• 제목/요약/키워드: Error Modeling

검색결과 1,654건 처리시간 0.038초

Evaluation of the equation for predicting dry matter intake of lactating dairy cows in the Korean feeding standards for dairy cattle

  • Lee, Mingyung;Lee, Junsung;Jeon, Seoyoung;Park, Seong-Min;Ki, Kwang-Seok;Seo, Seongwon
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제34권10호
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    • pp.1623-1631
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    • 2021
  • Objective: This study aimed to validate and evaluate the dry matter (DM) intake prediction model of the Korean feeding standards for dairy cattle (KFSD). Methods: The KFSD DM intake (DMI) model was developed using a database containing the data from the Journal of Dairy Science from 2006 to 2011 (1,065 observations 287 studies). The development (458 observations from 103 studies) and evaluation databases (168 observations from 74 studies) were constructed from the database. The body weight (kg; BW), metabolic BW (BW0.75, MBW), 4% fat-corrected milk (FCM), forage as a percentage of dietary DM, and the dietary content of nutrients (% DM) were chosen as possible explanatory variables. A random coefficient model with the study as a random variable and a linear model without the random effect was used to select model variables and estimate parameters, respectively, during the model development. The best-fit equation was compared to published equations, and sensitivity analysis of the prediction equation was conducted. The KFSD model was also evaluated using in vivo feeding trial data. Results: The KFSD DMI equation is 4.103 (±2.994)+0.112 (±0.022)×MBW+0.284 (±0.020)×FCM-0.119 (±0.028)×neutral detergent fiber (NDF), explaining 47% of the variation in the evaluation dataset with no mean nor slope bias (p>0.05). The root mean square prediction error was 2.70 kg/d, best among the tested equations. The sensitivity analysis showed that the model is the most sensitive to FCM, followed by MBW and NDF. With the in vivo data, the KFSD equation showed slightly higher precision (R2 = 0.39) than the NRC equation (R2 = 0.37), with a mean bias of 1.19 kg and no slope bias (p>0.05). Conclusion: The KFSD DMI model is suitable for predicting the DMI of lactating dairy cows in practical situations in Korea.

CalTOX 모델을 이용한 대산 석유화학단지의 활동단계에 따른 벤젠 흡입 노출평가 (Prediction of Inhalation Exposure to Benzene by Activity Stage Using a Caltox Model at the Daesan Petrochemical Complex in South Korea)

  • 이진헌;이민우;박창용;박상현;송영호;김옥;신지훈
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제48권3호
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2022
  • Background: Chemical emissions in the environment have rapidly increased with the accelerated industrialization taking place in recent decades. Residents of industrial complexes are concerned about the health risks posed by chemical exposure. Objectives: This study was performed to suggest modeling methods that take into account multimedia and multi-pathways in human exposure and risk assessment. Methods: The concentration of benzene emitted at industrial complexes in Daesan, South Korea and the exposure of local residents was estimated using the Caltox model. The amount of human exposure based on inhalation rate was stochastically predicted for various activity stages such as resting, normal walking, and fast walking. Results: The coefficient of determination (R2) for the CalTOX model efficiency was 0.9676 and the root-mean-square error (RMSE) was 0.0035, indicating good agreement between predictions and measurements. However, the efficiency index (EI) appeared to be a negative value at -1094.4997. This can be explained as the atmospheric concentration being calculated only from the emissions from industrial facilities in the study area. In the human exposure assessment, the higher the inhalation rate percentile value, the higher the inhalation rate and lifetime average daily dose (LADD) at each activity step. Conclusions: Prediction using the Caltox model might be appropriate for comparing with actual measurements. The LADD of females was higher ratio with an increase in inhalation rate than those of males. This finding would imply that females may be more susceptible to benzene as their inhalation rate increases.

도시개발 영역 고정밀 공간지반모델의 지진 시 액상화 재해 및 지반 취약성 평가 활용 (Application into Assessment of Liquefaction Hazard and Geotechnical Vulnerability During Earthquake with High-Precision Spatial-Ground Model for a City Development Area)

  • 김한샘;선창국;하익수
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.221-230
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    • 2023
  • This study proposes a methodology for assessing seismic liquefaction hazard by implementing high-resolution three-dimensional (3D) ground models with high-density/high-precision site investigation data acquired in an area of interest, which would be linked to geotechnical numerical analysis tools. It is possible to estimate the vulnerability of earthquake-induced geotechnical phenomena (ground motion amplification, liquefaction, landslide, etc.) and their triggering complex disasters across an area for urban development with several stages of high-density datasets. In this study, the spatial-ground models for city development were built with a 3D high-precision grid of 5 m × 5 m × 1 m by applying geostatistic methods. Finally, after comparing each prediction error, the geotechnical model from the Gaussian sequential simulation is selected to assess earthquake-induced geotechnical hazards. In particular, with seven independent input earthquake motions, liquefaction analysis with finite element analyses and hazard mappings with LPI and LSN are performed reliably based on the spatial geotechnical models in the study area. Furthermore, various phenomena and parameters, including settlement in the city planning area, are assessed in terms of geotechnical vulnerability also based on the high-resolution spatial-ground modeling. This case study on the high-precision 3D ground model-based zonations in the area of interest verifies the usefulness in assessing spatially earthquake-induced hazards and geotechnical vulnerability and their decision-making support.

Adding AGC Case Studies to the Educator's Tool Chest

  • Schaufelberger, John;Rybkowski, Zofia K.;Clevenger, Caroline
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.1226-1236
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    • 2022
  • Because students majoring in construction-related fields must develop a broad repository of knowledge and skills, effective transferal of these is the primary focus of most academic programs. While inculcation of this body of knowledge is certainly critical, actual construction projects are complicated ventures that involve levels of risk and uncertainty, such as resistant neighboring communities, unforeseen weather conditions, escalating material costs, labor shortages and strikes, accidents on jobsites, challenges with emerging forms of technology, etc. Learning how to develop a level of discernment about potential ways to handle such uncertainty often takes years of costly trial-and-error in the proverbial "school of hard knocks." There is therefore a need to proactively expedite the development of a sharpened intuition when making decisions. The AGC Education and Research Foundation case study committee was formed to address this need. Since its inception in 2011, 14 freely downloadable case studies have thus far been jointly developed by an academics and industry practitioners to help educators elicit varied responses from students about potential ways to respond when facing an actual project dilemma. AGC case studies are typically designed to focus on a particular concern and topics have thus far included: ethics, site logistics planning, financial management, prefabrication and modularization, safety, lean practices, preconstruction planning, subcontractor management, collaborative teamwork, sustainable construction, mobile technology, and building information modeling (BIM). This session will include an overview of the history and intent of the AGC case study program, as well as lively interactive demonstrations and discussions on how case studies can be used both by educators within a typical academic setting, as well as by industry practitioners seeking a novel tool for their in-house training programs.

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Theoretical formulation for calculating elastic lateral stiffness in a simple steel frame equipped with elliptic brace

  • Jouneghani, Habib Ghasemi;Fanaie, Nader;Haghollahi, Abbas
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.437-454
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    • 2022
  • Elliptic-braced simple resisting frame as a new lateral bracing system installed in the middle bay of frame in building facades has been recently introduced. This system not only creates a problem for opening space from the architectural viewpoint but also improves the structural behavior. Despite the researches on the seismic performance of lateral bracing systems, there are few studies performed on the effect of the stiffness parameters on the elastic story drift and calculation of period in simple braced steel frames. To overcome this shortcoming, in this paper, for the first time, an analytical solution is presented for calculating elastic lateral stiffness in a simple steel frame equipped with elliptic brace subjected to lateral load. In addition, for the first time, in this study, a precise formulation has been developed to evaluate the elastic stiffness variation in a steel frame equipped with a two-dimensional single-story single-span elliptic brace using strain energy and Castigliano's theorem. Thus, all the effective factors, including axial and shear loads as well as bending moments of elliptic brace could be considered. At the end of the analysis, the lateral stiffness can be calculated by an improved and innovative relation through the energy method based on the geometrical properties of the employed sections and specification of the used material. Also, an equivalent element of an elliptic brace was presented for the ease of modeling and use in linear designs. Application of the proposed relation have been verified through a variety of examples in OpenSees software. Based on the results, the error percentage between the elastic stiffness derived from the developed equations and the numerical analyses of finite element models was very low and negligible.

골조 수직, 수평 측정작업 시 LiDAR 및 AR 기술 적용방안 제시 (Exploring the Combined Use of LiDAR and Augmented Reality for Enhanced Vertical and Horizontal Measurements of Structural Frames)

  • 박인애;김상용
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.273-284
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    • 2023
  • 건설프로젝트 진행 시 골조공사 후 시공상태를 점검하는 업무가 필수적이며, 이에 골조의 수직 및 수평 정확도를 점검하고 결함에 대한 보수작업을 수행한다. 하지만 기존의 업무방식은 점검자의 주관적 판단 및 인적오류의 발생 가능성으로 인한 신뢰성 문제, 수작업으로 인한 인력 및 시간 소모적 문제 등이 존재한다. 이에 본 연구는 상기 문제점을 해결하고, 골조공사 시공상태 점검 및 결과공유 과정의 효율을 높이고자 LiDAR 및 AR 기술의 활용방안을 제안하였다. 본 연구에서는 LiDAR를 통해 골조의 3D Point Cloud 데이터를 취득하여 시공상태 점검에 적용하는 방안과, 점검결과 데이터를 BIM 모델에 입력 후, AR을 통해 시각화하는 방안을 제안하였다. 이는 기존 방식 대비 점검과정의 객관성, 결과공유의 신속성 및 정확도 측면에서 효율적인 방식임을 확인하였으며, 더불어 건설프로젝트 전체의 품질 및 생산성 향상에 기여할수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

KIM 예보시스템에서의 Aeolus/ALADIN 수평시선 바람 자료동화 (Data Assimilation of Aeolus/ALADIN Horizontal Line-Of-Sight Wind in the Korean Integrated Model Forecast System)

  • 이시혜;권인혁;강전호;전형욱;설경희;정한별;김원호
    • 대기
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2022
  • The Korean Integrated Model (KIM) forecast system was extended to assimilate Horizontal Line-Of-Sight (HLOS) wind observations from the Atmospheric Laser Doppler Instrument (ALADIN) on board the Atmospheric Dynamic Mission (ADM)-Aeolus satellite. Quality control procedures were developed to assess the HLOS wind data quality, and observation operators added to the KIM three-dimensional variational data assimilation system to support the new observed variables. In a global cycling experiment, assimilation of ALADIN observations led to reductions in average root-mean-square error of 2.1% and 1.3% for the zonal and meridional wind analyses when compared against European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecast System (IFS) analyses. Even though the observable variable is wind, the assimilation of ALADIN observation had an overall positive impact on the analyses of other variables, such as temperature and specific humidity. As a result, the KIM 72-hour wind forecast fields were improved in the Southern Hemisphere poleward of 30 degrees.

비접촉식 제스처 기반 3D 조형 태스크를 위한 다중 모달리티 인터페이스 디자인 연구 (Multi - Modal Interface Design for Non - Touch Gesture Based 3D Sculpting Task)

  • 손민지;유승헌
    • 디자인융복합연구
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.177-190
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 비접촉식 제스처 기반 조형 태스크의 직관성 향상을 위한 다중 모달리티 인터페이스 디자인 GSS를 제안하였다. 디자인 조형 과정 및 조형 형태에 대한 사용자 경험을 조사한 후, 기술 발전에 따른 세대별 조형 시스템을 분석하였다. 또, 비접촉 3D 조형 시스템상에서의 조형 제작 프로세스, 조형 제작 환경, 제스처와 조형 태스크 간의 관계성, 자연스러운 손 조합 패턴과 사용자 손동작 요소들을 정의하였다. 이후, 기존 비접촉 3D 조형 시스템상에서 비접촉식 제스처 인터랙션을 관찰하고 자연스러운 조형 제작을 위해 조형 작성자의 행동체계가 반영된 인터페이스의 시각적 메타포와 자연스러운 제스처 인터랙션을 유도할 수 있는 행동적 메타포를 도출하였다. 프로토타입을 개발한 후, 제안된 주요 조형 태스크별 제스처 세트의 직관성을 알아보기 위해 기존 조형 시스템들과 비교하여 사용성 평가를 진행하였다. 제안된 GSS 시스템의 제스처는 이해도, 기억성, 오류율에서 우수성을 보였다. 제스처 인터페이스는 사용자의 경험에 기반한 시각적/행동적 메타포를 바탕으로 시각적 모달리티가 함께 사용된 제스처 인터페이스를 사용자들에게 제공되어야 한다는 것을 확인하였다.

스포츠이벤트 매니지먼트 프로세스 개발 및 적합성 평가 (Development of Sports Events Management Process and Conformance Assessment)

  • 김주학;김주용;조선미
    • 예술인문사회 융합 멀티미디어 논문지
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    • 제7권7호
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    • pp.691-700
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    • 2017
  • 스포츠이벤트는 스포츠 산업의 핵심 상품으로 관련 비즈니스 규모는 꾸준히 증가하고 있다. 그러나 스포츠 이벤트의 관리의 측면에서 스포츠 이벤트를 통해 생성된 지식과 경험은 비효율적이고 비체계적으로 관리되고 있다. 이러한 이유로 스포츠 이벤트의 유치, 준비와 운영 과정에서 불필요한 자원의 낭비와 시행착오가 반복되곤 한다. 이 연구는 스포츠 이벤트 관리 프로세스를 개발하고 적합성을 평가하는 데 그 목적이 있다. 이 연구에서는 스포츠이벤트의 핵심 프로세스를 단계별로 개발한 뒤 설계된 업무 프로세스의 적합성 평가를 위해 유사한 환경의 시범대회를 선정하여 설계 된 프로세스를 적용 및 평가하였다. 적용 평가의 대상 기능영역은 등록, 숙박, 수송, 방송, 식음료의 5개 FA이며 이 중 63개의 액티비티를 선정하여 적합성 분석을 실행하였다. 프로세스 모델링 방법으로는 IDEF(IDEF; Integration Definition)방법을 사용하였다. 적합성 평가는 퍼지이론에 기반한 프로세스 마이닝 기법을 사용하였고, 프로세스 마이닝 도구로는 ProM을 활용하였다.

Revisiting the Z-R Relationship Using Long-term Radar Reflectivity over the Entire South Korea Region in a Bayesian Perspective

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kim, Jin-Guk;Kim, Ho Jun;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.275-275
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    • 2021
  • A fixed Z-R relationship approach, such as the Marshall-Palmer relationship, for an entire year and for different seasons can be problematic in cases where the relationship varies spatially and temporally throughout a region. From this perspective, this study explores the use of long-term radar reflectivity for South Korea to obtain a nationwide calibrated Z-R relationship and the associated uncertainties within a Bayesian regression framework. This study also investigates seasonal differences in the Z-R relationship and their roles in reducing systematic error. Distinct differences in the Z-R parameters in space are identified, and more importantly, an inverse relationship between the parameters is clearly identified with distinct regimes based on the seasons. A spatially structured pattern in the parameters exists, particularly parameter α for the wet season and parameter β for the dry season. A pronounced region of high values during the wet and dry seasons may be partially associated with storm movements in that season. Finally, the radar rainfall estimates through the calibrated Z-R relationship are compared with the existing Z-R relationships for estimating stratiform rainfall and convective rainfall. Overall, the radar rainfall fields based on the proposed modeling procedure are similar to the observed rainfall fields, whereas the radar rainfall fields obtained from the existing Marshall-Palmer Z-R relationship show a systematic underestimation. The obtained Z-R relationships are validated by testing the predictions on unseen radar-gauge pairs in the year 2018, in the context of cross-validation. The cross-validation results are largely similar to those in the calibration process, suggesting that the derived Z-R relationships fit the radar-gauge pairs reasonably well.

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