键是进入 "奢侈" 生活方式新产品类别的途径. 更高的价格或店铺形象都对质量感知有影响. 而质量感知可以引起品牌共鸣. 更重要的是, 本研究提高了对品牌扩张的理论理解并对营销者提出了在制定针对Y世代和婴儿潮一代消费者的行销项目时的方向.

수도권 초미세먼지 농도모사 : (II) 오염원별, 배출물질별 자체 기여도 및 전환율 산정 (PM2.5 Simulations for the Seoul Metropolitan Area: (II) Estimation of Self-Contributions and Emission-to-PM2.5 Conversion Rates for Each Source Category)

  • 김순태;배창한;유철;김병욱;김현철;문난경
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.377-392
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    • 2017
  • A set of BFM (Brute Force Method) simulations with the CMAQ (Community Multiscale Air Quality) model were conducted in order to estimate self-contributions and conversion rates of PPM (Primary $PM_{2.5}$), $NO_x$, $SO_2$, $NH_3$, and VOC emissions to $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations over the SMA (Seoul Metropolitan Area). CAPSS (Clean Air Policy Support System) 2013 EI (emissions inventory) from the NIER (National Institute of Environmental Research) was used for the base and sensitivity simulations. SCCs (Source Classification Codes) in the EI were utilized to group the emissions into area, mobile, and point source categories. PPM and $PM_{2.5}$ precursor emissions from each source category were reduced by 50%. In turn, air quality was simulated with CMAQ during January, April, July, and October in 2014 for the BFM runs. In this study, seasonal variations of SMA $PM_{2.5}$ self-sensitivities to PPM, $SO_2$, and $NH_3$ emissions can be observed even when the seasonal emission rates are almost identical. For example, when the mobile PPM emissions from the SMA were 634 TPM (Tons Per Month) and 603 TPM in January and July, self-contributions of the emissions to monthly mean $PM_{2.5}$ were $2.7{\mu}g/m^3$ and $1.3{\mu}g/m^3$ for the months, respectively. Similarly, while $NH_3$ emissions from area sources were 4,169 TPM and 3,951 TPM in January and July, the self-contributions to monthly mean $PM_{2.5}$ for the months were $2.0{\mu}g/m^3$ and $4.4{\mu}g/m^3$, respectively. Meanwhile, emission-to-$PM_{2.5}$ conversion rates of precursors vary among source categories. For instance, the annual mean conversion rates of the SMA mobile, area, and point sources were 19.3, 10.8, and $6.6{\mu}g/m^3/10^6TPY$ for $SO_2$ emissions while those rates for PPM emissions were 268.6, 207.7, and 181.5 (${\mu}g/m^3/10^6TPY$), respectively, over the region. The results demonstrate that SMA $PM_{2.5}$ responses to the same amount of reduction in precursor emissions differ for source categories and in time (e.g. seasons), which is important when the cost-benefit analysis is conducted during air quality improvement planning. On the other hand, annual mean $PM_{2.5}$ sensitivities to the SMA $NO_x$ emissions remains still negative even after a 50% reduction in emission category which implies that more aggressive $NO_x$ reductions are required for the SMA to overcome '$NO_x$ disbenefit' under the base condition.

전력계통 모의를 통한 에너지세제 개편의 전력가격 및 조세수입에 대한 영향 연구 (Impacts of Energy Tax Reform on Electricity Prices and Tax Revenues by Power System Simulation)

  • 김윤경;박광수;조성진
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.573-605
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문은 2014년 7월과 2015년 7월부터 시행된 발전용 유연탄 과세와 LNG 세율 변경을 중심으로 세제 개편의 시나리오들을 설정하여 2029년까지의 SMP, 정산단가, 조세수입에 대한 영향을 추정하고, 시나리오 1(기준시나리오)의 값들과 비교하였다. 추정에서는 우리나라의 전력계통과 전력시장 운용방식에 특화한 모형과 전력수급기본계획 등의 정부 계획자료를 이용하여 전력계통 모의 실험을 실시하였다. 발전용 유연탄에 과세하고 조세중립성을 확보하기 위해 LNG에 대해서도 과세하는 경우에 단기에 SMP는 시나리오 1의 경우에 비해서 낮아진다. 원자력발전의 경우는 과세를 하여도 발전비용이 다른 발전원의 발전비용보다 작고, 원자력발전이 SMP를 결정하는 시간대가 거의 없기 때문에 과세가 SMP에 미치는 영향은 거의 없다. 따라서 SMP와 정산단가의 동조화관계가 성립한다면, 단기에 발전용 유연탄에 대한 과세로 에너지소비의 전력화현상을 둔화시키기는 어렵다. 그러나 중 장기에는 석탄발전설비가 충분히 확보되면 발전용 유연탄에 대한 과세는 SMP를 상승시키므로 세제 개편의 형태가 단기에 발전용 유연탄에만 과세하고 신규 유연탄 발전설비가 충분히 도입된 이후에 LNG에 대한 세율을 조정하면 에너지세제 개편으로 전기요금을 인상시켜서 전력수요를 감소시키려는 목적은 달성할 수 있을 것이다. 중 장기에는 발전설비의 확충으로 LNG복합발전기의 이용률이 낮아지므로 LNG에 대한 세율이 정산단가에 영향을 미치지 못한다. 원자력발전에 대한 과세는 SMP에 대한 영향과는 달리 정산조정계수의 영향으로 정산단가를 상승시켰다. 중 장기에 에너지세제가 갖는 순효과는 전력공급력의 확대에 따른 정산단가 하락이 에너지세제 부과에 따른 정산단가 상승을 상쇄시키는 정도에 따라서 달라질 것이다. 과세대상 중에서 원자력발전의 경우에 과세하는 경우에 추가적으로 발생하는 조세수입이 가장 컸다. 에너지세제의 형태와 조세수입의 관계를 보면 발전용 유연탄에 대한 세율이 높을수록, 그리고 원자력발전에 신규로 조세를 부과할수록 조세수입은 커진다.

지하매설물 중 도시가스 지하배관에 대한 위험성 서열화 분석 (Risk Ranking Analysis for the City-Gas Pipelines in the Underground Laying Facilities)

  • 고재선;김효
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.54-66
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    • 2004
  • 본 논문은 도시 가스 지하배관의 위험관리체계를 유지하는데 필요한 요소들 중 배관의 위험성평가에 적절한 기법을 제안하고, 그 평가결과에 근거하여 가장 비용-효과가 큰 배관 유지관리방안을 찾아내는데 그 목적이 있다. 본 연구에서 제안된 지하배관의 위험성서열화의 접근방법은 세 가지 측면에서 행하여졌는데, 첫째는 RBI(Risk Based Inspection)으로서 배관의 위험도에 영향을 주는 주변인구조건, 관의 크기 및 두께. 사용시간 등을 기준으로 일차적 평가를 함으로서 노출위험도의 높고 낮음을 정성적으로 평가하였고, 둘째는 Scoring System으로서 매설된 배관의 환경적인 요소에 기초하여 점수화하여 구체적으로 위험도를 서열화 하였다. 셋째로는 THOMAS 이론으로부터 대상배관의 누출빈도를 정량화 하였다. 그 결과 도시 가스 대상배관의 노출위험도는 대략 중간이상의 값을 갖는 것으로 나타났으며, 제안된 SPC기법을 적용하여 위험성을 평가한 결과, 대상배관의 부식위험성 점수 값이 허용범위(30-70)에 골고루 분포하는 것으로 보아 설정된 평가기준이 실제배관에 대해 상대적인 부식위험성을 잘 서열화 됨을 알 수 있었다. 또한 THOMAS모델을 적용한 평가결과로서의 Score값은 배관의 길이를 포함한 여러 치수들에 무관한 환경요인에 관련된 값인 반면, 기본누출빈도는 배관의 길이를 포함해서 다른 치수들에 비례함을 보여주고 있다. 그 결과 점수 값이 상대적으로 적은 배관구간(상대적으로 위험성이 낮은 구간)도 배관길이가 훨씬 더 크다면 누출발생빈도가 더 높은 값을 갖는다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 또한 대상 파이프라인의 허용위험수용범위는 전체 누출 빈도 값인 최대 1.00E-01/yr로부터 최소 2.50E-02의 영역을 나타내고 있어 이에 상응되는 높은 Consequence를 수용 가능한 영역으로 낮추는 조치가 필요함을 보여주고 있고, 종합파손확률에 대해 사용시간을 회기 분석법(Regression Analysis)으로 예측한 결과, 이에 대한 방정식을 유추할 수 있었고, 그에 대한 결과가 대상 파이프라인의 사용 년 수인 11년에서 13년으로 나타나 실제 대상배관들의 연령과 거의 일치함을 알 수 있었다. 따라서 본 연구에서 제안된 위험성 서열화 접근방법은 실제적으로 지하배관의 유지관리를 하는데 있어서 매우 효율적으로 적용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

Sensory Information Processing

  • Yoshimoto, Chiyoshi
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1985
  • The wall shear stress in the vicinity of end-to end anastomoses under steady flow conditions was measured using a flush-mounted hot-film anemometer(FMHFA) probe. The experimental measurements were in good agreement with numerical results except in flow with low Reynolds numbers. The wall shear stress increased proximal to the anastomosis in flow from the Penrose tubing (simulating an artery) to the PTFE: graft. In flow from the PTFE graft to the Penrose tubing, low wall shear stress was observed distal to the anastomosis. Abnormal distributions of wall shear stress in the vicinity of the anastomosis, resulting from the compliance mismatch between the graft and the host artery, might be an important factor of ANFH formation and the graft failure. The present study suggests a correlation between regions of the low wall shear stress and the development of anastomotic neointimal fibrous hyperplasia(ANPH) in end-to-end anastomoses. 30523 T00401030523 ^x Air pressure decay(APD) rate and ultrafiltration rate(UFR) tests were performed on new and saline rinsed dialyzers as well as those roused in patients several times. C-DAK 4000 (Cordis Dow) and CF IS-11 (Baxter Travenol) reused dialyzers obtained from the dialysis clinic were used in the present study. The new dialyzers exhibited a relatively flat APD, whereas saline rinsed and reused dialyzers showed considerable amount of decay. C-DAH dialyzers had a larger APD(11.70$\pm$1.32mmHg/min)compared to CF dialyzers(4.32$\pm$0.55mmHg/min)(p<0.05). However, there was no observable difference in the UFR between the two dialyzers. Neither APD nor UFR showed any significant increase with an increasing number of reuses for up to more than 20reuses. A substantial number of failures observed in APD(larger than 20mmHe/min)on the reused dialyzers(2 out of 40 CP and S out 26 C-DAK) were attributed to the Possible damage on the fibers. The CF 15-11 HFDs which failed APD test did not show changes in the UFR compared to normal dialyzers indicating that APD is a more sensitive test than UFR test to evaluate the integrity of the fibers. 30527 T00401030527 ^x For quantitative measurement of reflected light from a clinical diagnostic strip, a prototype old reflectance photometer was designed. The strip loader and cassette were made to obtain more accurate reflectance parameters. The strip was illuminated at 45˚c through optical fiber and the intensity of reflected light was determined at rectanguLat angle using a photodiode. The kubelka-munk coefficient and reflection optical density were determined ar four different wavelengths(500, 550, 570 and 610nm) for blood glucose strip. For higher concentration than 300mg/41 about glucose, a saturation state of abforbance was observed at 500, 550 and 570nm. The correlation between glucose concentration and parameters was the best at 610nm. 30535 T00401030535 ^x Radiation-induced fibrosarcoma tumors were grown on the flanks of C3H mice. The mice were divided into two groups. One group was injected with Photofrin II, intravenously (2.5mg/kg body weight). The other group received no Photofrin II. Mice from both groups were irradialed for approximately 15 minutes at 100, 300, or 500 mW/cm2 with the argon (488nm/514.5 nm), dye(628nm) and gold vapor (pulsed 628 nm) laser light. A photosensitizer behaved as an added absorber. Under our experimental conditions, the presence of Photolfrin II increased surface temperature by at least 40% and the temperature rise due to 300 mW/cm2 irradiation exceeded values for hyperthermia. Light and temperature distributions with depth were estimated by a computer model. The model demonstrated the influence of wavelength on the thermal process and proved to be a valuable tool to investigate internal temperature rise. 30536 T00401030536 ^x We investigated the structural geometry of thirty-eight Korean femurs. The purpose of this study is to identify major geometrical differences between Korean femurs 3nd others that we believe belong to Caucasians so that we would be able to get insights into the femoral component design that fits Asians including Koreans. We utilized computerized tomography (CT) images of femurs extracted from cadavers. The CT images were transformed into bitmap data by using a film scanner, and then analyzed by using a commercially available software called Image v.1.0 and a Macintosh IIci computer.The resulting data were compared with already published data. The major results show that the geometry of the Korean femurs is significantly different from that of Caucasians: (1) the anteversion angle and the canal flare index are greater by the amount of approximately 8˚ and 0.5, respectively, (2) the shape of the isthmus cross section is more round, and (3) the distance between the teaser trochanter and the proximal border of the isthmus is shelter by about 15 mm. The results suggested that the femoral component suitable for Asians should be different from the currently-used components designed and manufactured mostly by European or American companies. 30537 T00401030537 ^x It is well known that nonlinear propagation characteristics of the wave in the tissue may give very useful information for the medical diagnoisis. In this paper, a new method to detect nonlinear propagation characteristics of the internal vibration in the tissue for the low frequency mechanical vibration by using bispectral analysis is proposed. In the method, low frequency vibration of f0( = 100Hz) is applied on the surface of the object, and the waveform of the internal vibration x (t) is measured from Doppler frequency modulation of silmultaneously transmitted probing ultrasonic waves. Then, the bispectra of the signal x (t) at the frequencies (f0, f0) and (f0, 2f0) are calculated to estimate the nonlinear propagation characteristics as their magnitude ratio, w here since bispectrum is free from the gaussian additive noise we can get the value with high S/N. Basic experimental system is constructed by using 3.0 MHz probing ultrasonic waves and the several experiments are carried out for some phantoms. Results show the superiority of the proposed method to the conventional method using power spectrum and also its usefulness for the tissue characterization. 30541 T00401030541 ^x This paper describes the implementation of a computerized radial pulse diagnosis by aids of a clinical expert. On this base, we composed of the radial pulse diagnosis system in korean traditional medicine. The system composed of a radial pulse wave detection system and a radial pulse diagnosis system. With a detection system, we detected Inyoung and Cheongu radial pulse wave and processed it. Then, we have got the characteristic parameters of radial pulse wave and also quantified that according to the method of Inyoung-Cheongu Comparison Radial Pulse Diagnosis. We defined the jugement standard of radial pulse diagnosis system and then we confirmed the possibility for realization of automatic radial pulse diagnosis in korean traditional medicine. 30545 T00401030545 ^x Microspheres are expected to be applied to biomedical areas such as solid-phase immunoassays, drug delivery systems, immunomagnetic cell separation. To synthesize microspheres for biomedical application, "two stage shot growth method" was developed. The uniformity ratio of synthesized microspheres was always smaller than 1.05. And the surface charge density (or the number of ionizable functional groups) of the microspheres synthesized by "two stage shot growth method" was 6~13 times higher than that of the microspheres synthesized by conventional seeded batch copolymerization. As a previous step for biomedical application, adsorption experiments of bovine albumin on microspheres were carried out under various conditions. The maximum adsorbed amount was obtained in the neighborhood of pH 4.5. Isoelectric point of bovine albumin is pH 5.0, so experimental result shows that it shifted to acid area. The adsorption isotherm was obtained, the plateau region was always reached at 2.Og/L (bulk concentration of bovine albumin).The effect of the kind and the amount of surface functional group was also examined. 30575 T00401030575 ^x A medical image workstation was developed using multimedia technique. The system based on PC-486DX was designed to acquire medical images produced by medical imaging instruments and related audio information, that is, doctors' reporting results. Input information was processed and analyzed, then the results were presented in the form of graph and animation. All the informations of the system were hierarchically related with the image as the apex. Processing and analysis algorithms were implemented so that the diagnostic accuracy could be improved. The diagnosed information can be transferred for patient diagnosis through LAN(local area network). 30592 T00401030592 ^x In the conventional infrared imaging system, complex infrared lens systems are usually used for directing collimated narrow infrared beams into the high speed 2-dimensional optic scanner. In this paper, a simple reflective infrared optic system with a 2-dimensional optic scanner is proposed for the realization of medical infrared thermography system. It has been experimentally proven that the intfrared thermography system composed of the proposed optic system has the temperature resolution of 0.1˚c under the spatial resolution of lmrad, the image matrix size of 256 X 240, and tile imaging time of 4 seconds. 30593 T00401030593 ^x In this paper, MIIS (Medical Image Information System) has been designed and implemented using INGRES RDBMS, which is based on a client/server architecture. The implemented system allows users to register and retrieve patient information, medical images and diagnostic reports. It also provides the function to display these information on workstation windows simultaneously by using the designed menu-driven graphic user interface. The medical image compression/decompression techniques are implemented and integrated into the medical image database system for the efficient data storage and the fast access through the network. 30594 T00401030594 ^x In this paper, computerized BEAM was implemented for the space domain analysis of EEG. Trans-formation from temporal summation to two-dimensional mappings is formed by 4 nearest point inter-polaton method. Methods of representation of BEAM are two. One is dot density method which classify brain electrical potential 9 levels by dot density of gray levels and the other is colour method which classify brain electrical 12 levels by red-green colours. In this BEAM, instantaneous change and average energy distribution over any arbitrary time interval of brain electrical activity could be observed and analyzed easily. In the frequency domain, the distribution of energy spectrum of a special band can easily be distinguished normality and abnormality. 30608 T00401030608 ^x Laboratory information system (LIS) is a key tool to manage laboratory data in clinical pathology. Our department has developed an information system for routine hematology using down-sized computer system. We have used an IBM 486 compatible PC with 16MB main memory, 210 MB hard disk drive, 9 RS-232C port and 24 pin dot printer. The operating system and database management system were SCO UNIX and SCO foxbase, respectively. For program development, we used Xbase language provided by SCO foxbase. The C language was used for interface purpose. To make the system use friendly, pull-down menu was used. The system connected to our hospital information system via application program interface (API), so the information related to patient and request details is automatically transmitted to our computer. Our system interfaced with fwd complete blood count analyzers(Sysmex NE-8000 and Coulter STKS) for unidirectional data tansmission from analyzer to computer. The authors suggests that this system based on down-sized computer could provide a progressive approach to total LIS based on local area network, and the implemented system could serve as a model for other hospital's LIS for routine hematology. 30609 T00401030609 ^x To develop an artificial bone substitute that is gradually degraded and replaced by the regenerated natural bone, the authors designed a composite that is consisted of calcium phosphate and collagen. To use as the structural matrix of the composite, collagen was purified from human umbilical cord. The obtained collagen was treated by pepsin to remove telopeptides, and finally, the immune-free atelocollagen was produced: The cross linked atelocollagen was highly resistant to the collagenase induced collagenolysis. The cross linked collagen demonstrated an improved tensile strength. 30618 T00401030618 ^x This paper is a study on the design of adptive filter for QRS complex detection. We propose a simple adaptive algorithm to increase capability of noise cancelation in QRS complex detection with two stage adaptive filter. At the first stage, background noise is removed and at the next stage, only spectrum of QRS complex components is passed. Two adaptive filters can afford to keep track of the changes of both noise and QRS complex. Each adaptive filter consists of prediction error filter and FIR filter The impulse response of FIR filter uses coefficients of prediction error filter. The detection rates for 105 and 108 of MIT/BIH data base were 99.3% and 97.4% respectively. 30619 T00401030619 ^x To develop an artificial bone substitute that is gradually degraded and replaced by the regenerated natural bone, the authors designed and produced a composite that is consisted of calcium phosphate and collagen. Human umbilical cord origin pepsin treated type I atelocollagen was used as the structural matrix, by which sintered or non-sintered carbonate apatite was encapsulated to form an inorganic-organic composite. With cross linking atelocollagen by UV ray irradiation, the resistance to both compressive and tensile strength was increased. Collagen degradation by the collagenase induced collagenolysis was also decreased. 30620 T00401030620 ^x We have developed a monoleaflet polymer valve as an inexpensive and viable alternative, especially for short-term use in the ventricular assist device or total artificial heart. The frame and leaflet of the polymer valve were made from polyurethane, To evaluate the hemodynamic performance of the polymer valve a comparative study of flow dynamics past a polymer valve and a St. Jude Medical prosthetic valve under physiological pulsatile flow conditions in vitro was made. Comparisons between the valves were made on the transvalvular pressure drop, regurgitation volume and maximum valve opening area. The polymer valve showed smaller regurgitation volume and transvalvular pressure drop compared to the mechanical valve at higher heart rate. The results showed that the functional characteristics of the polymer valve compared favorably with those of the mechanical valve at higher heart rate. 30621 T00401030621 ^x Explosive evaporative removal process of biological tissue by absorption of a CW laser has been simulated by using gelatin and a multimode Nd:YAG laser. Because the point of maximun temperature of laser-irradiated gelatin exists below the surface due to surface cooling, evaporation at the boiling temperature is made explosively from below the surface. The important parameters of this process are the conduction loss to laser power absorption (defined as the conduction-to-laser power parameter, Nk), the convection heat transfer at the surface to conduction loss (defined as Bi), dimensionless extinction coefficient (defined as Br.), and dimensionless irradiation time (defined as Fo). Dependence of Fo on Nk and Bi has been observed by experiment, and the results have been compared with the numerical results obtained by solving a 2-dimensional conduction equation. Fo and explosion depth (from the surface to the point of maximun temperature) are increased when Nk and Bi are increased.To find out the minimum laser power for explosive evaporative removal process, steady state analysis has been also made. The limit of Nk to induce evaporative removal, which is proportional to the inverse of the laser power, has been obtained. 30622 T00401030622 ^x N1 and N2 gross neural action potentials were measured from the round window of the guinea pig cochlea at the onset of the acoustic stimuli. N1-N2 audiograms were made by means of regulating stimulant intensities in order to produce constant N1-N2 potentials as criteria for different input tone pip frequencies. The lowest threshold was measured with an input tone pip I5 dB SPL in intensity and 12 KHz in frequency when the animal was in normal physiological condition. The procedure of experimental measurements is explained in detail. This experimental approach is very useful for the investigation of the Cochlear function. Both noN1inear and active functions of the Cochlea can be monitored by N1-N2 audiograms. 30623 T00401030623 ^x In electrical impedance tomography(EIT), we use boundary current and voltage measurements toprovide the information about the cross-sectional distribution of electrical impedance or resistivity. One of the major problems in EIT has been the inaccessibility of internal voltage or current data in finding the internal impedance values. We propose a new image reconstruction method using internal current density data measured by NMR. We obtained a two-dimensional current density distribution within a phantom by processing the real and imaginary MR images from a 4.77 NMR machine. We implemented a resistivity mage reconstruction algorithm using the finite element method and sensitivity matrix. We presented computer simulation results of the mage reconstruction algorithm and furture direction of the research. 30624 T00401030624 ^x A new method of digital image analysis technique for discrimination of cancer cell was presented in this paper. The object image was the Thyroid eland cells image that was diagnosed as normal and abnormal (two types of abnormal: follicular neoplastic cell, and papillary neoplastic cell), respectively. By using the proposed region segmentation algorithm, the cells were segmented into nucleus. The 16 feature parameters were used to calculate the features of each nucleus. A9 a consequence of using dominant feature parameters method proposed in this paper, discrimination rate of 91.11% was obtained for Thyroid Gland cells. 30625 T00401030625 ^x An electrical stimulator was designed to induce locomotion for paraplegic patients caused by central nervous system injury. Optimal stimulus parameters, which can minimize muscle fatigue and can achieve effective muscle contraction were determined in slow and fast muscles in Sprague-Dawley rats. Stimulus patterns of our stimulator were designed to simulate electromyographic activity monitored during locomotion of normal subjects. Muscle types of the lower extremity were classified according to their mechanical property of contraction, which are slow muscle (msoleus m.) and fast muscle (medial gastrocneminus m., rectus femoris m., vastus lateralis m.). Optimal parameters of electrical stimulation for slow muscles were 20 Hz, 0.2 ms square pulse. For fast muscle, 40 Hz, 0.3 ms square pulse was optimal to produce repeated contraction. Higher stimulus intensity was required when synergistic muscles were stimulated simultaneously than when they were stimulated individually. Electrical stimulation for each muscle was designed to generate bipedal locomotion, so that individual muscles alternate contraction and relaxation to simulate stance and swing phases. Portable electrical stimulator with 16 channels built in microprocessor was constructed and applied to paraplegic patients due to lumbar cord injury. The electrical stimulator restored partially gait function in paraplegic patients. 30626 T00401030626 ^x Two-Dimensional modelling of the Cochlear biomechanics is presented in this paper. The Laplace partial differential equation which represents the fluid mechanics of the Cochlea has been transformed into two-dimensional electrical transmission line. The procedure of this transformation is explained in detail. The comparison between one and two dimensional models is also presented. This electrical modelling of the basilar membrane (BM) is clearly useful for the next approach to the further. Development of active elements which are essential in the producing of the sharp tuning of the BM. This paper shows that two-dimension model is qualitatively better than one-dimensional model both in amplitude and phase responses of the BM displacement. The present model is only for frequency response. However because the model is electrical, the two-dimensional transmission line model can be extended to time response without any difficult. 30627 T00401030627 ^x A method has been proposed for the fully automatic detection of left ventricular endocardial boundary in 2D short axis echocardiogram using geometric model. The procedure has the following three distinct stages. First, the initial center is estimated by the initial center estimation algorithm which is applied to decimated image. Second, the center estimation algorithm is applied to original image and then best-fit elliptic model estimation is processed. Third, best-fit boundary is detected by the cost function which is based on the best-fit elliptic model. The proposed method shows effective result without manual intervention by a human operator. 30628 T00401030628 ^x The intelligent trajectory control method that controls moving direction and average velocity for a prosthetic arm is proposed by pattern recognition and force estimations using EMG signals. Also, we propose the real time trajectory planning method which generates continuous accelleration paths using 3 stage linear filters to minimize the impact to human body induced by arm motions and to reduce the muscle fatigue. We use combination of MLP and fuzzy filter for pattern recognition to estimate the direction of a muscle and Hogan's method for the force estimation. EMG signals are acquired by using a amputation simulator and 2 dimensional joystick motion. The simulation results of proposed prosthetic arm control system using the EMf signals show that the arm is effectively followed the desired trajectory depended on estimated force and direction of muscle movements. 30638 T00401030638 ^x A new neural network architecture for the recognition of patterns from images is proposed, which is partially based on the results of physiological studies. The proposed network is composed of multi-layers and the nerve cells in each layer are connected by spatial filters which approximate receptive fields in optic nerve fields. In the proposed method, patterns recognition for complicated images is carried out using global features as well as local features such as lines and end-points. A new generating method of matched filers representing global features is proposed in this network. 30659 T00401030659 ^x An implementation scheme of the magnetic nerve stimulator using a switching mode power supply is proposed. By using a switching mode power supply rather than a conventional linear power supply for charging high voltage capacitors, the weight and size of the magnetic nerve stimulator can be considerably reduced. Maximum output voltage of the developed magnetic nerve stimulator using the switching mode power supply is 3, 000 volts and switching time is about 100 msec. Experimental results or human nerve stimulations using the developed stimulator are presented. 30768 T00401030768 ^x In this paper, we describe the design methodology and specifications of the developed module-based bedside monitors for patient monitoring. The bedside monitor consists of a main unit and module cases with various parameter modules. The main unit includes a 12.1" TFT color LCD, a main CPU board, and peripherals such as a module controller, Ethernet LAN card, video card, rotate/push button controller, etc. The main unit can connect at maximum three module cases each of which can accommodate up to 7 parameter modules. They include the modules for electrocardiograph, respiration, invasive blood pressure, noninvasive blood pressure, temperature, and SpO2 with Plethysmograph.SpO2 with Plethysmograph.

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